Talking Chop: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Sports blogs for fans, by fans.
New Blog: RSL Soapbox for Real Salt Lake Fans!

Braves starter Tim Hudson set to begin rehab in two weeks

Photo

More photos » by Gregory Smith - AP

Atlanta Braves right-handed starting pitcher Tim Hudson is close to taking the next big step in his return from Tommy John surgery. Hudson had the surgery last July 27th, and has been rehabbing ever since, including throwing off the mound in the bullpen recently. The organization has now scheduled him to pitch for Myrtle Beach on July 19th and 23rd. He will then be reevaluated, and could be ready for major league action soon after.

If Hudson's outings in mid and late July are successful, and the club deems him close to returning, this could open up the Braves to trade Javier Vazquez for other pieces that the club needs. I've made the argument several times that Vazquez is our most tradable player (even more than Yunel Escobar), and there are a lot of teams that need to add more starting pitching. The good season Vazquez has had to this point also means that he has likely increased his trade value since coming to Atlanta last off-season, that's more reason that the Braves should trade him if they feel that Hudson can step into the rotation shortly thereafter.

0 recs  |  Comment 192 comments |

Story-email Email Printer Print

Comments

Display:

Hey

that’s good news… Not something we are used to.

That said, I would be fine to punt this season, see where the team we have gets us this season, and hold onto the surplus. With the year Vazquez is having, he doesn’t seem to be losing value….

by Andy Braves Fan on Jul 1, 2009 4:08 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Yea, JV has increased his trade value.

But why in the world would we trade someone that is uber-dependable and a K machine and take a chance on someone who has had TJ surgery and could snap a ligament again?

The base paths belonged to me, the runner. The rules gave me the right. I always went into a bag full speed, feet first. I had sharp spikes on my shoes. If the baseman stood where he had no business to be and got hurt, that was his fault. -Ty Cobb

by Jurrjens' Surgeons on Jul 1, 2009 4:09 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Ha ha

Great minds…

by Yakker on Jul 1, 2009 4:10 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Snapping a ligament again

seems unlikely, don’t you think?

Money aside, I’d like to see the option exercised and find a way for it all to work out while also keeping Javy. I suppose that’s wishful thinking, though.

Bottom line, does it come down to FW choosing between the two in the offseason?

by hoboken_wood on Jul 1, 2009 4:13 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Probably yes

simply because the Braves have depth and have holes to fill…

by Andy Braves Fan on Jul 1, 2009 4:14 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

If that's the case

give me Javy.

"Actually, Justin was right."
by bigjoe on May 15, 2009 9:04 AM PDT

by justincredubil02 on Jul 1, 2009 4:34 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

The replaced tendon is typically stronger and MORE durable.

Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.

by MichaelProcton on Jul 1, 2009 8:23 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Vasquez

OK, I haven’t waded into many of the 100+ comment posts on trading Vasquez, but since we’re starting fresh here, can someone explain to me why trading a top-flight starter who’s under contract for a reasonable price in 2010 makes any sense at all?

by Yakker on Jul 1, 2009 4:09 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I know why we would trade him, but what do we do when Hudson cant do what we wanted him to do?

Ok ,that was a lot of do’s.

The base paths belonged to me, the runner. The rules gave me the right. I always went into a bag full speed, feet first. I had sharp spikes on my shoes. If the baseman stood where he had no business to be and got hurt, that was his fault. -Ty Cobb

by Jurrjens' Surgeons on Jul 1, 2009 4:12 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm pretty sure Hudson will bounce back...

That’s just me. And I already said I was happy to keep the depth…

But the Braves clearly need a bat in a corner OF spot and are maxed on payroll, so trading Vazquez probably does make sense…

by Andy Braves Fan on Jul 1, 2009 4:13 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Dont get me wrong, Im a Hudson fan. I just like consistency, and JV has been nothing but that and more.

If anything try dangling Medlen first, then go to someone like Javy or Hudson.

The base paths belonged to me, the runner. The rules gave me the right. I always went into a bag full speed, feet first. I had sharp spikes on my shoes. If the baseman stood where he had no business to be and got hurt, that was his fault. -Ty Cobb

by Jurrjens' Surgeons on Jul 1, 2009 4:18 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Over what time span?

The last two months?

Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.

by MichaelProcton on Jul 1, 2009 8:25 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Won’t know about Hudson until after 7/31 trade deadline.

by Yakker on Jul 1, 2009 4:21 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

bounce back to what? His best days in Atlanta were nothing like what Vazquez is doing right now.

"Actually, Justin was right."
by bigjoe on May 15, 2009 9:04 AM PDT

by justincredubil02 on Jul 1, 2009 4:35 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

^^best post of the thread^^^^^

by bravesguy95 on Jul 1, 2009 4:41 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hudson has been better than Vazquez over his career. Check the stats, Hudson is a better pitcher in every respect except strikeouts.

The most telling feature of the comparison is that Hudson has a tendency to win games whereas Vazquez has a tendency to lose them. Give Hudson a lead, and you can book the win. Give Vazquez a lead, and no matter how brilliant he may look at times, the team winds up losing. That’s been the complaint for most of his career.

Great stuff, but you can’t ignore the fact that he has a career losing record and his teams have lost more of his starts than they have won. We’re not talking about a small sample size either – 370 starts.

I want the guy that wins. Not the guy who looks great but loses.

by DCP916 on Jul 1, 2009 4:50 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yes but im pretty sure he was saying look at vasquez is doing now, not over his career

by bravesguy95 on Jul 1, 2009 4:56 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

That

and, since when are wins indicative of how good a pitcher pitches? Wang is a 20 game winner! LOL

"Actually, Justin was right."
by bigjoe on May 15, 2009 9:04 AM PDT

by justincredubil02 on Jul 1, 2009 5:10 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

To be fair

Wang was a very good pitcher. I know what you are saying about wins, they aren’t a good stat of measuring a pitcher’s abilities, but Hudson was very good for most of his career.

by Andy Braves Fan on Jul 1, 2009 5:58 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Understood

Wang was a bad example…

But just as Hudson was good for most of his career, so was JV – he just doesn’t have the wins.

"Actually, Justin was right."
by bigjoe on May 15, 2009 9:04 AM PDT

by justincredubil02 on Jul 1, 2009 6:10 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

...and then he got HURT

Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.

by MichaelProcton on Jul 1, 2009 8:25 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

hmmm, so did Hudson...whos to say Hudson wont come out and have the same location issues?

The base paths belonged to me, the runner. The rules gave me the right. I always went into a bag full speed, feet first. I had sharp spikes on my shoes. If the baseman stood where he had no business to be and got hurt, that was his fault. -Ty Cobb

by Jurrjens' Surgeons on Jul 1, 2009 9:26 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I would say it's hard to bank on a guy who's suddenly having a career year at 32.

Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.

by MichaelProcton on Jul 1, 2009 8:30 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

not when everything else is considered

like switching leagues, playing for Cox, not to mention his other numbers aren’t extremely different than his career norms.

His biggest thing is that he is avoided the “bad inning” syndrome so far.

"Actually, Justin was right."
by bigjoe on May 15, 2009 9:04 AM PDT

by justincredubil02 on Jul 1, 2009 9:28 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Suddenly having a career year?

He’s had 240 Ks before, so its not like he hasnt seen that kind of number, and played on some shitty Montreal teams early in his career that definitely cost him some games.

The base paths belonged to me, the runner. The rules gave me the right. I always went into a bag full speed, feet first. I had sharp spikes on my shoes. If the baseman stood where he had no business to be and got hurt, that was his fault. -Ty Cobb

by Jurrjens' Surgeons on Jul 1, 2009 9:29 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm not talking about W-L record...

His strikeouts are way up, his walks are way down, his K:BB ratio is way up, his H/9 and HR/9 are way down, he’s getting way more groundballs than before with fewer flyballs…I’m sorry, but those rates don’t all just explode at 32.

Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.

by MichaelProcton on Jul 1, 2009 9:47 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

maybe he just learned a new trick. he could have come in saying i want to work on getting more ground ball outs and keeping the ball in the park. McDowell could have helped him or Lowe.

who knows. hes just doing good for us now

by drumzalicious on Jul 1, 2009 11:33 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Sell high, buy low...

Vazquez is a perfect example of the former at the moment.

Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.

by MichaelProcton on Jul 1, 2009 11:51 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Because he's been decidedly NOT top-flight the last few years...

And teams will pay handsomely for him.

Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.

by MichaelProcton on Jul 1, 2009 8:25 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Vasquez has been a terrific pitcher for years. This year’s ERA performance was entirely predictable, if you noticed (as many of us did) his FIP and xFIP numbers with the White Sox.

This isn’t a fluke or a breakout.

by Yakker on Jul 2, 2009 2:01 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

You're kidding, right?

His FIP is 1.15 lower than his best year in Chicago, and, as I’ve mentioned, he’s at or above career highs in almost every peripheral stat. If you think that’s going to keep up, fine, but I think that’s a bit crazy myself.

Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.

by MichaelProcton on Jul 2, 2009 2:45 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

For the sake of argument...

let’s say he DOES regress…do you think a TJ-rehabbing pitcher will be more effective in the next year and a half than a regressed (mildly, as he has given NO indication that a regression is on the way) JV?

"Actually, Justin was right."
by bigjoe on May 15, 2009 9:04 AM PDT

by justincredubil02 on Jul 2, 2009 10:07 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Depends

it isn’t clear yet. Some post TJ pitchers have been successful (Tommy John himself, John Smoltz, Chris Carpenter). Others have not. My guess is that Hudson returns to his old self. That basically means a sub 4.00 ERA, solid WHIP, and about 15 wins per year (not that wins are a good measure). He has a friendly agent and generally seems willing to sign a friendly contract to stay in Atlanta. He is a team player and clubhouse leader. All in all, I want him on my team.

JV is a great guy to have as well. However, assuming he regresses to his career norms, we are looking at a #3 starter. Albeit a 200 IP, 200K #3 which is a really really nice #3. he fits in well with the team and the philosophy of the team. However, his value is basically at a peak right now. I can understand the argument of selling high on him, especially when the team so clearly needs offense.

As I said before, I would rather sit on the depth for this season, but I can see the argument on both sides.

by Andy Braves Fan on Jul 2, 2009 10:44 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Don't get me wrong...

I really like Tim Hudson. He is a stand-up guy and a really good talent. But, we have to remember that Tim Hudson – Atlanta is not Tim Hudson – Oakland.

It is unfair to expect him to come back from TJ and become an Ace. It is even more unfair to trade away our best pitcher in hopes that Huddy can come back and be that pitcher. We will not know Huddy’s ability until after the trading deadline, which means that we will have to deal JV before we know what we have. Any GM who takes a gamble like that with as small of a margin of error as we have should be fired.

JV is a great guy to have as well. However, assuming he regresses to his career norms, we are looking at a #3 starter

So, if he regresses, he will regress to what we traded for him to be – a #3 starter. Sounds like a win-win to me.

A regressed #3 2009 version of JV is greater than a coming-off-of-TJ 2009 Hudson.

"Actually, Justin was right."
by bigjoe on May 15, 2009 9:04 AM PDT

by justincredubil02 on Jul 2, 2009 11:00 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Sure

but the thinking is that, since JV is pitching like an Ace right now, he can be traded like an ace before he regresses to the #3 pitcher he probably really is. That is the advantage.

Meanwhile, JV may be our best pitcher right now (which I don’t totally agree with), but the Braves have Jair Jurrjens, Derek Lowe, and Tommy Hanson. In other words, the Braves are sitting pretty with a set of aces. If Hudson returns to be an ace, that’s 4. If not, he is still a solid #3, and a back end of KK and post TJ Huddy (a pair of jacks) still leaves the Braves with a very very solid full house.

by Andy Braves Fan on Jul 2, 2009 11:08 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

KK

has been better than Lowe. Lowe has been our weakest pitcher so far – that is impressive!

"Actually, Justin was right."
by bigjoe on May 15, 2009 9:04 AM PDT

by justincredubil02 on Jul 2, 2009 11:10 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I probably wouldn't say so...

But we won’t get the same kind of value to improve the team trading Hudson as we would if we moved Javy.

Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.

by MichaelProcton on Jul 2, 2009 12:00 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Apples and oranges

I don’t think he’s going to keep up this level of performance in ERA, but he’s been a very good pitcher for years. I’m also not surprised he’s performing better in ATL than his career norms in CHA, given the league and park effects.

by Yakker on Jul 8, 2009 10:29 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yay!!

Anybody going to the Shop With the Braves thing tomorrow to meet Huddy?

"If I had a little humility, I would be perfect" - Ted Turner

by Little Lady on Jul 1, 2009 4:13 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Javy Vazquez.

He hasn’t been “good” or even “very good”, he’s been great. Likewise, he hasn’t been “a positive” or merely “valuable”, he has been our most valuable player. Trading him to make room for a question mark is playing with fire.

Besides, what will we trade him for? Name an equivalent bat that’s likely available from a team that would actually want Javy and I’ll give you a cookie if we ever meet. And for those recommending we trade him for prospects and then flip those for something we could use now and in the future (or the delayed three-team deal, as I like to think of it) need to tell me what the sense of trading for him in the first place was.

"A player who conjugates a verb in the first person singular cannot be part of the squad, he has to conjugate the verb in the first person plural. We. We want to conquer. We are going to conquer. Using the word 'I' when you're in a group makes things complicated." ~ Wanderley Luxemburgo, 1999

by ejruiz on Jul 1, 2009 4:25 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Re:

His career numbers are what they are for a reason. Eventually he going to start regressing and most of you who don’t want to trade him now will wish we had.

by Jay212033 on Jul 1, 2009 4:31 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

That reason might be – he was pitching in the AL.

"Actually, Justin was right."
by bigjoe on May 15, 2009 9:04 AM PDT

by justincredubil02 on Jul 1, 2009 4:36 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

save for his first two seasons

yes he was. over 200 IPs in every season (except the first two), his lowest strikeout total was 179, and his era was over 4 in only 1 season…he was a pretty damn good pitcher with Montreal.

"Actually, Justin was right."
by bigjoe on May 15, 2009 9:04 AM PDT

by justincredubil02 on Jul 1, 2009 5:17 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

oh,

and the season he was over 4 in ERA, he had a 4.05 ERA in 33 games with 217 IP, with 61 BB vs 196 Ks. That would still make him one of our best starters, even back in 2000 when he put up those numbers.

"Actually, Justin was right."
by bigjoe on May 15, 2009 9:04 AM PDT

by justincredubil02 on Jul 1, 2009 5:19 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Everyone keeps

saying how durable he is and how he always pitches 200 innings but couldn’t the same be said for Hudson prior to his injury? Hudson was as durable and as good any pitcher in the league before his injury which goes to show any pitcher can get injured. And you might say he’s coming back from TJ and he’s not going to be as good as he was before and I’m going to tell you to see Roy Halladay, John Smoltz, Derek Lowe, Dan Haren and the list goes on for pitcher who have had TJ surgery and came back even better than before.

by Jay212033 on Jul 1, 2009 5:25 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Does Hudson

also average something like 8 or 9 Ks per game?

The argument isn’t that JV is more durable than Huddy. The argument is that we should not trade away the best pitcher on our team simply because a guy who was brought into here to be the best pitcher (but when was he our best?) is coming back and should be able to do well.

"Actually, Justin was right."
by bigjoe on May 15, 2009 9:04 AM PDT

by justincredubil02 on Jul 1, 2009 5:28 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Personnally

I’d rather have a GB pitcher over a FB/K pitcher anyday of the week!

by Jay212033 on Jul 1, 2009 5:31 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

even if that means the GB pitcher will not be as good or effective as a FB/K pitcher?

No offense, but if you would rather have Tim Hudson right now over Javier Vazquez, you are crazy.

"Actually, Justin was right."
by bigjoe on May 15, 2009 9:04 AM PDT

by justincredubil02 on Jul 1, 2009 5:34 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

WTH are you talking about?!?!

Hudson’s career numbers are better than Vazquez’. You just think that because Hudson is coming off of his injury he’s not going to be good. I’ll bet you that Vazquez ends up with an ERA near or above 4 before the season is done, they are not called “career” numbers for nothing.

by Jay212033 on Jul 1, 2009 6:09 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

LOL

i concede this argument based on the fact that I cannot argue against your bullet-proof comments. Hudson’s career numbers reflect exactly how he will rebound off of TJ surgery and ERA is the best stat to determine a pitcher’s worth.

Trade JV now and hope that a team will give us a mid-level prospect for him. After all, he has never had 20 wins and has a career ERA over 4.

"Actually, Justin was right."
by bigjoe on May 15, 2009 9:04 AM PDT

by justincredubil02 on Jul 1, 2009 6:12 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Dude

What you are failing to see is that we’re not winning with Vazquez and we won’t win with him but if we can maximize his value and get 2-3 good prospects for him now why would we not do that and save money at the same time. He has been great so far but I’m thinking about the future and with the hitters that we have realistically we are not going to win with this lineup and we’re not going to be able to add payroll with him here so if we can get some young players in here to help us now and in the future you would be crazy not to trade Vazquez!

by Jay212033 on Jul 1, 2009 6:23 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm thinking about the future too

And if I had a choice between JV and Hudson one of the best pitchers in baseball, a guy who has never been on the dl, a guy who averages over 200 IPs per year, who averages over 200Ks per year and a guy coming off of TJ surgery, who showed signs of regression for the 3-4 years before his TJ surgery, who hasn’t pitched in over a year and they both make the same amount of money, give me the first guy any day!

"Actually, Justin was right."
by bigjoe on May 15, 2009 9:04 AM PDT

by justincredubil02 on Jul 1, 2009 6:31 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's like talking to a brick wall.......

Vazquez is only here this season and next season so where would he be able to help us in the future? We are basically going to be looking at the same team next season with a worse BP so within these next two seasons do you see us even making the playoffs let alone a world series? Simple NO but by trading Vazquez we get more prospects to keep or make trades with to get better but Javy isn’t making this team better even though he’s been great.

by Jay212033 on Jul 1, 2009 6:43 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hudson

is only here for 2 months this season and maybe next season.

And yes, if we add a bat, I can see us making a push to the playoffs. Once there, we will rely on our SP of which, JV has been the absolute best.

Nobody is talking about trading JV for prospects. We are talking about trading him for an impact bat.

What you are suggesting is equal to San Francisco trading Lincecum away for prospects or a bat to help them get to the playoffs.

"Actually, Justin was right."
by bigjoe on May 15, 2009 9:04 AM PDT

by justincredubil02 on Jul 1, 2009 6:55 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Goodness

Did you just compare Lincecum to Vazquez?!?! It’s not even a comparison how much does Lincecum make 650K which is not even close to what Vazquez makes. Lincecum is far younger, cheaper and better than Vazquez, Javy has had an awesome first 3 months but he’s going to revert back to his career numbers eventually and don’t be surprised if he does.

by Jay212033 on Jul 1, 2009 8:55 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

we should trade player X

because player X is going to have a bad 2nd half.

Good logic.

And no, i didn’t compare JV to Lincecum. I said that us trading our ace to acquire a bat for a playoff push would be like the giants (a similar team to ours) trading their ace to acquire a bat for the same purpose…it is just ridiculous.

"Actually, Justin was right."
by bigjoe on May 15, 2009 9:04 AM PDT

by justincredubil02 on Jul 1, 2009 9:30 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

No.

Lincecum is young and is pitching as he has for the last few seasons. Vazquez is pitching better than he ever has shown the ability to do before.

Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.

by MichaelProcton on Jul 1, 2009 10:05 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

In some ways, that’s true, because his K/9 is up.

In other ways, that’s not, since he’s the same pitcher he was last year, he just switched home parks, gets to see a pitcher hitting 2-3 times a game, and has had his bad luck even out.

by Yakker on Jul 2, 2009 2:05 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

And his BB/9 and H/9 and HR/9 are down and his GB:FB rate is higher than ever...

It’s not just the strikeouts that are the aberration (and/or improvement.)

Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.

by MichaelProcton on Jul 2, 2009 2:46 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Going back to his last few NL seasons, 2009’s GB and BB rates are entirely in line with that.

by Yakker on Jul 8, 2009 10:32 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Glavine didn't hit the DL fof 20 years...

And then he never pitched well again. There’s another issue at hand: we can’t trade Huddy and upgrade other elements of our team like we can Javy.

Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.

by MichaelProcton on Jul 1, 2009 10:04 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

not a great example

Glavine was 40 when he first hit the DL. Huddy is 32. Huddy’s no spring chicken, but that’s a big difference.

by Andy Braves Fan on Jul 1, 2009 10:05 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Dude...he didn't say for a moment that we should settle for a mid-level prospect.

Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.

by MichaelProcton on Jul 1, 2009 9:58 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

For Javy

Braves could get a pretty serious bat. Especially with the year he is having so far…

Not to mention at this stage Javy is the best pitcher available with 1 year left on his contract after 2009. I wouldn’t be surprised if every contender that needs pitching has made a call to Frank Wren…

by Andy Braves Fan on Jul 1, 2009 10:07 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well aware.

Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.

by MichaelProcton on Jul 1, 2009 10:08 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

No.

The up button will direct you to the root comment on replies.

Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.

by MichaelProcton on Jul 1, 2009 10:24 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Haha...it's ok.

I didn’t know for a while either.

Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.

by MichaelProcton on Jul 1, 2009 10:58 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Sorry to nitpick

But Smoltz is the only one of those guys who’s had the surgery…

by hoboken_wood on Jul 1, 2009 5:34 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

not to mention the even larger list of guys who have had TJ and never pitched the same again…

"Actually, Justin was right."
by bigjoe on May 15, 2009 9:04 AM PDT

by justincredubil02 on Jul 1, 2009 5:37 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

that's what I was thinking

I remember hearing that Lowe and Vazquez were among only 3 active starting pitchers to have never been on the DL. That’s what Boog said one day, and I would assume there was some sort of minimum innings with that too. My point is I don’t think Lowe has ever even been on the DL.

by McGriff the Crime Dog on Jul 1, 2009 5:57 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Chipper Jones

His career numbers are well below what his numbers from the past 3 seasons have been. Should we expect a regression now?

If JV was going to regress, that would imply that he has been somewhat lucky. In all reality, he isn’t more lucky. He is pitching smarter. 3 months of consistency cannot be chalked up to luck, nor has he given any signs or indications that a regression is on the way.

"Actually, Justin was right."
by bigjoe on May 15, 2009 9:04 AM PDT

by justincredubil02 on Jul 1, 2009 5:30 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

_1

Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.

by MichaelProcton on Jul 1, 2009 8:33 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

+1

Career seasons at 32 are not something I’d like to rely on

Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.

by MichaelProcton on Jul 1, 2009 8:33 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

neither are 30-somethings coming off of TJ surgery.

"Actually, Justin was right."
by bigjoe on May 15, 2009 9:04 AM PDT

by justincredubil02 on Jul 1, 2009 9:30 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Without getting into who I think would be good trade partners, I do think we could get two or three good prospects plus one good major league piece. If those prospects put us in a good place to make other moves or to add them to our ML roster, then I think that’s well worth it. Vazquez has been great, but we have three other guys who are number-2 starters, and KK’s probably a 3 to 4, so all Hudson has to do is be a decent #5. We’ll have this discussion again, because there’s no way they can afford both Hudson and JV next year.

by gondeee on Jul 1, 2009 4:55 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

That really sucks because I would much rather have Huddy and JV over KK and Lowe
Lowe=15 mil KK= 8 23 mil ( I know this looked good in the offseason but I wish it hadnt happend.)
JV=11.5 Huddy = 12.5 24mil

Baseball is my life

by That a boy on Jul 1, 2009 5:02 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

(23/3≠8.23)

KK’s actually getting $6.67 the next two years.

Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.

by MichaelProcton on Jul 1, 2009 10:10 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

If he continues to pitch

like he has been, that’s a pretty damn good price.

by Andy Braves Fan on Jul 1, 2009 10:11 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

No he is getting 8 million for the next three years at a total of 24 million.

Baseball is my life

by That a boy on Jul 1, 2009 10:11 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

No, he's definitely not.

# 09:$7.667M, 10:$6.667M, 11:$6.667M

Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.

by MichaelProcton on Jul 1, 2009 10:23 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

This

1000 times, This!

"…aren’t worthy enough to hold his (Pujols) ass cheeks apart while Playboy models wipe him with thousand dollar bills after he craps out the cure to whatever previously-incurable disease." by royhobbs 1/7/09

by buzzdeadwax on Jul 1, 2009 6:08 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Vazquez is a PERFECT trade candidate.

First of all, he’s having a great year. And if you look at career statistics, you’ll see he’ll have a great year, then a bad one, then a good one, then a bad one, and so on…

We could get much more than we sent the White Sox last winter and could get an impact bat or some nice prospects in return.

If Huddy comes back, and is good and healthy, we should deal Javy.

2009 Atlanta Braves Motto: We ♥ leaving RISP.

by mvhsbball on Jul 1, 2009 4:25 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Hudson

I have been saying this and I will keep saying this if I were the Braves I’d go ahead and sign Hudson to a 4 yr/ 24 mil contract now no matter how he performs the rest of this season. Then I’d trade Javy for prospects. I like the Cubs as a possible trade partner, Vitters and 2 other good prospects for Javy would be a very nice haul.

by Jay212033 on Jul 1, 2009 4:28 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Sorry, but a 50% paycut is a pipe dream.

Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.

by MichaelProcton on Jul 1, 2009 10:30 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Kawakami is the problem/mistake

In the end the real problem here is Kenshin Kawakami. If we hadn’t wasted $8million a year on him we wouldn’t be in this predicament. Wren made off season mistakes and didn’t plan at all for where we would be and what we might need to do in the middle of the season around the trading deadline. Look at it this way: We don’t sign Glavine, we bring Hanson up to start the year, We Don’t sign Kawakami and we use JoJo/Medlin until Hudson is ready to come back. Well, we’re right where we are right now except we have $8 million dollars in salary flexibility that we could take on. Instead now, the only way we could take on payroll would be to trade Vazquez because of his approx. $11 million salary. It’s a mistake that will cost us for the next two years. Instead of next year having a rotation that is Hanson, Jurrjens, Vasquez, Lowe and Hudson (the best rotation in the majors if all healthy) we have to take one of those really reliable pitchers out and replace it with Kawakami. Braves management has never been the type to buy out a contract and I really don’t think anybody is going to take Kawakami off waivers and take on his salary for two more years. Is there another way to look at this? KK’s salary is a lot to give a guy in middle relief…

by michaelcooksey on Jul 1, 2009 4:35 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

you're forgetting one thing

KK has been absolutely awesome in his past few starts…in fact, he has only had a couple of bad games. He has been better than Lowe so far.

"Actually, Justin was right."
by bigjoe on May 15, 2009 9:04 AM PDT

by justincredubil02 on Jul 1, 2009 4:38 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I agree that he has been dependable the past few starts, but for the most part I think he has been very inconsistent, back and forth. I know Lowe had two horrendous games in his last 4, but pitchers every now and then have a few games like that, ie Johan Santana. Is Lowe or KK Johan, absolutely not. But, Lowe was having a very solid and consistent season until those two starts. And his ERA was only 3.44 going into the Baltimore start, as opposed to Kawakami who hasn’t had an ERA below 4 at any point all year. I guess the verdict may still be out on him, but my point was that we could have weathered the storm without him and picked up a bat either prior to the season or had the ability to come the trading deadline.

by michaelcooksey on Jul 1, 2009 4:43 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Really?
I agree that he has been dependable the past few starts, but for the most part I think he has been very inconsistent, back and forth.

Here is KK’s game log:

April
6 IP – 3H, 3R, 3 ER, 4 BB, 8 K
6 IP – 5H, 5R, 4 ER, 4 BB, 7 K
5 IP – 7H, 4R, 2 ER, 3 BB, 2 K
4.2 IP – 8H, 8R, 8 ER, 1 BB, 1 K

May
5 IP – 8H, 2R, 2ER, 3BB, 7K
6 IP – 5H, 2R, 2 ER, 4BB, 6 K
5 IP – 5H, 3R, 3ER, 1BB, 4K
8 IP – 3H, 0R, 0ER, 0BB, 7K
5.2 IP – 9H, 4R, 3ER, 4BB, 2K

June
7 IP- 7H, 4R, 3ER, 1BB, 2K
6 IP – 4H, 3R, 3ER, 1BB, 5K
5 IP – 7H, 2R, 2ER, 3BB, 3K
6 IP – 2H, 2R, 2ER, 3BB, 5K
3 IP – 0H, 0R, 0ER, 0BB, 1K

Those are fairly consistent numbers with only 1 bad game. He had some serious control issues early on, but seems to have settled down. As a result, he is getting better results.

But, Lowe was having a very solid and consistent season until those two starts

Derek Lowe’s game log:

April
8 IP – 2H, 0R, 0ER, 0BB, 4K
3IP, 4H, 1R, 1ER, 2BB, 6K
5IP, 7H, 4R, 4ER, 5BB, 5K
6IP, 7H, 3R, 3ER, 3BB, 2K
7IP, 4H, 2R, 2ER, 2BB, 8K

May
6.2IP, 8H, 2R, 2ER, 2BB, 3K
5IP, 7H, 6R, 6ER, 3BB, 5K
6.2IP, 5H, 2R, 2ER, 2BB, 1K
8IP, 3H, 2R, 2ER, 1BB, 3K
7.1IP, 5H, 2R, 2ER, 2BB, 2K
7IP, 10H, 5R, 3ER, 0BB, 2K

June
7IP, 5H, 2R, 2ER, 2BB, 4K
7IP, 7H, 3R, 3ER, 1BB, 4K
2.1IP, 8H, 7R, 7ER, 3BB, 0K
6.1IP, 7H, 3R, 3ER, 1BB, 2K
3IP, 11H, 8R, 6ER, 3BB, 0K
6IP, 7H, 2R, 2ER, 3BB, 4K

Those numbers aren’t exactly consistent. True, he has been very solid so far this season, but when he has been bad, he has been really bad. He has 3 really bad starts to KKs 1.

IMO, Lowe is our 3rd or 4th best starter behind JV, JJ and maybe even KK.

And his ERA was only 3.44 going into the Baltimore start, as opposed to Kawakami who hasn’t had an ERA below 4 at any point all year.

Using ERA by itself is not a good indicator of how good a pitcher pitches. Kawakami has not given up more than 3 earned runs in a start since April. Lowe has given up more than 3 earned runs 3 times in the same time-span.

We Don’t sign Kawakami and we use JoJo/Medlin until Hudson is ready to come back….my point was that we could have weathered the storm without him and picked up a bat either prior to the season or had the ability to come the trading deadline.

We tried using JoJo, remember? Not only was he horrible, he got hurt. Who would we plug in now?

Medlen has not proven that he is capable of pitching effectively yet. He has had a couple of ok starts and one really good one. Throw in his bad relief appearances and his horrid starts, and we do NOT have a good #5 on our hands.

Waiting for Hudson to come back would take way too long. We would be out of this race right now with JoJo or Medlen as the #5 starters all season long. Besides, who is to say that Huddy will come back and be effective?

KK has been a great signing and those of you who gave up on him back in April need to open your eyes. He has been lights out over the past 2 months.

"Actually, Justin was right."
by bigjoe on May 15, 2009 9:04 AM PDT

by justincredubil02 on Jul 1, 2009 5:09 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Exactly

I’ve loved KK since April. For a pitcher coming to a new league and shorter rest between rotation starts and only taking a month to really acclimate himself, KK’s been great. I had my doubts as to how he’d perform near August and September with more starts than he’s used to, but so far he’s averaging 90 pitches/GM and still looking in form throughout even while in a 5-man rotation.

KK is what we expected him to be and every time he’s on the mound, you expect him to keep the Braves in the game.Plus, how can you not love his work against the AL East? Winning pitcher in first two games against Toronto and Boston and then taken out of the game after 3 innings of dominant pitching against the yankees because of joba hitting him.

Like justin said, I don’t see how JoJo or Medlen would’ve been an effective option at #5 before Huddy came back, whose status we still don’t know. Forget the money…not only are we still (surprisingly) in the NL East, but Wren opened the Braves up to the Japanese market now.

by award6 on Jul 1, 2009 7:20 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Also gotta love...

How he steps it up for the big games. I was really impressed by his performance in the Dice-K duel with all those Japanese media members covering.

Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.

by MichaelProcton on Jul 1, 2009 10:45 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Kawakami's ERA has not gone up in 10 starts.

Lowe’s has in five of the last 10.

Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.

by MichaelProcton on Jul 1, 2009 10:38 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm sorry...

Since when is having too much starting pitching a mistake? He made the moves to shore up our starting pitching. Signed Lowe and KK and traded for JV, and brought up Hanson to go with JJ. We still don’t know what is going to happen with Hudson.

Its been a philosophy of the Braves for as long as I can remember, to sign pitching and trade for bats. It always easier to trade for a good bat. Also, bats can go through streaks, but pitching normally is what it is; either you have it or you don’t. Right now, we have a lot of it, and are in a good position.

Also, we didn’t bring Hanson up to start for a couple of reasons. We wanted to give him a good start in AAA. Also, it delayed the clock on his arbitration status. In bringing him up when we did, we saved probably 4 or 5 million dollars.

by dlkinser86 on Jul 1, 2009 6:37 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yes, Yes

oh god, yes!

"Actually, Justin was right."
by bigjoe on May 15, 2009 9:04 AM PDT

by justincredubil02 on Jul 1, 2009 6:42 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

The only way it's a problem...

Is if you’re paying your 6th or 7th best starter lots of money to relieve. But KK hasn’t been that thus far, and you’d hope they could move somebody if they needed to.

Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.

by MichaelProcton on Jul 1, 2009 10:47 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not even $7 mil the next two years.

Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.

by MichaelProcton on Jul 1, 2009 10:30 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

A different guy can easily be traded if they need to free up a rotation spot.

If they don’t just let Hudson go.

Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.

by MichaelProcton on Jul 1, 2009 10:31 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

We can Deal JV Get an impact bat and then get Huddy to replace JV sounds good to me

by Heyward is the next crime dog on Jul 1, 2009 4:49 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Honestly i think the most logical thing to do about this is let Hudson prove he belongs in the rotation before we dismantle the strongest part of our ball club. There are obviously two outcomes if we trade him:
Hudson comes back and is great, replacing the dealt Javy and the braves end up with solid prospects and Wren looks like a genius.
OR
Hudson come back and sucks and we deal Javy, we get prospects but lose the strongest part of our rotation.

And the only bad outcome of us holding to him is not “cashing out” on him while his value is high, although even if he regeresses back to his career average he is still a solid pitcher.

and to the guy who suggested we get vitters from the cubs, Isnt he a 1st baseman? We already have freeman so I dont know why we would deal for him as well.

by bravesguy95 on Jul 1, 2009 4:54 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I'd say there's probably a middle ground on Hudson.

He could perform just adequately, but with the bat (or prospects) we could acquire in a Vazquez deal, it’d still be a net positive.

Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.

by MichaelProcton on Jul 1, 2009 10:48 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Oh, and Vitters is a 3B, which we sorely lack.

Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.

by MichaelProcton on Jul 1, 2009 10:48 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Unless you’re a big Eric Campbell fan, lol

by VivaLosBravos on Jul 1, 2009 10:51 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

The Braves are dumb if they trade JV or Escobar. If you trade JV there better be a Hanley in there. I wish they hadn’t singed Lowe. I think that is going to be a contract the Braves will regret very soon. Its not just his past starts but that 89 mph fastball is fat, and his sinker is not sinking. The past three games has has only gotten 3 strikeouts. And batters are hitting hard line drives off of him. Lowe is our fifth best pitcher getting paid the most. KK when he learns the batters in this leauge he will be dominat, Hanson his name says enough, JJ is a leader, but Lowe he is the one who doesnt belong if you ask me.

Baseball is my life

by That a boy on Jul 1, 2009 4:58 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I agree with the part about Lowe, but do you know what it would take to get hanley right now? Hanson and Heyward straight up wouldnt even do it.

by bravesguy95 on Jul 1, 2009 5:01 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I know I am dreaming but if you put Javy on a team with at least an offensive who gives a shit, He has 10-12 wins right now and is being considered as an MVP. Wren should as the world for this guy simply because he is a work horse, strike out machine, and is a coaches dream.

Baseball is my life

by That a boy on Jul 1, 2009 5:05 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

And the thing is...

We just might get it for him.

Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.

by MichaelProcton on Jul 1, 2009 10:58 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

But we all knew what to expect from Lowe.

Nobody’s asked him to be an ace, despite the big money. The biggest need he filled was a guy who could start 32-33 games a year, not a CY candidate.

The sinker hasn’t sunk in three starts. If it happens after a few more outings, then you freak out. But he has been as advertised so far, and didn’t pitch poorly last night.

by hoboken_wood on Jul 1, 2009 5:05 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yes he has been as advertised, we all knew he wasn’t an ace but he is our fifth best starter and is getting paid 15 mil for three more years. That shit is scary. Especially when guys are smashing line drives off of a sinker ball pitcher. There was a question asked of if the MLB would let you absorb one players contract, and I am willing to bet it would be Lowe for the Braves.

Baseball is my life

by That a boy on Jul 1, 2009 5:09 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I see what you're saying

Sucks though, because this wouldn’t be an issue if FW hadn’t put all his eggs in the Burnett basket. Lowe’s deal, while I like having him on board, was put together way too quickly after the Yanks got AJ.

Lowe should have been a primary target all along, and FW wouldn’t have had to overpay, since the other FA starting pitcher options were either being too expensive or injury-prone.

So once again, Frank Wren is to blame.

by hoboken_wood on Jul 1, 2009 5:27 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

FIRE WREN!

"Actually, Justin was right."
by bigjoe on May 15, 2009 9:04 AM PDT

by justincredubil02 on Jul 1, 2009 5:30 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

If Frank Wren is to blame

for the “problem” that we have on our pitching staff, the man deserves a raise.

"Actually, Justin was right."
by bigjoe on May 15, 2009 9:04 AM PDT

by justincredubil02 on Jul 1, 2009 5:31 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

amen.

I wonder how our rotation would be doing now if we had Hanson instead of Lowe out of ST which is what it most likely would have been.

by drumzalicious on Jul 1, 2009 5:32 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

not to mention the lineup we could have gotten from that extra 15 mil

by drumzalicious on Jul 1, 2009 5:32 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Who was there left to get at that point, though?

Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.

by MichaelProcton on Jul 1, 2009 11:03 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Wasnt Dunn still available when we signed Lowe? I dont exactly remember who signed where and when they signed.

by drumzalicious on Jul 1, 2009 11:37 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Wait...

So if we had signed him sooner, it would have been cheaper? Don’t see it, man.

Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.

by MichaelProcton on Jul 1, 2009 11:02 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Our fifth best pitcher over what span, precisely?

Certainly not the whole season.

Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.

by MichaelProcton on Jul 1, 2009 11:01 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Lowe will be fine.

Even the best pitchers can struggle at times.

Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.

by MichaelProcton on Jul 1, 2009 10:49 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I would much rather trade Lowe

Even if we can’t really get that much for him.

by blitzerlover on Jul 1, 2009 5:04 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I would give Lowe away!!!

Baseball is my life

by That a boy on Jul 1, 2009 5:05 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I agree, trading Lowe would be be the best option, but it might be hard for a team to take on his contract right now unless Atlanta eats some of it. Vazquez has been great, save his occasional blowup inning, and it would be a shame to see him go. Tim Hudson has been a fan favorite for a while now in Atlanta, and it would be a shame to see him go. He hasn’t been bad at all, he probably hasn’t put up the numbers comparable to his Oakland days, but I believe he is a better pitcher than Derek Lowe. If we could get something for Lowe this offseason after we evaluate Hudson, I’d go for it.

And to all the people saying Frank Wren made a mistake by signing a surplus of pitching… let’s just say we wouldn’t be fortunate to be only 4 games back right now if it wasn’t for our starters, including Kawakami.

by BigG1392 on Jul 1, 2009 6:19 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Another thing to consider

Vazquez has a limited no trade clause that blocks any trade to the NL west or AL west, and has repeatedly said he only wants to play on the East coast. Assuming we wouldn’t trade him to a division rival, that limits our options quite a bit.

Kawakami has looked much better lately and is emerging as the pitcher many touted him as when he came over from Japan. His contract is not bad – $6.6 million in 2010 and 2011, and I’m sure a lot of teams would gladly pay that for a dependable middle of the rotation guy, especially when you consider his potential upside and the economic gains that could be made from baseball crazed Japan.

To be honest, I wouldn’t mind taking Lowe’s $60 million off the books. I was never a fan of that deal. He’s old, has a lot of mileage on his arm, has a reputation of being more interested in the nightlife than winning and you never know when these sinker ball guys are going to lose it (see Wang, C. M.). Think of the bat we could get for that money.

by DCP916 on Jul 1, 2009 5:06 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Shouldn't be that big of a deal

3 AL East teams are in Keith Law’s top 10 in his organizational ratings- could be good trading partners.

by VivaLosBravos on Jul 1, 2009 10:56 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Couple notes...

Lowe really doesn’t have many innings on his arm at all for his age since he relieved for so long, and he grew up in a cold-weather state, so he wasn’t working as hard as a kid.

Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.

by MichaelProcton on Jul 1, 2009 11:06 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Nor does he throw hard

he is a sinkerballer, which, if i remember correctly, tend to have longer careers than most other pitchers.

"Actually, Justin was right."
by bigjoe on May 15, 2009 9:04 AM PDT

by justincredubil02 on Jul 2, 2009 10:13 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Personally

I would rather keep Vazquez. The guy has been our ace this season along with JJ.

Lowe got all of us excited that first game and we havent seen that dominant of a performance out of him since then.

I would gladly eat 1/3rd of Lowe’s contract and trade him to someone needing a starter even if we dont get as big of a haul for him.

Also in regards to Hudson. The guy most likely wont come back with his ace caliber stuff till next year and they shouldnt expect him to come out of the gate dealing either. so that in itself is a reason to hold off on trading him

by drumzalicious on Jul 1, 2009 5:31 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

PUT HUDSON IN THE BULLPEN

Stick Hudson in the bullpen for the time being and trade Gonzo or Soriano. I think Hudson is a gamer & would do what he had to in order to help the Braves win.

JMR

by chicken little on Jul 1, 2009 5:36 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

actually.

Wonder how hudson would do as the SU man for Soriano.

by drumzalicious on Jul 1, 2009 5:39 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

There’s no way you can justify paying that much to a setup man.

by VivaLosBravos on Jul 1, 2009 10:58 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Paying how much?

Are you talking about the option? If that was their plan, they certainly wouldn’t pick it up.

Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.

by MichaelProcton on Jul 1, 2009 11:07 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

he isn't going to be making "that much" this year

i believe his contract is paid by an insurance company up until he becomes activated, right?

The braves would then be resonsible for a prorated amount

"Actually, Justin was right."
by bigjoe on May 15, 2009 9:04 AM PDT

by justincredubil02 on Jul 2, 2009 10:13 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Insurance numbers are always kind of sketchy...

But yes, they should theoretically assume most of his cost for this season, particularly given his lack of prior injury history..

Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.

by MichaelProcton on Jul 2, 2009 12:02 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Sorry

misinterpreted that

by VivaLosBravos on Jul 1, 2009 11:42 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Brings up a good point, we may be able to snag a nice prize from a playoff contending team needing bullpen help. Hudson would definitely strengthen it. If not him, then Kawakami possibly.

by BigG1392 on Jul 1, 2009 6:21 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Trade possibilities?

Javy’s value continues to rise and a lot of you are asking what would we get in return for him? My answer: Alfonso Soriano who isn’t exactly performing to expectations this year & therefore, not quite as valuable as Vasquez…in my opinion. I’m not sure the Cubs would make that deal, but it is food for thought. We could also see if the Fish are interested in dealing Cody Ross. The question is, do you really wanna pull the trigger with a division rival??

by Doni S on Jul 1, 2009 5:41 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

You want alfinso soriano for javy hell fuck ( explecitive ) no!!

Baseball is my life

by That a boy on Jul 1, 2009 5:45 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

oh dear lord...

I wouldnt take Soriano AND Ross for JV.

"Actually, Justin was right."
by bigjoe on May 15, 2009 9:04 AM PDT

by justincredubil02 on Jul 1, 2009 6:13 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Alfonso Soriano's contract is Barry Zito bad.

"You end up with a name like ‘Outman,’" he said last week. "What else are you going to do? You’re going to get people out, man." ~ Dallas Braden

by Blicks on Jul 1, 2009 6:14 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Bha ha hhahhahhah hahah

Alfonso Soriano for JV?? Well, OK, but only if they include Corey Patterson

by Yakker on Jul 2, 2009 2:10 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

As much as I love Josh, and his road to recory story makes me cry like a bitch every time I think about it, it would take all 25 players on our starting roster to get him. He is the best player on their team. It simply ain’t gonna happen.

Baseball is my life

by That a boy on Jul 1, 2009 5:54 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Whole-heartedly disagree

This has nothing to do with Hudson but Ian Kinsler is the best player on the Rangers. Period. And I’ll go even further and say he’s one of the most overlooked players in the game. The kid is an absolute stud.

by MTSU11 on Jul 1, 2009 6:11 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Umm

sorry, no way the Braves could pony up the goods to get Hamilton…

by Andy Braves Fan on Jul 1, 2009 9:59 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Adam Jones??

He looks like he’s got potential.

by Doni S on Jul 1, 2009 6:05 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

He's Hispanic...

He’s probably older than you think. ;)

Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.

by MichaelProcton on Jul 1, 2009 11:09 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Huddy returning makes me giddy as an A's fan.

One of my favorite players in the game right now.

Oh. Can someone explain to me what the whole deal is with Escobar?

"You end up with a name like ‘Outman,’" he said last week. "What else are you going to do? You’re going to get people out, man." ~ Dallas Braden

by Blicks on Jul 1, 2009 6:05 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

The whole deal with escobar is the braves are idiots and don’t realize they got something good.

Baseball is my life

by That a boy on Jul 1, 2009 6:18 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

yeah

pretty much that exactly. I really don’t want Escobar traded…

by Andy Braves Fan on Jul 1, 2009 10:00 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Escobar

The thing is that he can’t get out of Bobby’s doghouse….He will be traded before the deadline simply because Cox is fed up with his crap….He looks like he could care less if he’s out there or not most of the time so I think thats why his PT has went down…Sad because he could be one of the top 5 SS in the league if he would just live up to his potential..Oh well, trade him while you can and get another bat, please!!!!

Roll Tide Roll!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

by Sabanholic on Jul 1, 2009 6:21 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

He's also injured.

Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.

by MichaelProcton on Jul 1, 2009 11:10 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

He acts like a baby and it's getting more and more frequent with each passing week.

Or were you talking about his strained hip flexor?

Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.

by MichaelProcton on Jul 1, 2009 11:10 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

TWO CENTS

So here’s a thought ( and I am sorry if someone else has said it but I am not reading all 75 comments just to see if someone else put this), why don’t we not trade JV and instead trade someone who we won’t have next year anyways. That person would be Mike Gonzalez (spell check?) who has not impressed me this year at all because he is very inconsistant. Soriano has been lights out and Huddy said he would go to the bullpen if need be for the remainder of the season and be fine with it. In fact heres a trade: Mike and Kelly for Zorbist? any thoughts?

by Dlass008 on Jul 1, 2009 6:29 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Tampa

would be stupid to do that.

"Actually, Justin was right."
by bigjoe on May 15, 2009 9:04 AM PDT

by justincredubil02 on Jul 1, 2009 6:32 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I would do

Mike Gonzalez and KJ for Desmond Jennings and Reid Brignac

by Jay212033 on Jul 1, 2009 6:45 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Is Brignac suddenly hitting?

everyone is raving about him again and last I checked he was an epic failure with the bat. Anybody have the stats on that?

by Andy Braves Fan on Jul 1, 2009 10:01 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's more about Desmond Jennings

Than Brignac and how can you write a guy off after a couple of ML ABs? That’s just like saying Schafer is garbage and will never hit ML pitching.

by Jay212033 on Jul 1, 2009 10:26 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not saying that

but he wasn’t really great in the international league last year either. average at .250, not even a .300 OBP… He doesn’t really steal bases or hit for power either, really just an empty batting average.

by Andy Braves Fan on Jul 2, 2009 9:31 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Gonzalez has pitched well...

I’d prefer not to swap out our semi-closer for a guy who’s relieved all of one game as a pro who’s coming off surgery.

Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.

by MichaelProcton on Jul 1, 2009 11:12 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don’t know if its been said yet since I didn’t read every comment thoroughly, but one hurdle to trading Vazquez is that he’s going to have to go to a contender. No non-contending team is going to trade for him, give up players and pay his salary. Then you have to filter out the Mets and Phillies, and the NL and AL West teams because of the NTC which I’m POSITIVE he won’t waive.

So that leaves us with these teams that we can send him to:
Boston Sox
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
Detroit Tigers
Chicago Sox
Minnesota Twins
Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cards
Cincy Reds
Chicago Cubs
Houston Astros

Immediately you can cross the White Sox and Yankees off the list, because they’re not going to take him back. The Twins are cash strapped, so they’re off. Now on to my conjecture: the Red Sox, Cubs, and Reds are looking for hitters (Boston is flush with pitching while the latter two’s offense is terrible), so they’re out. Of the remaining teams, I really don’t see the Rays making a big move; they’ll go get a bullpen arm. That leaves these teams:

Blue Jays
Tigers
Brewers
Cards
Astros

Blue Jays: I think they’re an interesting case, but its known that they’re trying to shed money to sign Halladay. Not a problem cause JV comes off the books in ‘10, but they’ll probably want us to take Rios or Wells off their hands. No doing for me, unless they’re willing to give up Aaron Hill, which is laughable at best. Besides Hill, there’s no one compelling on the Jays who makes me want to trade JV to them.

Tigers: Looking at their offense, I would suspect they would want a bat. But man I would love me some Curtis Granderson. I have strong doubts about the Tigers willingness to deal him, as they don’t have a surplus of OFers, so I’ll chalk that up as a pipe dream. But I would trade JV for Granderson straight up. No one else interests me besides the usual candidate who are not going to be moved (Cabrera, Verlander, etc).

Brewers: Probably the top candidate. Are the Brew Crew happy enough with their offense to trade Fielder for JV and Kotchman? Dunno, but I doubt it. Braun’s not going anywhere. They have a couple of inticing prospects, including Alceides Escobar and Mat Gamel. Corey Hart with one of those, maybe? If we get Escobar, we might be able to trade OUR Escobar for some different type of help (if Alceides is ML ready). Lots of possiblities here.

Cardinals: Probably the second best fit for JV, and I think they have the motivation to do it (and a reported payroll flexibility). They might go for another bat to add, especially in the OF with Ludwick and Ankiel struggling, however.

Astros: Are they crazy enough to do it? Probably. Normally I would dismiss them but their moves in the past won’t discount it. Unfortunately they don’t really have anything compelling to give up.

So that’s that. I think the Brew Crew is the prime trade candidate, and depending on how desperate they are for more SPers and how convinced they are that JV could be their answer (not Cliff Lee), we could get a good bounty from them.

by soup du jour on Jul 2, 2009 10:32 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Good breakdown

About Toronto: I would love to have Adam Lind. I am not sure if he can play the OF though…Lind and somone else (Rios maybe?) for JV sounds fair enough. Throw in JV and Esco, and get Lind, Rios and Hill? Or Lind and Hill? Or Rios and Hill?

But I do NOT want to trade JV nor do I think we should. If we were to trade him though, I like the matchup with the Jays and the Brew Crew.

"Actually, Justin was right."
by bigjoe on May 15, 2009 9:04 AM PDT

by justincredubil02 on Jul 2, 2009 10:41 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Agreed

Good analysis. I like the Brew Crew as a match as well if they are willing to take on some salary. That is a big IF.

I kind of don’t want to discount the Phillies in this (I know why you immediately discounted them). However, think of it this way, JV is a flyball pitcher. Put him in Philly and his ERA goes up a point, I would almost guarantee it. Sure, he is still nasty, and I don’t want to face him, but he is only under contract for 1 more year and the Phillies are desperate. Meanwhile, in trading to a contender in the division, the Braves could really ask for the farm… The Phillies definitely could take on the payroll.

I think what has to be remembered is that, if the Braves put JV on the market, he immediately becomes the best pitcher available (assuming Bedard and Lee stay unavailable, which is likely). Every team, especially contenders, will be in on him. Frank Wren could easily ask for whatever he wants.

by Andy Braves Fan on Jul 2, 2009 11:00 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't want "the farm"

if we trade JV it better be to make this team a serious contender THIS year. We already have a farm and there is no sense in throwing away our best pitcher for a bigger farm.

Trading JV is a move to help us win NOW. We already have the tools to win in the future.

A trade of JV had better bring in a monster bat, or else you will see some serious negative and angry posts from me. (and I have yet to be negative towards the organization, only towards other posters)

"Actually, Justin was right."
by bigjoe on May 15, 2009 9:04 AM PDT

by justincredubil02 on Jul 2, 2009 11:03 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Clearly

but what I am saying is that the Braves could really make some waves both for this year and the future. What would you say to (and this is purely hypothetical and not necessarily realistic):

Braves trade JV

Get back: Jayson Werth, Carlos Carrasco, Jason Donald.

I’d take that any day.

by Andy Braves Fan on Jul 2, 2009 11:11 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I wouldn't

If I were Wren, I would laugh at that deal and hang up the phone.

"Actually, Justin was right."
by bigjoe on May 15, 2009 9:04 AM PDT

by justincredubil02 on Jul 2, 2009 11:12 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Mainly because

Werth is not an impact bat that will help us. Sure, he is better than FYF, but that isn’t saying a whole lot.

A trade of JV better bring back a Brad Hawpe or Nelson Cruz-type bat (not necessarily those guys, but rather players of that calibre)

"Actually, Justin was right."
by bigjoe on May 15, 2009 9:04 AM PDT

by justincredubil02 on Jul 2, 2009 11:14 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Fine

Though I will note that Werth is on pace for a 30-20 season with a .360 OBP.

Who would you rather, Victorino? Because Wren would certainly be in his right to ask for him. What I am saying is that the Braves could really turn such a trade in their favor.

by Andy Braves Fan on Jul 2, 2009 11:19 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I wouldn’t want any of Philly’s OFers for Vazquez. If Philly approached me wanting Vazquez, the conversation would start with the name “Utley”. If they laugh at that, I hang up.

"Actually, Justin was right."
by bigjoe on May 15, 2009 9:04 AM PDT

by justincredubil02 on Jul 2, 2009 11:28 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I have to say

That is a pretty severe over-estimation of JV’s trade value…

by Andy Braves Fan on Jul 2, 2009 1:00 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not at all

It is a point that I am trying to make. JV should not be traded for anything less than one of the best hitters in the game today. If the other team is not willing to part with that, then we should not trade JV.

"Actually, Justin was right."
by bigjoe on May 15, 2009 9:04 AM PDT

by justincredubil02 on Jul 2, 2009 1:52 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I’m laughing at that. The man is top 20 in WARP each of the last 3 seasons. He’s one of the best hitters in the game and he plays second base. If I’m building a dream team from everyone in the entire league, here’s how my first three selections would go.

1) Pujols
2) Hanley
3) Utley

Basically, I think if the Braves are shopping Vazquez (whose K/BB is 60% above his career average) they need to look at the Phillies, and they could actually get a decent return for him without being crazy.

I think you’re seriously underrating Jayson Werth’s value, as well. BP has him as the fourth most valuable hitter in their line-up, with a decent lead over Ryan Howard in the same number of PAs. They also have him at #65 in WARP, which includes pitchers (and tends to be very biased toward AL pitchers), so that’s very good. I’d love Jayson Werth in RF for us. Not to mention that Philadelphia’s need for pitching puts us in a good bargaining position so we could easily get a couple of decent prospects back as well.

So we end up saving money now, saving money next year, improving our offense significantly, and adding a couple of prospects who might have value later, and I’d totally be on board for a deal like this. The only way it would make me angry would be if I knew someone else had offered more.

It’s not like we’d have to put all our eggs in the Tim Hudson basket. We also have Kris Medlen ready at the ML level…

by Bronn on Jul 2, 2009 1:03 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

by saying he is the 4th best hitter in their lineup, you are basically saying that he is a middle of the pack kind of hitter. I don’t want a teams 4th best hitter – I want their best.

"Actually, Justin was right."
by bigjoe on May 15, 2009 9:04 AM PDT

by justincredubil02 on Jul 2, 2009 1:53 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

4th best

for the league’s best offense. I mean, two of the guys ahead of him are completely freaks: Chase Utley and Raul Ibanez. He’s ben more valuable to their line-up than Ryan freaking Howard.

by Bronn on Jul 2, 2009 9:04 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I get that

but if we trade our best SP, i want the other team’s best hitter. JV commands more value than Werth and prospects.

"Actually, Justin was right."
by bigjoe on May 15, 2009 9:04 AM PDT

by justincredubil02 on Jul 2, 2009 9:39 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

+1

Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.

by MichaelProcton on Jul 2, 2009 10:16 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

There’s just no way that I would send him to Philadelphia. No way, no how.

by soup du jour on Jul 2, 2009 10:36 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I wouldn’t immediately publicly discount Philly or New York just to drive the price up, but there’s no way I would actually trade him to either team. He immediately legitimatizes the Phillies’ rotation, consequently helping their bullpen which is looking a bit shaky right now. The ONLY way I send him to Philly is if we’re hopelessly out of it, but by then I wouldn’t be worried about getting a major league player back; I’d be looking to score a handful of prospects from a desperate team.

by soup du jour on Jul 2, 2009 10:39 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Escobar is ready to play in the bigs...

They just want him getting regular PT rather than backing up Hardy and Weeks.

Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.

by MichaelProcton on Jul 2, 2009 12:09 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Keep Vazquez and Escobar

Does anyone think the Nats would go for Medlen and Francouer for Willingham? Lineup would be set: McClouth, Escobar, Chipper, McCann, Willingham, Anderson, Prado, Kotchman. Then at full strength have Kelly, Diaz, Infante, Ross and Blanco on the bench.. And when Hudson comes back we figure out who to bump to the pen..

by Adamal24 on Jul 4, 2009 3:02 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Trade Lowe

Trade Lowe and get a power bat or a very nice offensive prospect… he is too expensive and he is not pitching pretty like we wanted so we need to get rid of lowe not our best pitcher right now Vazquez,… or trade francoeur and at least get bench a prospect or 5 millions that he owns back!

by JoeyBraves on Jul 8, 2009 2:23 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Welcome to the SB Nation blog about Atlanta Braves.
Start posting about the Braves »

Join SB Nation and dive into communities focused on all your favorite teams.

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recommended FanPosts

Dsc01731_small
Brian McCann Charity Softball Game; Andruw Jones wants his job back
Small
Early November Fresh Rosterbation

Recent FanPosts

Small
Bring back my boy AJ
Small
Freddie Freeman
Small
Minor League Free Agents
Dave_avatar_beach_small
Photos of Gwinnett Braves Infielders from 2009 - Inaugural Season
Small
Could Miguel Cabrera be had?
Small
Arizona Fall League Pics
Small
We're Not Signing An Outfielder
527368058_l_small
Misc 2007-2009 Spring Pictures
Heywardaaa_small
Your first memory of the Atlanta Braves

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >


Managers

Gondeee_small gondeee

Authors

My_hair_is_a_bird-257x300_small yondaime4

Dsc01731_small royhobbs

Tc_small cbwilk