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The Braves' Bullpen: A Continuing Tradition Of Striking Dudes Out

Craig Kimbrel has been a huge part of the Braves' bullpen's strikeout excellence this season.

Last night, the Braves' top 3 relievers (Eric O'Flaherty, Jonny Venters, and Craig Kimbrel) struck out 6 batters in 3 innings. This is nothing new for these guys, or for the Braves' bullpen as a whole, this year. The team has five different relievers with at least 10 innings pitched and at least 8.5 strikeouts per 9 innings pitched (K/9): Kimbrel (13.5 K/9), George Sherrill (12.2 K/9), Cory Gearrin (11.1 K/9), Venters (8.6 K/9), and O'Flaherty (8.6 K/9).

So it should come as no surprise that the Braves' bullpen leads all of baseball in strikeout rate. They've averaged exactly a strikeout per inning this year (9.0 K/9): 183 strikeouts in 183 innings.

An entire bullpen averaging a strikeout an inning is pretty rare. It's been done only 10 times before. The #1 team should be pretty familiar:

  1. 2010 Braves, 10.06 K/9 (wow!)
  2. 2001 Cubs, 9.82 K/9
  3. 2010 Padres, 9.57 K/9
  4. 1999 Mets, 9.39 K/9
  5. 1999 Astros, 9.36 K/9 (another Billy Wagner team)
  6. 2010 Cubs, 9.26 K/9
  7. 2005 Cubs, 9.20 K/9
  8. 2004 Angels, 9.07 K/9
  9. 2010 White Sox, 9.05 K/9
  10. 1997 Astros, 9.00 K/9 (Wagner again)
  11. 2011 Braves, 9.00 K/9 (in progress)

Last year was a great year for bullpen strikeouts, wasn't it? But the Braves topped them all, led by Wagner, Takashi Saito, and Venters (with assists from Kimbrel, Kyle Farnsworth, and Michael Dunn).

In fact, the 2009 Braves, despite having none of those six relievers, also led MLB in strikeouts. That team put up an 8.46 K/9 thanks to dueling closers Rafael Soriano and Mike Gonzalez, plus Kris Medlen. So if this year's team keeps it up, that'll make 3 straight years topping MLB in bullpen strikeout rate, despite huge turnover. I think some applause is in order.

Much more about the Braves' history of bullpen strikeouts, dating back to the 1990s, after the jump.

Star-divide

In the list above, I gave the top 10 K/9 seasons of all time. If I had extended that list to the top 40 seasons, there would have been six more Braves teams on there: every year from 1997 through 2001, plus that league-leading 2009 total I mentioned above.

What's that sound I hear? Is that a commenter complaining that the Braves' bullpens sucked during the division title streak? That possibly hallucinated sound is wrong, though. The Braves' bullpen was actually great pretty much every year from 1993 through 2003. Sure, they weren't any good in 1991 or 1992, and yes, there were those dark years in the mid-2000's (more on those later), but in between? Dominance.

Allow me to show you something. Here is a graph of the Braves' bullpen's strikeout rate since 1990, compared to the league average (click image to enlarge):

Braves_k_rate_1990-2011_medium

During the height of the Mark Wohlers era, the Braves consistently had one of the most strikeout-heavy bullpens in baseball. They ranked in the top 5 in MLB every year between 1993 and 2001, including 1st place finishes in '93, '94, and '98.

The Braves dropped a bit to 8th in 2002 and 5th in 2003 before cratering to well below-average from 2004-2006. I like to call this "The Chris Reitsma Effect." During his 3 years in the Braves' bullpen, they finished 18th, 20th, and 25th in strikeout rate.

After ditching Reitsma, the Braves' K/9 numbers not-so-mysteriously rose, hitting 12th in 2007 and 8th in 2008. And of course they have led the league in each of the past 3 seasons.

All in all, this is quite an illustrious tradition of bullpen strikeouts--one that is mirrored by success in other pitching metrics (though those will have to wait for another post).

Here's another graph that illustrates the same point. On this graph, I use K/9+ instead of K/9. K/9+ is like ERA+ in that 100 is the league average and each point above/below 100 is equal to 1% above/below average. So a 110 mark is 10% above average and a 92 mark is 8% below average. Just how much better than the league have the Braves' been over the years?

Braves_k_rate_plus_1990-2011_medium

The Braves' relievers have been at least 10% better than average at striking batters out in 13 of the last 21 years, and above average in 16 of the last 21 years. They were at least 11% above average every year from 1993 to 2001. Every year. For 9 straight seasons. And they're working on another 3-season streak right now.

The Braves have two of the top 10 seasons since 1990 in terms of K/9+ (last year at #7 and 1999 at #9). Counting this season, they have 9 seasons in the top 43. Only the Cubs (3 in the top 10, 7 in the top 40) can compare, but all of those Cubs seasons have come since 2001, so their tradition of strikeouts is not as long as the Braves'.

Basically, with the exception of the Reitsma Effect, the Braves have had great strikeout bullpens consistently for nearly 20 years. And with Craig Kimbrel, Jonny Venters, and other great young arms under team control for many more seasons, there is no end in sight.

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Well done...

You say Chris Reitsma in the early 2000s led to the reduced K/9…but didn’t that also correspond to Smoltzie going back into the rotation?

by TBuzz on Jun 2, 2011 9:27 PM EDT reply actions  

Haha, yes, it did.

But his replacement (sort of) was Reitsma. So we can both be right.

"Yeah, and I have an enchanted jock strap." -- Karl Karlson
I now twitter as @junkstats and blog about made-up stats and general baseball stuff at JunkStats.

by Jacob Peterson on Jun 2, 2011 9:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

Some other culprits accused of this heinous crime...

Kevin Grybowski
Dan Kolb
John Foster
Ken Ray
Oscar Villareal

Yes folks…these were our 7th and 8th inning guys…

by TBuzz on Jun 2, 2011 9:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

Gryboski was pretty good for a while...

The other guys, not so much.

"Yeah, and I have an enchanted jock strap." -- Karl Karlson
I now twitter as @junkstats and blog about made-up stats and general baseball stuff at JunkStats.

by Jacob Peterson on Jun 2, 2011 9:58 PM EDT up reply actions  

Other names I'd like to forget

Chris Resop
Bob Wickman
Blaine Boyer
Macay Mcbride
Roman Colon
Tyler Yates
Lance Cormier

I am the greatest, I said that even before I knew I was. - Muhammad Ali

How do I feel? Like f**king sucess - Jordan Schafer

by ATLandUNC on Jun 2, 2011 10:07 PM EDT up reply actions  

plugs ears LALALALALALA I CANT HEEEEEAR YOOOOU

(plz stop…let’s enjoy the moment…)

by gaucho_marx on Jun 2, 2011 11:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

A couple of those guys had good moments for us,

especially Boyer and Wickman.

But yeah, for all our complaining about Linebrink (who’s been decent lately) and Proctor and such, we’re in much, much, much better shape in the pen now.

"Yeah, and I have an enchanted jock strap." -- Karl Karlson
I now twitter as @junkstats and blog about made-up stats and general baseball stuff at JunkStats.

by Jacob Peterson on Jun 3, 2011 12:03 AM EDT up reply actions  

Most of my memories of Wickman

Involve him pissing away Hudson wins.

Blaine was solid for us until someone tried to use him to break Mike Marshall’s ’74 records.

"Part of me wants to give him this huge hug, and part of me wants to kick him in the groin because he made it look so easy." - David Ross, commenting on McCann's two homer game.

by Sam Jethroe on Jun 3, 2011 1:52 AM EDT up reply actions  

Manny Acosta was AWESOME...

That is all….

Don’t worry about older women until you turn 22. It’s called the Saltalamacchia.
by bwellnjonesco on May 19, 2011 4:13 PM PDT

by Klemson Krash on Jun 3, 2011 12:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

Not as good as

Jose Ascanio

http://sportsandgrits.blogspot.com/

by Mr. Sanchez on Jun 3, 2011 1:47 PM EDT up reply actions  

Fantastic work

I doubt Gearrin will maintain that high of a K/9, but that’s not his game. Also, looks like Medlen could return this year and these numbers could look even better.

And with Craig Kimbrel, Jonny Venters, and other great young arms under team control for many more seasons, there is no end in sight.

This.

by Braves24 on Jun 2, 2011 9:38 PM EDT reply actions  

Good call on Medlen.

He might have an adjustment period with the surgery recovery and all, but if he’s anything close to his 2009 self, he’ll strike out more than his share.

"Yeah, and I have an enchanted jock strap." -- Karl Karlson
I now twitter as @junkstats and blog about made-up stats and general baseball stuff at JunkStats.

by Jacob Peterson on Jun 2, 2011 9:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

Our system is also packed with lots of high strikeout players like Juan Abreu, Ben Swaggerty, and Buchter ready to step up and blow people away.

Braves might be leading the league for a while.

I am the greatest, I said that even before I knew I was. - Muhammad Ali

How do I feel? Like f**king sucess - Jordan Schafer

by ATLandUNC on Jun 2, 2011 9:47 PM EDT reply actions  

Don't forget Billy Bullock.

"Yeah, and I have an enchanted jock strap." -- Karl Karlson
I now twitter as @junkstats and blog about made-up stats and general baseball stuff at JunkStats.

by Jacob Peterson on Jun 2, 2011 9:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

It also helps that the bullpen currently has a collective 1.10 WHIP.

by Cornutt on Jun 2, 2011 10:11 PM EDT reply actions  

Anybody know what ever happened to James Parr?

"It looks like The Hound of the Baskervilles out there." - Steve Stone
"...I'm reminded of Wuthering Heights." - Harry Caray
~
Swing and a drive...Belted right! Welcome to the Show!!!

by Chief Noc-A-Homa on Jun 2, 2011 10:51 PM EDT reply actions  

nice post

love the graphs! great presentation.

by gaucho_marx on Jun 2, 2011 11:42 PM EDT reply actions  

2002

Interesting that the 2002 bullpen was so low comparatively, because I believe that pen had the lowest ERA of any of them. That was the year we had three guys under 2.00 with Chris Hammond (who ended up below 1.00), Darren Holmes, and Mike Remlinger. Additionally, Smoltz won all the Relief Pitcher of the year awards despite having only the 4th or 5th lowest ERA in the pen (thanks, in large part, to one appearance where he gave up 8 or 9 runs in less than an inning).

by J-Turn14 on Jun 3, 2011 12:20 AM EDT reply actions  

Good point.

Yeah, we led the league in ERA by a mile that year (2.60 for the whole ‘pen!) and were 2nd in FIP. The K rate was good (5% above average is playoff-caliber generally speaking) but not elite, but for whatever reason the outs came anyway. The whole ’pen had an 80% strand rate, which is crazy high (led MLB), and I’d normally say was unsustainable, except, you know, they did sustain it all year. .262 BABIP for the whole pen, too, which was 4th in MLB. And a silly-low 6.7% HR/FB (2nd in MLB).

So basically, the entire bullpen, in addition to being very, very good, also got very, very lucky. The only major pieces who didn’t have ERAs far below their FIPs were Smoltz (remember that one 8-run outing that killed his ERA?) and Albie Lopez. Check out their ERAs and FIPs, there are some HUGE gaps. But they kept it up all year, all of them, so either they got once-in-a-lifetime lucky or Leo Mazzone and Bobby worked some crazy magic to make them prevent hits, homers, and runs. Or, more likely, both.

"Yeah, and I have an enchanted jock strap." -- Karl Karlson
I now twitter as @junkstats and blog about made-up stats and general baseball stuff at JunkStats.

by Jacob Peterson on Jun 3, 2011 12:42 AM EDT up reply actions  

Probably cause they were junk ballers...

Hammond was all change up and mid 80s max. Remlinger wasn’t bad, but he wasn’t a K artist by any means iirc, same with Holmes. Smoltz was our heater in the pen.

http://sportsandgrits.blogspot.com/

by Mr. Sanchez on Jun 3, 2011 7:27 AM EDT up reply actions  

Oh, and Smoltzie

had the 7th-lowest ERA in the pen. Of the major players, only Gryboski’s ERA was higher.

But the award got it right. Smoltz pitched the best overall.

"Yeah, and I have an enchanted jock strap." -- Karl Karlson
I now twitter as @junkstats and blog about made-up stats and general baseball stuff at JunkStats.

by Jacob Peterson on Jun 3, 2011 12:49 AM EDT up reply actions  

If I remember that year right...

Smoltzie had two horrible outings earlier, and spent the rest of the year lowering his ERA from infinity. Take out the early bad against the Mets and one other, and his era was ridiculously low like the rest of ’em.

http://sportsandgrits.blogspot.com/

by Mr. Sanchez on Jun 3, 2011 7:28 AM EDT up reply actions  

Man, I miss Smoltz so much.

"In the happy moments, praise God. In the difficult moments, seek God. In the quiet moments, trust God. In every moment, thank God." - Robert A. Wood

by NCChopper on Jun 3, 2011 11:30 AM EDT up reply actions  

Don't we need to lock up that O'Flaherty lad and Venters soon?

They are inching closer and closer to arbitration. I’d hate to lose either of them over any time over the next four years, over a couple of dollars.

I say we offer O’Flaherty 3-4 years at 3-3.5/year. and Venters 4-5 years at the same rate. Maybe a little more.

We need to lock JJ up as well, I say a deal comparable to Ryan Brauns first big contract with the Brew Crew.

These guys are critical for our success in the future. And some others as well.

But if the Bravos were to commit some long term money to any member of our pitching staff, i would vote for these three guys.

Aaron Murray for Heisman!!

by samxrm on Jun 3, 2011 1:22 AM EDT reply actions  

EOF enters his second arb year after 2011; Venters won't hit arb. until after 2012.

Committing that kind of money to EOF now is crazy. Relievers are replaceable. We’ve still got EOF for 2 more seasons; if after that, he’s still uninjured and pitching well (a big if for any reliever), then we can think about an extension. This is a guy we claimed off waivers, remember. There are more like him out there.

As for Venters, he is already under team control for 4 years after this one. Signing him to a 4-5 year deal is superfluous. Granted, he’s no ordinary reliever, and could potentially actually justify a decent-sized contract, but there’s a HUGE injury risk given his usage rate. Talk to me in 3-4 years when he’s starting to hit his big money arb. years. Until then, there’s no rush.

"Yeah, and I have an enchanted jock strap." -- Karl Karlson
I now twitter as @junkstats and blog about made-up stats and general baseball stuff at JunkStats.

by Jacob Peterson on Jun 3, 2011 11:54 AM EDT up reply actions  

You took the words out of my mouth on "Everyday Johnny"

I love Venters as much as the next guy and I pray to Pujols and Heyward that he is durable… He’s certainly been a horse out of the pen. If he stays healthy, let’s talk in 3 years about a possible extension. However, his arbitration years could be extremely expensive… :-) (at least for a “middle reliever”

Don’t worry about older women until you turn 22. It’s called the Saltalamacchia.
by bwellnjonesco on May 19, 2011 4:13 PM PDT

by Klemson Krash on Jun 3, 2011 12:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

Now if only we could get a manager who could manage these arms better.

In all seriousness this is some good stuff. If the Front Office decides to make Vizcaino a reliever he could give us a truly elite bullpen next year because his stuff is phenomenal

by drumzalicious on Jun 3, 2011 3:23 AM EDT reply actions  

Calling Kimbrel fans.....

Fantastic photo of Craig on the Braves Facebook page today:

Click HERE to see awesome photo of Kimbrel
.

"In the happy moments, praise God. In the difficult moments, seek God. In the quiet moments, trust God. In every moment, thank God." - Robert A. Wood

by NCChopper on Jun 3, 2011 11:29 AM EDT reply actions  

It looks like he’s staring at his own junk, haha

/childish humor

I am the greatest, I said that even before I knew I was. - Muhammad Ali

How do I feel? Like f**king sucess - Jordan Schafer

by ATLandUNC on Jun 3, 2011 4:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

Dude, you did it again....

I think your contributions on this site are far and away my biggest reason for being so addicted to TC. Thanks for another interesting tidbit and one day soon, you’re going to be writing for a lot bigger audience than just us Braves fans. :-)

Don’t worry about older women until you turn 22. It’s called the Saltalamacchia.
by bwellnjonesco on May 19, 2011 4:13 PM PDT

by Klemson Krash on Jun 3, 2011 12:09 PM EDT reply actions  

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