Last year around this time, I asked the TC Community to make Five Bold Predictions about the Braves for the upcoming 2015 MLB Season. This post will serve as a review of some of the best and worst predictions in that post, as well as a place that those who are interested can post their bold predictions for the 2016 season. Just post your five bold predictions (or really any number of predictions you like) in the comments below, and next year around this time, we can look back and see how wrong (or even how right) you were. The picks are meant to be bold, and in this context, that means unexpected or unlikely. So, for instance, Freddie Freeman hitting more HRs than any other member of the Braves would not be a bold prediction. Frenchy or Markakis leading the Braves in HRs would be.
The Worst Predictions From Last Year
In retrospect, everyone who made predictions looks pretty dumb. Of course, asking for bold predictions increases the chances that those willing to participate are wildly incorrect, so the following is all in good fun.
The Braves will have the lowest ERA in the NL. Fast at Last
The Braves finished the season with the third-worst ERA in the NL.
The Braves will win 80 games. Braves Rays
Clearly, very, very wrong. What an idiot.
Home Runs by Jonny Gomes + home runs by Andrelton Simmons > Walks issued by Julio Teheran. Xiansheng.
Teheran had his worst season in terms of command by far, issuing 73 BBs, while Simmons and Gomes would combine for 11 HRs.
Eury Perez is second on the team in terms of outfield innings, and has the highest WAR among Braves outfielders. Ivan.
Optimism about Eury Perez was a common thing at the beginning of last year, but man, was he terrible.
Eury Perez will become the Braves starting CFer sometime in July. Fast at Last
More misguided optimism about Eury Perez.
Toscano will join the club in late September. Glassman
Ha. Haha. Hahahahahaha. Apparently, existence is a prerequisite to inclusion on the Braves 40-man roster. There have been reports that Toscano has a corporeal form, even (doctored) photographs that purport to show him in Spring Training, but until we get some DNA evidence, I’m remaining skeptical.
The Best Predictions From Last Year
Strikeouts by Craig Kimbrel > Games Played by Chris Johnson. Xiansheng
87 Ks for Kimbrel and 83 games played for CJ.
Alex Wood has a higher WAR than Julio Teheran. Jackgray64
2.6 WAR for Wood and 1.1 WAR for Teheran.
Melvin Upton will be worth 2 WAR. Jackgray64
Mupton was only worth 1.6 fWAR (also 1.6 bWAR) last year, but he also missed a large chunk of the season with injury and only played in 87 games, so this prediction was more right than wrong.
… C-Beth’s defense is worse than expected … and AJ Pierzynski is surprisingly solid. Ivan
Speaks for itself, really. Nice call.
Exactly one hitter finishes with double digit homers: Frederick Charles Freeman. zgs1288
This was so close to being true. Maybin and Garcia both finished the season with 10 HRs.
The end of season roster contains exactly zero players named Johnson. zgs1288
This is my favorite prognostication. Maybe one or two Johnsons getting dealt was foreseeable, but for Chris, Jim, and Kelly to all play well enough (or in CJ’s case, badly enough) to be shipped off to other teams before the end of the year was definitely not something that many saw coming.