Fan Projections For Atlanta Braves Outfielders

Last week we took a look at the somewhat cautious fan projections for the Atlanta Braves infielders, this week we are reviewing the fan projections for the Braves outfielders. While the infield projections where not too terribly biased for the home team, the outfield projections certainly are. Here are the results, as an average of all the submissions:

Player (Fan Projection) PA AVG OBP HR
Martin Prado 621 .308 .368 16
Nate McLouth 550 .265 .346 17
Jason Heyward 597 .297 .401 27

And for comparison, here are the career rate stat averages for these players:

Player (Career Averages) AVG OBP
Martin Prado .307 .356
Nate McLouth (total) .252 .337
  Pittsburgh Nate .261 .339
  Atlanta Nate .229 .330
Jason Heyward (majors) .277 .393
Jason Heyward (minors) .318 .391

Prado's projection is not really out of line with his career numbers, though his OBP is likely a little high. The fans are clearly swayed by the good spring that Nate McLouth is having, and they attributed numbers to him that are more in line with the kind of hitter he was in Pittsburgh -- and even then these numbers are very optimistic.

Heyward's numbers are not surprising, as most people would expect a young player like him to improve some in his second year in the league. Still, the on-base number seems a bit high, especially if he's asked to be a more aggressive hitter in the sixth spot of the lineup.

Braves outfielders haven't hit this many home runs (the total of 60 projected above) since the year before Andruw Jones left. While AJ hasn't been the same player in the intervening years, the Braves still sorely missed the power production of a player of his caliber.

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