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Atlanta Braves Top-10 Relief Pitcher Prospects: 1-5

And here are the final five. Or the first five, however you want to look at it.  Sorry for the last post.

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1. Craig Kimbrel - B/T: R/R, Born: 05/28/1988, Ht: 5'11" Wt: 205 - Craig Kimbrel put together one of the most memorable seasons from a minor league/rookie reliever that I can remember. You can read more about his excellent major league season here. Craig did shuttle back and forth between Atlanta and Gwinnett a couple of times this season. When he was in Gwinnett he pitched 55+ innings, posting a 1.62 ERA, 23 saves, 28 hits allowed, 83K (13.4 K/9) and 35 BB (5.7 BB/9).  He overpowers hitters with a fastball that runs from 95-98 with heavy sinking movement that induces ground balls on the rare occasions hitters actually make contact with it. His fastball can be so overpowering that hitters have to sit on it and react awkwardly when he throws his breaking ball which was much more consistent than in years past giving him a second plus pitch that makes facing him even more unfair. The only knock on Kimbrel (and it has the potential to be a big knock) are the copious numbers of walks he yields. The silver lining in that cloud is that he improved each month he spent in Atlanta posting a 33.3% walk rate in May, 17.4% in June and finally just 7.9% in September where he saw the most use. Kimbrel has all the makings of a frontline closer for the next several years as long as he can keep the walks under control just enough so they don't hurt him. Look for him to get every chance to win the closer's job out of spring training.

2. Michael Dunn - B/T: L/L, Born: 05/23/1985, Ht: 6'1" Wt: 195  In case you hadn't heard, Mike Dunn was traded to the Marlins for a defensive replacement second baseman. 

3. Stephen Marek - B/T: L/R, Born: 09/03/1983, Ht: 6'2" Wt: 230 - The last remaining piece of the Mark Teixeira trade, Stephen Marek did his best to recoup some value this season. After an abysmal 2009 season that saw him walk 36 batters in 45 innings and post a combined ERA of 6.00 most people had written Marek off as a lost cause. 2010 was saw a completely different player emerge as he reeled off 13 innings of scoreless baseball in Mississippi before getting a promotion to Gwinnett where he didn't slow down much going on to post a 1.43 ERA in 50 innings along with 56 K and just 19 BB. He is a big bodied pitcher who can get his fastball up to 95 with a good slider that produces it's share of swings and misses. The key to his success in 2010 was his regained control and 2009 is looking more like an anomaly than his true talent. Look for him to get a shot in spring training if someone else falters. 

4. Cory Gearrin - B/T: R/R, Born: 04/14/1986, Ht: 6'3" Wt: 205 - 2010 saw Cory Gearrin get lost in the shuffle in Gwinnett when Dunn, Marek and Kimbrel were all posting sub 2.00 ERAs, he was just going out doing business as usual. He followed up a stellar 2009 season with a solid showing in Gwinnett, posting a 3.36 ERA in 80 innings with 66K and 32BB. One of the biggest reasons he succeeded in 2009 is that he walked just under 6% of the hitters he faced which was a huge improvement over his previous efforts. He regressed a bit in 2010, walking closer to 10% of batters he faced. He has also seen his K% drop from from the 30% range in 2007-2008 down to 19.4% in 2010. Cory brings the ball from a low sidearm slot that puts lots of sink on his fastball that induced more than 60% ground balls this year. He also throws a solid slider that works as his out pitch. Cory was recently added to the 40 man roster and will get a long look in spring training but seeing as Peter Moylan currently holds the position of sidearming ground ball specialist expect him to start the year back in Gwinnett waiting for the first opportunity.

5. Kyle Cofield -  B/T: R/R, Born: 01/23/1987, Ht: 6'5" Wt: 230 - Kyle Cofield has been around for a long time in prospect years but is still just 23 years old. He has always been known as a hard thrower with a good pitcher's body but has never produced the way a fireballer should, posting low strike out totals and living off his ability to induce ground balls. He gained some notoriety in 2010 when he stuck around big league camp longer than anyone anticipated when Bobby Cox developed a man crush on him. He was eventually cut and started the season in Mississippi (on the 40 man roster) but missed nearly 2 months due to an injury. Before the injury he had been used primarily as a starter for most of his career, but once he returned he pitched out of the bullpen and that will likely be his ticket to the majors. In the past he has struggled with his control (he issued 89 walks in 2009) but in 2010 he cut nearly 5% from his walk ratio in 2009 while raising his K% from 13.*% to 15.4%. With so many guys slotted ahead of him Cofield has an uphill battle in getting to the majors, but don't be surprised if he gets a longer look than anticipated for a second straight year and eventually makes his debut if injuries take their toll. 

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Seems like the only locks for this years pen are Kimbrel, Venters and O’Flaherty.

 Moylan can be re-signed and Martinez is available for mop up duty. Gearrin, Marek, Proctor, Hyde, Cofield, Abreu, Ascencio and a couple others will fight it out for the other 2 spots.

But if Wren brings in a vet reliever or two, there are a lot of potential relievers with no chance to play in Atlanta, short an injury or problem arising. I know that’s a good thing, but I can’t get the thought out of my head….if the Braves have a surplus of pitching, why sign a FA reliever? I don’t mind the thought of signing a veteran, Kimbrel only has about 30 innings in MLB, but I hate the thought of all these good arms hanging out in Gwinnett.

Free Matt Young!

by bighop on Nov 26, 2010 8:43 PM EST reply actions  

I would think Kimbrel, Venters, EOF, Moylan, and Martinez all seem like good bets to me. Like you, I wouldn’t mind signing a reliever and I’m leaning more towards that direction, but I also wouldn’t mind seeing some of the young guns make the bullpen .

by Braves24 on Nov 26, 2010 10:23 PM EST up reply actions  

Scott Proctor has a Major League contract and can’t be optioned to the Minors. Whether folks like it or not, he’s a lock.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it:
http://www.amazon.com/Four-C-B-Wilkins/dp/1449578454/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1257720610&sr=1-1
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Nov 26, 2010 11:22 PM EST up reply actions  

"can't be optioned to the Minors"

Did not know that, thanks

Free Matt Young!

by bighop on Nov 26, 2010 11:26 PM EST up reply actions  

Defensive Replacement 2B?

Why not just Uggla?

"I'm gonna get drunk and play video games till my eyes bleed"- It's Always Sunny in Philly

by KINGSLYTUT on Nov 26, 2010 8:59 PM EST reply actions  

sarcasm

I mean, it got a chuckle outta me

by RufRider on Nov 26, 2010 10:26 PM EST up reply actions  

That “WHOOOSH” sound you hear is the joke flying over your head.

ATTENTION CITIZENS: DAN UGGLA IS NOT A THIRD BASEMAN. That is all.

by J-Freak on Nov 27, 2010 1:30 AM EST up reply actions  

lol

was going to post the exact same thing.

"That guy mvhsbball is really an insufferable schmuck." - FuquaManuel

by Scott Coleman on Nov 27, 2010 1:58 AM EST up reply actions  

My Paul Clemens sense is tingling

No homo. Clemens should def. be above Cofield, IMO. He wasn’t on the top RHP Starters, so I really expected him on this one.

"Check out this bitchin' homemade tesla coil!"

by bwellnjonesco on Nov 26, 2010 9:55 PM EST via mobile reply actions  

we ranked clemens as a starter after he performed better in that role this year and he was the last man left of the list.

by yondaime4 on Nov 26, 2010 10:32 PM EST up reply actions  

Fair enough. Can’t wait to see him, no matter how he’s used.

"Check out this bitchin' homemade tesla coil!"

by bwellnjonesco on Nov 26, 2010 10:49 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Beachy

Where would he be ranked as reliever if he didn’t become a starter? #2?3?

I think he makes team from spring training as bullpen guy. Diamond and Teheran will be insurance at AAA as starters.

by Braves12 on Nov 26, 2010 10:36 PM EST via mobile reply actions  

I expect Beachy to be in AAA as the insurance, Teheran is mid to late season insurance

Free Matt Young!

by bighop on Nov 26, 2010 10:38 PM EST up reply actions  

Beachy in AAA would be a waste IMO. He would be a great long relief/spot starter, that has proven he can move from bullpen to rotation in a snap..

"Check out this bitchin' homemade tesla coil!"

by bwellnjonesco on Nov 26, 2010 10:45 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Maybe so, my opinion comes from the high praise Wren and Cox laid on him after his call up, I feel like they see him as a starter, not a pen guy.

Free Matt Young!

by bighop on Nov 26, 2010 11:07 PM EST up reply actions  

He's got 24 career professional starts

If you ever want him to be a starting pitcher, he’s going to need to get stretched out in that role for an extended period of time.

by nixa37 on Nov 26, 2010 11:20 PM EST up reply actions  

Exactly

Beachy barely has over 200 pro innings pitched and not much experience starting. The absolute best thing for Beachy would be to spend all of 2011 as a starter in AAA to gain more experience and stretch his arm out so he can jump into an MLB rotation if needed.

Beachy as a mop up guy is a waste. That’s what guys like Martinez who don’t really have a shot of being a good MLB starter are for.

Jason Heyward wins at baseball.

by bbxxj on Nov 26, 2010 11:47 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

I didn’t mean mop up, I meant a new version of Medlen, who pitched important innings for us in 2010 and won’t be available for most, if not all, of 2011.

2011 will be a big year for us, we need everything we can get..

"Check out this bitchin' homemade tesla coil!"

by bwellnjonesco on Nov 27, 2010 8:31 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Medlen was too valuable to be used in that spot in my opinion and obviously in the Braves opinion as they moved him full time to the rotation. Medlen also had quite a few starts at the AAA level before moving into that role which no matter the need in Atlanta, if Beachy is going to be a starter in the near future he needs AAA starts.

Jason Heyward wins at baseball.

by bbxxj on Nov 27, 2010 10:18 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

I def. see where your coming from.

For the sake of blogging, my opinion is that we wont need Beachy as a full time starter in the near future. If an injury occurs, Beachy has shown he can come in (after pitching relief) and make starts against the toughest opposition. I think we have awesome rotation depth, but only a few locks for the bullpen. We need Beachy pitching in ATL.

"Check out this bitchin' homemade tesla coil!"

by bwellnjonesco on Nov 27, 2010 10:51 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

But we won't need a spot starter early...

and Cristhian Martinez can fill the long relief role, or at least Martinez did extremely well in that role last year. So if he’s the “6th starter” it makes sense to keep his service time down and his arm stretched out in AAA since we’ve got plenty of relief arms that Beachy isn’t needed there.

http://sportsandgrits.blogspot.com/

by Mr. Sanchez on Nov 27, 2010 1:07 PM EST up reply actions  

Since Dunn is now a Marlin

we only saw 9 relievers in these two lists. Who who be the new 10th best??

by TBuzz on Nov 27, 2010 9:18 AM EST via mobile reply actions  

“Tha Buttmaster” Brett Butts.

"Check out this bitchin' homemade tesla coil!"

by bwellnjonesco on Nov 27, 2010 10:08 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Matt Fouch, Brent Butts, and Richard Sullivan were tied for the next spot.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it:
http://www.amazon.com/Four-C-B-Wilkins/dp/1449578454/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1257720610&sr=1-1
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Nov 27, 2010 12:43 PM EST up reply actions  

i feel the biggest miss on the list is because of me. benino pruneda should be 4th on the list (with dunn on), but when we did our personal rankings I didn’t rank him mostly out of lazy journalism on my part and he dropped down because we do averages between our individual ranking.

by yondaime4 on Nov 27, 2010 4:41 PM EST up reply actions  

please try to shape up.
we’re trying to run a tight ship around here and may have to put you on notice if we don’t see some improvements.

by fandave on Nov 27, 2010 9:58 PM EST up reply actions  

Thanks!

by TBuzz on Nov 27, 2010 4:44 PM EST via mobile reply actions  

Cofield

Why is he on this list? Seriously. His stats are terrible. No strikeouts. Bad ratios. He doesn’t have a high pedigree as a 8th-round pick. There are other guys in the system with 95 mph fastballs. Just don’t get the love. Not saying he won’t pan out, but why is he ranked high on so many lists? What am I missing?

by RotoPete on Dec 1, 2010 11:36 AM EST reply actions  

While it's probably like pick # 500 or 600...

and 8th round pick is still quite respectable. From what I can gather, 1s have a solid shot at making it, 2s and 3s less but still some. 4-10 are respectable, and it’s 11th round and higher that are the long shots (not counting overslot, signability types).

http://sportsandgrits.blogspot.com/

by Mr. Sanchez on Dec 1, 2010 3:04 PM EST up reply actions  

He’s on the 40 man roster. The Braves really like him. Who do you think should have been on the list instead?

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it:
http://www.amazon.com/Four-C-B-Wilkins/dp/1449578454/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1257720610&sr=1-1
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Dec 2, 2010 1:26 AM EST up reply actions  

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