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Frediball

Frediball: The Art of Fairly Winning a Fair Game


In 2003, Michael Lewis wrote an acclaimed book called Moneyball. It was praised for its witty, satisfying description of how a broke ballclub found value in new places under the leadership of GM Billy Beane. Well, Fredi Gonzalez is working on publishing his book of how he can lead a team to success. Naturally, it's called Frediball.
Frediball_medium

via i1219.photobucket.com

Star-divide

 

 

Descriptions for each chapter:


Chapter One:  The Curse of Legacy


Replacing Bobby Cox means I could be susceptible to scrutiny. The best way to avoid this is to make every safe decision possible, as if it were 1978 -- Bobby's first year of managing. No one can blame a button-pusher. Whenever two men have been walked to lead off an inning on 8 straight balls, I'll be there to push the bunt button. Whenever it's a 3-2 count with the catcher running and down by 3, I'll hit the hit-and-run button. No one can fault you for manufacturing gritty runs. 


Chapter Two: How To Find A Bunter


Before a player can be written into my lineup, I have to be confident in his bunting skills. My players have to be fundamentally sound in the fundamentals. This starts with bunting. Throughout my tenure as manager, I've had several great bunters on my teams. Good speed, great speed, no speed... it doesn't matter. (Of course, you'd prefer to have a speedy bunter at the top of the lineup) Brooks Conrad? They guy on the roster only because of an ability to hit home runs? Yes, he's a bunter. Everyone has to learn the fundamentals of baseball. 


Chapter Three: The Enlightenment


After my fallout with Hanley Ramirez, I had an enlightenment -- teach my infielders to never kick the ball. If the infielders have excellent footwork, they won't kick the ball and won't waddle after it, and I won't have to make an informed decision on how to discipline my best player. There's no button to push on how to punish Chipper Jones or Dan Uggla, so I've made sure to drill in footwork exercises before every game. Just one more surefire way to never be in the limelight and face scrutiny over the decisions I'm paid to make.


Chapter Four: The Field of Fairness


If there's one thing about managing a baseball team that stands out, it's the fairness. If you're a button-pusher, you're guaranteed at least a couple of years of scrutiny-free leadership. The disadvantage, of course, is the lack of opportunity to stand out from the crowd because most managers have the same button-handbook that I do. Well, that's exactly why I went to one SABR convention. Since I went to one of those things, not even the blog bloggers can scrutinize my decisions. I've found the fair-mindedness edge. If you have one foot in every camp, no one can possibly criticize you. Take the preseason hooplah over delaying naming Kimbrel or Venters "closer." I said, I'd use the plantoon advantage in each situational leverage in order to ensure the highest probability to get the best results... and what did I do? I never game that lip service an ounce of credence! At least I gave up all liability on my part, fairly.


Chapter Five:  The Joe Mather Blue Plate Special


The date was April 29th 2011. 3-3 in the bottom of the ninth against the Cardinals. Nate McLouth just drew a leadoff walk. Naturally, I pinch hit for one of the best relievers in baseball. I summon out of the dugout 6'4" Joe Mather who's earned his way up to majors after being drafted in 2001. What do I have him do in his first at bat as a Brave? Bunt! Yes, bunt. I don't remember the results exactly, but I'm sure nobody else does either. I do remember congratulating him earning his way up to big leagues and then being sure not to swing at a ball. There's no room for selfishness on this team. 


Chapter Six: The Science of Fairly Winning a Fair Game


Johnny Venters is a lefty. Craig Kimbrel is a righty. Both pitchers are approximately equally effective. Unfortunately, this pitching surplus meant I had to make an informed decision of when and how to utilize these pitchers. I spent minutes doing my research and I noted that Venters was repeatedly used in the 8th inning last year under Bobby. If Bobby did that, it forgoes all liability on my part. Venters is the "Eighth Inning Guy" and Kimbrel is "The Closer." I've advised each of them to tattoo that on their biceps to further illustrate that point. If you define a player's role for the rest of the season by March, you've got it down to a science.


Chapter Seven: Filling Bobby's Hole


The Guys at Peachtree TV, FSS, and SS have advised me to audibly encourage the players from the Dugout in front of the cameras to be more like Bobby Cox. People seemed to like that. I thought long and hard about it. I knew that I could even encourage players in Spanish if I wanted to. But, after much deliberation, I thought that it would be too much of an attention grabbing move. No thank you. 


Chapter Eight: Freddy Freeman - Pickin' Machine       
Freddie Freeman is my 6'5" 1st baseman. He can pick the ball out of the dirt like no one else. Even though he bats left-handed, he plays 1st right-handed. Now, I've always heard that a lefty 1st baseman gives you an advantage and you should always go for a lefty 1st baseman. In Spring Training, I encouraged Freddie to try to play the field left-handed. After the one day experiment he said it wasn't going to work out. I broached the idea of being the first 1st baseman to wear two gloves and be an even better pickin' machine, but I ultimately decided against it. Maybe next year...maybe.


Chapter Nine: The Trading Desk


Frank Wren and I keep in touch a lot. So much so, that I may be given an honorary "Special Assistant to the GM" tag next year. Dan Uggla? I told him to go for it. Anyone one who runs that hard all the time can never be at fault. The other day I looked up the leaders in bunts for 2011 in the NL. Guess who it is? Nate McLouth! I sure hope his option is picked up. I told Frank I've got my eye on the guys leading the AL in bunts -- Juan Pierre and Chris Getz. These guys would make excellent additions to this team. 


Chapter Ten: The Anatomy of An Undervalued Reliever


Everybody is now familiar with terms like "Closer", "8th inning-guy" "LOOGy" and "Long-Man" for the bullpen. This season, I've outdone myself. There has been an underutilized role in the bullpen in this day and age. I call this new role the Pitcher-Out-Only-Guy, or "POOGy." Manning this position is George Sherrill. Now that I've single handedly found a market inefficiency, this trend is bound to catch on. Decades from now, when managers are in the middle innings and have the opposing pitcher due up, they'll want to take all possible scrutiny away from the manager and instead put all the blame on the POOGy, they'll have me to thank.


Chapter Eleven: The Human Element - aka Everything


They say the most important part of being a manager is actually just running the clubhouse personalities and egos and creating a amiable clubhouse in order to function as a team -- And They're right! One day the public will realize I'm the best at this unquantifiable fact of the game - the human element.


Chapter Twelve: The Speed of My Ideas


When I retire, I want my body of work to set a precedent that the key to holding a job managing a major league baseball team is actually really easy. Just replace a legend and try to forgo all liability by making all the safest possible decisions circa 1968. Also, be bilingual, have a 1000 watt smile, pay your dues as a 3rd base coach for a couple of years, and bunt. 


Epilogue: Johnny Manager


It's April 21st 2011, in the 12th inning, Christhian "The Lisp" Martinez is on the mound. Johnny Venters is in the bullpen, but since it's not the 8th inning he's not going to pitch. "The Lisp" pitched yesterday as well, but he's shown to have my upmost amount of confidence after earning his spot as the "long-man" in the bullpen. The long-man pitches multiple innings in relief. If this game goes several more innings, I'll be set no matter what. He is the guy to get multiple innings. No questions about it. I really don't care how long this goes as long as we're on the road trying to salvage a split in a four-game series in a tough road trip, the long-man is on the hill eating up those extra innings. I know Venters is the "8th inning guy" but if we have a lead between 1 and 3 runs he can earn the save on the road. Just wait till we get a 1-3 run lead, then I'll bring in Venters. There's 1 out and a runner on 2nd after just hitting a double off "The Lisp." At the plate is Matt Kemp, whose hitting .411. The next two spots are Juan Uribe and the pitcher. Sure, those guys are scrubs and "The Lisp" is working his 2nd frame, and you're "supposed" to give your team a statistical edge by walking the NL leader in batting average to face two scrubs. No. Kemp has only 3 hits in the four game series! Pitch to him not Uribe, who has several hits in the series. Pitch to the guy who's had an off couple of days instead of the hot scrubs behind him. As long as you can defend you're actions in one sentence, you'll never face scrutiny. I don't quite remember how that game turned out, but the press after the game weren't that concerned after I gave an interview. "Johnny Manager" some of them called me. Yeah, I like that title.

This FanPost does not express the views or opinions of Talking Chop.

Comment 24 comments  |  12 recs  | 

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So.... this is almost humorous. I see what you're trying to do

and it made for an interesting read… But it was a bit long and something was missing… Regardless, I’ll give it the rec it deserves for creativity and entertainment value. Sadly, I see this being a NY Times best seller. :-)

by Klemson Krash on May 18, 2011 10:42 AM EDT reply actions  

Thank you. And in case you’re wondering… I have no life. Haha.

That Heyward guy is pretty good.

by another simpsons avatar on May 18, 2011 10:56 AM EDT up reply actions  

haha, The Lisp

I like people until I meet them.

by scorby911 on May 18, 2011 11:14 AM EDT reply actions  

Creative? Yes.
Funny? Not really. Though this is likely because I’m already sick of people complaining about Fredi’s managing style. Same way people complained about relievers getting used too much.. Or complaining about the batting order even though stats show it would have at most resulted in only a handful of runs over the entire season. I think we should have a list of the top 10 complaints concerning Braves baseball and see which ones are brought up the most.

-bunting
-NO STEALZZZ
-Venters will throw his arm off
-McLouth in the 2 hole?!! F&$K!!!!

Just a few examples, as I’m sure many of you could add to the list.

by Bobby Cocks on May 18, 2011 1:22 PM EDT reply actions  

I agree about this being a little too long and not that funny. Dont be sick of people making fun of Fredi, if your sick of it already your going to kill yourself by the end of the year, Fredi is NOT a good manager, AT ALL!

It is impossible for any statistician to correctly predict those numbers. Every batter strives in different moments, every hitter hits a specific pitch/pitcher better then others. Every pitcher, will pitch certain players and situations differently. I could go on and on but no one wants to read all of this.

I just want to see Fredi go up to an umpire with some anger and intensity, get thrown out of a game! Stop shaking their hands and agreeing with their calls, my lord!

by Bravos02 on May 18, 2011 3:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

-FREDI’S TOO NICE TO THE UMPIRES!!!!

by Bobby Cocks on May 18, 2011 3:45 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Bet it gets taken down.

"One thing I’ve learned as a Phillies fan is that a lot of people hate our team and its fans."-commenter on The Good Phight

by Chipper Pwns on May 18, 2011 1:49 PM EDT reply actions  

Bet it doesn’t.

This guy wants to suck all the cubs dick can he not have an unbias some what partition reguards
by RWH2 on Apr 5, 2010 10:20 AM CDT

by justincredubil02 on May 18, 2011 3:32 PM EDT up reply actions  

Justin wins the angry HJ

I sprinkle diamonds on everything I eat because its the most baller sh*t you can do.

by yondaime4 on May 18, 2011 11:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

TL;DR...

But I will, once I get a chance. I’m currently doing my reading elsewhere, but felt this might fit in anywhere where bunting is a topic…Frediball is a highly likely candidate.

From Dave Cameron’s Fangraphs chat today:

Comment From Big Oil Big Oil: ]
Based on the more depressed run scoring environment we are in now as opposed to 2000-2003 (as has been documented around here, I believe), should we expect RE to change and, thus, WPA with it?
Wednesday May 18, 2011 12:27 Big Oil
12:28

Dave Cameron:
Yeah, some of the assumptions of models built on WPA using data from a few years ago won’t hold in this environment. Steals and bunts are now a better idea.

Maybe Fredi's ahead of the curve??

But seriously, when runs are more scarce, these strategies are better statistically.

-C

It’s rough to sit through these games and not have someone that can’t hit a Ball?

by cthabeerman on May 18, 2011 3:06 PM EDT reply actions  

...And later...
Comment From Big Oil Big Oil: ]
Thanks Dave – although I think your last sentence was genuine, it is literally not easy to imagine ever hearing that. Part of the study of the sport I suppose.
Wednesday May 18, 2011 12:36 Big Oil
12:36

Dave Cameron:
MGL’s bunting primer should be must read for everyone who thinks sabermetrics = never bunt.

Unfortunately, MGL’s primer is copyrighted material directly from The Book, so I can’t post that. However, here’s a discussion on sac bunts that sheds light into the situation…

http://www.insidethebook.com/ee/index.php/site/comments/who_the_hell_is_richard_justice/

-C

It’s rough to sit through these games and not have someone that can’t hit a Ball?

by cthabeerman on May 18, 2011 3:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

...And I was wrong...

There’s a full chapter about sac bunting in the book, I guess, but here’s the primer!!

Bewar: It’s long. Dave Cameron said so.

-http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/were-the-yankee-sac-bunts-in-the-8th-inning-correct

-C

It’s rough to sit through these games and not have someone that can’t hit a Ball?

by cthabeerman on May 18, 2011 3:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

The main thing people should get from that article...

Is Richard Justice is a complete asshole. I don’t know how that turd has a job.

by cgardner2006 on May 18, 2011 4:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

In fact, you can say that about almost all the sports “writers” at the Houston Chronicle.

by cgardner2006 on May 18, 2011 4:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

Tl, DR?

too long, didn’t read?

http://sportsandgrits.blogspot.com/

by Mr. Sanchez on May 18, 2011 4:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yassir.

But I’ve now read it, and wished I’d just made a Fanpost (Bravo-centric, of course), with those links available. They don’t really fit here, after all.

Maybe I’ll work on something when I get home, but I’m more likely to rip tubes while watching the game and the rest of my normal programs…

-C

It’s rough to sit through these games and not have someone that can’t hit a Ball?

by cthabeerman on May 18, 2011 5:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

There are situtations when it is better to bunt, others where it is really stupid.

I just can’t remember those situations, but our manager should…. and probably doesn’t

by Braves Biceps on May 18, 2011 5:25 PM EDT reply actions  

but... but... but...

He’s read “The Book” I’m sure… and if you follow “The Book” no one can compete with you!

by Klemson Krash on May 18, 2011 5:36 PM EDT up reply actions  

I rec'd it

It was good regardless of what others think and will think.

Admired as a saint. Defined by my rank. Combined with my strength. My time and my length.

by ArmyITSpec on May 18, 2011 5:48 PM EDT reply actions  

Isn’t this just copying AA’s Jerryball? I’m not sure if they had a post for it, but I’m curious… Did you get the idea from them?

"Tony Gwynn made sacrifices. Cal Ripken made sacrifices. I'm not sure Derek Jeter made sacrifices given the ungodly deep pockets the Yankees have." - Chipper Jones

by MBL1 on May 19, 2011 3:18 AM EDT via mobile reply actions  

I didn’t see the Jerryball article before, but I just read it and it was hilarious. I haven’t been a member of sb nation that long. I got the idea from a moderator on braves journal who mentioned the word frediball and I thought I’d slightly change the names of the chapters of Moneyball for a fanpost.

That Heyward guy is pretty good.

by another simpsons avatar on May 19, 2011 8:36 AM EDT up reply actions  

Gotta tip my cap for the effort and time it took you to create this.

/However …hoping the PC Police don’t come after you for the cover photo making the manager of the “Braves” look “red” like an injun. ;-)
.

"Curve: The loveliest distance between two points." ~ Mae West

by NCChopper on May 19, 2011 8:29 AM EDT reply actions  

This Fredi Gonzalez bullshit is starting to get real annoying.

"This is gonna feel so good getting this thing off my chest. That's what she said."
Twitter: @scottcoleman55

by Scott Coleman on May 19, 2011 1:44 PM EDT via mobile reply actions  

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