Let's Talk Turkey
It's Turkey day already and the Braves seem to have made all the moves necessary to retool last year's team for a run at getting back into the postseason next year. We've traded our $8 million shortstop and seemingly let our $13 million center fielder walk. In their place we add room for the salary of Mark Teixeira and the free agent return of Tom Glavine. The question now, "is there any money left?"
The Braves have stated publicly that they will spend many millions more on next year's team, but what exactly will that figure be? According to Cot's Baseball Contracts the Braves payroll was at about $87 million last year. The AJC reports that the Braves started the year at around $81 million and added around $5 million via trades during the season. So between those reports, we can accurately assume that the Braves payroll in 2007 was around $86 to $87 million.
Below is a chart I've compiled over the past few days by using data from Cot's and MLB4U. I also took plenty of liberties and used a whole lot of my own "memory" of what I think the contract status is of these players. I'm pretty sure this chart is not 100% correct, but it's pretty darn close and that's really what I'm going for. (An * means an option year; a ~ means an estimate of contract or arbitration value; FA means the player is a free agent and not under contract that year.)
| 2008 Braves Salary Overview |
| Player | Position | Status 2008 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 |
| Brian McCann | 2 | Under Contract | $800,000 | $3,500,000 | $5,500,000 |
| Mark Teixeira | 3 | Arbitration | ~$12,000,000 | FA | FA |
| Kelly Johnson | 4 | Controlled | $400,000 | $400,000 | $400,000 |
| Chipper Jones | 5 | Under Contract | $11,000,000 | $11,000.000 | FA |
| Yunel Escobar | 6 | Controlled | $400,000 | $400,000 | $400,000 |
| Matt Diaz | 7 | Arbitration | ~$800,000 | ~$1,200,000 | ~$2,200,000 |
| Josh Andersonn | 8 | Controlled | $400,000 | $400,000 | $400,000 |
| Jeff Francoeur | 9 | Arbitration | ~$1,500,000 | ~$3,500,000 | ~$5,500,000 |
| John Smoltz | SP-1 | Under Contract | $14,000,000 | $12,000,000* | $13,000,000* |
| Tim Hudson | SP-2 | Under Contract | $13,000,000 | $13,000,000 | $12,000,000* |
| Tom Glavine | SP-3 | Under Contract | $8,000,000 | FA | FA |
| Mike Hampton | SP-4 | Under Contract | $15,000,000# | FA | FA |
| Chuck James | SP-5 | Arbitration | ~$800,000 | ~$1,600,000 | ~$2,800,000 |
| Willy Aybar | Bench | Controlled | $400,000 | $400,000 | $400,000 |
| Willie Harris | Bench | Controlled | $400,000 | FA | FA |
| Brayan Pena | Bench | Controlled | $400,000 | $400,000 | $400,000 |
| Clint Sammons | Bench | Controlled | $400,000 | $400,000 | $400,000 |
| Scott Thorman | Bench | Controlled | $400,000 | $400,000 | $400,000 |
| Rafael Soriano | Bullpen | Arbitration | ~$2,250,000 | ~$4,000,000 | FA |
| Mike Gonzalez | Bullpen | Arbitration | ~$3,000,000 | ~$4,500,000 | FA |
| Peter Moylan | Bullpen | Controlled | $400,000 | $400,000 | $400,000 |
| Joey Devine | Bullpen | Controlled | $400,000 | $400,000 | $400,000 |
| Chris Resop | Bullpen | Controlled | $400,000 | $400,000 | $400,000 |
| Royce Ring | Bullpen | Controlled | $400,000 | $400,000 | $400,000 |
| Tyler Yates | Bullpen | Arbitration | ~$750,000 | ~$1,500,000 | ~$2,500,000 |
| Linup Total | $27,300,000 | $20,400,000 | $14,400,000 | ||
| Rotation Total | $50,800,000 | $26,600,000 | $27,800,000 | ||
| Bench Total | $2,000,000 | $1,600,000 | $1,600,000 | ||
| Bullpen Total | $7,600,000 | $11,600,000 | $4,100,000 | ||
| Grand Total | $87,700,000 | $60,200,000 | $47,900,000 | ||
| # Hampton Recalculation | $80,700,000 | $60,200,000 | $47,900,000 |
One of the most noticeable items is that we are pretty much already at the total salary level we were at the end of last year - only slightly more than the $87 million we spent last year. But remember the words of Braves CEO Terry McGuirk, we will spend "many millions more" on next year's player payroll. Now all we need to do is figure out how much the word "many" means.
The thing that really jumped out at me about this chart was how much we are going to spend on our starting rotation next year - almost $51 million - that's over half of our payroll. With the rotation taking up so much of our 2008 resources, you better believe it is the most important part of this team - much like it was throughout the 90's.
Another revelation I had because of this chart is just how much value we will likely be getting out of our bullpen. There will likely be four or five guys making under $1 million if not the major league minimum. And while their salary will be low, I still think they have the stuff to be solid bullpen contributors.
The bench, too, will consist of mostly major league minimum salaries, as will two or three spots in the starting lineup.
The question now is what will we go get with our "many millions more?" I'm guessing a bullpen lefty is part of the plan, as is a possible upgrade over our untested rookies in center field, and perhaps a veteran bench bat. We can certainly look at this chart and see how a $15 million salary, which Andruw Jones might collect were we to offer him arbitration, would certainly break the bank, and leave us no room for the little upgrades like a bullpen lefty or bench veteran.
Update [2007-11-22 12:56:55 by gondeee]:
A great point was brought up in the comments section about the way the Braves are calculating Mike Hampton's contract. While they were only on the hook for several million the first couple of years, they went ahead and took the total amount they owed Hampton and averaged it out evenly across the five years they were paying him. It's rather crafty book keeping, but in the eyes of the Braves and their salary structure, they are only paying Hampton $8 million from this year's budget. That's a huge chunk less - $7 million less. That is quite a bit of extra money to spend on free agents or players acquired via trade. I've added this into the chart as the "Hampton Recalculation." We won't call it the Grand Total as it is mostly back-room book keeping that we mysteriously only found out about last year, but we will definitely keep it mind when considering how much room the Braves have left in their salary budget.
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Comments
Wren says no chance on Andruw
by TradeAndruw on Nov 22, 2007 10:46 AM EST 0 recs
Nice chart!
by mordecai on Nov 22, 2007 11:06 AM EST 0 recs
Great Point!!!
by gondeee on
Nov 22, 2007 12:32 PM EST
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Awesome!
by mordecai on
Nov 22, 2007 1:47 PM EST
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Excellent work!
by VegasAces on Nov 22, 2007 11:26 AM EST 0 recs
ESPN
by pbrogan on Nov 22, 2007 1:08 PM EST 0 recs
The Worldwide Leader in (NY/Boston) Sports
by mordecai on
Nov 22, 2007 1:54 PM EST
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Yes, nice chart
by TradeAndruw on Nov 22, 2007 1:20 PM EST 0 recs
The Bullpen.
by ejruiz on Nov 22, 2007 1:26 PM EST 0 recs
25-man
by gondeee on
Nov 22, 2007 3:45 PM EST
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Frenchy?
by iLukeisamazing on Nov 22, 2007 1:46 PM EST 0 recs
Frenchy
Thought, hopefully, they will use some of that "many millions more" to sign Jeff long-term.
by gondeee on
Nov 22, 2007 3:47 PM EST
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Gondee:
Also, in terms of resigning Texeira, why haven't we made a viable offer yet? He's 26 (maybe 27 now), one of the best Offensive 1B's in the game, and probably the best Defensive one in the game. If he wants $18 mil, give it to him. We'll wipe Hampton off the books next year as well as Glavine ($16 million combined), so even if we upped his contract, even to say $20 mil per, we'd only be adding $ mil to the payroll, which isn't much at all. Not to mention we wiped Andruw's contract off this year.
Sorry, this has just bothered me...
by iLukeisamazing on
Nov 22, 2007 4:16 PM EST
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With You
by gondeee on
Nov 22, 2007 5:23 PM EST
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just a point
But with new ownership a larger payroll and frank wren taking over the front office there is probably a good chance that we will see Frenchy get a long term deal in the next year or so. It also helps that he is developing some semblance of plate recognition as well.
And yes, we need to do everything possible to resign Tex.
by yondaime4 on
Nov 22, 2007 6:55 PM EST
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Braves offered Frenchy a McCann contract last year
by abravesfan on
Nov 23, 2007 11:26 AM EST
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Incorrect
by iLukeisamazing on
Nov 23, 2007 2:40 PM EST
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WRONG
http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20070322&content_id=1854251&vkey=spt2007news&fex t=.jsp
by abravesfan on
Nov 23, 2007 10:50 PM EST
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Wait
by 17843 on
Nov 23, 2007 1:43 PM EST
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Frenchy is certainly nothing special right now
by abravesfan on
Nov 23, 2007 10:52 PM EST
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Neither The Braves nor Tex...
Gondeee, I have read from somewhere that KJ is possibly a "Super-2" player who will be eligible for arbitration. He will cost the Braves more than the $400k you noted in the chart.
Nevertheless, great work!
by kc on Nov 22, 2007 6:38 PM EST 0 recs
Andruw and arbitration
The process determining who is a "Class A free agent" should be used on arbitration cases. 'Twer it so, a Class B like Andruw should max out at seven figures.
by JimK on Nov 22, 2007 6:49 PM EST 0 recs
Hampton's contractual status
This isn't true - the Braves announced that they would amortize Hampton's contract such that their annual commitment would be the same each year ($8 million). This has been the publicized case for much longer than a year, and is hardly "back-room" in status - as far the Braves are (and we should be) concerned, Hampton will be paid $8 million next season, and that $8 million constitutes the entirety of his impact on the yearly budget.
So, for all practical purposes, the second figure you list (~$80 million) is a much more accurate representation of the Braves' current salary situation; in fact, figuring Hampton's 2008 salary as anything more than $8 million is somewhat of a misrepresentation of the Braves' fiscal conditions for the upcoming year.
Other than that, your accounting seems to be on base, and I moreover agree that the Braves are more likely to use what remains (hopefully around $10 million) in order to actually improve the CF spot (Anderson is a marginal starter, and only marginally better than Willie Harris) and tweak the bullpen (Mahay?), which is necessary to help mitigate the risk involved in having two forty-year-old pitchers in the rotation.
by jpx7 on Nov 22, 2007 7:36 PM EST 0 recs
Well
I want to know what every one is planning to buy.Here is my shopping list:
http://www.globalgmail.com/upload/BFridayHotDeals.pdf
LOL. Any feedback is welcome.
by jonaththan123 on Nov 22, 2007 10:58 PM EST 0 recs
Thanks
Happy Thanksgiving
by Stephen on Nov 23, 2007 3:24 AM EST 0 recs
Something else missing...
by kc on Nov 23, 2007 7:12 AM EST 0 recs










