Game Thread 7/27: Cardinals at Braves


The Braves will attempt to win back-to-back games for the first time since July 8-9th.

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Atlanta is back in action this afternoon at 3:05 PM ET on Fox Saturday Baseball. Here's the coverage map so you can see if your city will get the Braves game on TV today. Julio Teheran will toe the rubber for Atlanta, while St. Louis will counter with right-hander Joe Kelly. Here are lineups:


  1. Jason Heyward, CF
  2. Justin Upton, RF
  3. Freddie Freeman, 1B
  4. Evan Gattis, LF
  5. Brian McCann, C
  6. Dan Uggla, 2B
  7. Chris Johnson, 3B
  8. Andrelton Simmons, SS
  9. Julio Teheran, P
  1. Matt Carpenter, 2B
  2. Carlos Beltran, RF
  3. Matt Holliday, LF
  4. Allen Craig, 1B
  5. Yadier Molina, C
  6. David Freese, 3B
  7. Jon Jay, CF
  8. Daniel Descalso, SS
  9. Joe Kelly, P
Kelly pitch usage


Kelly made 16 starts last season for St. Louis, but this will be just his fourth this year as he's primarily been used out of the bullpen. So far in 2013, he has a 3.88 ERA, 4.47 FIP and 3.89 xFIP to go along with an 18.2% strikeout rate and a 7.2% walk rate. Kelly is a ground ball pitcher, as evidenced by his 49.3% ground ball rate, but he has had some issues with the home run ball. He's allowed seven in 48 innings this year after giving up just ten in 107 innings in 2012.

He throws hard, with both his fastball and sinker averaging a velocity of over 95 miles per hour so far this year. Kelly's changeup checks in with an average velocity of just over 85 miles per hour, while his slider is a tick slower at just over 83 miles per hour. His curve is his slowest offering of the bunch.

Both of Kelly's breaking balls have whiff/swing rates above 30%, while his fastball doesn't miss a ton of bats despite plus velocity. Kelly's slider is his only offering that doesn't have a ground ball/ball in play rate of above 40%.

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