Last week we took a look at the somewhat cautious fan projections for the Atlanta Braves infielders, this week we are reviewing the fan projections for the Braves outfielders. While the infield projections where not too terribly biased for the home team, the outfield projections certainly are. Here are the results, as an average of all the submissions:
|Player (Fan Projection)||PA||AVG||OBP||HR|
And for comparison, here are the career rate stat averages for these players:
|Player (Career Averages)||AVG||OBP|
|Nate McLouth (total)||.252||.337|
|Jason Heyward (majors)||.277||.393|
|Jason Heyward (minors)||.318||.391|
Prado's projection is not really out of line with his career numbers, though his OBP is likely a little high. The fans are clearly swayed by the good spring that Nate McLouth is having, and they attributed numbers to him that are more in line with the kind of hitter he was in Pittsburgh -- and even then these numbers are very optimistic.
Heyward's numbers are not surprising, as most people would expect a young player like him to improve some in his second year in the league. Still, the on-base number seems a bit high, especially if he's asked to be a more aggressive hitter in the sixth spot of the lineup.
Braves outfielders haven't hit this many home runs (the total of 60 projected above) since the year before Andruw Jones left. While AJ hasn't been the same player in the intervening years, the Braves still sorely missed the power production of a player of his caliber.