Braves 2010 Season in Review: David Ross
Throughout the last few years, Braves Country has been a little dry in the backup catcher department. We've been forced to witness as guys like Todd Pratt, Brayan Pena, and Corky Miller gear up, whenever Brian McCann needed a day off or was on the disabled list, and the Jarrod Saltalamacchia ship just never quite took off. Going into the 2009 season, the Braves made sure to do something about this gaping wound, and did it the hard way - they bought themselves a free agent.
As much as baseball fans love it when the team finds the gem in the minor leagues, or acquires a steal of a player that produces huge, on a minor league deal, sometimes you have to stop trying to find value, and go out and get what you paid for. And in the case of David Ross, the Braves didn't quite get what they paid for - they got more.
Entering the second year of a 2-year/$3 million dollar contract, with a very successful 2009 behind him, Braves fans had plenty of reason to be optimistic if ever Brian McCann were to get hurt, or needed a day off or two. Ross shined admirably in 2009, with a .273 batting average, and cumulative .888 OPS while hitting seven homers, as well as gunning down 48% of would-be base stealers, contributing +2.0 WAR, essentially contributing more value in that year than the entire worth of his contract, mostly off the bench, no less.
2010 was about as nice for David Ross, overall. As far as backup catchers go, David Ross was so good, he was essentially declared the Perfect Backup Catcher, by Matt Klaassen of FanGraphs. Simply taking a glance around some of the other teams in the National League, shows that few teams are getting the combination of batting average, on-base percentage, or power out of their backup catchers, and looking specifically at the teams who have All-Star caliber (or used to) catchers (Yadier Molina, Carlos Ruiz, and for giggles, Geovany Soto and J Russell Martin) let's compare all the backups:
| G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | XBH | RBI | BB | SO | CS | CS% | |
| David Ross, ATL | 59 | 145 | .289 | .392 | .479 | 17 | 28 | 20 | 28 | 8 | 31% |
| Brian Schneider, PHI | 47 | 147 | .240 | .345 | .384 | 9 | 15 | 19 | 25 | 8 | 21% |
| Koyie Hill, CHC | 77 | 231 | .214 | .254 | .298 | 15 | 17 | 12 | 61 | 8 | 18% |
| A.J. Ellis, LAD | 44 | 128 | .278 | .363 | .324 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 18 | 10 | 28% |
| Jason LaRue, STL | 29 | 63 | .196 | .274 | .321 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 50% |
Sure my stat choices are a little cherry-picked, and doesn't factor the disparity that some guys have more starts/appearances than others, but it gets the point across that amongst guys that are on the bench to be the backup catcher, there's little comparison that David Ross simply outclasses his competition.
Let's look at his numbers across the board: Ross quite literally had a career year, setting new personal bests with a career-high .289 batting average, as well as a career-high .392 on-base percentage. He sacrificed a little bit of power this year, with his slugging dropping to a still above-average .479 SLG, but one very good area of improvement which should be noted was the noticeable cut in strikeouts. Striking out only 28 times in his 145 plate appearances, on top of the 20 walks drawn, gives him a ratio of 1.4 K/BB, which is basically an entire strikeout better than his prior average of 2.4.
Ross leveled off his swing just a little bit this year, as indicative of the drastic increase of ground balls (38%) versus the noticeable drop in fly balls (41%), but David was still doing a good job of hitting line drives (20.7%), and they were falling mostly in the right places, based on his career-high .359 BABIP. A noticeable thing in Ross's splits is the difference in his approach based on the throwing arm of the pitcher; while he does an excellent job of hurting lefties (.308/.360/.526) he's clearly swinging a lot harder, based on the 19 strikeouts, but against RHPs, his approach and results are completely reversed; he's average with the bat (.256/.439/.395), but he's nursed out 13 walks versus nine strikeouts.
But the best thing about David Ross in 2010, simply put was how clutch the guy way. Based on Baseball-Reference's Clutch Stats index, in a year where far too many guys were inept with 2 outs, RISP, David Ross was a stud. 28 times he came to the plate with RISP, and seven times, he recorded a hit, five times, an XBH, and once a homer. Three times, he nursed out a walk, all culminating to a fancy .280/.357/.560 slash with two-outs, RISP. Furthermore, David Ross was a real general at leading comebacks. Progressively looking at whether the Braves were down 4 runs, 3 runs, 2 runs, 1 run, or are were in a tied game, Ross essentially became a tougher and tougher out, with the latter line showing a beastly .448/.467/.724 slash. Off the top of my head, I can vaguely recollect several instances where Ross came in late in the game, and drew walks, or hit something the other way, to score runs, or keep a rally moving.
Overall, David Ross was worth +1.6 WAR, according to FanGraphs. Yes, it's lower than the previous year's, but it was no less important to have his contributions to this playoff-caliber team. Break it down into win shares, and a guy making $1.5M on the year just contributed $6.5 worth of contributions. Not too shabby.
Next Year:
David Ross has apparently found something he likes in Atlanta, and certainly has no problem being second-fiddle to Brian McCann. For an organization that prides itself on integrity, and good characters, they've figuratively struck gold with David Ross, who despite the popular notion that he could start for many other MLB clubs, has decided to stay in Atlanta for two more years, signing another two year deal, worth $3.25M, effectively keeping him a Brave until 2013.
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Do you know why I love David Ross?
He’s good, really damn good. He could easily find a starting gig on the open market. Yet, he chooses to accept a lesser role in Atlanta for a comparatively modest salary.
I don’t know why he does it, but I love him for it.
"The WAR folks like yunel apparently. i know this, bobby cox hated going to war with this guy." - Jon Heyman
Beyond the Box Score / Capitol Avenue Club / shwitter: @CapitolAvenue
If we could add an Eli Marrero type...
i.e. C with positional value too off the bench, I’d love to see Ross work some at 1B to spell Freeman (or in case the kid falters there). But without a legit 3rd C on the roster, it kind of forces him to such a small amount of use. Because his # of PAs seems awfully small for someone who’s hit as well as he has the past two seasons.
http://sportsandgrits.blogspot.com/
I know, I was really hoping we could snag Brandon Inge somehow.
by king of games on Nov 9, 2010 10:01 AM EST up reply actions
Matt diaz
"I wasn’t thinking about it. That’s the worst celebration of all time. I didn’t know what to do. I got lost in the moment." - Brian McCann
by HansonManCrush on Nov 9, 2010 12:09 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
Diaz is an emergency catcher, Inge actually was a catcher before he was moved to 3rd.
by king of games on Nov 9, 2010 12:16 PM EST up reply actions
ive been thinking this a lot
a third catcher lets us pinch hit Ross! I think that just wasn’t the way Bobby wanted to do it, but what will Fredi do? With the team’s below averae performance against lefties, at minimum it would be nice to be in position to get him a pinch hit at bat against them.
3rd Catcher is Overrated
I agree that Ross should get some time at 1B spelling Freeman. I really can’t imagine him being that bad when players like Dunn and Glaus to a lesser extent managed to play someone competently.
I’d be willing to take on the unlikely risk that someone other than McCann or Ross has to play catcher. Here’s how it would happen:
Tough left-handed pitcher (~15% of games)—→Ross Starts
Righty reliever comes in and Freeman pinch hits/defensive replacement (~85% of Ross’ starts)
McCann then gets injured (<5% of (85% * 15%))=0.64%
Since these situations would likely arise in close games, let’s assume random 3rd string (Infante)comes in and our chances of winning go from 50% to 25%.
Our win probability on any given day (all games included), from potential catastrophic injury decreases our chances of winning by 0.32%. I think I’m willing to take that risk to get the added production Ross would give when a tough lefty starts (and just to give Freeman a break).
correct me if my math/assumptions are off.
How about getting Mac some reps at First V-Mart style? I remember reading something 2-3 years ago that Mac would probably need to be moved to first eventually to save his knees anyway.
by king of games on Nov 9, 2010 12:19 PM EST up reply actions
As for an Eli Marrero type...
…how about Ryan Doumit for left field? He’s a pretty poor defensive catcher, but certainly can play catcher, and his bat, while not great, has potential. He is a switch hitter (although he hits righties better than lefties) and is owed $5.1 million this year with $500K buyout for future options that will not be exercised. Per MLBTR, the Pirates want to move him as a salary dump, so we could get him for little in prospect.
If we can’t find anything better for left, it is an interesting idea. He might be a couple million more than a comparable LF, but he would let us use our existing assets better.
Interesting idea...
he’s hit better in the past, although certainly not the slugger we want for LF. He kind of fits with the idea of Brandon Inge above, and floated earlier on TC before Inge resigned with the Tigers. Kind of like Inge, but younger. I’d be intrigued by the idea, and wonder what the Priates were wanting in return.
http://sportsandgrits.blogspot.com/
I have no idea, but..
…per MLBTR, they were just trying to dump him. (It was in their catcher trade market thing from the start of October.)
Wonder if they'd be willing to take on cash...
in KK, who could be a definite part of their rotation, if we send them some respectable prospects instead of just giving them salary relief from Doumit’s deal.
http://sportsandgrits.blogspot.com/
I doubt they would take on cash.
They want to shed salary more than anything. Still, Doumit is only five and a half million and if we can get him for Jesse Chavez, we have the money to pay him. And he does not come with a long term commitment. Honestly, I would prefer doing that to say, signing Pat Burrell for the same money.
I like it. Somebody get a memo to Wren.
by king of games on Nov 9, 2010 5:07 PM EST up reply actions
David Ross is the man.
I did a study earlier this year and found that Ross was better than at least half of the starting catchers in MLB; since then, he only played better. Despite getting less than half the PAs that most starters get, he’s placed 14th and 20th in catcher WAR the last two years. Give him more PAs and there’s probably only 5-6 guys who are clearly ahead of Ross.
Throw in his good defense and the fact that everyone loves him, and he’s a huge, huge bargain. Probably the biggest bargain in baseball (not counting pre-arb. players), in fact.
"Yeah, and I have an enchanted jock strap." -- Karl Karlson
Regarding Ross being the biggest bargain in baseball...
Evan Longoria would like to have a word with you. :)
by dunnytwogloves on Nov 9, 2010 11:23 AM EST up reply actions
You know what this is
Say you had a friend that happened to run into a guy who had to leave the country forever in five minutes, and at the risk of making zero return on everything he owns, he sells him his Porsche 911 Turbo for literally all the cash he had in his wallet at the moment. Naturally, he is the target of envy from everyone else you know.
Another friend of yours finds an extremely rare 1995 Dodge Caravan Turbo and buys it for $2,500 on the spot. It runs great, is deceptively fast, he smokes all the kids in their pocket rockets who think nothing more than an unsuspecting minivan, and brings him a great deal of joy. It’s no 911 Turbo, but was still a fantastic investment.
You just can’t compare Longoria to anyone else. He’s practically the biggest exception in sports contracts, that has contributed $46M worth of production to every $1M he’s been paid, compared to Ross and his $5/1 ratio while on the Braves. But he’s our turbo minivan, damn it, and he makes me happy!
No wonder nobody likes you, Tuttle... everything's a (Pujols) damn debate.
by royhobbs on Nov 9, 2010 12:04 PM EST up reply actions 2 recs
Can we please, please, PLEASE
start calling Ross “Turbo Minivan”? I know it’s a long nickname, but sometimes the long ones are the best.
"If I have asthma, they won't let me scuba. And if I can’t scuba, then what’s this all been about?? What am I working toward??"
"You look like you should be married to one of the San Diego Padres."
I'm making this official.
'Terrible preview...pretty weak, didn't learn anything new. pretty sad." - mastermike
by Scott Coleman on Nov 9, 2010 1:17 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
Love Ross
But does anyone really believe he would be nearly as good as a full-time starter? He is the perfect back-up and the Braves are mega-lucky that he wants to stay in Atlanta but his numbers would be significantly lower if he were getting 500 at bats per year. That being said, I still can’t think of another guy I would want backing up Brian more than Ross.
Actually yes
The most variable factor is simply his stamina, but basically, break down his numbers over the last 4-5 years, and he would be averaging around 17-20 HR, while hitting around a .245/.345/.450 clip, with a K/BB ratio of around 2 in about 140 games a year. It’s not nearly as sexy as his part-time numbers, but such alone is still very adequate and likely better than a lot of MLB teams’ current starting catchers.
No wonder nobody likes you, Tuttle... everything's a (Pujols) damn debate.
I remember when he was signed
I remember when Ross was signed by the Braves. You’d have thought that it was for 10 years and $200 million the way so many fans reacted. “Worst signing ever” and similar nonsense was said at the time. I’m happy he re-signed and I was happy with the original deal.
Are you sure that was here?
I recollect a lot of relief and satisfaction that it would be a guy like Ross and not Pratt, Corky, or Pena anymore.
No wonder nobody likes you, Tuttle... everything's a (Pujols) damn debate.
Ross is the best backup catcher in the league.
"Tony Gwynn made sacrifices. Cal Ripken made sacrifices. I'm not sure Derek Jeter made sacrifices given the ungodly deep pockets the Yankees have." - Chipper Jones
by MBL1 on Nov 9, 2010 11:01 AM EST via mobile reply actions
Good ol' Turbo Minivan
I like David Ross a whole lot. He’s apparently a very nice guy and a solid player.
Also, his thighs are off the hook.
The South shall rise again! And it will have a tender, flaky crust!
Best spot starting catcher in the Majors
Notice I didn’t put the backup label on Ross b/c he is way better than any other supposed backup catcher in Majors.
by Holty_Panthers_Fan on Nov 9, 2010 9:34 PM EST reply actions
3rd option
When we know that we are going up against a club with at least two lefty’s scheduled against us…call up our best farm hand as a back-up…we needed to do that more often last year because Mac was wore out by September.
Ross has quickly become one of my favorites of the club…What a tremendous team player!
it just felt right and the chance to go to the postseason is hard to pass up. I’ve always respected their orginization… and Bobby…I’m excited. I’m looking forward to it...Derrek Lee (at press conference sayiing he had been traded to the Braves)

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