Game Thread 6/21: Braves at Brewers

Daniel Shirey-USA TODAY Sports

1. Andrelton Simmons - SS
2. Jason Heyward - RF
3. Freddie Freeman - 1B
4. Justin Upton - RF
5. Brian McCann - C
6. B.J. Upton - CF
7. Dan Uggla - 2B
8. Chris Johnson - 3B
9. Julio Teheran - P

Game One of this series features Julio Teheran, who has been steadily improving - with the notable exception of his start two turns ago - over the course of the season. I remain amazed at his transformations. The first being from fastball-change to fastball-curveball-slider, and the other being from a guy with an average-ish walk rate to one that has a better walk rate than Mike Minor. Teheran may always be plagued by home runs, but if he's not walking people, most of those home runs will be solo shots. The young right-hander is definitely one of the more pleasant surprises early this season.

Andrelton Simmons last 30 days - .265/.303/.310

Jason Heyward last 30 days - .266/.330/.404

Justin Upton last 30 days - .200/.287/.253

Freddie Freeman last 30 days - .356/.412/.538

Brian McCann last 30 days - .194/.308/.343

B.J. Upton last 30 days - .209/.312/.433

Dan Uggla last 30 days - .200/.355/.373

Chris Johnson last 30 days - .268/.303/.394

Wily Peralta


Scouting Report: Peralta is wild. As such, the Braves need to be patient and let him work himself into his own trouble. The young righty is also basically a two-pitch pitcher - throwing a fastball and slider. He'll add a change-up very seldom against left-handed batters, but it's basically only when he's ahead. Peralta throws hard - averages 94-95 mph - and combining this with his wildness, the Braves should have field day.

Analysis: Peralta's been a mess statistically. His 12% K rate is poor, especially for a guy who throws as hard as he does, and his 9% BB rate doesn't help. Usually, the league averages are 20% and 8%, but while Peralta's BB rate isn't devastatingly bad, it's bad when compared with the poor strikeout rate. Peralta also gives up a lot of home runs - 14% (10.6% is the league average) - probably because he gets behind in the count and hitters know that it's either a fastball or slider coming. Maybe his 6.08 ERA is higher than his peripherals suggest, but he hasn't really deserved much better.

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