Open Thread 5/7: Braves @ Reds

"Fat Juan" is back in the lineup against his old team - USA TODAY Sports
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***Update: New start time is set for 7:45 PM ET.***

Kris Medlen takes on Homer Bailey in game two of the series. First pitch is set for 7:10 PM ET. Braves lineup:

  1. Andrelton Simmons, SS
  2. B.J. Upton, CF
  3. Justin Upton, RF
  4. Freddie Freeman, 1B
  5. Evan Gattis, LF
  6. Brian McCann, C
  7. Dan Uggla, 2B
  8. Juan Francisco, 3B
  9. Kris Medlen, P
Tonight's starter Homer Bailey has been really solid this year for the Reds. Bailey enters with a 3.38 ERA, 3.34 FIP, and 3.15 xFIP. The most interesting thing I see looking his peripherals is an increased ground ball rate. His GB% is at 54.9% this season, way up from his career average of 43.5%.

His strikeouts are also up, as his strikeout percentage sits at 23%, up from 19.2% last season and 18.5% for his career. Bailey's walk percentage of 6.6% is up slightly from last year's 6.0%.

In terms of stuff, Bailey throws five pitches: a four-seam fastball (average velocity of 94.05 mph), two-seam fastball (93.16 mph), slider (88.65 mph), curveball (79.67 mph) and splitter (87.04 mph). He throws his four-seam about 50% of the time and in any count. He throws his two seam, splitter, and slider all about the same amount, with the curve being his least utilized option.

He uses his two-seam mostly against left-handed hitters, and its usage decreases the later in the count it gets. Bailey throws his slider a little more often against right-handed hitters than left-handed hitters, throwing it most often with two strikes against LHH's and when he gets ahead in the count against RHH's. The splitter shows up most often when he is ahead in the count or has two strikes to either handed hitter.
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