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Series Recap: Braves Lose 2 Of 3 To Marlins

Takashi Saito's 40-year-old arm was one of the Braves' few bright spots on the mound in this series.

Lynne Sladky - AP

Takashi Saito's 40-year-old arm was one of the Braves' few bright spots on the mound in this series.

This was a strange series. A lot of things went wrong for the Braves--each of the starters gave up at least 4 runs, the bullpen had some issues, and the offense had trouble hitting with runners in scoring position--but a lot of things went right, too. In particular, several of our regulars had excellent series with the bat, we got some big pinch hits, and we came back from two-run (or greater) deficits in all three games. The resiliency and on-base ability that the Braves showed in this series was encouraging, even if in the end those were not enough to win the series.

In the end, I think this series taught us a few things. The first is that Nate McLouth should not be allowed to bat in a crucial situation (though we really should have known that by now). The second is that we've been so spoiled by our pitching lately--starters and relievers--that it is almost shocking when they do not perform well in consecutive games. The third is that Chino Cadahia should take a lesson from B.F. Skinner and shock Bobby Cox whenever Bobby thinks about pinch-running. The fourth (and perhaps most important) is that Jason Heyward is back to his normal, dominant self.

Here are links to the TC Recaps and FanGraphs pages for each game in case you missed them (check out the FG game graphs; they were very interesting for all 3 games):

Game 1: Marlins win 7-6  (TC Recap / FanGraphs Page)
Game 2: Braves win 10-5  (TC Recap / FanGraphs Page)
Game 3: Marlins win 5-4 in 11 innings (TC Recap / FanGraphs Page)

Despite the disappointing result, it's important to note that the Braves still have a nice 5-game lead in the division and have still only lost 2 of their last 22 series (16-2-4). Things didn't quite go our way this time, but it's hardly cause for panic or discouragement.

Stat of the Series, Part 1
The Marlins blew 4 saves in the series but still won 2 out of 3.

Stat of the Series, Part 2
Jason Heyward reached base as many times in this series (12 times in 16 PA) as Nate McLouth has since May 23rd. In 21 games and 66 PA for McLouth in that time, he has 6 hits, 5 walks, and 1 hit-by-pitch. That's good for a .102 / .185 / .119 line.

Those of you who selected Jason Heyward in the pre-series poll were correct. He had the most hits by a Brave in the series, edging out Martin Prado 7 to 6.

Series Awards after the jump...

Star-divide

Series Awards

Braves' Pitching MVPs
Takashi Saito-- 2 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 5 K (yup, 6 batters faced, 5 strikeouts), and a 0.185 WPA
Jonny Venters-- 3 IP, 4 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 2 K, 0.177 WPA

Braves' Hitting MVPs
Brian McCann-- 4/11, 2 BB, HBP, HR, R, 6 RBI, 3 K, 2 GDP, and a huge 0.745 WPA
Eric Hinske-- 4/10, 3 BB, HR, 2 R, 3 RBI, 2 K, 0.471 WPA
Jason Heyward-- 7/11, 5 BB (good for a .750 OBP), 4 R, SB, CS, K, 0.197 WPA
Martin Prado-- 6/16, 2 HR, 2 2B, 4 R, 2 RBI, K, 0.206 WPA
Chipper Jones-- 2/8, 3 BB, 2B, 3 R, 2 RBI, 2 K, 0.357 WPA

Braves' Clutch Plays
Brian McCann's go-ahead hit in the 9th inning of game 1 (0.387 WPA)
McCann's 3-run, game-tying homer in the 7th inning of game 1 (0.319 WPA)
Brooks Conrad's pinch-hit grand slam in the 8th inning of game 2 (0.281 WPA)
Chipper Jones' game-tying double in the 7th inning of game 3 (0.242 WPA)
Eric Hinske's 2-run, game-tying single in the 8th inning of game 2 (0.210 WPA)

Marlins' Pitching MVPs
Clay Hensley-- 3 IP, 2 H, 1 R, 1 BB, 1 K, 0.307 WPA
Jorge Sosa (yeah, that's right)-- 2 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 1 K, 0.299 WPA
Brian Sanches-- 2.2 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 2 K, 0.210 WPA
Anibal Sanchez-- 6 IP, 5 H, 2 R, 1 HR, 3 BB, 7 K, 0.148 WPA

Marlins' Hitting MVPs
Gaby Sanchez-- 5/15, HR, 2B, 3 R, 2 RBI, 2 K, 2 GDP, 0.436 WPA
Dan Uggla-- 5/14, BB, 2B, 2 HR, 4 R, 5 RBI, 4 K, GDP, 0.268 WPA
Wes Helms-- 2/5, 2 BB, 3B, R, 3 RBI, K, 0.318 WPA

Marlins' Clutch Plays
Donnie Murphy's walk-off single in the 9th inning of game 1 (0.359 WPA)
Emilio Bonifacio scoring on a passed ball immediately prior (0.357 WPA)
Gaby Sanchez singling earlier in that inning (0.333 WPA)
Dan Uggla singling to put the winning run on 3B in the 11th inning of game 3 (0.217 WPA)
Wes Helms tripling in two runs in the 4th inning of game 3 (0.205 WPA)

 

Series Unawards

Braves' Pitching LVP
Billy Wagner-- 0.2 IP, 2 H, 2 R (1 ER), 2 BB (1 IBB), 1 K, BS, -0.779 WPA

Braves' Hitting LVP
Nate McLouth-- 0/9, 0 BB, R, K, 2 GDP, -0.799 WPA
(Nate had the lowest hitting WPA on either team in all three games, which is quite a difficult feat, especially considering he didn't even start game 3.)

Braves' Unclutch Plays
Nate McLouth grounding into a bases-loaded double play in the 11th inning of game 3 (-0.360 WPA)
Troy Glaus doing the same in the 7th inning of game 3 (-0.277 WPA)

Marlins' Pitching LVPs
Jose Veras-- 1.1 IP, 3 H, 2 R, 4 BB, 3 K, BS, -0.781 WPA
Taylor Tankersley-- 0.0 IP, 2 H, 5 R (4 ER), 1 BB, 1 HBP, BS, -0.574 WPA; 5 batters faced-- all scored
Burke Badenhop-- 2.2 IP, 3 H, 4 R (2 ER), 1 HR, 1 BB, -0.278 WPA
Jhan Marinez-- 0.0 IP, 1 H, 2 R (1 ER), 1 BB, BS, -0.355 WPA

Marlins' Hitting LVPs
Jorge Cantu-- 1/8, 2 K, -0.133 WPA (he also made 2 key errors in the field)
Hanley Ramirez-- 4/13, 2 BB (1 IBB), 2 R, 5 K, -0.117 WPA
Mike Stanton-- 1/10, IBB, HR, R, RBI, 5 K, -0.090 WPA

Marlins' Unclutch Play
Uggla striking out with the bases loaded and 1 out in the 9th inning of game 1 (-0.266 WPA)

There were so many high-leverage situations in this series that there were tons of high- and low-WPA plays, meaning lots of crooked numbers in the WPA column.

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Comments

Display:

i guess theres nothing left to say about Mcfoukth and his uncanny ability to piss everyone else here…. ummm wait… Yeah there is… the only bright spot of this series (besides Brooksy ) was the fact that we will be having a new Cf by the end of the week… even Francoeur would be an upgrade…..

Jason Heyward is what Willis was talking about.....

by Hektor DiPaula on Jul 26, 2010 2:30 PM EDT reply actions  

DFA Nate

If anybody claims him, they pay $400,000 prorated, we pay the rest. We pay Blanco $400,000. We break even. The cost of sgning McLouth…paying $6.5M next year for Blanco. I’d rather pay $6.5M for Blanco than $6.5M for McLouth.

Heyward is pretty good

by bighop on Jul 26, 2010 3:02 PM EDT reply actions  

Doesn’t Blanco get that money, regardless of what we pay Nate?

This guy wants to suck all the cubs dick can he not have an unbias some what partition reguards
by RWH2 on Apr 5, 2010 10:20 AM CDT

by justincredubil02 on Jul 26, 2010 3:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

yep

I say he has “complications” from the concussion forcing him back to the DL. Then see if someone takes the bait on an August waiver claim. If not, send him back to the eye doctor to make sure his LASIK worked, or hope next year is a better year for him.

by Mr. Sanchez on Jul 26, 2010 4:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

What I was trying to say, was economically we come out the same. We are still paying $4.5M this year and $6.5M next year whether Nate or Blanco is playing the position.

Heyward is pretty good

by bighop on Jul 26, 2010 5:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

McOut...

This is the same guy ATL traded for that was considered to be an All Star caliber CF under team control for a few years. WTF happened to the kid, seriously?

Hektor said it best above. Even FYF would be an upgrade in the OF over Nate, and I never thought those words would come out of my mouth. I want to wake up tomorrow morning, look under the transactions and see the following:

Nate McClouth – designated for assignment

Eddie V

by DolphinNation on Jul 26, 2010 3:17 PM EDT reply actions  

trying to Google it into happening

I have the word “McLouth” entered in the Google search field of my phone. Every few hours I tap the refresh button and hope for the headline.

"I don't care about that. The players don't want to read about the damn manager." - Bobby Cox after some late 90's milestone.

by AmosM on Jul 26, 2010 7:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

tell me... is he through?

I didn’t follow Nate ‘the Skate’ until his acquisition by the Braves. I am not impressed with his little time out this year. Can he come back or is it just wishing?

by Jaghomer on Jul 26, 2010 3:19 PM EDT reply actions  

Tough series

We could have swept the series, but we didn’t. You are going to lose some games you are suppose win and win some games you are suppose to lose. That’s baseball. Let’s just win the Washington series and move on. And Mclouth got to go

by Braves24 on Jul 26, 2010 3:24 PM EDT reply actions  

The Rockies are trash

Gonna get swept by the Sillies. Good work boys.

Sharks have a week dedicated to Jason Heyward.

by mvhsbball on Jul 26, 2010 3:27 PM EDT reply actions  

Yeah, those guys are pissing me off right now.

At least win one freaking game in a 4-game set. And here I thought they were going to win the NL West. Jerks.

"Yeah, and I have an enchanted jock strap." -- Karl Karlson

by pacgnosis on Jul 26, 2010 3:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah, and it’s not like any of the games are close either. They’ve lost by multiple runs in each game.

Sharks have a week dedicated to Jason Heyward.

by mvhsbball on Jul 26, 2010 3:31 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yesterday’s was close. They just had uber-fail in the 8th and 9th innings.

This guy wants to suck all the cubs dick can he not have an unbias some what partition reguards
by RWH2 on Apr 5, 2010 10:20 AM CDT

by justincredubil02 on Jul 27, 2010 2:18 AM EDT up reply actions  

Yay Jason!

I picked him!

Now send him to Gwinnett!

"It breaks your heart. It is designed to break your heart. The game begins in the spring, when everything else begins again, and it blossoms in the summer, filling the afternoons and evenings, and then as soon as the chill rains come, it stops and leaves you to face the fall alone." A. Bartlett Giamatti

by sddbaker on Jul 26, 2010 3:54 PM EDT reply actions  

What about Fukudome?

The Cubs are willing to eat part of the $4.95 million remaining and he’s got a solid .253, .356, .410 line and is capable of playing center. I know he’s another lefty when they need a righty, but he’s probably better than any of the internal options.

Just a thought.

by Undocorkscrew on Jul 26, 2010 3:59 PM EDT reply actions  

This might be a good idea, except

He’s owed $13.5M next year. Unless the Cubs eat a big portion of that, too, I don’t think this makes enough sense. I do like his ability to take a walk, but I don’t know how good he is in CF (I’m guessing not very).

"Yeah, and I have an enchanted jock strap." -- Karl Karlson

by pacgnosis on Jul 26, 2010 9:53 PM EDT up reply actions  

....and I still think Hart is their best option....

I think a platoon of Diaz/Hinske will work for the rest of this year, but Hart is under contract for at least one more year. I know the Brewers are selling high, but I think it would be worth it. Put Melky in center full-time, Hart in left, and Diaz/Hinske can fill in in right when Heyward needs a day off. Or, platoon Glaus and Hinske at 1B.

In any case, they need to do something.

by Undocorkscrew on Jul 26, 2010 4:11 PM EDT reply actions  

do you really want to give up our pitching prospects? Play Melky in CF, Diaz/Hinske in LF and replace Mclouth with Blanco. Very simple. Tamper as little as possible with a first place team

by Shoert on Jul 26, 2010 4:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

Why...

do the Rockies suck all of a sudden?

"It breaks your heart. It is designed to break your heart. The game begins in the spring, when everything else begins again, and it blossoms in the summer, filling the afternoons and evenings, and then as soon as the chill rains come, it stops and leaves you to face the fall alone." A. Bartlett Giamatti

by sddbaker on Jul 26, 2010 5:31 PM EDT reply actions  

This.

The Reds and the Rockies were 0-8 against the Phils this month…Thanks for nothing. And they call themselves contenders? I am sure they are just saving it up for when we have to face them coming up…Jerks.

by Jman781 on Jul 26, 2010 5:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

First post

Hello fellow bravos been reading the blog thru my phone for sum time now n finally got my comp fixed so i could create an account..that being said id like to first say hands down best blog on the net.. Nehow this 1 was hard for me cause i live here in south florida n now all these damn fish fans who r prob about 6,000 till they start winning r talkin there nonsense..please wren bring bac blanco or maybe even trade for jon jay or an upcoming prospect therefore it wouldnt hurt the team chem if we got sum1 like hart unless jhey can play CF?

by SkipTOoMyL0U_ on Jul 26, 2010 7:01 PM EDT reply actions  

Welcome.

Sharks have a week dedicated to Jason Heyward.

by mvhsbball on Jul 26, 2010 7:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

Lmao +1 on that comment bout the rockies n the soo called “RUN” they always make smh

by SkipTOoMyL0U_ on Jul 26, 2010 7:04 PM EDT reply actions  

Remind me again

Why not Heyward in CF? Murphy was 6’5" long striding gold glover thru 80’s.

Let Hinske, Diaz, Melky share the corners or trade a prospect for RH hitting corner. There just aren’t any decent CF’s out there folks. Ross sucks.

by BravesSince on Jul 26, 2010 7:30 PM EDT reply actions  

I've been thinking a lot about this lately.

It’s early, but his numbers in RF are very good, and he seems to be our best OF in terms of range and route-taking. I think it’s worth trying if we can find a good RF on the trade market but not a good CF.

"Yeah, and I have an enchanted jock strap." -- Karl Karlson

by pacgnosis on Jul 26, 2010 9:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

Fuck DFA'ing Nate

Deport his ass. I don’t care where either.

"Jason Heyward was a Greek philosopher reincarnated as a baseball player." - Don Sutton

by UMDBHIK on Jul 26, 2010 7:43 PM EDT reply actions  

+1 thats what im saying the second coming of griffey! Minus the showboating and injuries :)

by SkipTOoMyL0U_ on Jul 26, 2010 8:05 PM EDT reply actions  

You should try using the "reply" button beneath a post.

That way we all know what you are responding to. :)

"Yeah, and I have an enchanted jock strap." -- Karl Karlson

by pacgnosis on Jul 26, 2010 9:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

Lol mibad im new too this but thankss

by SkipTOoMyL0U_ on Jul 26, 2010 11:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

I couldn’t wait for the Series preview to come up…. I can’t wait for Heyward to totally own Strasburg! (Perhaps his first homer since the ASG?)

Poets are like baseball pitchers. Both have their moments. The intervals are the tough things. ~Robert Frost

by Joseph_C on Jul 26, 2010 8:37 PM EDT reply actions  

Power went out for about two hours today due to storms...

Sister: When will the power be back on?
Me: When Nate McLouth hits above the Mendoza Line…
Sister: uuggh it’s gonna take that long?

"Tony Gwynn made sacrifices. Cal Ripken made sacrifices. I'm not sure Derek Jeter made sacrifices given the ungodly deep pockets the Yankees have." - Chipper Jones

by MBL1 on Jul 26, 2010 9:27 PM EDT via mobile reply actions  

So never, then. Fun.

"Yeah, and I have an enchanted jock strap." -- Karl Karlson

by pacgnosis on Jul 26, 2010 9:58 PM EDT up reply actions  

have any of you read this…..?

http://markbowman.mlblogs.com/archives/2010/07/wren_believes_he_can_strengthe.html

Jason Heyward is what Willis was talking about.....

by Hektor DiPaula on Jul 26, 2010 9:53 PM EDT reply actions  

Thanks for that article..i still think blanco word work good but we gatta do sum about mcclouth if he keeps struggling hes had oppurtunities too shine n make a big hit n hit a ground ball even if it was well struck..only time will tell but thank goodness for blanco hes starting to fill himself out as a good CF

by SkipTOoMyL0U_ on Jul 26, 2010 11:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

“Some in the organization believe McLouth’s at bat in the top of the 11th inning Sunday was his best at bat of the season”

After picking up my jaw from the floor I read the rest, good article. Nobody better than Cabrera and Blanco are available. Sounds like DFA, waivers and AAA for Mr McLouth if I interpretted it correctly. Wren doesn’t like the pen with KK and Chavez out there and O’Flaherty out on the DL, might make a move for a reliever ( what about Proctor, Kimbrel and Marek? ) Very different thinking than our rosterbations to say the least.

Heyward is pretty good

by bighop on Jul 26, 2010 11:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah ive been wondering wat they would do with proctor but if marek could keep it up he could b a nice addition

by SkipTOoMyL0U_ on Jul 26, 2010 11:31 PM EDT up reply actions  

Garza no hits Tigers, wow.

"Tony Gwynn made sacrifices. Cal Ripken made sacrifices. I'm not sure Derek Jeter made sacrifices given the ungodly deep pockets the Yankees have." - Chipper Jones

by MBL1 on Jul 26, 2010 10:07 PM EDT via mobile reply actions  

finally...

how many times they’ve been no hit….??

Jason Heyward is what Willis was talking about.....

by Hektor DiPaula on Jul 26, 2010 10:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

I was at all three games, sitting at the Braves dugout. I cannot begin to tell you how painful games 1 and 3 were. That being said, I’m going to resist the temptation to panic. We’re still up 4.5 games, and this team is capable of going on another great run. Don’t we have 19 home games in August? I’ve heard we’re pretty good at home.

One thing I can tell you is that of all the bad decisions made on the Sunday, the worst was not letting Omar bat in the 11th with the bases loaded. Horrible.

By the way, have any of you checked the DOB blog over at the AJC? I stopped following that long ago because of all of the morons, and I can’t believe it has actually gotten worse. What a bunch of idiots.

by ryantex on Jul 26, 2010 10:49 PM EDT reply actions  

Yeah the writers over there arent really any good n there articles jus piss me off! Lol

by SkipTOoMyL0U_ on Jul 26, 2010 11:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

But the Braves ‘fans’ who add to the blog are even worse. The most ridiculous discussions were on there yesterday. They were honestly debating what it would take to trade for Ryan Braun. I mean, seriously…

They also panic and think the season is ending every time we lose a game. For this reason, I don’t think many of them understand baseball.

by ryantex on Jul 26, 2010 11:39 PM EDT up reply actions  

It would takee alot to get braun but that lineup would look nasty!! Braun after heyward or even in the forth holee!!

by SkipTOoMyL0U_ on Jul 26, 2010 11:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

For Bobby, Nate is this year’s Norton. i.e., He won’t give up on him, and he’s, “going to break through,” or some such bullshit.

"It looks like The Hound of the Baskervilles out there." - Steve Stone
"...I'm reminded of Wuthering Heights." - Harry Caray
~
I see a troll under that bridge!

by Chief Noc-A-Homa on Jul 27, 2010 12:58 AM EDT reply actions  

That's a good analogy

Hopefully someone can get his ear before he costs them any more games with his loyalty.

"FIP isn’t horseshit. It’s just horseshit for Hudson." - frozendesert

by Sam Jethroe on Jul 27, 2010 3:15 AM EDT up reply actions  

You got that right its bullshit!!! GO BRAVES!!!

by cali viking on Jul 27, 2010 1:39 AM EDT reply actions  

McLouth...

Is batting like .165 excuse while I lmao…u know u suck wen half the pitchers in the league have a higher avg than u lol…when they got him I instantly become a huge fan of his and I still like him as a person but in major league sports if u don’t produce especially after half a season it’s time to stop bein nice and send him dwn..trade if possible

Bradley Wade Hinton

by heyward4prez on Jul 27, 2010 6:39 AM EDT via mobile reply actions  

Oh…….for fuck’s sake. That fucker would tear up his knee AFTER the Braves series. He’s like the new Randy Winn.

"It looks like The Hound of the Baskervilles out there." - Steve Stone
"...I'm reminded of Wuthering Heights." - Harry Caray
~
I see a troll under that bridge!

by Chief Noc-A-Homa on Jul 27, 2010 11:55 AM EDT up reply actions  

Only he could hurt himself so badly in such a dweeby way. What a maroon.

"FIP isn’t horseshit. It’s just horseshit for Hudson." - frozendesert

by Sam Jethroe on Jul 27, 2010 5:32 PM EDT up reply actions  

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