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Atlanta Braves - New York Mets: Series Preview

We're going to be hearling a lot about this guy this weekend.

More photos » by Frank Franklin II - AP

We're going to be hearling a lot about this guy this weekend.

The New York Mets are coming to town to face our Atlanta Braves for a four game series that could decide who owns third place in the NL LEast. As part of our ongoing series of series previews, I exchanged some questions with Eric Simon of Amazin Avenue to acquaint us with the issues the Mets are facing in the second half.

Q:  Let's just get this out of the way... are you happy to have Jeff Francoeur? Are you sad to see Ryan Church go?

A:  I don't miss Church so much as I mourn the acquisition of Francoeur. While I've gone through quite an array of emotions in the wake of the trade, I don't know that I'd count "happy" among them. We're talking about an average defensive right-fielder with no on-base skills who has seemingly lost his ability to hit for power; that the Braves were able to get anything for him, let alone somebody useful like Ryan Church, is either a testament to Frank Wren's negotiating acumen or to Omar Minaya's inability to properly evaluate baseball players. By now the harsh reality of the trade has set in and Mets fans have nothing to do but root for Frenchy and hope for the best.

Q:  Before the season began, did you think the Mets would be behind the Braves in the NL East and three games below .500 at the All-Star break?

A:  I thought the Mets, Braves and Phillies would compete for the division crown, with the Braves falling slightly behind and the Mets and Phils entrenched in a dogfight to the finish. I thought the Braves' pitching would be a huge strength while their offense, with a few exceptions, would have a tough time scoring runs. I got the Braves part right so far; the Mets we'll get to shortly.

Star-divide

Q:  Do the Mets need a change at Manager or General Manager? Why or why not?

A:  Yes and yes. Jerry Manuel is a nice enough guy but his refusal to open his mind to areas of influence originating from outside his GI tract is sad and frustrating and embarrassing to himself and to the franchise. If we're to believe what he says, he doesn't feel that "statistical numbers", as he calls them, can provide him anything meaningful that he can't otherwise derive from a consultation with his gut. I'm not suggesting the Mets should be managed by Nate Silver's computer (though it would be a fascinating experiment if they were), but it's simply baffling to me that anyone looking to succeed in any field would dismiss out of hand a tremendous body of relevant information that could help him do his job better. You don't have to believe that WAR and UZR and tRA tell you more about a player than your eyes do, but you at least have to be open to that possibility. Manuel isn't, and frankly it's pathetic.

Omar Minaya has assembled a fantastic core of superstars and a mind-bogglingly inept set of complementary players. He has shown himself to be quite proficient at outbidding other teams for marquee free agents, and dealing mostly spare parts for Johan Santana was a propitious coup, but in four-plus seasons as general manager he hasn't done a whole lot more than that. Until last season the Mets hadn't drafted particularly well under Minaya, especially for a team with the wherewithall to pay above slot bonuses. He has a tendency to identify glaring weaknesses and be single-minded in addressing them while ignoring impending weaknesses by failing to recognize probable points of regression.

I wouldn't be sad or surprised to see either of them let go at season's end.

Q:  Do you buy the notion that the Mets need to be re-made into a team that is built for Citi Field? And shouldn't light hitters like Luis Castillo, Alex Cora, and Daniel Murphy thrive in a pitchers park like that?

A:  I think it's probably more important to construct a pitching staff to suit a ballpark than to do so for a lineup. The Mets aren't losing because they can't hit at Citi Field; they're losing because they can't hit anywhere. Luis Castillo is actually having a pretty decent season. Not fantastic, but pretty decent. Daniel Murphy hasn't really improved as a hitter this year the way many had hoped, and Alex Cora is 33 and has a career OPS+ of 74. The goal for this team should be to get younger and better (duh). Good hitters will hit well anywhere, even Citi Field.

Q:  Obviously injuries have played a major role in how your season has gone, but do you think you have enough players coming back in time to make a run for the top spot in the NL East? Is there a trade you'd like to see the Mets make?

A:  No, I think the Mets are toast for 2009. Carlos Beltran and Jose Reyes aren't due back until at least the end of July; Carlos Delgado, John Maine and Billy Wagner are due sometime later. If they're all back by mid-August, who knows? Maybe if the Mets can tread water until then they might have a chance to close the gap in the season's final month. I'm not counting on it, which is why I think they should stand pat at the deadline. If they have the opportunity to trade for someone who could help them beyond this season -- a Victor Martinez or Roy Halladay, say -- then it's worth considering because we wouldn't be talking about giving up young talent for just a couple of months of Jason Marquis, e.g.

If the Mets fall farther behind in the next couple of weeks they could look to get something of value for Gary Sheffield, Pedro Feliciano, etc.

Many thanks to Eric for his great answers to my questions. 

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I had a bad dream last night

I was listening to a radio recap of the game late in the evening, and they were going over all the scoring plays on the day, and Jeff Francoeur, rocking the Mets uni had a big night, hitting everyone from Lowe to Soriano, and the Mets ran away with tonight’s game, 10-5.

No wonder nobody likes you, Tuttle... everything's a (Pujols) damn debate.

by royhobbs on Jul 16, 2009 10:17 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I think Jeff had the same dream....

"The future is no place to place your better days." - Dave Matthews ~ RIP Roi
(self-appointed President of Yunel's Cartel~~~)

by Chief Noc-A-Homa on Jul 16, 2009 10:20 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Any Braves pitcher that gives up anything other than a broken bat single to Francoeur should be fined in kangaroo court. The Braves know full well how to get Francoeur out every time.

by redwards95 on Jul 16, 2009 11:14 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Any Braves pitcher that gives up anything other than a broken bat single to Francoeur should be fined in kangaroo court. banged by a kangaroo.

FTFY

Francoeur: "If OBP is so important, why don't they put it on the scoreboard?"
Chipper: "Wow, you really are a dumbass."

by Rhyno18 on Jul 16, 2009 4:06 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

That seems like one of those dreams...

where you wake up in a cold sweat, but are able to go back to sleep, knowing that its about as likely as leprechauns, unicorns, and pixies.

by Zeus12888 on Jul 16, 2009 11:39 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Don't worry

Lowe has pitches that move, Francouer’s and any A-ball player’s kryptonite

by thrilliam on Jul 16, 2009 3:15 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

that’s funny you say that, because i had a dream this afternoon that maddux died. weird stuff.

"When life gives you lemons, just say 'F*ck the lemons,' and bail."

by Bravely going forward on Jul 16, 2009 11:43 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Man, he really looks like David Wright.

"Ohhhh Shit."-Bobby Cox, 3/28/09

by 10-4 on Jul 16, 2009 11:24 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Maybe his eyebrows will get bigger.

by Gage23 on Jul 16, 2009 11:32 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'd gladly grow my eyebrows to achieve his results.

"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw

by squid92 on Jul 16, 2009 4:59 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

No wonder FYF can’t hit…he’s holding the wrong end of the bat. Wokka wokka!

Happily supporting non-championship teams and self-medicating since 1996.

by chantshuffler on Jul 16, 2009 12:13 PM EDT via mobile reply actions   0 recs

As if on cue.....no retractable roof = rain delays

"The future is no place to place your better days." - Dave Matthews ~ RIP Roi
(self-appointed President of Yunel's Cartel~~~)

by Chief Noc-A-Homa on Jul 16, 2009 12:16 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I Dont know whether to Boo Frenchy at the Game tonight or to show him some love. He isn’t a bad guy.

Baseball is my life

by That a boy on Jul 16, 2009 12:59 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I won’t cheer, or boo. I’ll just be lying on my couch, smiling. 8 ))

(self-appointed President of Yunel's Cartel~~~)
"The future is no place to place your better days." - Dave Matthews ~ RIP Roi

by Chief Noc-A-Homa on Jul 16, 2009 1:04 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Boog: Well it is nice to see Frenchy again.
Joe: Yes he is coming up in a big spot, bases loaded with no one out.
Boog: Here is Lowe’s first offering. A head high fastball for a swinging strike.
Joe: He nearly caught up to that one.
Boog: The 0-1 Pitch is a sinker that rolled across the plate for a swinging strike.
Joe: I think it might have tunneled under the plate, that is just bad hitting.
Boog: Well here is the 0-2 pitch it is right down the middle and Jeff swings and he makes contact it is dribbler out in front of the plate.
Joe: Wow he screwed himself into the ground and can’t move. McCann pounces on the ball and tags out Jeff.
Boog: Everyone on the field is laying on the ground laughing, McCann runs over to the third base line and tags out Reyes.
Joe: McCann reces out behind the mound to tag out Wright. In the immortal words of Harry Carey Holy Cow.
Boog: I think I can die now I have just seen an unassisted triple play by a 245 lb catcher.
Joe: Look in the Mets dugout he broke the bat and it flew in the dugout and killed Manual.
Boog: I bet he is in the doghouse now. We’ll be back you are watching the Braves of Sport South.

That would be cool.

by Dammit JIm on Jul 16, 2009 1:24 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

gondeee

Nice response on the ex-girlfriend comment. If you read the comments over on Amazin they still fill its Braves vs Mets with the Phillies just being the Phillies.
I always get more amped up for a Braves vs Mets. Because its a great rivalary not sure why Simon would want to bring down that rivalary.

by jasonbravo on Jul 16, 2009 2:34 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Yea

That Simon guy is a douche.

by Eric Simon on Jul 16, 2009 3:34 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Why are Phillies and Mets fans convinced they'll just "add Jason Marquis" for 2 months.

Fans need to get their heads out of their asses sometime this century. Marquis leads the NL in wins; and Met fans think they could just throw something out there to add him for 2 months.

Anyways, lets get a sweep and knock the Mets out of the division title hunt.

2009 Atlanta Braves Motto: We ♥ leaving RISP AND Omar Minaya!

by mvhsbball on Jul 16, 2009 3:54 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Marquis

He has a career ERA+ of 98. He’s a decent pitcher: not great, not terrible. Decent.

by Eric Simon on Jul 16, 2009 4:03 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, but this season he has a sub 4 ERA in one of the worst pitchers parks in all of baseball, for maybe the most surprising team in baseball.

Im not saying he’s Tim Lincecum, but don’t act like you can throw Joe Smith Jr. and a PTBNL for Jason. The Rockies are just a few games out of the wild card.

2009 Atlanta Braves Motto: We ♥ leaving RISP AND Omar Minaya!

by mvhsbball on Jul 16, 2009 4:18 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Right

Marquis was just an example of the type of player we’re talking about, which isn’t to say that he’d necessarily be available. I’m not enamored of him, but he’s the kind of so-so pitcher that might unnecessarily command a high price in trade.

Drop me a line at the end of 2010 and we’ll see by then if Marquis has really turned a corner or if he has just experienced a solid few months. My money is on the latter, but I’m willing to be surprised.

by Eric Simon on Jul 16, 2009 4:28 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Gotcha.

I agree, marquis isn’t that great of a pitcher and will probably be back to his average self in 2010. I’m just saying, it gets to me when fans don’t do research on a guy and just say oh ya let’s go grab him for a bag of baseballs.

I get your point tho.

2009 Atlanta Braves Motto: We ♥ leaving RISP AND Omar Minaya!

by mvhsbball on Jul 16, 2009 5:53 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Irrelevant to this

You joined Amazinavenue? Just to disagree with everything they say?

by esadb on Jul 16, 2009 6:37 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

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