Bill Ballew: Braves Prospect List Q&A 2010, Part 1
The fourth and final installment of our prospect list Q&A's for 2010 ends with Baseball America's Bill Ballew. Bill covers several teams for BA including the Braves, where he does a terrific job of keeping BA readers informed about the team's prospects during the season. Bill penned this year's Atlanta Braves top prospects for Baseball America, which was released back at the beginning of November. We had a great Q&A with Bill last year and the year before, and this year he was kind enough to once again be very detailed with his answers (hence the two-part Q&A).
Q: Give us your prediction of where Jason Heyward will start the season, and what kind of year he will have. Is Heyward ready to be an everyday major leaguer from opening day 2010?
A: He could handle the job now, but I believe the Braves will do the prudent thing and send him to Gwinnett for a few months before throwing him to the wolves. After all, Tommy Hanson's experience last year definitely topped the first-year performance of Jordan Schafer. I know there were some injury issues there, but I believe the Braves need to look at the big picture over the long haul and let him see Triple-A pitching for two or three months. Only 20, Heyward is a man-child with an incredible feel for the game. He has everything you want in an outfield prospect. On a lesser team, he would be a sure thing to open the season in the big leagues, but the Braves have the wisdom to do the right thing and bring him as the weather warms this summer.
Q: Where would you rank Arodys Vizcaino on the Braves prospect list? How does he compare to Julio Teheran and Randall Delgado, who are your 3rd and 4th ranked Braves' prospects?
A: Vizcaino would rank between Teheran and Delgado on my list at this point. I haven't seen him pitch, but from everything I've been told by some reliable scouts, front-office types and others, he has some impressive all-around ability. I've seen Teheran and Delgado, and I believe both of them have a very bright future. Teheran was pushed initially in 2008 and wasn't physically ready to pitch in the Appalachian League. He lived up to the hype last year and looks ready to start making rapid progress. The light really came on for Delgado during the last half of 2009 at Rome and I wouldn't be surprised to see him split this season between Myrtle Beach and Mississippi. Delgado may be the best of the three. Of course, with pitching, so much depends upon who stays healthy. All three will be fun to watch develop this year.
Q: You rank Zeke Spruill ahead of fellow 2008 draftees Brett DeVall and Tyler Stovall, even though both of those guys were drafted ahead of Spruill. If a prospect list is about upside, does that mean that Spruill has more upside than DeVall and Stovall, or is this a case of injury (DeVall) and a slow start in the pros (Stovall)?
A: All the above. The 2008 draft is ancient history now for those guys, and Spruill has made the better adjustments to pro ball than DeVall and Stovall. All three have flaws, and I believe all three are a notch below the previous trio of Vizcaino, Teheran and Delgado. Spruill has a great frame that will be able to add weight and strength as his body matures. He has an advanced idea of what he wants to do on the mound and should continue to climb steadily through the organization. DeVall has had issues with his forearm since he signed, and while he has been evaluated by doctors on numerous occasions, that ailment is usually a harbinger for Tommy John surgery. He pitched well briefly at Rome last year and has a nice repertoire, but his frame is not as loose and projectable as Spruill's. Stovall has had trouble repeating his mechanics, which has affected his ability to throw strikes. If he can get the kinks worked out, he should be fine. But the fact of the matter is DeVall and Stovall have not accomplished anything of note thus far, which means the 2010 season will be an important year for both of them to show what they are capable of producing.
Q: Beyond Jason Heyward, do you see any of our position player prospects being impact players in the major leagues? Will Freddie Freeman have more success than Christian Bethancourt? Will Adam Milligan have more success than Cody Johnson?
A: That's hard to say, so I'll start this way. Freddie Freeman's approach at the plate, his ability and desire to drive in runs, and his tremendous defense at first base bode well for his future at the game's top level. He is a very polished player with an ideal body for a major league first baseman and he will continue to hit for additional power as he matures. Like Heyward, he's only 20, and will not turn 21 until September. Other than Heyward, Freeman is as close to a sure thing as the Braves have had since Chipper Jones and Andruw Jones in the mid-1990s. Bethancourt has a world of ability and really took things to another level last year, but he is very young and it takes a while for young catchers to become major league players. The promise, the body and the skills are in place, but he has several hurdles to clear before he can be deemed a sure thing. After all, he hasn't even played a full season yet. Milligan is an older guy who had an outstanding season in 2009. He's an under-the-radar player with excellent power, hitting ability, aggressiveness, and improving defense. It will be interesting to see how he responds in 2010 now that he's received a little pub. I believe he'll be fine. Johnson continues to show that he's mainly a one-trick pony. He's worked very hard on his defense in left field, and I saw him make an excellent play out there in Myrtle Beach last year that he could have never made earlier in his career. I'm afraid he's .250 hitter at best, but he could produce 40+ home runs. He has some holes in his swing, but his power is as great as any player I have ever seen in the minor leagues. Klesko, Thorman, Saltalamacchia and some others have been big-time BP power guys, but Johnson makes them look like amateurs. The key for Cody is to get his batting average to the .270-.280 range consistently while avoiding big-time slumps. This year in Double-A should be a good test.
Q: Did the Braves make a mistake by not protecting Edgar Osuna over Jose Ortegano or any of the other young arms the team protected? Do you see any useful major leaguers emerging from the group that includes Todd Redmond, Jeff Lyman, Lee Hyde, Kyle Cofield, Jonny Venters, and Ortegano? Could any of these prospects be impact players?
A: Ortegano and Osuna are very similar pitchers-soft-tossing lefties who really know how to pitch. I don't think the Braves made a mistake by not protecting Osuna, and I hope he earns the fifth-starter's job with Kansas City. That said, I didn't see him ever making an impact in Atlanta. Same with Ortegano. Redmond is a bulldog who has answered every challenge thrown his way since arriving from the Pirates. He pitches to contact, but I'm not sure if his pitches move enough to retire major league hitters with consistency. I see him back at Triple-A this year, and if he has more success, the Braves should give him a look. Cofield has a great frame and a good delivery, but he needs to throw more strikes and develop his changeup into a pitch that he throws with consistency. Lyman needs a repeat of 2009 this year at Gwinnett; if he does that, he'll become more than an after-thought. He has ability, but he's not overwhelming. Venters and Hyde, provided they stay healthy, have the brightest futures of this batch as role guys in the bullpen. Both have the stuff and ability to be a potential setup man. Venters has a chance out of spring training, in my opinion, and Hyde could arrive at some point in the 2010 season.
Part-2 of the Q&A with Bill Ballew of Baseball America will be posted tomorrow morning.
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great q&a
I think this is the best one yet. I also don’t think I realized Freeman was a defensive stud – probably missed it in the reviews last year.
by hollerin' brave on Feb 8, 2010 9:15 AM EST via mobile reply actions
“Other than Heyward, Freeman is as close to a sure thing as the Braves have had since Chipper Jones and Andruw Jones in the mid-1990s.”
Best quote ever.
"Sometimes I wonder what'd it be like to be outside and not hear the birds chirping...I think it'd be kind of nice."
by alligatorimpersonator on Feb 8, 2010 11:29 AM EST reply actions
Makes me wonder what all the people who, for no discernable reason, think Freeman isn’t that good have to say now.
I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com
If I remember their reasoning right...
this will only strengthen their opinion as the only reason ever given for not thinking Freeman was good (as the one poster I’m thinking of admittedly has never seen him play) was because so many others thought so highly of him.
I honestly think his power projections are underrated in some circles. It’s been said that he’ll never be a true 30 home run guy, but he’s a 20 year old who is 6’5 and 220 lbs. Just for comparison’s sake, Adam LaRoche always looks like a very tall guy in the batter’s box, and he’s 6’3 200. And even Adam has had his 32 HR year. Freeman should at least end up as good as an Adam LaRoche.
And he’s still got a ton of time left to fill out some more. You look at his frame; he’s not Cody Johnson, but he’s got a solid build. He could add another 15 pounds and you wouldn’t even notice it, given his height. I don’t see him becoming a guy who’s going to belt 40 HRs a year, but I can’t rule out that he might do it once or twice. He’s already strong, and has time to become even stronger.
I definitely agree. People seem to take the sweet-swinging lefty comment and assume he’s only a 20 homer guy. The Braves didn’t take him as a position player when many other teams saw him as a pitcher if they didn’t believe in his power. He’s got much more power potential than your typical Mark Grace/Lyle Overbay type.
Freeman reminds me of Derek Lee.
I think it’s an excellent comparison. He doesn’t have the speed that Lee does, but for the most part, it’s spot on. They both hit for a high average with good power, and both play gold glove defense.
The only time the Mets win is in the offseason.
or he could be like Jon Olerud and have a career high of 24 HR…im mean nothing against Olerud, he was very good, but height does not equal power.
Heyward,Hanson,and Shaffer r ready now!! Why do you think they havent signed the "right handed bat"?
by fatazfoot on Jan 7, 2009 8:59 PM EST
It's definitely at least a factor, though
Having plenty of size gives you a good frame for generating torque. There’s a lot more tall sluggers than there are short guys.
It’s not a sure thing, but I’d bet on Freeman ahead of several others based on his size.
could u explain why please?…just curious for your reasoning, bc the size and weight comparison is pretty similar…for the record I dont doubt Freeman, but it has more to do with his numbers than his height.
Heyward,Hanson,and Shaffer r ready now!! Why do you think they havent signed the "right handed bat"?
by fatazfoot on Jan 7, 2009 8:59 PM EST
My guess for his reasoning would be that Freeman is bulkier than Olerud was. Olerud was very lean, even toward the end of his career, but Freddie has a much boxier frame.
I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com
Exactly. Just because their size and weight are similar doesn’t mean they have the same frame. Google image him. His frame matches the scouting reports.
That and how he makes Klesko and Co. look like amateurs.
by Bobby Cocks on Feb 8, 2010 12:18 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
Re: Freeman
I’ve seen Freeman play on several occasions and his swing reminds me so much of Ryan Langerhans. Now I’m not saying his career will end up anything like Langy, I’m just saying his swing reminds me of Langy’s. He does have a hole in his swing inside pitches and breaking stuff down and away as a normal 19/20 Y.O. should but he’s a smart kid a should be able to overcome that with time. Freeman’s defense, on the other hand, reminds me so much of Kotchman’s defense till it ain’t funny he’s an above-average ML defender now.
by Jay212033 on Feb 8, 2010 6:48 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
Things I'd like to see in the Braves' MiLB 2010 season
1. Both Freeman and Schafer prove without a doubt that they are ready for the big show in 2011 and that trading them would be a huge mistake.
2. Though I’d love to see domination, I would really just like to see Teheran, Vizcaino, and Delgado put up full healthy seasons at the right level(s) and show some improvement.
3. I’d like to see CJ, even at the expense some of his power, keep improving his contact and walk rates… enough to quite his doubters to a sizable degree.
Will someone settle this?
Is Jose Ortegano a soft-tossing lefty or not? I’ve heard over and over that he compares to Edgar Osuna and is a soft tosser, however, I’ve also heard that he can really bring the heat. Which is it?
"Hey Fat Kid...the monster is right behind you! RUNNNN!!" -The Host
he’s a soft tossing lefty who can bring the heat….obviously
Heyward,Hanson,and Shaffer r ready now!! Why do you think they havent signed the "right handed bat"?
by fatazfoot on Jan 7, 2009 8:59 PM EST
How can a soft tosser bring the heat? I thought you had to throw atleast 94 to get any kind of fire going on the ball..
"Hey Fat Kid...the monster is right behind you! RUNNNN!!" -The Host
by bwellnjonesco on Feb 8, 2010 1:36 PM EST up reply actions
I saw him last year in Montgomery.
He was in the low 90’s with his FB although he had a rough start that day and didn’t last very long.
What? He’s listed at 6’1" and that’s pretty dead on. At the absolute worst he’s 6’0" and he might even be 6’2". Where did you come up with this?
I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com
Caribbean Series
I think Ortegano pitched in the Caribbean Series this past weekend. I saw a little bit of his start. There is no way he’s 5’6".
by dunnytwogloves on Feb 8, 2010 5:35 PM EST up reply actions
Oh no, everyone freak out now that someone has suggested it might be best for Heyward to spend a couple months in the minors.
"Four of us wolves, running around the desert together in Las Vegas, looking for strippers and cocaine..."
AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!
LOGIC!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Heyward,Hanson,and Shaffer r ready now!! Why do you think they havent signed the "right handed bat"?
by fatazfoot on Jan 7, 2009 8:59 PM EST
Logic?
i know you’re being totally smart-assed, but it’s not this writer is even stating a logical argument-he’s just giving his personal opinion.
“He could handle the job now, but I think he’ll go to Gwinnett.” There’s no logical construction involved other than referencing the “long haul” and the “big picture.”
And it’s a perfectly reasonable opinion, just one I don’t share.
First thought: I understand around these parts that batting avg isn’t a favored statistic but Troy Glaus over 12 seasons’ avg is .255 with a season high 47 homers in 2000, that being said he’s been in the majors for a while and is considered pretty good player and a ligit number 4 hitter. I know the minors and the majors are two completely different levels but if CJ can keep improving and bat around .250 with 30+ homers i’d be pretty content.
Second thought: I really like Todd Redmond for some reason and I really want him to do good and succeed in the majors, same for JS.
Third and final thought: I’ve been back and forth with Freddie and what I think is reasonable to expect outta him, but I think the kid has a bright future and I really hope he exceeds all expectations and becomes our future face with Jay Hay.
if CJ is gonna be Glaus than i think everyone will be psyched…..Glaus may have a 255 avg (and avg isn’t frowned upon so long as you make sure to reference OBP)….but he was on base 36% of the time, which is more than acceptable for a guy posting a near 500 SLG. if Cody can maintain his avg as he moves up and cut he strikeouts down to around 25% and keep that walk rate around 12-13% we have a legitimate ML masher, but there’s serious doubts he can cut his strikeout rate that far…i believe in him solely bc he has improved at every level and his power is unreal and to not believe in him with his upside is not sensible)
Heyward,Hanson,and Shaffer r ready now!! Why do you think they havent signed the "right handed bat"?
by fatazfoot on Jan 7, 2009 8:59 PM EST
yea those k's are a problem
he strikes out more than Mark Reynolds did in the minors
by drumzalicious on Feb 8, 2010 6:02 PM EST up reply actions
.250 with 30 HRs, is kind of irrelevant without talking about OBP though. Glaus is a .360 career OBP guy to go along with his power, which is why he’s considered a legit number 4 hitter.
Marcus Thames, is also a guy with 30 HR a year type power, that hits around .250, but has a career OBP around .300.
Very Nice.
2010 will be a very fun year to watch how all of these players develop. Its really good to see someone giving Freddie some love, the kid will be a monster hitting behind Heyward in the future. Everyone talks down about him and Schafer but forget that both had wrist injuries. Freeman’s in the first week of AA and Heyward in the first week of the Majors.
For those doubting Freeman’s power this is a video i have posted multiple times:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0dwtspB3H_A
damn…that was a shot…
Pujols is NOT God.... sure he'll hit .350, hit 50 bombs, and drive in a 125....but then again...so will Heyward..
by lemke2blauser2bream on Feb 8, 2010 6:31 PM EST up reply actions

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