Jim Rice vs. Dale Murphy
I realize that most people out in the baseball internet world are probably tired of hearing Braves fans moan about Dale Murphy not being in the Baseball Hall of Fame. On this Hall of Fame induction day I bring it up once again, without regrets. Here is a comparison of the career stats of Jim Rice, who will be inducted today, and Dale Murphy, who continues to be overlooked:
| Player/Stat | G | PA | R | H | 2B | HR | RBI | SB | BB | SO | BA | OBP | SLG |
| Jim Rice | 2089 | 9058 | 1249 | 2453 | 373 | 382 | 1451 | 58 | 670 | 1423 | .298 | .352 | .502 |
| Dale Murphy | 2180 | 9040 | 1197 | 2111 | 350 | 398 | 1266 | 161 | 986 | 1748 | .265 | .346 | .469 |
While Rice does have an edge in many categories, Murphy is pretty damn close, and close enough that his numbers should be good enough. Think of the other aspects of HOF credentials. Murphy has 5 gold gloves, Rice zero -- Murphy playing a premium defensive position of center and right field, while Rice was primarily a left fielder (and he DH'ed a lot). Murphy won 2 MVPs, Rice 1.
Rice probably has the better career offensive numbers, but that's not all that should be considered -- defense matters, too, and Murphy clearly has a major advantage in that department. Murphy was also a more valuable baserunner. Take all three of those aspects of offensive baseball together -- hitting, defense, and baserunning -- and Murphy is just as valuable as Jim Rice.
Maybe now that Rice is in, the writers who vote will realize that Dale Murphy is deserving too. There is no doubt in my mind that if Murphy played most of his career for the Red Sox or Yankees that he would already be in the Hall.
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I don't think either should be in the Hall.
I mean come on. They were both good, but neither hit above .300 or even hit 400 homers. But I agree; if Rice gets in, so should Murphy.
by JurrjensFan on Jul 26, 2009 12:38 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Are the 2 HR
really that big of a deal?
Pete Rose was actually banned from baseball for teaching Jeff Francoeur how to play. He made up the gambling stuff to hide his shame.
by VivaLosBravos on Jul 26, 2009 12:48 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Just wait until McGriff doesn’t get any votes because he’s stuck on 493 HR. That guy is going to get the shaft because the strike cut into his two best seasons.
Q: If on-base pct is so important then why don't they put it on the scoreboard? -Failcoeur
A: Because the Braves don't want to show their fans how bad you suck.
by timmy3 on Jul 26, 2009 12:58 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Even if Murphy had hit 400,
he still shouldn’t be in the Hall. Maybe if he had hit somewhere around .300 for his career, I would at least consider voting him in.
by JurrjensFan on Jul 26, 2009 1:02 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
That's a much better argument.
Pete Rose was actually banned from baseball for teaching Jeff Francoeur how to play. He made up the gambling stuff to hide his shame.
by VivaLosBravos on Jul 26, 2009 1:17 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
i hope theres sarcasm there
its never a good argument with batting average as ur evidence… Ill make my case further down
Heyward,Hanson,and Shaffer r ready now!! Why do you think they havent signed the "right handed bat"?
by fatazfoot on Jan 7, 2009 8:59 PM EST
by Swo12bv on Jul 26, 2009 10:42 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Not sarcasm
AVG is obviously overrated as a stat, but a .265 BA is a liability to a HOF resume.
Being 2HR shy of an arbitrary milestone, however, should not be.
Pete Rose was actually banned from baseball for teaching Jeff Francoeur how to play. He made up the gambling stuff to hide his shame.
by VivaLosBravos on Jul 27, 2009 1:36 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Jim Rice has absolutely no business going into the HOF. How this guy is getting votes and Tim Raines isn’t confuses me to no end. I’m not sure that Murphy deserves to get in, though certainly if Rice deserves to he does. But Rice doesn’t deserve it.
Give me Raines who has more times on base than near unanimous first ballot HOF Tony Gwynn as well as nearly 500 more SB. Raines is basically being punished for walking too much, and only having 2,600 hits.
Q: If on-base pct is so important then why don't they put it on the scoreboard? -Failcoeur
A: Because the Braves don't want to show their fans how bad you suck.
by timmy3 on Jul 26, 2009 12:57 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I think both were good hitters, but I honestly don’t feel either should be in the Hall. Their numbers just weren’t good enough. There are lots of good hitters not in the hall. It’s not a popularity contest to get in.
by Sparhawk on Jul 26, 2009 12:59 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I agree.
It’s not like the writers are just regular fans. They only vote in the players who deserve to get in. It’s not a popularity contest with them.
by JurrjensFan on Jul 26, 2009 1:07 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
LOL. All it is is a popularity contest.
Q: If on-base pct is so important then why don't they put it on the scoreboard? -Failcoeur
A: Because the Braves don't want to show their fans how bad you suck.
by timmy3 on Jul 26, 2009 1:26 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
It's not the all-star game.
The writers vote, not the fans.
by JurrjensFan on Jul 26, 2009 1:43 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
The BBWAA hasn’t done a markedly better job than if it were a fan voting situation. These writers bring their own agendas to the table, instead of actually sitting down and looking at hard numbers and seeing which players are actually great, and which are merely good.
If it’s not a popularity contest then how the hell are Tom Seaver, Nolan Ryan and Cal Ripken the three highest % vote getters of all time? They certainly aren’t even in the discussion for the three greatest players of all time.
Q: If on-base pct is so important then why don't they put it on the scoreboard? -Failcoeur
A: Because the Braves don't want to show their fans how bad you suck.
by timmy3 on Jul 26, 2009 2:03 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well, you could argue Ryan does belong in that category, but yes, Seaver and Ripkin stick out.
by Bronn on Jul 26, 2009 5:00 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Ryan was a great pitcher, but I don’t think you could make a serious argument about him being one of the best ever. When he was on, he was as dominant as anyone, but he wasn’t on enough. I’d argue he’s one of the most overrated pitchers I’ve ever seen.
by Atlanta_Chris on Jul 26, 2009 10:02 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I got into a huge argument with some guys about this a few years back and they were baffled that I didn’t consider him one of the 10 best pitchers of all time until I laid down my argument. The only thing with Ryan that might lean me in that direction is his longevity. He was an above average pitcher in the MLB for 20 seasons. I don’t generally credit a guy with longevity, but it shouldn’t ever be credited against him and it should definitely be a positive when you hang around for a long time and are still good.
But you are right, season by season there is probably a better guy just about every year of Ryan’s career. But he is one of the few cases where the sum of the parts are greater than the whole (and his whole is already really really good anyways).
by yondaime4 on Jul 26, 2009 10:11 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
+1
And I think Ripken is sometime underrated due to overcompensation for being overrated.
Pete Rose was actually banned from baseball for teaching Jeff Francoeur how to play. He made up the gambling stuff to hide his shame.
by VivaLosBravos on Jul 27, 2009 1:38 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
You need to make up your mind....
….First you say Jim Rice shouldn’t be there, then say that the writers only vote in the players who deserve to get it. They voted Rice in. Do you think he deserves to be there or not?
"It breaks your heart. It is designed to break your heart. The game begins in the spring, when everything else begins again, and it blossoms in the summer, filling the afternoons and evenings, and then as soon as the chill rains come, it stops and leaves you to face the fall alone." A. Bartlett Giamatti
by sddbaker on Jul 26, 2009 11:21 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I hope this is sarcasm.
Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.
by MichaelProcton on Jul 27, 2009 2:54 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Murphy would be in if he were a BoSox.
Rice was a Fenway illusion anyways. A career .789 OPS on the road.
Q: If on-base pct is so important then why don't they put it on the scoreboard? -Failcoeur
A: Because the Braves don't want to show their fans how bad you suck.
by timmy3 on Jul 26, 2009 1:03 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Using Jim Rice as an argument for anyone getting into the Hall is a terrible argument. It’s even worse when you use a far inferior offensive player and Gold Gloves to make your case.
by 17843 on Jul 26, 2009 1:44 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
The best argument I could make for Murphy is that he was one of the two or three best hitters during the 80s. The problem is that he wasn’t even really dominant for the entire decade and for me thats where I would have a problem voting for him. He was only a dominant player for about 7 seasons. Definitely not enough for me to consider him a HOFer.
And this is coming from a guy who never had less than 4 posters in his room of Murphy and was present for his first return trip to Atlanta after the trade and was there the night his number was retired. He is and always will be my favorite baseball player, but I just can’t make the argument for him being a HOFer. If he had been productive until 93 or 94 then he would probably be a shoe in.
by yondaime4 on Jul 26, 2009 1:50 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Thanks for being sensible and rational.
Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.
by MichaelProcton on Jul 27, 2009 2:56 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Murphy Should be in the Hall !!
Murphy should be in the Hall of Fame, Jim Rice was no where near as good as Murphy although they have similar numbers. Let us not forget that Murphy never did any type of drugs, steroids, an never drank so he would be a great face to be in the Hall of Fame an a great face for MLB image especially with all the steriod/drug scandals etc…
Murphy should be in but I don’t think he will ever get that achievement.
by Holty_Panthers_Fan on Jul 26, 2009 2:16 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
You could make an argument that Murphy was the best player in the ’80s.
He’s also the kind of person the hall should be enbracing. One of the best teammates and characters to ever play the game. The Hall is primarily a fan attraction. In my opinion it should promote not just statistical excellence, but also the spirit of the game – guys who played the game the RIGHT way and were role models and pillars of the community. That’s the essence of baseball as a sport.
by DCP916 on Jul 26, 2009 3:42 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
If you’re gonna use that, why not vote Jack Morris in too?
by bigjoe on Jul 26, 2009 4:04 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
He'd have my vote...
But it was his Game 7 performance in the ’91 WS that earned him that kind of cred with me… so it is probably best to disregard anything I have to say on that matter. };0)
P.S. I still frakin’ hate the guy for killing us like that in ‘91, but I’ll give him props.
by Chopaholic on Jul 26, 2009 11:03 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Murphy's problem
Murphy was arguably the best hitter in the National league from 1982-1987 (the counter argument is Schmidt, which is a very strong argument, but I’ll put that aside). His biggest problem is that he never had a productive offensive season outside of those years. Before 1982, he had a bad year in 1981, a solid year in 1980, and a fairly average year in 1979. Following ‘87, he was just plain bad for the balance of his career. He led the league in GIDPs twice, and as a corner outfielder, he didn’t have any kind of the desired offensive production.
If he’d only been able to produce at a fairly average pace outside of those 6 peak seasons, he’d probably be much more worthy of hall consideration. But his overall numbers, even adjusted for era, don’t stand out as a result of the number of seasons where he was an offensive non-factor.
The comparison to Jim Rice just damages his HOF resume even more. Rice isn’t HOF worthy, but his offensive numbers are much better than Murphy’s. I really like Murph, and want good things for him, but window for greatness just wasn’t big enough.
by Bronn on Jul 26, 2009 5:19 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
One good indicator of whether or not you're HOF worthy
Is whether or not you can win an MVP in a year that wasn’t your personal best. Murphy won the MVP in 1982 and 1983. His best 5 years are as follows: 1987, 1983, 1985, 1984, 1982. If you can win the MVP in your 5th best year. Yeah. You know.
http://www.capitolavenueclub.com/
by PWHjort on Jul 26, 2009 7:22 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
but those were the only 5 seasons in which he could have been considered an MVP candidate. He actually received votes in 7 seasons. Obviously he finished first in 82 and 83. Here are the rest:
79: 12th
84: 9th
85: 7th
86: 21st
87: 11th
Only 4 top 10 MVP finishes and 2 top 5. For comparison’s sake Jim Rice had 6 top 5 finishes and received votes 8 times. Albert Pujols (I know another league) who also has 2 MVPs to his credit, has 7 Top 5 finishes. I can’t really in good conscience, consider Murph worthy. If he had finished the 80s the way he started, then I would guess he is a shoe in.
by yondaime4 on Jul 26, 2009 8:39 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well, 87 should have been a top 5 finish. No doubt. And you could argue 85 and 84 should be top 5’s. I would argue he should’ve finished 3rd in 1985 behind Pedro Guerrero and Dwight Gooden.
http://www.capitolavenueclub.com/
by PWHjort on Jul 26, 2009 9:13 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
LOL, you can’t argue that after the fact man. Especially considering how horrible those teams were. The only years the Braves contended during that span were 82 and 83. Sure he was one of the two or three best offensive players in 87 but the Braves still would have been horrible without him there.
by yondaime4 on Jul 26, 2009 10:05 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yes you can. You absolutely can. You don’t think voters consider these things? Of course they do.
http://www.capitolavenueclub.com/
by PWHjort on Jul 28, 2009 7:27 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't think so.
I don’t think they’re going to retroactively regrade MVP races in their own minds. Murphy wasn’t great enough for long enough to make the Hall. Sorry.
Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.
by MichaelProcton on Jul 29, 2009 10:03 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
To be clear, we’re talking about process at this point. I think Murphy is borderline and I don’t think he’ll get in. I wouldn’t vote for him. Or Rice. That’s not what we’re talking about. Writers have stated they consider “MVP-Type Seasons” and “Cy Young-Type Seasons” as opposed to just who actually won the award. Much has been learned since those awards were voted on. It isn’t right for players to be handicapped by the ignorance of their generation. And the voters know this. And consider it. They don’t retroactively regrade MVP races, they just look at his season and say, wow, that’s a monster season, in an average year he has a good chance of winning the MVP. And they will absolutely, positively, without a doubt consider that. It’s not a matter of debate, writers have come out and said they (talking about the group in general, the BBWAA as a whole) DO consider things like this.
http://www.capitolavenueclub.com/
by PWHjort on Jul 29, 2009 12:09 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
This is a very decisive argument amongst us Braves fans. I have my feelings and I’m gonna lay out a couple arguments.
First off I think Murphy is a better player than Rice in about every way. His avg was significantly lower but their OBP was essentially the same. Rice had more power, but Murphy was a better baserunner and defender. I grade Murphy slightly above Rice.
I don’t think Rice deserves to be in the Hall of Fame. MLB Network did a Prime 9 on the 9 guys who should be in the Hall (you had to be eligible so Pete Rose and Joe Jackson weren’t on the list…that’s a whole nother argument). I decided the official way to tell if a player deserves to be in the Hall is when you say his name does it sound right. To me saying, “Jim Rice Hall of Famer”, doesn’t sound right. His numbers aren’t great he played in a bad era where baseball was weak (IMHO).
Now since Murphy> Rice, and Rice is in certainly Murphy should get in. Unfortunately that’s horrible logic. You can’t use a bad precedent to make future decisions. Murphy doesn’t deserve to be in the Hall because while he was really good for a couple of season he didn’t maintain it over a period of time. The exception to this is Koufax and that’s because he made the entire NL his bitch for 7 straight seasons. Murphy was really good but he didn’t DOMINATE. He won some MVPs posted really good numbers but he didn’t dominate. Its a difficult lien to draw (what constitutes domination), but the line can be drawn).
I grew up in the 90s as I know many of you did. So maybe I am slanted because I never saw him play (although that’s probably a bad argument because i never saw Hank Aaron play and I realize he was really friggin good). I would compare Murphy to someone like Juan Gonzalez (if you strip away any conceptions of Steroid use). Juan Gonzalez was one of the best players in baseball for a short period. No pitcher ever wanted to face him he raked. Is he a Hall of Famer…definitely not.
There are tons of players int he Hall of Fame that don’t belong there. And personally I would like the Hall to be the best of the best. If you continue to compare players like Rice and Murphy you won’t get that. You’ll add a bunch of players who were great players and maybe even great guys, but aren’t Hall of Famers. Every player should stand alone when being judged for entrance into this prestigious class.
Ok, i’m done with my mini rant and I’ll get off the soapbox and let the next guy take over.
Heyward,Hanson,and Shaffer r ready now!! Why do you think they havent signed the "right handed bat"?
by fatazfoot on Jan 7, 2009 8:59 PM EST
by Swo12bv on Jul 26, 2009 10:57 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I like your comparison to Gonzalez. Can I add one: Garret Anderson. I think they may be comparable.
"Actually, Justin was right."
by bigjoe on May 15, 2009 9:04 AM PDT
by justincredubil02 on Jul 26, 2009 11:22 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
not even close on the comparison to GA… GA was a league avg LF for his entrie career.. which is valuable in his own right…but its not even close to the resume of Gonzalez and Murphy. GA’s argument for the HOF (which is a ridiculous notion in and of itself) would be along the lines of consistency…he played for a good period of time and you knew he was gonna post solid numbers. 300 avg, 330 OBP ish.. 80-90 RBI and 15-20 HR.
Heyward,Hanson,and Shaffer r ready now!! Why do you think they havent signed the "right handed bat"?
by fatazfoot on Jan 7, 2009 8:59 PM EST
by Swo12bv on Jul 27, 2009 5:41 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
however.. the Gonzalez comparison is overstated because Juan Gone was a better offense player and proved it for about 11 years straight… he even won two MVP awards (which is where i find the most glaring comparison)
Heyward,Hanson,and Shaffer r ready now!! Why do you think they havent signed the "right handed bat"?
by fatazfoot on Jan 7, 2009 8:59 PM EST
by Swo12bv on Jul 27, 2009 5:44 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Here's a pretty good and interesting argument...
for Murph, by Joe Posnanski, who is one of my favorite baseball writers.
http://joeposnanski.com/JoeBlog/2009/01/12/the-murph/
"It breaks your heart. It is designed to break your heart. The game begins in the spring, when everything else begins again, and it blossoms in the summer, filling the afternoons and evenings, and then as soon as the chill rains come, it stops and leaves you to face the fall alone." A. Bartlett Giamatti
by sddbaker on Jul 26, 2009 11:28 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Again
his argument is flawed, since he’s comparing him to a man who really shouldn’t be in the Hall. Jim Rice is now one of the weaker members of the HOF.
And I’m a big fan of Murph, don’t get me wrong. When I was 8, I had two posters on my wall-Dale Murphy, and below his, David Justice. And that wall remained reserved for those two, even as I started accumulating posters for Maddux and Smoltz and eventually Chipper.
But I’ve already explained Murph’s issue-he was great over a 6 year period, and below average outside of it. His career effectively ended at 32, even though he tried to keep going.
by Bronn on Jul 27, 2009 1:22 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I understand what you're saying....
I just thought he did a pretty good job presenting an argument for Murphy. I realize that saying he deserves to be in if Jim Rice is in is not a good argument. But, since Rice is now in, I certainly won’t hesitate to use that fact. How do the guys that voted for Rice justify not voting for Murphy would be my question, I suppose.
"It breaks your heart. It is designed to break your heart. The game begins in the spring, when everything else begins again, and it blossoms in the summer, filling the afternoons and evenings, and then as soon as the chill rains come, it stops and leaves you to face the fall alone." A. Bartlett Giamatti
by sddbaker on Jul 27, 2009 11:37 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
A final thought
I really hope we’re not in this situation in 10 years, wondering why no one is voting for Chipper. There just is no reason he should be left out of the Hall, and I’m worried that somewhere along the way his greatness gets lost in the mess of ’roid-boosted numbers.
I’m also getting very angry after the fact about the 2007 MVP voting. Maybe Chipper didn’t deserve to win, but he sure as hell deserved a lot better than 6th. Rollins and Holiday were both hacky choices to be the top 2 vote getters-one gets propped up because the line-up behind him was awesome, and the other benefited enormously from his home ballpark. Not only was that Chipper’s best defensive season (where he got robbed of a GG) but it was arguably his best offensive season as well. He took some punishment for missing 28 games ( a whipping 17% of the season). Every rate statistic shows he was the most valuable hitter per game for the season.
And then there’s another top ten MVP finish, 2001, where the top 3 are roid-city: Bonds, Sosa, and Gonzalez. And Chipper was easily better than two of the other guys he finished behind.
We need to get Chipper another ring, just to make sure he’s not drowned by the rest of the noise.
by Bronn on Jul 27, 2009 2:14 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Chipper has no worries.
By the time he ends his career, he’ll be among the top 5 switch-hitters in MLB history by any measure.
Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.
by MichaelProcton on Jul 27, 2009 3:01 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
If you had told me in 1987 ...
If you had told me in 1987 that neither Dale Murphy nor Andre Dawson would be in the Hall of Fame, I would have thought it was a sick joke.
Personally, I’d vote them both in, but I’m a big sap for the early 80s.
by Atlanta_Chris on Jul 27, 2009 3:48 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Batting average is often overrated, IMO.
Think about this. Jim Rice hit .298. Dale Murphy hit .265. All right, this seems significant. But take into account what these numbers really mean.
There is a difference of .033 between their averages. That equates to 33 entire hits out of 1000 at bats—a very small amount. Then take into account that nobody approaches 1000 AB in a season.
Jim Rice averaged 702 AB for his career, while Murph averaged 672. Take the mean of these two figures and you get 687, or 68.7% of 1000 ABs.
Multiply the 33 hit per 1000 AB difference by 68.7% and you get 23 hits.
23 hits per season, on average, is what determined the difference in Jim Rice & Dale Murphy’s batting averages. Is this really all that significant? I argue no, but again, maybe my math and my opinion don’t amount to a hill of beans to you. I still say that if Jim Rice can get into the HoF, then Dale Murphy should be, too. How many people win 2 MVP awards? The list is short.
Tigers love pepper; they hate cinnamon.
by Jareth Cutestory on Aug 2, 2009 7:27 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

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