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Final 2007 Prospect List

After getting more Talking Chop input, we have finally arrived at our final top 25 Braves prospects for 2007. I took everyone's list and assigned each ranking a point value. A first place ranking was given 25 points, a little bonus for being ranked number one. Places two through twenty were given descending point values from 20 to 2. Players who were ranked 21 to 25 were given one "bonus point." I did the ranking this way so that the number one prospect was rewarded a bit for being listed first, and the last five were rewarded just for being listed but their inclusion didn't skew the rest of the results. Here is the list (in a wonderful Excel print screen):

Devine, Andrus, and Escobar were all very close. Thorman probably would have been higher if he were on more lists. Dan Smith made an impressive leap from not really being on my radar to 14th on the list. Others that snuck on were Neftali Feliz (I still want to type Perez), Zach Schreiber, and Chase Fontaine. Noticeably absent are Beau Jones and this year's first pick Cody Johnson. Johnson's absence is especially interesting since six players that were taken behind him in this year's draft are listed in the top-25. Even John Sickels listed six players from this year's draft and none of them were Cody Johnson.

I must say that I rarely remember such excitement for a Braves draft "class." People gave good reviews to the 2002 draft class (Francoeur, Meyer, McCann) and the 2003 class (Salty, Atilano, Stevens), but I can't remember such buzz about a class that goes so deep. Medlen was a 10th round pick, and several people listed him in their top-20. To further explain the depth of this 2006 class, no one even listed Chad Rodgers or Adam Coe who were the GCL Players of the Year for the Braves. Also, don't forget that this is the last class we will be able to draft and follow. So next year before the 2007 draft we will probably sign several more players from this class who might be along the lines of a Tyler Flowers or a Jamie Richmond. When we look back on the Braves 2006 draft, we may say it was the best one ever, even if just half of the top arms make it to the Majors, and even if our top pick doesn't pan out.

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Note on Andrus...
I'm going to publish some minor league defense rankings next week, but a teaser: Elvis Andrus was BAD last year.  I mean, just about the worst shortstop in low-A ball.  

Of course, he still has years and years to improve, and the results could be skewed by bad luck, but...maybe he's your CF of the future :).

Brew Crew Ball: Brewers blog and online community

by jeffbcb @ Talking Chop on Nov 21, 2006 10:10 AM EST reply actions  

C Johnson
I like that Cody was listed, the braves drafted him and stated he would be a project. He was young anyways (17 for most of the year i believe) so we have him for a long long time. He has some interesting tools. We just arne't known for developing polished players.
.....Matt

by yondaime4 on Nov 21, 2006 11:37 PM EST reply actions  

Class of 2006
I really enjoyed the collective list--I agree that one of the best things about it is that there are many quality prospects not even mentioned.

That said, I think that class of 2006 has potential, but I am not sure that it looks any better than 2003.  After that draft the future really looked golden: Atilano, Reyes, Stevens, Bacot, Harrison, Vines and Demme all looked like very promising arms.  Throw in Basner and White and the Braves had every reason to believe that they had a great draft.  Of course it didn't hurt that Salty and Romak were already on board; remember as well that Steven Doetsch looked great and Cole Armstrong and Keith Eichas showed some potential as well. C.J. Broussard looked like a coup.  For Draft and Follow the 2003 Draft added Brandon Jones, Johnny Venters and Larry Williams were on board.

I would not be surprised to see a number of players from 2003 to make it and a few to have a significant impact.  Still, in looking over the names there are some disappointments.  The 2003 draft reminds us that any one prospect still faces long odds.  More positvely, I think it suggests that numbers matter--sheer number of quality prospects means that some will make it and possibly make it big.

I hope that the 2006 class fairs better, but I think there was as much enthusaism about their chances as thre is for the class just drafted.  For what it is worth, one could probably make a similar argument for the class of 2000.

by Stephen @ Talking Chop on Nov 22, 2006 5:01 AM EST reply actions  

Great job on this...
I enjoyed the work you put into this.  I find a little funny that I had some guys listed way higher than everyone else:)

by themurph on Nov 25, 2006 9:54 PM EST reply actions  

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