Braves vs Marlins Series Preview: Something Smells Fishy in Florida
The Marlins are a weird franchise.
To be perfectly honest, they kind of remind me of the Cleveland Indians in the movie Major League...before they got good. Their owners are all about a profit and appear to care less about the team. The have quite a few no-name players (especially in the bullpen). They play in front of tiny crowds. And at times, you feel like they don't really care about or value winning. Fredi Gonzalez led his team to 87 wins in 2009 and they fired him after two months. Why? Well, we still aren't sure. I'm not complaining though.
The Fish come into Friday's series with a record of 37-41 and are 5-5 in their last 10 games. Interim manager Edwin Rodriguez is 3-5 so far in his brief stint with the team, but they did beat the Mets twice in Puerto Rico. One thing to keep an eye on (especially on Friday) is how much energy the Marlins show. While the Braves were relaxing in Atlanta, the Fish were flying in from a foreign territory with poor weather. Hopefully it gives the Braves an advantage.
Florida has received good work from their starting pitchers. Josh Johnson has been arguably the best pitcher in the NL in 2010, and he's joined by Ricky Nolasco, who's a solid #2 starter. Anibal Sanchez is slotted as the #3 starter and the rotation is rounded out by Nate Robertson and Chris Volstad. They're 5th in the NL in ERA (3.81) and tied for 2nd in FIP (3.80), so they've done a good job keeping the Marlins in the game. They're 8th in strikeouts per/9 innings and usually have great control, as they only walk 2.8 hitters per/9. The Braves will need to continue their patience at the plate if they hope to draw some walks. I have confidence in our boys though.
Their bullpen is a completely different story though. Leo Nunez is a wild, yet effective closer and he's joined by Clay Hensley, Renyel Pinto and Brian Sanches who have all been pretty solid so far. Tim Wood, Burke Badenhop and Chris Leroux have all been awful though, and they've blown quite a few games for the Fish. They're 14th in bullpen ERA and 7th in FIP, so that's pretty ugly. Why have they been so poor in 2010? For one, they walk a ton of hitters. I mean, a TON of hitters. They're 15th in the NL in walks and walk nearly 5 hitters per every 9 innings. They also don't strike out too many hitters as they're 8th in the league (The Braves are first, BTW. They strike out nearly 10 hitters per 9 innings. Awesome.) They have been a little un-lucky this year, as the BABIP so far is .326. Take that as it is, the Marlins bullpen isn't very good.
A look at their offense, pitching match-ups and more after the jump.
The Marlins are an above-average club offensively. Hanley Ramirez is one of the best offensive shortstops in baseball and is their best hitter. Jorge Cantu and Dan Uggla continue to be two of the most underrated players in baseball and both hare having solid seasons. Outfielders Cody Ross and Chris Coghlan have both been good for the Fish this season, but super rookie Mike Stanton has struggled in his first few weeks in the majors. Catcher Ronny Paulino is hitting above .300, but doesn't have much power.
As a team, they're 4th in the NL in runs scored, 3rd in team batting average (.265) and 6th in team OBP (.332). The Fish are 7th in HRs and do a great job on the basepaths as they're 49-for-62 in stolen base attempts. They don't really walk much (11th in walks, 8.3%) and strike out a ton (15th in strikeouts, 23.1%), so the Braves pitchers should be able to retire quite a few hitters via the strikeout. All-in-all, a solid group, but they certainly have their weaknesses.
Friday, 7:35EST - Kris Medlen (5-1, 3.15 ERA 3.65 FIP) vs. Josh Johnson (8-3, 1.83 ERA 2.47 FIP)
Kris Medlen, now the official #5 starter for the Braves now what Kenshin Kawakami has moved to the bullpen, has been awesome for the Braves this year. Medlen shut down a potent Tigers lineup in his last start and allowed only 1 run in 6.2 innings.
Josh Johnson doesn't really get talked about as much as he deserves and it's pretty ridiculous how good he's been. I mean, he's probably been the best pitcher in the NL not named Ubaldo or Roy. He's been striking out more than a hitter per inning and doesn't walk many either. He has 4 pitches that he can throw in any count and usually has command of all four from his first pitch to his last pitch. The 6'6'', 240lb righty took a tough 2-1 loss against the Padres in his last start.
Satuday, 4:10EST - Tommy Hanson (7-5, 4.50 ERA 3.45 FIP) vs. Anibal Sanchez (7-4, 3.18 ERA 3.52 FIP)
This is a big start for Tommy. He's probably having the worst stretch of his professional career and has been pounded in his last two starts. He'll be pitching with an extra day of rest, so let's see if he's able to get back on track against the Marlins. As mentioned above, the Marlins strike out a ton, so it'll be interesting to see if Tommy can do with that.
Sanchez has been solid for the Marlins and has been their 2nd best pitcher in 2010. He strikes out nearly 8 per/9 innings and features a hard fastball, filthy slurve and solid changeup. He was in line to beat San Diego in his last start, but the bullpen blew it for him in the 8th.
Sunday, 5:05EST - Tim Hudson (8-3, 2.37 ERA 4.37 FIP) vs. Ricky Nolasco (7-6, 4.84 ERA 4.69 FIP)
Tim Hudson is the man. And I don't wanna hear about how lucky he's been this year. Despite receiving no credit on any of the national news networks, Huddy out-pitched Stephen Strasburg in his last start and threw 7 scoreless innings on Monday night.
Ricky Nolasco was picked by many in the offseason as a darkhorse Cy Young contender and has struggled a bit this season. He has electric stuff, but struggles to command his pitches at times. The Braves will need to show patience and get his pitch count up early in the game. Nolasco was impressive in his last start against New York, when he struck out 9 in 7 innings of 3-run baseball.
Questions of the Series:
1. Will the Braves' dominance at home continue against a struggling Marlins club? They've only lost one series this season at The Ted and they should continue this trend.
2. Will it take long for the Braves to get into the Marlins awful bullpen? In a perfect world, the Braves will be able to run their pitch count up in the early innings.
3. Will Troy Glaus, Eric Hinske and Yunel Escobar break out of their collective slump? Let's hope so.
4. How will the Marlins play after visiting Puerto Rico earlier this week? Hopefully they'll be jet-lagged. Especially Josh Johnson. That would be nice.
*Please note the start times. With the Saturday game being on FOX and Sunday being the 4th of July, the start times are a bit weird.
Go Braves!
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Great job, Good preview!
These are really gonna be good pitching matchups, hope tommy gets his kinks worked out and has a great game tomorrow afternoon.
The poster formerly known as: SidKotchman
by SidGlaus on Jul 2, 2010 10:20 AM EDT reply actions
Mmmm
Anyone else feeling seafood this weekend?
Who lives in a pineapple under the sea?
not me, thanks to BP!
The poster formerly known as: SidKotchman
by SidGlaus on Jul 2, 2010 11:39 AM EDT up reply actions
Great preview!
I’d say Josh Johnson has been the best pitcher in the NL this year. He is tied with Ubaldo for the best ERA in the league, but his FIP is way better than Ubaldo’s (or anyone else’s). His string of 0 or 1 runs given up was just sick, too. If we beat him, I will be very pleasantly surprised!
I like our chances in the last 2 games, though. Tommy is due to bounce back and Huddy is awesome.
"Yeah, and I have an enchanted jock strap." -- Karl Karlson
Picking nits here
Puerto Rico is not a foreign country. Pretty good chance it will be a state in my lifetime, actually…
If we're "picking nits" here
the Marlins also only had 87 wins last year, not 88.
fixed both for you.
"Sharks have a week dedicated to Jason Heyward."
METS: My Entire Team Sucks.
by Scott Coleman on Jul 2, 2010 3:27 PM EDT up reply actions
I’m surprised a lazy journalist like you would take the time to fix it
We have traded away great players for less than nothing and let Texierra walk away, and much much more so pray that Hayward is sent from God and that his energy can ignite the veterans and cause the younger players to hustle more and play winning baseball...
I’m stepping my game up.
"Sharks have a week dedicated to Jason Heyward."
METS: My Entire Team Sucks.
by Scott Coleman on Jul 2, 2010 5:12 PM EDT up reply actions
Go Braves!
In an airport and bummed I’m gonna miss this series. However, I’m confident the Braves will win another.
Hoping the real Hanson shows up. :-)
"Curve: The loveliest distance between two points." ~ Mae West
by NCChopper on Jul 2, 2010 12:48 PM EDT via mobile reply actions
last series i'll be able to follow for a month
as i’m headed to work at an orphanage in Africa on Monday. here’s to hoping we’ll still be in 1st place when i get back!
the Atlantaxation of Chattanooga.
Stop by the vuvuzela concerts! Too bad theres some idiots playing soccer at the vuvu concert..,
"Tony Gwynn made sacrifices. Cal Ripken made sacrifices. I'm not sure Derek Jeter made sacrifices given the ungodly deep pockets the Yankees have." - Chipper Jones
by MBL1 on Jul 2, 2010 3:06 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions
May God bless you.
Those little ones will pull at your heart strings. It’s a sad situation over there. You will come back with such a sense of gratitude for how blessed you are. I no longer takes things for granted, after doing some mission work, in other country’s.
Washington Tribune, June 29 2010 – "The stonecutters carving Stephen Strasburg’s name onto the Washington Monument have been directed to await further instructions."
saw hanley and uggla in a restaurant..
in PR and offer to buy them a drink if they didn’t play in this series. They didn’t go for it. But they did find it funny and bought me a beer. Go Braves!!
Todays my Birthday
All I ask is the Braves win and someone chants MVP MVP MVP in the OT every time Melky bats or makes a play in the field. Have a good night everybody
We have traded away great players for less than nothing and let Texierra walk away, and much much more so pray that Hayward is sent from God and that his energy can ignite the veterans and cause the younger players to hustle more and play winning baseball...
Happy Birthday!
I hope the baseball gods do grant you a win……after Sunday I mean. lol.
I see the fish Taking 2 out of 3. JJ is just freaking incredible and would easily be the front runner for the Cy Young if the Bullpen hadn’t blown so many of his victories. He has only 8 wins, but really should have like 12-13 wins. I also think either Sanchez or Ricky will be good enough to pitch us to victory.
The key here is always: How fast do you get to the Marlins bullpen?
if its in the 8th or 9th inning: It’ll be tough if your down because Hensley and Nunez have actually both performed fairly well. id say about a 25-35% chance or so as they are certainly not dominant
If its in the 6th or 7th inning: youve got a pretty good chance even if your down. id say about 60-70% chance
If its before the 6th: Easy Victory. if you dont win, its kind of sad.
GO:Gators, Dolphins, Heat, Marlins, and Yankees
he who fears losing, has already lost
Hanley for MVP 2010!
Brandon Marshall is a Dolphin.....watch out World.
by Gatorfan4life on Jul 2, 2010 4:44 PM EDT up reply actions
Happy Birthday internet friend
have a beer on me…i’m not buying though.
"Sharks have a week dedicated to Jason Heyward."
METS: My Entire Team Sucks.
by Scott Coleman on Jul 2, 2010 5:13 PM EDT up reply actions
Have a great birthday and I’ll do some MVP chanting just for you :P
"Tony Gwynn made sacrifices. Cal Ripken made sacrifices. I'm not sure Derek Jeter made sacrifices given the ungodly deep pockets the Yankees have." - Chipper Jones
by MBL1 on Jul 2, 2010 5:29 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions
Have a fantastic birthday!
Washington Tribune, June 29 2010 – "The stonecutters carving Stephen Strasburg’s name onto the Washington Monument have been directed to await further instructions."
So...
Badenhop puts snot on the ball?
Another Saturday with no game for me…
"To live is to war with trolls..." - Henrik Ibsen
Voted for a Braves sweep
With the Phillies & Mets series coming up the Bravos will need all the momentum they can get. IMO these upcoming division rival match ups are the most critical games of the Braves schedule to date.
A baseball diamond is, most simply, the intersecting of four 90-foot baselines, and, most powerfully, the intersecting of seemingly random lives.

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