FanPost

The Offense According to Bill James...


Some of these numbers are a little skewed due to certain players receiving more/less opportunity, but the ABs check out for a season pretty well (5539 last year compared to 5400 estimated, with pitchers getting 350 of those ABs):
Player AB HR RBI BA
Mclouth: 528 20 67 .263
Prado 423 7 47 .303
Chipper 459 21 78 .296
Glaus 529 28 91 .248
Mccann 522 24 100 .291
Escobar 539 12 70 .302
Diaz 325 10 40 .303
Hinske 154 6 23 .248
Heyward 542 17 78 .303
Melky 506 11 62 .278
Infante 263 4 30 .278
M. Jones 357 17 46 .227

Diaz and Prado are both factored in as platoon players (add 100 at-bats each), and Mitch Jones and Melky receive far too many at-bats (subtract 100 at-bats each). If this were last year, 177 total homeruns would have been good enough for 4th in the league.

For those rosterbating with Damon in for Melky, add 3-4 extra homeruns and maybe 1-2 from pitchers. 180-184 dingers would be sweet. So....good enough? Satisfied with the projection?


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