As you all know, the MLB Draft started on Monday and is still going on. The first 10 rounds finished last night, and the Braves had a lot of high picks (something rare for Atlanta of late, thanks to their tremendous success during the Bobby Cox era). The rest of the draft (rounds 11-40) is usually a crapshoot. This is for a number of reasons, such as selecting players who have made it clear they're playing college ball for the long shot they'll sign for cheap, drafting guys purely for organizational depth, as well as taking chances on risky players who have any sliver of a high ceiling.
Every once in a while, there comes a diamond in the rough like Evan Gattis in the 23rd round. But for the majority, the money is made on the first 2 days of the draft, especially so in the first few rounds. So I figured we should all take a look at the Braves' draft so far and evaluate it as a community. Before I get started, everyone who hasn't yet done so should read Xiansheng's fanpost, Better Know a Draft Pick. He does a great job of examining the art (or science) of drafting in the mid-1st round. It was written as a precursor to the Braves selecting 14th overall, but it is still relevant after the pick has been made, and is simply a great piece of analysis.
Everyone will have their own opinion of the Braves' draft, and I want to hear what you all think.
- Did we draft too many pitchers (11 pitchers, 1 hitter, and 1 two-way player)?
- Did we take too many Prep players early (first 5 picks and 6 out of 7)?
- Should we have switched completely to College arms when we did (Last 6 picks and 7 out of 8)?
- @Do we need this many California kids@ (4 of first 6 picks either from Cali or committed to Cal/UCLA)?
- We even drafted battery-mates from the same team - Allard/Herbert - Given that the Braves are far superior at developing arms than bats, was their draft strategy smart?
- Were they right to draft mostly pitching early in the idea that they can develop a bunch of arms, then trade for hitting later when the time comes?
- Would it be smarter to take as many talented hitters as possible early, then take lesser arms later in the hopes that they can develop the pitchers anyway and see if some of those hitters turn out to be studs?
14) Kolby Allard, LHP, San Clemente HS, California: UCLA commit, candidate to go in top five until a stress reaction injury in his back sidelined him. When healthy, delivers easy 90+ heat with impressive curveball and low-effort delivery. Potentially a huge steal here for the Braves, could be top of rotation guy if it all comes together.
28) Mike Soroka, RHP, Bishop Carroll HS, Calgary, Canada: California commit, obiouvsly signable or the Braves wouldn't take him here, strong build at 6-5, 220, low-90s fastball and a very impressive curve, change-up not as good but developable, an unexpected pick but an intriguing one, upside is as high as most of the other early high school picks.
41) Austin Riley, 3B/RHP, DeSoto Central HS, Southhaven, Mississippi: Two-way prospect committed to Mississippi State, power hitter with a strong arm, should be signable here.
54) Lucas Herbert, C, San Clemente HS, California: Right-handed hitter, committed to UCLA. Mobile and polished behind the plate and made good strides with the bat this year, showing strong plate discipline and gap power possibilities.Projected for second round and that's where he went.
75) A.J. Minter, LHP, Texas A&M: Junior, limited to 21 innings by injury, 0.43 ERA with 29/8 K/BB then went down with Tommy John surgery. When healthy is very polished three pitch lefty with excellent pitchability.
89) Anthony Guardaro, RHP, California HS: Pop-up pitcher with live arm, unknown until three months ago.
120) Josh Graham, RHP, University of Oregon
150) Ryan Clark, RHP, UNC Greensboro: Inconsistent but throws hard, has some upside.
180) Matt Withrow, RHP, Texas Tech: Brother of Chris, like his brother he has good stuff but health concerns hurt stock.
210) Patrick Weigel, RHP, Houston: College arm who throws very hard but is inconsistent.
240) Ryan Lawlor, LHP, Georgia
270) Taylor Lewis, RHP, Florida
300) Stephen Moore, RHP, Navy