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The Curse of the MOCJ

I call it the Myth Of Chipper Jones. He's my favorite player ever, all apologies to Fred McGriff. But I see a terrifying trend to assume that Chipper will lead the Braves to the promised land or else the organization will go nowhere.  That’s the real window that’s driving the Braves organization, not Bobby’s impending retirement. Do we really think that the Bravos are going to win 97 games this year and that Bobby’s going to retire? It is the assumption that Chipper must make the difference that drives the organization. A glance at the farm system will tell you as much: for the fat cats in Atlanta it’s Chipper of bust. The problem is that the immediate and long-term future success of the franchise isn’t tied to Larry Wayne. While this artificial window is closing, the Bravos are killing me with some of these short-sighted/stupid moves.

Am I supposed to be okay with a Huddy coming off of injury at 9 mil plus Cabrera for 3 mil and a 19 year old prospect in exchange for Vazquez coming off a dominant year? Is there anyone out there willing to take the over for Chipper plus Glaus combined for 200 games? Are we really willing to accept that Wagner and Saito are reasonable replacements for Soriano and Gonzalez? Instead of the plus pitchers that we lost we’re going to see a lot of the M&Ms, Medlen and Moylan. Are we really ready for a heavy dose of Infante in our lives for the next seven months when the mash unit brothers go down? To imagine that a core involving Chipper (37), Hudson (34), Wagner (38), Glaus (and ancient 33), Saito (39), Lowe (36) and KK (34) is going to overtake the Phillies this year is absurd. My concern is that this group will disallow the Braves from overtaking the Phillies in years to come.

I love this site, but I can’t be the only one who notices the rampant homerism. The Lowe signing was horrible at the time and looks even worse now. The McLouth trade was and is indefensible. Unless you’re drafting a fantasy team, both are useless. Can any dummie take a team with McCann, Heyward, Yunel, JJ, Hanson, and Prado to the world series eventually? Of course. My concern is that the MOCJ will make that impossible.




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What?

Chipper Jones and his batting title trophy from just 2 seasons ago heavily disagree with you. Dude’s still got game, and he played the most games of his career last year.

The Lowe signing isn’t horrible when compared to market value, McClouth was a good trade that I definitely wouldn’t do the reversal of now, and saying just because Chipper is on this team we won’t win is just asinine.

I’m not a homer. I don’t think we’ll win 97 games and overtake the Phillies…. not this year. But if a miracle does happen and we do, Chipper freaking Jones will be a LARGE reason why it happened.

by Kelly's Big Johnson on Feb 4, 2010 8:22 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

he played the most games of his career since his injuries began to pile up back in 04 last year

FTFY. He played 150+ for a few years in the late nineties/early 2000s.

by J-Freak on Feb 4, 2010 11:58 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Yes, I HATE having players on my team with .388 OBPs and nearly 20HR!!!!!!!

Am I supposed to be okay with a Huddy coming off of injury at 9 mil plus Cabrera for 3 mil and a 19 year old prospect in exchange for Vazquez coming off a dominant year?

Yes, yes you are. Because successful franchises are built on signing guys to below market contracts and improving the talent level at every level of the system. Am I supposed to be ok with the fact that you forgot Dunn and the fact that Vazquez had only one year left on his contract?

Are we really willing to accept that Wagner and Saito are reasonable replacements for Soriano and Gonzalez?

How quickly we forget that Soriano was nearly always injured with some odd thing before last year and that Gonzo himself is just one full year away from TJ. Gota keep consistant there buddy.

Are we really ready for a heavy dose of Infante in our lives for the next seven months when the mash unit brothers go down?

Chipper played the most games of any Brave last year. Fact. Shutup with the freakin talking points already. Also, one of them go down it would be Hinkse replacing them not Infante. Get your facts straight before you go on a crazy rant.

The McLouth trade was and is indefensible.

Really? One solid MOR and two apparent busts for a good CFer? I don’t call it a steal like some because I really liked Morton but it was FAR FAR from a bad deal. I like to see you prove to me that it was otherwise.

but I can’t be the only one who notices the rampant homerism.

I don’t see anyone predicting 2/1 odds of a WS ring around here. Mostly people realize how good we were in the second half last year and how close we were to the playoffs. The WC or maybe the division is not out of reach by any means.

Your whole rant was just ridiculous.

by bbxxj on Feb 4, 2010 8:44 AM EST reply actions   1 recs

Beat me to the punch. I was fired up on my mini-essay and didn’t have a chance to see that we were making largely the same points. Hat tip

by Steinmanberg7 on Feb 4, 2010 8:54 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Its not hard to think the same way when he just throws himself out there to get destroyed. Love your points BTW.

by bbxxj on Feb 4, 2010 8:59 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

And we have a winner.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Feb 4, 2010 10:47 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I knew this post was gonna get lit up about 1 1/2 paragraphs in

None of us could have phrased this lambasting better than you did. Why even mention the supposed “core” of our team if you’re leaving our young, signed-long-term, best-in-the-NL-suck-it-Yadier-Molina catcher, Our two under-25 studs in JJ and Tommy, plus Yunel for that matter? We’re on a Braves blog, we expect our team to be good and we’re freaking vocal about the fact. Show me a blog… well, a blog of a content, .500+ possibly playoff bound franchise that doesn’t express some degree of “rampant homerism” and I’ll be shocked. Should we all just put away our Braves shirts since we’re not gonna win 110 games? Should we throw the face of the franchise, former MVP, World Series winner, batting champion multiple all-star under the bus because of one poor season? Guess so. Reading this post got me so irritated and BBXXJ, you expressed my anger perfectly. Point by point. Thank you.

"...Braves tie! ...Braves tie! ...Braves tie!"

by The Keith Lockhart Era on Feb 4, 2010 7:56 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Plus, what the hell does this mean?

“A glance at the farm system will tell you as much: for the fat cats in Atlanta it’s Chipper of bust.”

By nearly all outsider accounts we have a top ten farm system and some may even put us top 10. Out of one side of your mouth you are killing the FO for not having a good farm but then out of the other side you kill the FO for trading one year of a player for prospects. Again, gota stay consistant champ.

by bbxxj on Feb 4, 2010 8:49 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

edit

“and some may even put us top 5”

by bbxxj on Feb 4, 2010 8:52 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

He might have had a point if he’d confined it to infield depth. Aside from Freeman, most of the experts agree that our IF options on the farm don’t look all that great right now. Attacking the organization as a whole though, given the decent-to-strong crop of outfielders (even those whose initials aren’t JH) and fantastic pitching depth was just asinine. Swing and a miss.

by J-Freak on Feb 4, 2010 12:02 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

While I completely agree about our depth, it is important to note that we have control over both of Escobar and Prado for the next four years. That is plenty of time to draft/trade/sign a replacement.

by bbxxj on Feb 4, 2010 12:06 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

That’s very true; just trying to point out that he, in his rant, took an actual weakness and extrapolated it to say the whole organization was flawed. Every organization has a shortcoming somewhere; for the moment our is IF depth, but as you astutely pointed out that’s not immediately troubling because of the boys already on the roster.

by J-Freak on Feb 4, 2010 12:08 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Surplus

Is there any merit to the thought that Wren might be working his surplus’s. Last year it was starting pitchers, this year looks like a surplus of outfielders. It seems to me that Wren could trade a decent outfielder and a couple of pitching prospects, we have surplus of each, to fill our infield void. Not to mention, when Chipper retires we have $13 mil to sign or extend what we need at that time.

by bighop on Feb 4, 2010 12:27 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Every organization has a shortcoming somewhere; for the moment our is IF depth

Abso-freaking-lutely. Or maybe we get a great SS prospect by dealing McLouth if Schafer is ready during the summer. There’s any number of things we can do to fix this before it becomes an issue. I was just trying to trace back the OP’s idea of the whole organization being crap, and I’m fairly certain he just took our current lack of infielders as a holistic failure on the part of the FO. I don’t agree that the whole organization is crap, nor do I believe they are unaware of or unwilling to fix the dearth of infielders. However, AS OF NOW, that is our organizational weakness. But as has been pointed out, we have at least a couple of years before we would need reinforcements, barring some massive onset of injuries, so it’s not an urgent concern. There’s time for the FO to do their thing and fill the void in time for us to use the pieces they acquire.

by J-Freak on Feb 4, 2010 12:35 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Besides... what fat cats?

Asinine start to finish.

"...Braves tie! ...Braves tie! ...Braves tie!"

by The Keith Lockhart Era on Feb 4, 2010 7:57 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Hmmmm.....

Just a few points for the sake of argument:

Your main claim is that we are relying on aging/over-the-hill vets exclusively this season in order to push us back into the playoffs. While true, three out of the five starters and the back end of the rotation are potentially big injury risks and could show serious signs of aging throughout the season. You neglect to mention that Hanson and Jurrjens will be anchoring the rotation this year and that all we need is an average DLowe season, an average Hudson season (both by their standards), and some innings from Kawakami. We should be not be losing much in the Vaz deal because over the course of 162 games last year, Hanson missed two months. The two months we will gain with him this year will make up for any lost productivity from having Vaz in the 5. For the backend of the bullpen, I am not so sure that Gonzo and Soriano do not pose the same risks that Wagner and Saito pose. I think the Saito move was horrible, but Gonzo looked like a bafoon in a huge amount of situations last year, Soriano was on a contract year, and both looked pooped by the end of the season. Wags and Saito might be slightly less effective as a tandem, but we have more overall depth in the BP this year (assuming Bobby carries more than a 4-man bullpen, practically speaking).

The main problem with your post is the claim of homerism on the site. Yes, most of us are supportive of the team. But to confuse a cautiously optimistic tone regarding the offseason with being a homer is a little ridiculous, especially when taking into account the apples-to-apples comparison between this year’s 25 and last year’s 25.

For starters, and this has been preached 1000 times over on this site, our opening day lineup was pretty much the same lineup we trotted out for the first 2 months of the season. Lest you forget, this included a lineup with 5 blackholes…..count em’ 1, 2, 3, 4, 5. We had Francine, Crotchman, a corpse for a LF, KJ, and Schafer. People also conveniently forget that McCann was “injured” with his eye problem for much of the first 2 months of the season. Just thinking back to the AJC’s shots of Mac with his eyes the size of saucers gives me a good chuckle. So several days, we had a lineup with 6 people who either will not or should not be starting on a major league roster this season.

Even with our paper maiche lineup at the beginning of the season, we still managed to stay afloat until McClouth, Hanson, and Laroche came in.

Even with Vaz leaving town and the “suspect” additions we made, I have a hard time seeing how any lineup we put out from opening day will not be a vast improvement over the one we had for almost a third of last season.

In short, your “Curse of the Myth of Chipper Jones” (unwieldy title) is pretty weak any way you slice it.

by Steinmanberg7 on Feb 4, 2010 8:53 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Curse of the Myth of Chipper Jones

Yeah, I couldn’t get past the title either.

Here are Pujols's stats: 1.000/1.000/4.000/5.000. That's right. He is batting a thousand, with a thousand OBP (naturally), and every hit has been a home run, and thus his OPS is a perfect 5.000.

by TradeAndruw on Feb 4, 2010 2:54 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Blasphemy.

I bet he hates Dale Murphy.

"...Braves tie! ...Braves tie! ...Braves tie!"

by The Keith Lockhart Era on Feb 4, 2010 7:58 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I am like totally in massive agreement with the author of this brilliant post. No Doubt: The Atlanta Braves are …

D O O M E D !!!!!!!!

by fandave on Feb 4, 2010 8:58 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Am I supposed to be okay with a Huddy coming off of injury at 9 mil plus Cabrera for 3 mil and a 19 year old prospect in exchange for Vazquez coming off a dominant year?

Yes. Huddy came back from the injury in August of 2009, not April of 2010. He is fine. Vizcaino is not an everyday 19-year-old prospect. Hell, the very fact that he is only 19 should be making us pee our pants with excitement. Vazquez isn’t coming off of simply a dominant year. He is coming off a career year as a 30-something with only 1 more year left on his contract. Would you rather be paying half of a traded Lowe’s salary with some scrub prospect now on our roster?

Is there anyone out there willing to take the over for Chipper plus Glaus combined for 200 games?

Well, considering that Chipper played more games last year than anyone else wearing a Braves uniform, I am willing to take that over, and I will even take the over with 215 games.

Are we really willing to accept that Wagner and Saito are reasonable replacements for Soriano and Gonzalez?

Yes.

The McLouth trade was and is indefensible.

Yeah, because Charlie Morton was our missing link – and Gorkys is our future OFer.

WTF are you smoking???

"My team of nine guys who hit like Albert Pujols and never ever bunt just beat your team with one Shane Victorino 472 to 3."

by justincredubil02 on Feb 4, 2010 9:35 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

agree

Pirates got taken on this trade. McLouth will show his true colors this year, barring injury again

by ronjba on Feb 4, 2010 10:02 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I’m with you, I think Nate will have a nice season, he’s in prime of his prime..

"Hey Fat Kid...the monster is right behind you! RUNNNN!!" -The Host

by bwellnjonesco on Feb 4, 2010 11:40 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I wouldn't say they got taken....

They traded a good CFer for some upside prospects while they had McCutchen waiting to take McLouth’s place. I think we can all agree we’d rather have McCutchen right about now.

All I’m saying is it was a fair trade, both teams got what they wanted and Gorkys and Locke aren’t exactly busts yet, they’d be in AAA for us if we still had them.

by BravesRaleigh on Feb 4, 2010 3:33 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I agree

If anyone we sent up there ever ends up a major league All-Star, I shall be surprised.

"...Braves tie! ...Braves tie! ...Braves tie!"

by The Keith Lockhart Era on Feb 4, 2010 8:14 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I forgot about this one:

While this artificial window is closing, the Bravos are killing me with some of these short-sighted/stupid moves.

Yeah. All of these 1 year contracts are really going to hold down the young guys and keep them from helping us in the future.

To imagine that a core involving Chipper (37), Hudson (34), Wagner (38), Glaus (and ancient 33), Saito (39), Lowe (36) and KK (34) is going to overtake the Phillies this year is absurd.

You know what else is ridiculous? Pretending that KK and Saito are part of our “core”.

Also, a little fact checking here – if your beef is that we have old guys on our roster, you may be interested in knowing that the Phillies will have 19 (Repeat for emphasis) NINE-FREAKING-TEEN players on their roster who will be 30 or older in 2010.

Please STFU and go away now.

"My team of nine guys who hit like Albert Pujols and never ever bunt just beat your team with one Shane Victorino 472 to 3."

by justincredubil02 on Feb 4, 2010 9:43 AM EST reply actions   1 recs

Also, -1 to the OP for not counting Escobar, McCann, JJ, and Hanson as part of the core. And depending on your view, some would go ahead and throw Heyward in there since the job is basically his.

by J-Freak on Feb 4, 2010 12:05 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I wish I could rec this more than once.

And I didn’t know that about the Phillies. How much to we expect them to implode after 2011? The Good Phight has been an interesting read lately.

"...Braves tie! ...Braves tie! ...Braves tie!"

by The Keith Lockhart Era on Feb 4, 2010 8:16 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

We tend not to think of guys like Utley or Victorino, etc., as 30+, but I think Utley hits the big 3-1 this year iirc, Werth is over 30, Victorino is either 29 now and gonna be 30 next season or he’ll be 29 next season, I forget which and I’m too tired to look it up right now. This was covered in an article a couple months ago about them not being able to match the Yanks’ 90s dynasty b/c the Yanks had a core of guys under 30, whereas Philly had a somewhat late-blooming core (collectively that is, I’m certainly not saying a guy like Utley bloomed late. Dude is a BEAST.) that is around the 30 mark.

Between that age discrepancy and their already committed future payroll, they’re going to run into serious trouble inside of 2 years. They’re already going to lose Werth next offseason, though Dominic Brown may mitigate that for them, but their prospect pool is not very deep anymore thanks to Amaro, and in 2-3 years they’re gonna be feeling the hurt. While we laugh and laugh and laugh…

by J-Freak on Feb 5, 2010 8:37 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Future

How is that core going to ruin our ability to compete in the future?

I look at 2012 and see:

Hanson, Jurrjens, McCann, Heyward, Escobar, Freeman, Shafer…possibly McClouth

Plus Wren has set up the salaries (within our piddling structure I remind you) perfectly for us to absorb big arb years, while adding top line young talent at major league minimum prices.

The future couldn’t be brighter, particularly if we can trade some minor league arms for some decent minor league bats.

All of those guys you have questions about have produced at a VERY HIGH level for multiple years.

More than anything I like the flexibility in lineups that our new roster affords us.

You can’t stand pat when you only have $90MM to work with, you have to be looking to improve your standing on the field as well as with your organizational assets.

I give Frank Wren an A- for his work this off-season…the – coming because he signed Lowe and KK to the contracts last year, and was thus forced to move Javier this year.

Nonetheless, Vizcaino is a nice consolation prize. And Dunn and Melky may prove to be more than serviceable as well.

Buy low, sell high. Wren did this with Gonzo, Soriano, and Vazquez. AND, AND…he found a taker (in our own division rival, who should’ve known better) to take Frenchy.

Not a bad couple years for Wren.

Ease up…breath…wait for some games to play out.

by flyers13 on Feb 4, 2010 10:31 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Next?

"It breaks your heart. It is designed to break your heart. The game begins in the spring, when everything else begins again, and it blossoms in the summer, filling the afternoons and evenings, and then as soon as the chill rains come, it stops and leaves you to face the fall alone." A. Bartlett Giamatti

by sddbaker on Feb 4, 2010 10:52 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

wtf is up with all the ridiculous fanposts recently?

"If I have asthma, they won't let me scuba. And if I can’t scuba, then what’s this all been about?? What am I working toward??"

by Doghnut on Feb 4, 2010 11:00 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

This.

"Sometimes I wonder what'd it be like to be outside and not hear the birds chirping...I think it'd be kind of nice."

by alligatorimpersonator on Feb 4, 2010 1:04 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

They are called fans.

by Sparhawk on Feb 4, 2010 3:24 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Really,

Next time put down the beer before you sit down and start angrily jabbing at the keyboard.

"...Braves tie! ...Braves tie! ...Braves tie!"

by The Keith Lockhart Era on Feb 4, 2010 8:17 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

are you talking to me or the guy who wrote the fanpost?

bc you yourself criticized the post earlier…

"If I have asthma, they won't let me scuba. And if I can’t scuba, then what’s this all been about?? What am I working toward??"

by Doghnut on Feb 4, 2010 8:30 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

No, I definitely meant the fanpost, sorry.

"...Braves tie! ...Braves tie! ...Braves tie!"

by The Keith Lockhart Era on Feb 4, 2010 8:40 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Thanks

for talking be back from the ledge guys. Sometimes I get wound up in the offseason imagining doom and gloom (and injuries) for the team. There’s only so many old guys coming off of injuries that Wren can sign before I lose it. Your comments have helped take off the edge a little. There’s no convincing me that the Lowe and KK signings weren’t bad moves. Part bad timing (bad pitcher market right before the economy tanks) and part bad strategy (big money for low(e) upside). I’m coming to grips with McLouth being around for a while. I just don’t think he’s very good. Thanks guys, just two more months till opening day, two more months trying to keep my baseball sanity intact.

by freekhalidelamin on Feb 4, 2010 11:07 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

My leadoff guy needs to walk more than McClouth...

That’s my chief criticism.

I think i’d like him to be more like a Trot Nixon and hit 7th…with some pop, and be a guy you could start innings with and get into scoring position on a bunt, turn the lineup over, etc.

by flyers13 on Feb 4, 2010 11:18 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

McLouth: 11.5 %
Prado: 7.2 %
Chipper: 16.9 %
Glaus(08): 13.7 %
McCann: 8.9 %
Escobar: 9.4 %
Diaz: 8.2 %
Cabrera: 8.0 %

I think McLouth (notice only one ‘c’) walks just fine. You can have a gripe about his contact rates, but his walk rate is actually very good.

by bbxxj on Feb 4, 2010 11:31 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Plus, I know it's a ginormous cliche

But he’s got such a pretty swing, even when it’s missing the ball.

"...Braves tie! ...Braves tie! ...Braves tie!"

by The Keith Lockhart Era on Feb 4, 2010 8:19 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

agree

He has a sweet swing

by ronjba on Feb 4, 2010 10:47 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

god i love it hah

I’m ready for a career year from him and we have every reason to think it might happen…he has the talent, he will be healthy, he will have a reliable backup so he will likely stay healthy…and he is playing for a team that can win for the first time…I think he’s pumped right now and ready to deliver

by willlinn on Feb 7, 2010 12:05 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Also...

Keep in mind McClouth’s injury was a nagger that did a lot to decrease his 2nd half numbers….

His power numbers went from 14 HRs and 18 doubles to 6 HRs and 9 doubles…he batted .015 points below his lifetime against lefties all year too.

I am going to give him a chance at leadoff before i condemn him…let him start the year with the club and be comfortable from the outset and see how he does.

by flyers13 on Feb 4, 2010 11:23 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

In addition to the nagging hamstring injury apparently his eye sight suddenly went bad. He didn’t realize until he was back home driving and could read the street signs. Now he’s gotten contacts so that can only help him for 2010.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Feb 4, 2010 12:40 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Really?

Interesting, I didn’t know that. I wonder how that may have affected his game?

"Sometimes I wonder what'd it be like to be outside and not hear the birds chirping...I think it'd be kind of nice."

by alligatorimpersonator on Feb 4, 2010 1:05 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I didn’t know it either until I read it today…in CHOP TALK MAGAZINE!!! Who knew I’d actually read some new information in that rag. I mean, I’ve been getting it for like 15 year and I enjoy it, but it’s not exactly a fountain of novel information.

I’d have to imagine it affected him a lot. We all know it was a huge problem for McCann and if you look at the over 100 point difference in OPS between McLouth’s first half and second half you’d have to imagine that the eye sight combined with the hammy did a number on him.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Feb 4, 2010 1:24 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Did McCann get lasik again?

Here are Pujols's stats: 1.000/1.000/4.000/5.000. That's right. He is batting a thousand, with a thousand OBP (naturally), and every hit has been a home run, and thus his OPS is a perfect 5.000.

by TradeAndruw on Feb 4, 2010 2:55 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Yes, I think so.

I think he did it early in the offseason.

by cavebird on Feb 4, 2010 3:06 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Yes, definitely. There was, however, never a single word about the surgical outcome.
We need to all need to mightily hope that no news is good news.

by fandave on Feb 4, 2010 9:39 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Yes.

"...Braves tie! ...Braves tie! ...Braves tie!"

by The Keith Lockhart Era on Feb 4, 2010 10:24 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Bobby shot out a one-liner about it at some press conference or other, basically saying “He’s doing fine.”

Surely there will be a more thorough write-up sometime during spring training. Get on it, Bowman!

by J-Freak on Feb 5, 2010 8:40 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Very interesting

It would be great to see big things from him in ‘10. We all know you can’t hit a baseball with one eye. Despite those interesting, even exciting tidbits, my first thought was “huh, they still make Chop Talk. I’ll be.”

"...Braves tie! ...Braves tie! ...Braves tie!"

by The Keith Lockhart Era on Feb 4, 2010 8:20 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

More on McClouth...

In 65 wins here are his #s….295, 13 HR, 51 RBI, 13 SBs….908 OPS

In 64 losses the #s are markedly worse….. .215, 7 HR, 19 RBI, 6 SBs… .660 OPS

I haven’t done everybody else’s splits, but this here is what I think some folks might call a correlation? a postulate? a theorem?

Can we have the leadoff spot in the hands of someone so streaky?

by flyers13 on Feb 4, 2010 11:27 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

leadoff

Wish we had a better option for leadoff. I think it would help McLouth and the Braves as a whole. I liked Diaz leading off last summer, but honestly, he was in the middle of one of his streaks and that’s probably not an accurate idea of his ability. Maybe Schafer becomes our leadoff in a year or two, I hope we get one eventually.

by bighop on Feb 4, 2010 11:32 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I don’t think that is a very fair way to qualify someone as streaky. Everyone has poorer numbers in losses…. and is kinda why we lose those games. Also we tend to face the best pitchers in loses, hince the worse numbers. Now if you want to bring up week-to-week stats for month-to-month stats then fine, but win-loss stats are pretty worthless.

by bbxxj on Feb 4, 2010 11:33 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Analyzing the win-loss stats of Nate in a vacuum I agree is worthless. If we also had the numbers on everybody else and Nate had a greater disparity than those guys, the point could be made, but his numbers in and of themselves don’t tell us jack. Conversely, if his numbers are better than the other fellas, the argument explodes and leaves a sticky mess everywhere.

by J-Freak on Feb 4, 2010 12:12 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

That is quite a spread though

And look at his #s at Turner Field…he actually walked a lot there.

His #s at PNC were outstanding. Understandably…it’s a nice HS field.

by flyers13 on Feb 4, 2010 11:35 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

That is quite a spread though

What is?

by bbxxj on Feb 4, 2010 11:43 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

The variance

Equal amount of wins to losses, and he appeared to contribute nothing to the losses.

Even if you lose, that’s no excuse not to hit closer to your avg, and if when you win you bat forty points higher, that indicates to me that the guy is a catalyst for us winning or losing.

I daresay if you looked at everyone’s splits most guys would be closer to their avgs, and still produce in losing efforts from time to time.

Not .40 pts in either direction….with no power numbers in losses.

by flyers13 on Feb 4, 2010 11:46 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Please use the 'reply' function

Lets use this equation to see if you are right:

OPS in losses – OPS in wins = x

McLouth: -.248
Prado: -.169
Chipper: -.394
Glaus(08): -.108
McCann: -.335
Escobar: -.316
Diaz: -.122
Cabrera: -166

TEAM: -236

So it turns out your theory was completely incorrect as every single player did considerably worse in losses and McLouth was actually less ‘streaky’ than the team average.

by bbxxj on Feb 4, 2010 12:05 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I hate to be the Grinch here, but McLouth actually was worse than that avg, although he was close. Far more telling, however, are the numbers on Chip, McCann, and Esco, the big run-producers whose disparities were far worse. +1 for doing the research, btw.

by J-Freak on Feb 4, 2010 12:15 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I hate to be the Grinch here, but McLouth actually was worse than that avg

Ah, good catch. Supid adding and subracting with + and – numbers. He was slightly worse but not by much.

by bbxxj on Feb 4, 2010 12:18 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Never thought of breaking down game splits like that

Thank you for further fueling my nerdery.

"...Braves tie! ...Braves tie! ...Braves tie!"

by The Keith Lockhart Era on Feb 4, 2010 8:23 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, its a good way to tell how important a player is to a team’s success.

by bbxxj on Feb 4, 2010 8:33 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Holy crap, what a negabrave.

by Bobby Cocks on Feb 4, 2010 12:54 PM EST via mobile reply actions   0 recs

Don’t say that word out loud, unless you want to get shot…

"Hey Fat Kid...the monster is right behind you! RUNNNN!!" -The Host

by bwellnjonesco on Feb 4, 2010 2:30 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Yikes...all kinds of things wrong with your argument,

but it looks like the guys above covered mostly everything, so I’ll leave you with this wonderful quote from Bobby Cox: “If you can’t be an optimist in February, you probably shouldn’t be in the game!”

"Sometimes I wonder what'd it be like to be outside and not hear the birds chirping...I think it'd be kind of nice."

by alligatorimpersonator on Feb 4, 2010 1:02 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

This.

"...Braves tie! ...Braves tie! ...Braves tie!"

by The Keith Lockhart Era on Feb 4, 2010 8:24 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Everybody's tied on April 4!

Hope Springs Eternal and This Is The Year and all that jazz…

by J-Freak on Feb 5, 2010 8:42 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

That was funny to read.

Dude knows nothing about the Braves at all.

by BravesRaleigh on Feb 4, 2010 3:27 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Kawakami & Saito = heart of franchise.

"...Braves tie! ...Braves tie! ...Braves tie!"

by The Keith Lockhart Era on Feb 4, 2010 8:25 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

One Thing

is that you look at any championship team. Look at football, basketball, and baseball. The teams that have won championships are lead and filled with seasoned veterans. They not only provide experience to the teams but they provide your team with leadership for the young players. They get everyone on the same page. They have the knowledge to pass along to others so that they can improve. Hell Terry Pendleton is not our hitting coach anymore. Chipper is he advises the entire team anyways. If he is in a slump he goes to his dad. Though there is a core of seasoned individuals we need them to guide the ship.

by ChipperForManager on Feb 4, 2010 5:24 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

seriously?

The Jordan Schafer Fan Club.

by acie4mvp on Feb 4, 2010 9:56 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Balls to speak = rec

Though I have to say that your blogging was full of doom and dispair, Your point about age is well taken. As a true braves fan I hope you are totally wrong.
Yes, it sounds like Larry Wayne peaked a couple of years ago….and though he played in more games last year…he played hurt and his poor August showed that he could not be depended on to carry us down the stretch. This past year …was it his flexor muscle?

With advances in medicine and health players at certain positions can perform at top level into their 40s. What can we expect? Can our over the hill gang get us to the World Series….maybe not but maybe enough for a post season run…as a True Braves fan this would be more than nice.

by bravestatoo on Feb 4, 2010 10:47 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

I still don’t get the whole age thing…it is a non-factor.

"My team of nine guys who hit like Albert Pujols and never ever bunt just beat your team with one Shane Victorino 472 to 3."

by justincredubil02 on Feb 5, 2010 8:59 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

experience

I have been a fan since 1966 so, age to me is relative. That is why I said “At certain positions” Those positions….you don’t need a near 40 year old in;
1. center field
2. left field
3. 3rd

Ok;
I think as a RP it is acceptable…(but as a only option closer, maybe not)
First base would be debatable….
All of the above is pure speculation but barring some kind of (legal) medical breakthrough, I will just continue to cross my fingers extra tight

by bravestatoo on Feb 6, 2010 12:33 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

We don’t have any old at any of those positions – except third, but that is Chipper Jones – an exception to the rule.

My point is simply this – the Braves are not an old team. The Phillies have more guys in their 30s than the Braves do. The Braves average age is like 3/10 higher than the WS champs from last season.

People who are saying that the Braves have serious age concerns are just ignoring reality.

"My team of nine guys who hit like Albert Pujols and never ever bunt just beat your team with one Shane Victorino 472 to 3."

by justincredubil02 on Feb 6, 2010 1:22 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

two cogs

When you are depending on two “old” Players (and another in reserve to them) for middle of the order production….then there is a problem…..
Also, I would think that if your set-up man/Closer are old enough be the father’s (biologicly speaking) to a third of the pitching staff this could be a problem too.
…..This situation can not be compared to the Yankees (or Boston when they won) who won last year or in the past because of the shear numbers of the “old” players they had on their team or the quality of the supporting cast. (not counting milk)….

by bravestatoo on Feb 8, 2010 12:42 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Not true.

"My team of nine guys who hit like Albert Pujols and never ever bunt just beat your team with one Shane Victorino 472 to 3."

by justincredubil02 on Feb 8, 2010 2:39 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Couldn’t have said it better myself.

"Sometimes I wonder what'd it be like to be outside and not hear the birds chirping...I think it'd be kind of nice."

by alligatorimpersonator on Feb 8, 2010 11:17 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I love that this post is still here

The title is awesome. I wanna steal it for my book (doesn’t matter that my book isn’t about baseball). If it were just a little longer, it would be epic.

“The Curse of the Myth of Larry Wayne ‘Chipper’ Jones.”

Who wouldn’t buy that based on just the weird/unwieldy title?

by Bronn on Feb 8, 2010 2:51 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Dude, every time I come on the site and I look to the right and see the title I laugh. It’s just so ridiculous. It sounds like the name of a Hardy Boys book.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Feb 8, 2010 5:15 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

That’s exactly what it makes me think of.

by Bronn on Feb 8, 2010 7:14 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I owned/read every single one of those as a kid…I wish I still had them. Maybe they are still in my parents’ garage…

"My team of nine guys who hit like Albert Pujols and never ever bunt just beat your team with one Shane Victorino 472 to 3."

by justincredubil02 on Feb 8, 2010 9:26 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I remember reading them when I was like six and thinking, “This isn’t very well written.”

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Feb 8, 2010 11:16 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

But we all wanted to have a friend like Chet

by Bronn on Feb 9, 2010 1:44 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Shows how much I remember them, I don’t even remember who that is. I do remember that a week after I read my last Hardy Boys book I read the first of Kevin Eastman’s Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles comics.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Feb 9, 2010 2:19 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

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