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Mets vs. Braves Series Preview

The Braves aren't doing so hot right now. Fortunately for them, the only team in the NL East doing worse is the Mets.

The Braves will try to salvage the final three games of a nine-game home stand against a 4-9 Mets team that has lost eight of its last nine, including four in a row to Colorado. The Braves will try to halt a disconcerting trend in which they've won the first game of each of the last three series, but have lost the rest.

The Mets made some drastic changes in the offseason, but none so far seem to have helped. They have a new manager (Terry Collins), a new G.M. (Sandy Alderson); they mercifully dumped Oliver Perez and Luis Castillo for more suitable options, but the moves haven't translated into wins.

Pitching matchups after the jump.

Star-divide

Friday, April 15, 7:30 p.m. EST:

D.J. Carrasco

#77 / Pitcher / New York Mets

6-4

215

R

R

Apr 12, 1977

Derek Lowe

#32 / Pitcher / Atlanta Braves

6-6

230

R

R

Jun 01, 1973

 

Saturday, April 16, 4:10 p.m. EST:

Mike Pelfrey

#34 / Pitcher / New York Mets

6-7

230

R

R

Jan 14, 1984

Jair Jurrjens

#49 / Pitcher / Atlanta Braves

6-1

200

R

R

Jan 29, 1986

 

Sunday, April 17, 1:35 p.m. EST:

Chris Young

#55 / Pitcher / New York Mets

6-10

260

R

R

May 25, 1979

Tommy Hanson

#48 / Pitcher / Atlanta Braves

6-6

220

R

R

Aug 28, 1986


STARTING PITCHING

The new additions so far have not worked out: the 5.27 ERA ranks as second worst in the NL. Chris Young and Chris Capuano were brought in to stabilize a pitching staff that would be without Johan Santana for much of the season. Young has been dominant in his two starts, having allowed only two runs in 12.1 innings; the other starters are a different story. Capuano has been hit hard, allowing about one run per inning (12.1 innings, 12 runs on 18 hits); Mike Pelfrey and Jon Niese have been hit especially hard, having allowed 29 runs in 28.2 innings between them. R.A. Dickey pitched well his first start of the season against Florida, but has allowed eight runs over his last two starts. In spite of the struggles, they've racked up 102 strikeouts, tied for third best in the NL.

BULLPEN

R - Pedro Beato
R - Ryota Igarashi
L - Tim Byrdak
R - Taylor Buchholz
R - D.J. Carrasco
R - Jason Isringhausen
R - Bobby Parnell
R - Francisco Rodriguez (closer)

The Mets' 2010 bullpen wasn't too terribly bad, placing fifth in the NL with a 3.59 ERA, but with a 3.90 FIP. With the departure of Pedro Feliciano to the Yankees, the Mets looked for another lefty arm and picked up Tim Byrdak off the free agent market. Jason Isringhausen returns to the Mets as a reliever and has done well in his two appearances. Altogether, much of the bullpen hasn't been particularly sharp, posting a 4.60 ERA in 47 innings. Beato, a rookie, and Buchholz, however, have been impressive thus far, having allowed only two runs in the 14 innings between them. Francisco Rodriguez hasn't been his usual dominating self in 2011, already having allowed six hits in 4.2 innings of work. D.J. Carrasco, also picked up via free agency, will make the start on Friday in place of Chris Young, who was pushed to Sunday because of tendinitis.

OFFENSE

The Mets offense in 2010 was anemic, posting a .249 batting average, a .697 OPS and a .308 wOBA, all ranked 13th in the NL. In order for that to change, they need Jason Bay healthy, but he hasn't been; he was placed on the DL late in Spring Training with a strained ribcage muscle. In his place, the Mets plan to use Willie Harris and Scott Hairston in a platoon role until Bay is ready. With Luis Castillo gone, the Mets looked to the minors for his replacement at second base. Brad Emaus, taken by the Mets in the Rule 5 Draft from Toronto, hit 39 home runs with a .276 average and slugged .426 in his four previous minor league seasons in the Toronto organization. In 12 games so far, he's only posted a .200 average with no extra base hits; Emaus will share second base with Daniel Murphy. With Ronny Paulino on the DL, rookie Mike Nickeas takes over the backup catcher duties.

David Wright and Jose Reyes are still the cornerstones of the Mets offense, with Reyes leading the team with a .328 average and Wright not far behind at .308. Second-year first baseman Ike Davis leads the team with 11 RBI and is second to Wright with a .878 OPS. With the emergence of Angel Pagan in the absence of Carlos Beltran in 2010, Pagan was slotted into center field, forcing Beltran to move to right. However, Pagan is off to a slow start, struggling to a .188 batting average and a .293 OBP. Reyes and Pagan both lead the team with four stolen bases, but Harris is capable of stealing a few as well. This offense currently holds a .710 OPS, good for 11th in the NL; for the Braves, it's .641, 14th in the NL.

Lineup (as used on Opening Day)

S - Jose Reyes - SS
L - Willie Harris - LF
R - David Wright - 3B
S - Carlos Beltran - RF
S - Angel Pagan - CF
L - Ike Davis - 1B
R - Brad Emaus - 2B
L - Josh Thole - C

Bench

R - Scott Hairston
L - Daniel Murphy
R - Chin-lung Hu
R - Mike Nickeas

OVERVIEW

A sweep is necessary in order for the Braves to have a winning home stand, but the team has been struggling to find wins. The Braves saw glimpses of offense in the Florida series and with a struggling Mets team, they hope to find their stroke before a long West Coast road trip.

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To make matters worse...

We probably aren’t playing tonight.

"That guy mvhsbball is really an insufferable schmuck." - FuquaManuel
Twitter: @scottcoleman55

by Scott Coleman on Apr 15, 2011 12:50 PM EDT via mobile reply actions  

Ouch. Just saw the forecast and it looks ugly.

I'm a former CTU agent, so don't f--k with me!

by TonyAlmeyda on Apr 15, 2011 12:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

That really sucks

Because the Mets played a double header yesterday and flew down here after the 2nd game. They’re probably dog-tired and that bullpen has been worn out over the last 5 games. They do not need an off day.

by Fatvirus on Apr 15, 2011 1:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

What I’m looking at says 40% chance of rain from 7-10 then it gets worse around 11.

So you’re saying there’s a chance?

by GumpBrave on Apr 15, 2011 1:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

Sounds like a 60% chance

by mrmadrew on Apr 15, 2011 4:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

Hopefully starting with this series, Braves’ pitchers can start retiring the opposing team’s leadoff hitter. Victorino and Coglan killed the Braves.

by CharlotteChop on Apr 15, 2011 12:58 PM EDT reply actions  

I am really hoping

that this Mets pitching staff is the cure for the Braves’ low-walk-rate issues.

"Yeah, and I have an enchanted jock strap." -- Karl Karlson
I now twitter as @junkstats and blog about made-up stats and general baseball stuff at JunkStats.

by Jacob Peterson on Apr 15, 2011 1:17 PM EDT reply actions  

It seems like even a Jugs machine with a screwdriver lodged in the middle wouldn’t help solve our non-walk issues.

by TBuzz on Apr 15, 2011 1:47 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

It's early,

and we’ve faced a lot of extreme control pitchers: Livan, Narveson, Lee, Oswalt, Hamels, Johnson…

Also, once the balls start falling in and our BABIP returns to normal, the extra men on base should help our batters earn more walks.

But a little (okay, a lot) more patience sure wouldn’t hurt.

"Yeah, and I have an enchanted jock strap." -- Karl Karlson
I now twitter as @junkstats and blog about made-up stats and general baseball stuff at JunkStats.

by Jacob Peterson on Apr 15, 2011 2:53 PM EDT up reply actions  

I agree...

If you want to draw walks, you have to see AT LEAST 4 pitches.

by TBuzz on Apr 15, 2011 6:45 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

At least we miss Dickey.

Morgan: Do you think I could come into the clubhouse after the game and display my ass for both those veterans and the younger guys?

Baker: Well, Joe, you are on the payroll of the team, and you're a legend, so I suppose — holy shit!

[Joe has appeared next to Dusty, in the dugout, completely naked]

Morgan: Hey.

by TradeAndruw on Apr 15, 2011 1:52 PM EDT reply actions  

TNWSS

I'm a former CTU agent, so don't f--k with me!

by TonyAlmeyda on Apr 15, 2011 2:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

Hahahahahaha

Hahahahahahaha

"I wasn’t thinking about it. That’s the worst celebration of all time. I didn’t know what to do. I got lost in the moment." - Brian McCann

by HansonManCrush on Apr 15, 2011 2:18 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Motion to retire this, It’s as original as Rick-Rolling at this point.

Morgan: Do you think I could come into the clubhouse after the game and display my ass for both those veterans and the younger guys?

Baker: Well, Joe, you are on the payroll of the team, and you're a legend, so I suppose — holy shit!

[Joe has appeared next to Dusty, in the dugout, completely naked]

Morgan: Hey.

by TradeAndruw on Apr 16, 2011 12:16 AM EDT up reply actions  

That makes Ross sad.

THE NL WEST WILL NAIL YOU IN THE RUSTY GROIN WITH SOMETHING --TheLetter2
www.duwanis.com

by duwanis on Apr 15, 2011 2:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

I don’t understand why if the Braves see that the rain is going to start during the game, why they can’t push the start up to say 5 PM to at least get the game in. Otherwise it looks like we might have a day night double dipper tomorrow when the weather is going to be nicer!

by Dave_D on Apr 15, 2011 2:01 PM EDT reply actions  

Media scheduling plays a big part in that, I'm sure.

Aside from all the fans who’d be pissed that instead of getting a rain check ticket, they just miss the first two hours of the game.

THE NL WEST WILL NAIL YOU IN THE RUSTY GROIN WITH SOMETHING --TheLetter2
www.duwanis.com

by duwanis on Apr 15, 2011 2:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

I’m sure thin like that need 24 hours of lead time to be able to get the media personnel mobilized and a full crowd in the stadium.

by TBuzz on Apr 15, 2011 2:08 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

I will be so mad if I don’t get to see Braves baseball on my birthday.

I’m already having to DVR the game tomorrow, so I need baseball tonight.

Chicks dig the long ball.

DOB: Did you ever hit balls as hard as Jason Heyward does?
Chipper: Is that possible?

by kimrob1 on Apr 15, 2011 2:02 PM EDT reply actions  

Happy birthday!

If we can land [Stephen Drew], I will give FW a bj.
~justincredubil02

by king of games on Apr 15, 2011 2:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

Thank you!

Chicks dig the long ball.

DOB: Did you ever hit balls as hard as Jason Heyward does?
Chipper: Is that possible?

by kimrob1 on Apr 15, 2011 2:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yes!

Happy birthday! Please tell us the number so the rest of us can feel that much older! (or younger i suppose)

"I wasn’t thinking about it. That’s the worst celebration of all time. I didn’t know what to do. I got lost in the moment." - Brian McCann

by HansonManCrush on Apr 15, 2011 2:20 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Thank you...

and I am the big 2-3 today.

Chicks dig the long ball.

DOB: Did you ever hit balls as hard as Jason Heyward does?
Chipper: Is that possible?

by kimrob1 on Apr 15, 2011 2:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

Oh Dear Lord

you’re a baby! LOL

CEO and Founder of the Draft Ryan Mallet bandwagon.

by DolphinNation on Apr 15, 2011 2:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yep

I’m a young whippersnapper.

Chicks dig the long ball.

DOB: Did you ever hit balls as hard as Jason Heyward does?
Chipper: Is that possible?

by kimrob1 on Apr 15, 2011 2:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

Hahaha...

well I hope you enjoy your day. Tell the boss to let you out early…oh wait…it’s April 15th…nevermind!!

CEO and Founder of the Draft Ryan Mallet bandwagon.

by DolphinNation on Apr 15, 2011 2:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

Well, thank you! And, thank the LORD, I am not a tax accountant. I would probably jump off of a cliff if I did taxes.

Chicks dig the long ball.

DOB: Did you ever hit balls as hard as Jason Heyward does?
Chipper: Is that possible?

by kimrob1 on Apr 15, 2011 2:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

You are too old to use LOL

by mrmadrew on Apr 15, 2011 4:37 PM EDT up reply actions  

23??

Are you sure you’re old enough to be posting on TC? /sarcasm

"I wasn’t thinking about it. That’s the worst celebration of all time. I didn’t know what to do. I got lost in the moment." - Brian McCann

by HansonManCrush on Apr 15, 2011 3:09 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

I’m not sure; I haven’t taken my TC learner’s test yet…

Chicks dig the long ball.

DOB: Did you ever hit balls as hard as Jason Heyward does?
Chipper: Is that possible?

by kimrob1 on Apr 15, 2011 3:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

Happy birthday!

LIVE EDT

Tape-delayed for the West Coast

by TheLetter2 on Apr 15, 2011 2:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

And...

An accountant whose birthday falls on April 15? How appropriate.

LIVE EDT

Tape-delayed for the West Coast

by TheLetter2 on Apr 15, 2011 2:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

I know, right?? It must be in my blood or something.

and Thank You! :)

Chicks dig the long ball.

DOB: Did you ever hit balls as hard as Jason Heyward does?
Chipper: Is that possible?

by kimrob1 on Apr 15, 2011 2:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

Happy Birthday :)

CEO and Founder of the Draft Ryan Mallet bandwagon.

by DolphinNation on Apr 15, 2011 2:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

Thank you!

Chicks dig the long ball.

DOB: Did you ever hit balls as hard as Jason Heyward does?
Chipper: Is that possible?

by kimrob1 on Apr 15, 2011 2:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

Fun fact:

I got Peter Moylan to tell me ‘happy birthday’ on twitter, haha.

Chicks dig the long ball.

DOB: Did you ever hit balls as hard as Jason Heyward does?
Chipper: Is that possible?

by kimrob1 on Apr 15, 2011 2:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

HAPPY BIRTHDAY to you…. :-)

"Curve: The loveliest distance between two points." ~ Mae West

by NCChopper on Apr 15, 2011 2:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

Thank you! <|:-P You get my super special party-hat-tongue-sticking-out guy

Chicks dig the long ball.

DOB: Did you ever hit balls as hard as Jason Heyward does?
Chipper: Is that possible?

by kimrob1 on Apr 15, 2011 3:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

My birthday is tomorrow!!

by dunnytwogloves on Apr 15, 2011 4:47 PM EDT up reply actions  

Happy Birthday tomorrow!

Chicks dig the long ball.

DOB: Did you ever hit balls as hard as Jason Heyward does?
Chipper: Is that possible?

by kimrob1 on Apr 15, 2011 4:49 PM EDT up reply actions  

Thanks!! All we need to make the weekend perfect will be a Braves sweep.

by dunnytwogloves on Apr 15, 2011 6:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

Thanks!

Chicks dig the long ball.

DOB: Did you ever hit balls as hard as Jason Heyward does?
Chipper: Is that possible?

by kimrob1 on Apr 15, 2011 5:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

If I'd only known sooner

I’d have sent you a Prado-shaped climbing wall. :)

THE NL WEST WILL NAIL YOU IN THE RUSTY GROIN WITH SOMETHING --TheLetter2
www.duwanis.com

by duwanis on Apr 15, 2011 5:47 PM EDT up reply actions  

That would have been magical! :)

…you know, you could, uh, still send it…just sayin…

Chicks dig the long ball.

DOB: Did you ever hit balls as hard as Jason Heyward does?
Chipper: Is that possible?

by kimrob1 on Apr 18, 2011 11:09 AM EDT up reply actions  

Can we finally win another series?

not time to panic yet but the upcoming west coast trip looks daunting

by LEastCoastBears on Apr 15, 2011 2:39 PM EDT reply actions  

DON'T MAKE ME CHOOSE!

LIVE EDT

Tape-delayed for the West Coast

by TheLetter2 on Apr 15, 2011 2:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

The pic of mac

Is outdated… He no longer needs his glasses… I know you’re 3 hours behind and all, but come on!!!
….posey….
………was……..
..out.

"I wasn’t thinking about it. That’s the worst celebration of all time. I didn’t know what to do. I got lost in the moment." - Brian McCann

by HansonManCrush on Apr 15, 2011 3:06 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

I miss his glasses. They were the origin of Sexy Librarian Catcher.

LIVE EDT

Tape-delayed for the West Coast

by TheLetter2 on Apr 15, 2011 3:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

The origin of sexy librarian catcher

was actually the love scene in Major League.

by BrockSamson on Apr 15, 2011 4:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

YOU MUST CHOOSE!

Besides, sitting on the fence hurts.

I'm a former CTU agent, so don't f--k with me!

by TonyAlmeyda on Apr 15, 2011 3:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

Beat the Mets.

More than once would be more than nice.

That is all.

"Curve: The loveliest distance between two points." ~ Mae West

by NCChopper on Apr 15, 2011 2:53 PM EDT reply actions  

this

we are sweeping the Mets. Let’s go Braves

by Braves24 on Apr 15, 2011 2:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

HeHe are you up for multiples?

"Curve: The loveliest distance between two points." ~ Mae West

by NCChopper on Apr 15, 2011 7:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

As many as you want.

by BeatTehMets on Apr 15, 2011 7:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

2 would be ideal, 3 would be bonus

"Curve: The loveliest distance between two points." ~ Mae West

by NCChopper on Apr 15, 2011 7:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

TWSS?

THE NL WEST WILL NAIL YOU IN THE RUSTY GROIN WITH SOMETHING --TheLetter2
www.duwanis.com

by duwanis on Apr 15, 2011 8:37 PM EDT up reply actions  

Why couldn’t the Phillies have faced Josh Johnson?

I'm a former CTU agent, so don't f--k with me!

by TonyAlmeyda on Apr 15, 2011 3:03 PM EDT reply actions  

Because

The baseball gods love the Phillies… Ho hum…

"I wasn’t thinking about it. That’s the worst celebration of all time. I didn’t know what to do. I got lost in the moment." - Brian McCann

by HansonManCrush on Apr 15, 2011 3:07 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

DOB tweeted that it should stay clear until 9pm or so…we can only hope for a fast win.

"That guy mvhsbball is really an insufferable schmuck." - FuquaManuel
Twitter: @scottcoleman55

by Scott Coleman on Apr 15, 2011 3:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

Updated forecast says bottom should drop around 11 o clock

by GumpBrave on Apr 15, 2011 4:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

Updated updated forecast

says 100% chance of rain in the 8 o’clock hour.

So um, not so good.

"Yeah, and I have an enchanted jock strap." -- Karl Karlson
I now twitter as @junkstats and blog about made-up stats and general baseball stuff at JunkStats.

by Jacob Peterson on Apr 15, 2011 6:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

In the words of the great Greg Maddux,

“For old time’s sake, let’s beat the Mets.”

"Tony Gwynn made sacrifices. Cal Ripken made sacrifices. I'm not sure Derek Jeter made sacrifices given the ungodly deep pockets the Yankees have." - Chipper Jones

by MBL1 on Apr 15, 2011 4:03 PM EDT via mobile reply actions   1 recs

This I approve.

THE NL WEST WILL NAIL YOU IN THE RUSTY GROIN WITH SOMETHING --TheLetter2
www.duwanis.com

by duwanis on Apr 15, 2011 4:18 PM EDT up reply actions  

OT

Tornado sirens going off in Bham right now…

Chicks dig the long ball.

DOB: Did you ever hit balls as hard as Jason Heyward does?
Chipper: Is that possible?

by kimrob1 on Apr 15, 2011 4:50 PM EDT reply actions  

Just went off in Montgomery too.

by GumpBrave on Apr 15, 2011 4:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

Postponing

would not upset me too much. I will probably pass out crazy early tonight…. got the crazy idea to stay up literally all night trying to study Philosophy, only to feel as lost as ever. Its torture, i mean the more you know the less you ACTUALLY know. sorry kinda OT

"Welcome to the show, Brandon Beachy. I think you’re going to stay a while." - Dave Cameron

by abraves257 on Apr 15, 2011 5:13 PM EDT reply actions  

Well folks, I’m leaving work early because I’m not going to risk getting caught in traffic w/ these storms heading my way. So good luck to all and stay safe, and Go Braves (if they play tonight).

Chicks dig the long ball.

DOB: Did you ever hit balls as hard as Jason Heyward does?
Chipper: Is that possible?

by kimrob1 on Apr 15, 2011 5:21 PM EDT reply actions  

you

have a great birthday!

"Welcome to the show, Brandon Beachy. I think you’re going to stay a while." - Dave Cameron

by abraves257 on Apr 15, 2011 5:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

Thanks!

Chicks dig the long ball.

DOB: Did you ever hit balls as hard as Jason Heyward does?
Chipper: Is that possible?

by kimrob1 on Apr 15, 2011 5:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

Updated forecast says we are fucked, 8 o clock 100% chance of preciptation.

by GumpBrave on Apr 15, 2011 5:41 PM EDT reply actions  

hm...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FFX77OKGV94

"Welcome to the show, Brandon Beachy. I think you’re going to stay a while." - Dave Cameron

by abraves257 on Apr 15, 2011 5:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

At least Hanson isn’t pitching tonight….what with the rain, and whatnot…

"It looks like The Hound of the Baskervilles out there." - Steve Stone
"...I'm reminded of Wuthering Heights." - Harry Caray
~
Swing and a drive...Belted right! Welcome to the Show!!!

by Chief Noc-A-Homa on Apr 15, 2011 5:54 PM EDT reply actions  

Too tale..

OT

Has anyone noticed the SP’s height the braves have been going against lately?

Volstad
Johnson
And the starters this serious

So many tall dudes..

McCann facial hair=Epic

by heyward4prez on Apr 15, 2011 6:21 PM EDT via mobile reply actions  

I love our chances this series.....

….but Chris Young scares me. Any soft-tossing pitcher scares me, actually.

by Undocorkscrew on Apr 15, 2011 6:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

I’m not worried. Cash is eight feet tall.

LIVE EDT

Tape-delayed for the West Coast

by TheLetter2 on Apr 15, 2011 6:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

So are we playin? Stupid Georgia.

"Tony Gwynn made sacrifices. Cal Ripken made sacrifices. I'm not sure Derek Jeter made sacrifices given the ungodly deep pockets the Yankees have." - Chipper Jones

by MBL1 on Apr 15, 2011 7:01 PM EDT reply actions  

In Marietta is raining now. Tarp is on the field still.

by BeatTehMets on Apr 15, 2011 7:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

Friday’s game postponed. Doubleheader Saturday.

I'm a former CTU agent, so don't f--k with me!

by TonyAlmeyda on Apr 15, 2011 8:42 PM EDT reply actions  

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