FanPost

(Expanded) The Braves vs. Bad Pitching: An exercise in selective memory

When the season ended I said I was going to look at how the Braves fared against bad and/or inexperienced pitching in 2010. It seemed like all an opposing team had to do to beat us was throw out a bum middle reliever for a spot start or promote a guy from AAA for one game. Our players seemed to just quit against poorer opponents.

But is that actually what happened?

Of the starting pitchers the 2010 Braves faced, I narrowed the list down to pitchers who had a 4.30 FIP or higher (MLB average was 4.08) or who had fewer than 10 starts all season (not counting Strasburg, for obvious reasons).

From my last post, the numbers have been slightly adjusted (removed two pitchers whose FIP I'd misread).

 

Pitcher

2010 FIP

IP in starts vs ATL

BB:K vs ATL

ERA vs ATL

Todd Wellemeyer

6.28

6.1

4:4

5.68

Andrew Miller

6.23

8.0

7:8

5.62

Greg Smith

6.08

5.1

7:5

3.37

Jordan Zimmerman

5.85

5.0

1:5

1.80

John Maine

5.78

3.2

2:3

2.45

Dontrelle Willis

5.62

4.0

6:2

4.50

Charlie Morton

5.29

6.0

3:3

3.00

Andrew Oliver

5.26

6.0

1:4

3.00

Doug Davis

5.22

5.2

6:4

4.76

Rodrigo Lopez

5.21

8.0

2:5

1.13

Yunesky Maya

5.16

11.1

6:3

6.35

Dave Bush

5.13

12.0

5:8

3.75

Luis Atilano

5.00

5.1

5:4

10.13

Jamie Moyer

4.98

20.1

3:12

3.10

J.D. Martin

4.97

5.0

2:2

5.40

Zach Duke

4.95

13.1

4:9

7.43

Brian Burres

4.93

11.0

3:5

4.09

Brian Bannister

4.93

4.0

3:2

11.25

Kyle Kendrick

4.88

20.0

7:8

1.35

Randy Wolf

4.85

6.0

3:4

4.50

Nate Robertson

4.80

6.0

2:5

0.00

Wade LeBlanc

4.80

6.0

4:5

3.00

Wade Davis

4.79

5.0

3:5

5.40

Miguel Batista

4.76

5.0

1:6

0.00

Kevin Correia

4.71

5.2

4:3

3.18

Mike Leake

4.68

6.0

1:6

1.50

Bronson Arroyo

4.61

7.0

3:3

0.00

Aaron Harang

4.60

6.0

1:4

6.00

Manny Parra

4.50

5.1

2:4

16.88

John Lannan

4.47

11.1

4:11

3.18

Kyle Davies

4.46

4.1

7:6

8.31

Scott Olsen

4.45

18.1

4:13

2.95

Ross Ohlendorf

4.44

3.2

3:3

14.73

Kyle Lohse

4.42

11.1

3:3

3.97

Jon Garland

4.41

5.0

1:3

7.20

John Ely

4.38

5.0

2:2

7.20

Joe Blanton

4.34

13.0

4:5

6.23

Chris Volstad

4.34

14.0

3:6

2.57

JA Happ

4.32

6.1

4:6

1.42

Jorge de la Rosa

4.30

7.0

1:7

2.57

Dillon Gee*

4.20

7.0

3:3

3.86

Pat Misch*

3.64

3.0

0:1

15.00

Esmil Rogers*

3.44

1.2

1:3

37.80

Vance Worley*

3.16

5.0

2:3

0.00

Total Average

4.54

 

1.51 K/BB

4.38

Vs LHP

4.53

 

1.72 K/BB

4.45

Vs RHP

4.54

 

1.35 K/BB

4.31

*This pitcher had an FIP lower than the 4.30 minimum, but was not a full-time starter in the majors.

After correcting the data, I was surprised to actually see a small reverse split in ERA.

It's very easy (and embarrassing) to remember domination at the hands of Dr. Parnassus Jamie Moyer. However, we tend to forget annihilating Zach Duke on multiple occasions, and hitting Manny Parra so hard that his altercation with Prince Fielder seems pleasant by comparison.

Fans of every baseball team will probably tell you that their club struggles against inexperienced or ineffective pitchers, and it is certainly true that all offenses will seem to take the day off against a punching bag now and then. However, that is more the product of painful fan memories than reality.

This FanPost does not express the views or opinions of Talking Chop.

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