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Wednesday's Braves Lineup

Wednesday afternoon's Atlanta Braves lineup against Marlins left-handed starter Andrew Miller:

9/29 Braves Lineup vs. Andrew Miller PA AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS
Omar Infante, 2B
8 5 1 0 0 0 2 2 0 .200 .375 .200 .575
Jason Heyward, RF
5 4 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 .250 .400 .250 .650
Matt Diaz, LF
13 12 4 0 0 1 1 1 2 .333 .385 .583 .968
Derrek Lee, 1B
3 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 .000 .333 .000 .333
Alex Gonzalez, SS
5 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 .200 .200 .200 .400
David Ross, C
4 3 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 .333 .500 .667 1.167
Brooks Conrad, 3B
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 n/a n/a n/a n/a
Melky Cabrera, CF
7 6 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 .000 .143 .000 .143
Derek Lowe, P
3 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 .500 .500 .500 1.000

Diaz batting third is about as weird as Melky hitting fifth. I'm a little perturbed that Melky is in center. If not for the Hinske heroics, Melky's terrible left field play would have been the difference in the game. Now he's in center! Add to that terrible defense an 0-for-6 collar against Miller, and surely there is a better option:

Others of note vs Andrew Miller
PA AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS
Brian McCann 6 6 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 .500 .500 .500 1.000
Rick Ankiel 5 5 2 0 0 0 0 0 3 .400 .400 .400 .800
Nate McLouth 3 2 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 .500 .667 .500 1.167
Eric Hinske 2 2 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 1.000 1.000 2.500 3.500
Troy Glaus 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.000 1.000 1.000 2.000

Lookiethere, better options aplenty. I guess Melk is getting the start because of his 2-for-4 last night and the whole lefty-righty thing. Prove us all wrong Melky.

Game time 4:35 people.

Marlins hitters vs. Derek Lowe after the jump:

Star-divide

Marlins hitters vs. Derek Lowe
PA AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS
Chad Tracy 36 31 7 0 0 1 4 4 2 .226 .306 .323 .628
Hanley Ramirez 31 26 14 6 0 1 3 5 4 .538 .613 .885 1.498
Dan Uggla 30 28 12 3 0 2 7 1 1 .429 .448 .750 1.198
Emilio Bonifacio 14 13 2 0 0 0 0 1 3 .154 .214 .154 .368
Wes Helms 11 11 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 .091 .091 .091 .182
Cameron Maybin 6 3 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 .333 .667 .333 1.000
Gaby Sanchez 5 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 .000 .200 .000 .200
Mike Stanton 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 .000 .000 .000 .000
Andrew Miller 4 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 .000 .000 .000 .000
Mike Rivera 4 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000
Brad Davis 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 .000 .000 .000 .000
Josh Johnson 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000
Logan Morrison 2 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 .500 .500 .500 1.000
Alex Sanabia 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 .000 .000 .000 .000
Clay Hensley 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000
Anibal Sanchez 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000
Total 156 137 38 9 0 4 14 15 25 .277 .346 .431 .777

Let's hope Hanley's out of the lineup again.

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It has to be the righty thing. You are correct. Mu grandmother can play the outfield better then the MILK-Man. He is also a much better hitter from the left side. I would rather have Hinske in there. At least he has heart.

by SBURROUGHS on Sep 29, 2010 1:36 PM EDT reply actions  

Ehh... Infante and Heyward and

7 outs?

Our crappy lucky team *WAS* better than your good unlucky team.

by Richard R on Sep 29, 2010 1:37 PM EDT reply actions  

Detailing the lineup’s history against the probable pitcher is a fantastic idea! Would love to see this in the series previews..

"Check out this bitchin' homemade tesla coil!"

by bwellnjonesco on Sep 29, 2010 1:38 PM EDT reply actions  

It will be a part of what I hope to be expanded playoff coverage here on the Chop.

by gondeee on Sep 29, 2010 1:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

Hinske in Center, Glaus in Left, Heap in Right

Do it

Go USA, Braves, BU Terriers, Irish, Caps, Colts, Hoyas, NU Cats, Wizards, DC United, Washington Freedom
BU Hockey: National Champions 1971, 1972, 1978, 1995, 2009

by SuperNewb on Sep 29, 2010 1:38 PM EDT via mobile reply actions  

Lefties are hitting .417 against Miller. Righties = .360. That said, bobby has been doing this almost all season, so it shouldn’t catch us off guard that he went almost all righties.

by Buffalo Braves on Sep 29, 2010 1:40 PM EDT reply actions  

Who knows….I’d feel more comfortable w/ Ankiel starting (due to his arm and his avg against Miller), but whatever the lineup is, they need to score more than 3 today. Besides, the Cubs sweeping the Padres is hard to fathom….but what the hell, why not

by El Soro on Sep 29, 2010 1:49 PM EDT reply actions  

It’s not hard to fathom the cubs sweeping the padres now that they’ve won the first two. All they have to do is win two in a row (which we just saw them do). The odds are just shy of 25% (assuming, reasonably, that the cubs have just under a 50% chance of winning each of the remaining games).

by epatl on Sep 29, 2010 3:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

Well, with Young pitching tonight....

…against Randy Wells, I say the Padres have the advantage. It’s times like these that I wish the Cubs would’ve held on to Lilly…

by Undocorkscrew on Sep 29, 2010 3:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

…although the Pads recently beat Lilly and LAD.

If Albert played in the AFL, they’d have to rename it the AZ/NM Fall League, based on where his homers landed.

by Yakker on Sep 29, 2010 3:49 PM EDT up reply actions  

I’d probably have done something more like

Infante
Heyward
Lee
Ross
Diaz
Conrad
Gonzalez
McLouth

But batting order supposedly isn’t all that important.

by redwards95 on Sep 29, 2010 2:02 PM EDT reply actions  

Melky better be nontendered come November. Matt Young FTW

by J-Freak on Sep 29, 2010 2:04 PM EDT reply actions  

Those splits against Miller are meaningless.

Your biggest sample size is 13 PAs. Just gives us no data worth having.

by SS451 on Sep 29, 2010 2:09 PM EDT reply actions  

So what would be data worth having IYO. What’s the smallest sample size you’ll accept.

by gondeee on Sep 29, 2010 2:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

SS451=Sample Size 451

He will never be satisfied..with anything..

"Check out this bitchin' homemade tesla coil!"

by bwellnjonesco on Sep 29, 2010 2:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

For the rate stats you used...

principally OBP and SLG, the generally accepted point of stabilization is 500 PA. Get up over 100 and you at least have something worth talking about. Drawing conclusions from 13 PA worth of data is about as useful as interpreting bird entrails.

So yes, this does imply the conclusion that batter vs. pitcher stats are almost always meaningless, and that we actually know very little about how good any given batter is against any given hitter, in the sense of being able to project performance going forward. So it goes.

by SS451 on Sep 29, 2010 2:27 PM EDT up reply actions  

I get what you’re saying, and I figured that’s exactly what you would say, but I just refuse to be that curmudgeonly about it. You can use stats like this, you just have to be aware of their limiting value. Basically these are “popcorn stats.” Kind of like mindless movies (popcorn flicks). Fun to watch and look at, but not redeeming in any way except as a fun little detour.

by gondeee on Sep 29, 2010 2:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

Engineers..

Can’t live with them, can’t live without them..

"Check out this bitchin' homemade tesla coil!"

by bwellnjonesco on Sep 29, 2010 3:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

4 for 8 against certain pitcher = pwnage
0 for 8 = he’s due

If Albert played in the AFL, they’d have to rename it the AZ/NM Fall League, based on where his homers landed.

by Yakker on Sep 29, 2010 4:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

Wonder what the crowd will be like today....

I’m guessing small

Baseball is like church. Many attend but few understand.

by kauf67 on Sep 29, 2010 2:10 PM EDT reply actions  

I updated with Lowe’s stats against Marlins.

by gondeee on Sep 29, 2010 2:10 PM EDT reply actions  

SSS abound. Although someone above noted that lefties have been better than righties against this guy

kinda surprising…looks like we haven’t done our HW. Hopefully we do okay though. Looks like a mid-season sunday lineup

by SouthernPanther on Sep 29, 2010 2:10 PM EDT reply actions  

No Hanley

S. Cousins cf
E. Bonifacio ss
L. Morrison lf
D. Uggla 2b
G. Sanchez 1b
C. Tracy 3b
M. Stanton rf
B. Davis c
A. Miller p

by Fatvirus on Sep 29, 2010 2:37 PM EDT reply actions  

god

we should really beat the crap out of this lineup

by Fatvirus on Sep 29, 2010 2:37 PM EDT up reply actions  

If not for the Hinske heroics, Melky’s terrible left field play would have been the difference in the game

If not for Melky getting on base and scoring the only other run, Hinske’s HR would not have won the game…

This guy wants to suck all the cubs dick can he not have an unbias some what partition reguards
by RWH2 on Apr 5, 2010 10:20 AM CDT

by justincredubil02 on Sep 29, 2010 2:54 PM EDT reply actions  

True

But he was just making a point about his awful defense. He had a good night at the plate, but the chances of that happening on consecutive days are slim. His ability to play terrible defense is pretty consistent though.

by Undocorkscrew on Sep 29, 2010 2:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

if not for San Diegos' horrible defense me may only be up 1 game

Lets be honest, there have been several players on this team in September that have:

A) Made errors in the field
B) Been in a hitting slump

At least Melky did well at the plate last night

James T Paulson

by Jtpdolphins2009 on Sep 29, 2010 2:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

Also true

…..but if Hinske doesn’t get at least one start in that Phillies series, I’ll flip out. What could it possibly hurt?

by Undocorkscrew on Sep 29, 2010 3:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

It was nice for Melky to hit for one game, but I’ll put more weight on his level of play over the entire course of the year and hope he doesn’t start any more games.

by redwards95 on Sep 29, 2010 3:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

It's funny

Not singling you out, but your sentiment sparked this thought: Sometimes I wonder what people would say and react if game 7 of the World Series was in extra innings, and both teams’ benches were depleted, and the only player left was Melky Cabrera, and he was brought in to face like Grant Balfour or something in the 17th with the GW runner on third with two outs, and statistically Melky was (paraphrased) 1-for-22 against him with 17K and 0BB. Naturally there will be many cringing at the matchup, and the OT would be nothing but a bunch of miserable posters condemning the matchup, but then Melky goes to lace a clean single, and the Braves win the World Series.

If this scenario happened in any other time, it’s considered a statistical anomaly versus size of sample, an unsustainable pattern, and a lucky hit that won’t happen again. But in this particular instance, it’s the greatest hit in recent Braves history, and it doesn’t matter what happens next, because next is another season, and for this season, the Braves are champions.

No wonder nobody likes you, Tuttle... everything's a (Pujols) damn debate.

by royhobbs on Sep 29, 2010 3:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

Never underestimate...

The Cabrera Effect.

Francisco, Melky…coincidence?? Probably.

-C

It’s rough to sit through these games and not have someone that can’t hit a Ball?

by cthabeerman on Sep 29, 2010 3:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

Melky started the rally in the 7th inning that lead to the 3 runs

his hustle allowed him to score the tying run on the triple by Brooksy

We won the damn game, that is all that matters. let it go and leave Melky alone

James T Paulson

by Jtpdolphins2009 on Sep 29, 2010 3:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

Melky was on 2B when Conrad hit that triple....

It’s actually very difficult to score, regardless of the base the runners on, when the guy at the plate hits a triple.

Not to nitpick though. I’m glad Melky had a good night at the plate. But I just hate seeing him in the lineup every day.

by Undocorkscrew on Sep 29, 2010 4:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

Lowe needs to hold the Marlins....

…through the first 4 or 5 innings. If he can do that, I like the chances of the offense getting to Miller the 2nd or 3rd time around in the order.

But it would be so fucking nice to see the Braves put 5 or 6 on the board in the first couple frames for a change.

by Undocorkscrew on Sep 29, 2010 2:59 PM EDT reply actions  

We would all love that

but its just too much to ask. We are all destined to suffer from hypertension and heart attacks with this team!

"The Dos Equis guys want me to be the least interesting man in the world" - Drama

by BravesDawg16 on Sep 29, 2010 3:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

I am so stoked right now!

Done with class for the day. Game starts in a little over an hour and the Braves have a magic number!!!!!!!!!!!!

and its 4 (but 2 wins will do)

A lot of room in right center, if he hits one there we can dance in the streets, the 2-1....

by ATLBRVS_19 on Sep 29, 2010 3:09 PM EDT reply actions  

I have to watch it on the Florida stations

 BLAH, but at least I get to watch it lol

James T Paulson

by Jtpdolphins2009 on Sep 29, 2010 3:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

Meh...don't feel bad.

At least you’re not at work til probably the 3rd or 4th inning like I am…SMH

Eddie V

by DolphinNation on Sep 29, 2010 3:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

The OT is my friend today

Til I get home to crack a beer, or 7…

Eddie V

by DolphinNation on Sep 29, 2010 3:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

Oh man, same here

I named my mute button ‘FSN.’ Those pricks are the absolute worst.

Has anyone noticed how they can’t get through a single game against the Braves without bringing up how Gabby Sanchez deserves the ROY more than Heyward? And I mean literally every game….

They’ve even gone on to say(about mid-season) that Sanchez has more upside of the two.

by Undocorkscrew on Sep 29, 2010 3:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yes, I’ve noticed. Pretty effin’ annoying. And now the Giants are starting in with this Posey > Heyward nonsense too.

If Albert played in the AFL, they’d have to rename it the AZ/NM Fall League, based on where his homers landed.

by Yakker on Sep 29, 2010 4:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

Well that's more justified....

…because Posey may very well be better than Heyward. But if Heyward can stay healthy, there’s no doubt that he’ll be far and away a better player than Gabby Sanchez.

by Undocorkscrew on Sep 29, 2010 4:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

Posey is probably considered the better of the two if positional value is taken into account, because Heyward doesn’t catch. Beyond that I’d give the edge to Heyward, but it’s not a very big one. As of now their OPS+ is virtually identical, with Posey flashing more power but J-Hey having better on-base skills. Heyward’s power numbers were sapped by that injury period though, so going forward I’d expect him to be the better player, especially after getting on base at damn near a .400 clip as a 20 year old rookie. You can’t teach that, and he’s only going to get better.

by J-Freak on Sep 29, 2010 4:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

Don’t forget that 30% of Posey’s PT this year was at 1B. Also, for what it’s worth, Heyward has Posey beat in WAR, although Heyward has 30 extra games.

I think it’s a potentially interesting debate—the problem isn’t in raising the issue, it’s the way the yahoo Gints radio guys act as if it’s some travesty that Posey isn’t running away with the ROTY.

If Albert played in the AFL, they’d have to rename it the AZ/NM Fall League, based on where his homers landed.

by Yakker on Sep 29, 2010 4:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

WE WANT HINSKE!

"Tony Gwynn made sacrifices. Cal Ripken made sacrifices. I'm not sure Derek Jeter made sacrifices given the ungodly deep pockets the Yankees have." - Chipper Jones

by MBL1 on Sep 29, 2010 3:15 PM EDT via mobile reply actions  

In Hinske We Trust

A lot of room in right center, if he hits one there we can dance in the streets, the 2-1....

by ATLBRVS_19 on Sep 29, 2010 3:18 PM EDT up reply actions  

Braves have to fire Snitker, right?

There’s no way he can start the season as the 3B coach. I talked about it last night here, but he’s been absolutely horrible. He’s making quite a few bucks to be bad at a relatively easy job. I’m good at my job and I probably don’t make half of what he does.

by Undocorkscrew on Sep 29, 2010 3:30 PM EDT reply actions  

I'm for putting Chipper there for the rest of this year

This team already struggles with RISP enoug without him constantly stopping runners that can score and sending runners that can’t.

I think letting the runners make the decision is probably more effective than Snitker.

by Undocorkscrew on Sep 29, 2010 3:36 PM EDT up reply actions  

As much as he is money...

…and I need him for my main fantasy team, I am glad to see Mac on the bench and Ross starting. McCann has been run out there like a rented mule recently.

by cavebird on Sep 29, 2010 3:35 PM EDT reply actions  

Next year we could have.....

….a KK, JJ, FF, MM, and a BB

If we can add a CC to that, we’d be looking pretty.

by Undocorkscrew on Sep 29, 2010 3:44 PM EDT reply actions  

Which CC?

Go USA, Braves, BU Terriers, Irish, Caps, Colts, Hoyas, NU Cats, Wizards, DC United, Washington Freedom
BU Hockey: National Champions 1971, 1972, 1978, 1995, 2009

by SuperNewb on Sep 29, 2010 3:53 PM EDT up reply actions  

Sabathia? j/k

I think he means Carl Crawford.

The birth of Jason Heyward was God’s punishment for the sins of the people in New York and Philly.

by TonyAlmeyda on Sep 29, 2010 4:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

Coco Crisp

Chris Capuano
Chris Carpenter
Chris Carter
Chris Coghlan
Casey Coleman
Clay Condrey
Chad Cordero
Craig Counsell

by joshant on Sep 29, 2010 4:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

What about adding

DD. David DeJesus
EE. Edwin Encarnacion
GG. Gio Gonzalez
LL. Louis Lane
PP. Placido Polanco
RR. Ramon Ramirez
SS. Skip Schumaker
TT. Troy Tulowistki

by joshant on Sep 29, 2010 4:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

What about adding AA…Alfredo Amezaga!!

If Albert played in the AFL, they’d have to rename it the AZ/NM Fall League, based on where his homers landed.

by Yakker on Sep 29, 2010 4:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

Did the Braves....

….ever have a year where Andruw Jones, Brandon Jones, and Chipper Jones were all on the roster at some point?

by Undocorkscrew on Sep 29, 2010 4:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

2007 callups

I was at a game in DC where all three were in the lineup, but only Bjönes had to be denegrated with a first initial.

No wonder nobody likes you, Tuttle... everything's a (Pujols) damn debate.

by royhobbs on Sep 29, 2010 4:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

Umlaut?

If Albert played in the AFL, they’d have to rename it the AZ/NM Fall League, based on where his homers landed.

by Yakker on Sep 29, 2010 4:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

yup

Beeyones

No wonder nobody likes you, Tuttle... everything's a (Pujols) damn debate.

by royhobbs on Sep 29, 2010 4:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

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