Atlanta Braves at Florida Marlins Series Preview
After taking two of three from the New York Mets, Atlanta heads down to Florida for a three-game set against the Marlins.
The Braves just saw Florida a couple of weeks ago, as they took two of three from the Marlins in Atlanta.
Florida enters the series with a record of 55-59 and is in fourth place in the National League East, 19 games behind the division leading Philadelphia Phillies.
This past weekend, the Marlins got swept in a four-game series at the hands of the Cardinals.
Offense:
As a team, the Marlins rank tenth in the National League in batting average (.249), seventh in on-base average (.320), tenth in slugging (.388), ninth in wOBA (.313), and tied for seventh in wRC+ (93).
Individually, the Marlins are being led by Mike Stanton, Gaby Sanchez, and Logan Morrison among others. Stanton is hitting .260/.336/..527 with a .369 wOBA that leads the team and a 132 wRC+ along with 25 home runs. Sanchez has put a line of .281/.361/.457 with a .357 wOBA and a 124 wRC+ while Morrison is hitting .248/.327/.458 with a .342 wOBA and 114 wRC+. Morrison missed the Marlins game on Sunday after getting stitches on his knee, but should be back for tonight's game.
Hanley Ramirez (.243/.333/.379, .318 wOBA, 97 wRC+) has missed four straight games with a left shoulder sprain but could be back tonight or tomorrow. Emilio Bonifacio has been filling in for Ramirez at short, and is hitting .286/.358/.374 with a .337 wOBA and 110 wRC+. Omar Infante is out until late August with a broken left middle finger, so the Marlins have been bitten by the injury bug lately.
Greg Dobbs is hitting .300/.343/.404 on the year while Mike Cameron is hitting .206/.325/.382 in his tenure as a Marlin. Catcher John Buck is struggling, hitting only .228/.318/.374 so far in 2011.
Pitching match-ups after the jump...
Monday, August 8th, 7:10 PM EDT
In game one of the series, Derek Lowe (6-10, 4.86 ERA, 3.68 FIP, 3.65 xFIP) takes on Brad Hand. So far in 2011, Hand is 1-3 with a 2.86 ERA, 6.33 FIP, and 5.52 xFIP so he's in line for some regression here pretty soon. He has more walks than strikeouts (22 walks to 21 strikeouts) and is an extreme fly-ball pitcher with a ground-ball percentage of only 31.0%. Hand has also been very lucky on balls in play, as his BABIP sits at .188 which is entirely unsustainable. Hand works primarily off of his fastball, throwing a four-seamer 54.2 % of the time and a two-seamer 18.8% of the time. He doesn't throw very hard, sporting an average fastball velocity of just under 90 miles per hour. He throws a change-up, slider, and a curve, with the change-up being his primary off-speed pitch. Hand faced Atlanta in his first major league start back on June 7th, giving up one hit and one run while walking none and striking out six in six innings of work. In his last start, he went five innings, giving up seven hits and two runs while walking one and striking out four against the Mets. He has failed to throw more than five innings in four of his last five starts.
Tuesday, August 9th, 7:10 PM EDT
Brandon Beachy (5-2, 3.49 ERA, 3.99 FIP, 3.54 xFIP) takes on Clay Hensley in game two of the series. On the year, Hensley is 1-4 with a 4.46 ERA, 4.85 FIP, and 5.34 xFIP. Hensley began the season as a reliever, but has moved into the rotation and will be making his 5th start of the season on Tuesday. He has identical K/9 and BB/9 rates of 4.72 on the season. Hensley primarily uses a two-seam fastball, throwing it 45.1% of the time at an average velocity of 87.2 miles per hour. He has three off-speed pitches, a slider, curve, and a change-up. Of those three, he uses the change-up the most at 29.2% percent of the time. In his last start, Hensley lasted only 2.1 innings, giving up three hits and six runs while walking three and striking out one against the Cardinals.
Wednesday, August 10th, 7:10 PM EDT
In the series finale, Tim Hudson (11-7, 3.22 ERA, 3.30 FIP, 3.45 xFIP) goes up against Anibal Sanchez. Sanchez is 6-5 with a 3.73 ERA, 3.26 FIP, and 3.08 xFIP so far in 2011. He has a K/9 of 9.33 and a BB/9 of 2.61 so he strikes out a large amount of hitters but doesn't walk many. Sanchez throws three different fastballs, a four-seam, two-seam, and a cutter. All three fastballs have an average velocity of just under 92 miles per hour. He features three off-speed pitches as well, a slider, curve, and a change-up. His slider is his go to off-speed selection, as he throws it 25.5% of the time. In his last outing, Sanchez gave up eight hits and three runs while walking two and striking out seven in 7.1 innings of work against the Cardinals en route to a loss.
Bullpen:
Leo Nunez -RH (CL)
Michael Dunn -LH
Brian Sanches -RH
Randy Choate -LH
Edward Mujica -RH
Burke Badenhop -RH
Steve Cishek -RH
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Hopefully C-Mart will be warming up right along side Lowe.
If we can land [Stephen Drew], I will give FW a bj.
~justincredubil02
by king of games on Aug 8, 2011 12:33 PM EDT reply actions 1 recs
Yay
D-loaded vs. A no name lefty!!!! That sould be fun to watch!!!
/sarcasm
"I wasn’t thinking about it. That’s the worst celebration of all time. I didn’t know what to do. I got lost in the moment." - Brian McCann
by HansonManCrush on Aug 8, 2011 12:46 PM EDT via mobile reply actions
Yep it's Brad Hand again....
BTW nice name there, D-loaded.
by ChoppingTalk on Aug 8, 2011 12:56 PM EDT up reply actions
I think this might be the game where D-Lowe breaks his futility, and the offense really slams a lefty soft-tosser. Both things are due, imho.
"Baseball is the only place in life where a sacrifice is really appreciated."
I don't see D-lowe doing much until the weather cools down
Maybe 5 or 6 quality innings and no implosion, but no long, quality starts. He has got to be the sweatiest pitcher in the majors…
On the other hand, I look forward to seeing Dan vs. Marlins pitching!
but see,...
he tore us up in his debut, so if history is any sign, we should light him up tonight. We’ve already seen him once, and that’s usually the time when they get us.
http://sportsandgrits.blogspot.com/
So... I have a strong, overwhelming premonition about this series...
Hold your breath and/or laugh at me if you wish but Derek Lowe will pitch a masterpiece tonight. He will certainly hand a loss to the Marlins today…
I have a good general feeling about this series… I have a feeling we will have an offensive outburst and Mr. Uggla will really step up and carry our team. If we do not sweep the series, it will be surprising.
So for those not counting at home… I will provide the 4 Krash Predictions:
1) Lowe will be an Ace tonight.
2) Mr. Uggla will carry the team (through the series)
3) We will sweep.
4) There will be a new movie call the Bourn Beatdown released this weekend.
Ok, there ya go… Enjoy the series. Unfortunately, I will probably be around even less than normal as my wife will be having a medical procedure on Wednesday… Not good news, but there is always a silver lining and we’ll be back in action soon enough… I’ll be checking in as much as I can but hopefully the Braves will have a great week, it’ll definitely make me feel better. :-D
Don’t worry about older women until you turn 22. It’s called the Saltalamacchia.
by bwellnjonesco on May 19, 2011 4:13 PM PDT
Agreed at least on #1
A little NAHWAL style
Lowe-7 2/3 innings, 6 hits, 1 run, 1 BB, 6 K
Hand-4 1/3 innings, 9 hits, 5 runs, 3 BB, 3 K
http://sportsandgrits.blogspot.com/
OT / KKrash,
I was going to email you, but your profile doesn’t show one.
I wanted to let you know there were replies to your comment on this thread. Didn’t want you to miss ’em.
~ "The NL - where our pitchers do more than just play with their balls." ~
if any of this happens...
i will personally be your campaign manager….
the exponent in the equation is a matter of preference and "fit" it can vary depending on what the user believes to yield the curve that best predicts a team’s ability to win games.
by Ivan the Great on May 20, 2011 12:31 PM VET
Where have you been forever?
You shouldn’t sip liquor.
-justincredubil02
no, Jack Daniel is whiskey.
-ChopMaster
"Welcome to the show, Brandon Beachy. I think you’re going to stay a while."
So sorry
to have just read what you and your wife are going through. I understand, I too, had a miscarriage, and the procedure your wife is having on Wed. I also went into labor at 6 months and lost our little girl, weighing only 1lb 11oz. These are difficult times but I believe as you, that all things happen for a reason. Remember your situation isn’t hopeless, this is where God wants to show Himself powerful in your life. I’m praying for you two, and have faith prayers will be answered on your behalf. I’ll look forward to hearing good news from you in the near future…..
Costanza is a horrible baseball player
by Jonesy24 on Aug 1, 2011 6:27 PM
Twitter:Hey_Jude18
That was the most half hearted
insincere sounding comment i’ve ever read
You shouldn’t sip liquor.
-justincredubil02
no, Jack Daniel is whiskey.
-ChopMaster
"Welcome to the show, Brandon Beachy. I think you’re going to stay a while."
Maybe it doesn't come across in the text jackass
it’s sincere, especially considering I’m going through right now what he and his wife were hoping for (a developing pregnancy) and have a soft spot for what he’s going through. I don’t know specifics, and don’t want to unless Krash feels comfortable sharing that with Talking Chop and the general public.
Who the f are you to say that 257?
http://sportsandgrits.blogspot.com/
I couldn't imagine what it'd feel like if my wife was having severe complications
like his, or like Jude went through. I’m sorry if you can’t personally see that on a comment thread, but that’s on you. And again, what the f is wrong with you to make a comment like you just did?
http://sportsandgrits.blogspot.com/
Does that garner a personal seal of approval from abraves257?
If not, shove it. And if so, still, shove it.
http://sportsandgrits.blogspot.com/
Derek Lower vs. Brad Hand
Actually a pair of guys who seem destined for some kind of regression, in opposite directions. My prediction? Won’t happen, but Braves will stage a late comeback against Marlins’ bullpen to win 5-4. Freeman is going to have a big hit in the 8th or 9th inning.
My buddy and I just decided that the braves would be set if we could get Matt Kemp, Jose Reyes, and Albert Pujols.
by willlinn on May 17, 2011 2:13 PM EDT
(Insert Lowe/High Hand poker joke here)
You shouldn’t sip liquor.
-justincredubil02
no, Jack Daniel is whiskey.
-ChopMaster
"Welcome to the show, Brandon Beachy. I think you’re going to stay a while."
Poker? I barely know her!
"Baseball is the only place in life where a sacrifice is really appreciated."
Darryl is not impressed

You shouldn’t sip liquor.
-justincredubil02
no, Jack Daniel is whiskey.
-ChopMaster
"Welcome to the show, Brandon Beachy. I think you’re going to stay a while."
It will be a good match up…Marlins are sneaky…and streaky..
by CoachBeckyWittenburg on Aug 8, 2011 2:44 PM EDT reply actions
This past weekend, the Marlins got swept in a four-game series at the hands of the Cardinals.
On this rollercoaster we call baseball, the Braves are coming into town just in time for the Marlins to come out of their slump.
"People ask me what I do in winter when there's no baseball. I'll tell you what I do. I stare out the window and wait for spring." Rogers Hornsby
That steak looks mighty fine as well =)
You shouldn’t sip liquor.
-justincredubil02
no, Jack Daniel is whiskey.
-ChopMaster
"Welcome to the show, Brandon Beachy. I think you’re going to stay a while."
Someone at MCC tipped me off to that picture, and I haven’t been able to think about work since.
TheLetter2: East Coast Boogaloo
I can imagine.
/sees August 29th date of this event
So you still can’t get down here until September? =)
You shouldn’t sip liquor.
-justincredubil02
no, Jack Daniel is whiskey.
-ChopMaster
"Welcome to the show, Brandon Beachy. I think you’re going to stay a while."
Tickets to the event are $250 a pop. I like beefcake, but I can’t quite justify that in the beefcake expenditure column.
TheLetter2: East Coast Boogaloo
Oh mercy
never mind then, I’m in the same boat. Had some good steak last night though, was on sale at Publix. Nice and rare.
You shouldn’t sip liquor.
-justincredubil02
no, Jack Daniel is whiskey.
-ChopMaster
"Welcome to the show, Brandon Beachy. I think you’re going to stay a while."
Too bad. Beachy’s going to be one of the servers at the Uggla event.
TheLetter2: East Coast Boogaloo
Where do you see that?
You shouldn’t sip liquor.
-justincredubil02
no, Jack Daniel is whiskey.
-ChopMaster
"Welcome to the show, Brandon Beachy. I think you’re going to stay a while."
abraves257, I have a link you may be interested in. You can email me if you want and I’ll send it to you.
It’s OT to Braves and TC, so won’t post it here.
~ "The NL - where our pitchers do more than just play with their balls." ~
/claps!
side note, i need a new name on here… something easier to abbreviate. emailing you now!
You shouldn’t sip liquor.
-justincredubil02
no, Jack Daniel is whiskey.
-ChopMaster
"Welcome to the show, Brandon Beachy. I think you’re going to stay a while."
That hurts
You shouldn’t sip liquor.
-justincredubil02
no, Jack Daniel is whiskey.
-ChopMaster
"Welcome to the show, Brandon Beachy. I think you’re going to stay a while."
Works for me.
and Beachy will be there……. Can we just eat at the restaurant and get served by the regular staff, then maybe say hi at some point?
You shouldn’t sip liquor.
-justincredubil02
no, Jack Daniel is whiskey.
-ChopMaster
"Welcome to the show, Brandon Beachy. I think you’re going to stay a while."
If I had the money, I’d cover both our expenses. Sounds like it would be fun.
TheLetter2: East Coast Boogaloo
If I had the money, I’d cover both our expenses plus the extra gratuity for a couple of the guys. A certain two X)
You shouldn’t sip liquor.
-justincredubil02
no, Jack Daniel is whiskey.
-ChopMaster
"Welcome to the show, Brandon Beachy. I think you’re going to stay a while."
Either way, you can’t miss the September game. I feel so bad for Krash though =(
You shouldn’t sip liquor.
-justincredubil02
no, Jack Daniel is whiskey.
-ChopMaster
"Welcome to the show, Brandon Beachy. I think you’re going to stay a while."
I promise I’ll do my best to be there. I don’t see any major impediments to attending the game.
I just heard about his situation today. My heart goes out to him.
TheLetter2: East Coast Boogaloo
I know you will =). And so did I. Same thing happened to my cousin this past weekend as well. So horrible.
You shouldn’t sip liquor.
-justincredubil02
no, Jack Daniel is whiskey.
-ChopMaster
"Welcome to the show, Brandon Beachy. I think you’re going to stay a while."
Back to happy talk. Go Braves!
You shouldn’t sip liquor.
-justincredubil02
no, Jack Daniel is whiskey.
-ChopMaster
"Welcome to the show, Brandon Beachy. I think you’re going to stay a while."
Fine by me. How did the Pirates fall to ten back?
You shouldn’t sip liquor.
-justincredubil02
no, Jack Daniel is whiskey.
-ChopMaster
"Welcome to the show, Brandon Beachy. I think you’re going to stay a while."
lost 10 in a row since they left ATL
DFA Heyward. I'm dead serious
by wpf3211 on Aug 6, 2011 9:11 PM EDT
coupled with the Brewers going like 10-1 over that time
DFA Heyward. I'm dead serious
by wpf3211 on Aug 6, 2011 9:11 PM EDT
Wow.
I love how every time the Pirates have a winning season, we are the ones that end it.
You shouldn’t sip liquor.
-justincredubil02
no, Jack Daniel is whiskey.
-ChopMaster
"Welcome to the show, Brandon Beachy. I think you’re going to stay a while."
Derek Lowe needs to throw his cutter and slider more if he wants to return to his earlier form
I did some research on Lowe’s starts this year, and made a fanpost with the findings if anyone is curious and/or wants to check that out
DFA Heyward. I'm dead serious
by wpf3211 on Aug 6, 2011 9:11 PM EDT
Take your time Hanley
"You come at the king, you best not miss."
by a hooter's baby on Aug 8, 2011 3:35 PM EDT via mobile reply actions
Gonna be at the game tonight.
One more XBH and Chipper has 1000.
Also 5 more PA and he’s got 10000.
It’d be sweet if both happened tonight, then again when’s the last time Chip stayed in the whole game
"Baseball, you play 162 games, people get hurt," McCann said.
by ConradsComrades on Aug 8, 2011 3:49 PM EDT via mobile reply actions
too bad you don't get to see Heyward, unless he pinch hits
DFA Heyward. I'm dead serious
by wpf3211 on Aug 6, 2011 9:11 PM EDT
I remember about a month ago (right before the all-star break) when I though I might see Chipper getting his 1000th XBH in Philadelphia. Apparently, he has only started 2 games since 7/8 in Philadelphia (when he got his 999th XBH).
by LEastCoastBears on Aug 8, 2011 5:25 PM EDT up reply actions
My money is on Chipper setting this milestone with a homer on Friday in front of Bobby Cox in Atlanta.
by LEastCoastBears on Aug 8, 2011 5:26 PM EDT up reply actions
Heyward sitting again
this is getting old
by DreamWithinADream on Aug 8, 2011 6:36 PM EDT reply actions

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