FanPost

The Offense According to Bill James...


Some of these numbers are a little skewed due to certain players receiving more/less opportunity, but the ABs check out for a season pretty well (5539 last year compared to 5400 estimated, with pitchers getting 350 of those ABs):
Player              AB          HR                    RBI                   BA
Mclouth:         528          20                       67                   .263
Prado             423           7                        47                   .303
Chipper          459           21                     78                   .296
Glaus              529          28                      91                  .248
Mccann           522          24                     100                 .291
Escobar         539          12                       70                 .302
Diaz                 325         10                       40                  .303
Hinske            154           6                        23                 .248
Heyward         542         17                        78                 .303
Melky               506         11                       62                  .278
Infante             263         4                          30                 .278
M. Jones          357        17                        46                 .227
 
Diaz and Prado are both factored in as platoon players (add 100 at-bats each), and Mitch Jones and Melky receive far too many at-bats (subtract 100 at-bats each). If this were last year, 177 total homeruns would have been good enough for 4th in the league.
 
For those rosterbating with Damon in for Melky, add 3-4 extra homeruns and maybe 1-2 from pitchers.  180-184 dingers would be sweet.  So....good enough? Satisfied with the projection?


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