Atlanta Braves - New York Yankees: Series Preview
As part of our ongoing series of series previews, next up for the Braves are the Yankees, and I exchanged some questions with Joe Pawlikowski of River Avenue Blues, one of the premier Yankees blogs. Joe and one of the other bloggers over there, Mike, were both lucky enough to attend the Baseball Winter Meetings last year, and I enjoyed following their adventure on a daily basis, so I'm thrilled to have Joe on here for this Q&A. Even for a Yankees blog, their stuff is a really good read.
[UPDATE:] Here is a link to my answer's to Joe's questions over at River Avenue Blues.
Q: The Yankees haven't made it back to the World Series since Alex Rodriguez joined the team. Considering all that has gone on this year with A-Rod, is he a hindrance to the team's success? Why haven't the Yankees made it to the World Series with "the best player in the game" on their team?
A: The Yankees' recent failures have little or nothing to do with A-Rod. In fact, the Yankees were set to sweep the Red Sox in 2004, partly on the power of an early Game4 homer by A-Rod, but Mariano blew the save, and the rest is history. If Mo locks that one down, A-Rod would have been coming off two stellar series (he killed the Twins in the ALDS) and is probably MVP of the ALCS. Strange how things can change...
I think a lot of this stems from A-Rod's departure from Seattle. They won 116 regular season games the season after he left, so the rhetoric swirled that they were better off without him. The difference, to anyone actually paying attention, was the pitching. Seattle's team ERA dropped a full run from 2000 to 2001. Similarly, the Yanks' recent woes have been based in pitching. In 2003 the team ERA was 4.03. When A-Rod showed up in 2004 the team ERA shot up to 4.69.
So the answer to your question is pitching. Pitching, pitching, pitching. Which is exactly why the Yanks broke the bank for Sabathia and Burnett last winter.
Q: How happy, or unhappy, have you been with your three big free agent acquisitions from last off-season, Mark Teixeira, CC Sabathia, and AJ Burnett?
A: I'm completely happy with the Teixeira and Sabathia acquisitions. They both started off slowly, but really came on in May and powered the Yanks for a long stretch, in which they returned to first place.
Burnett is more of a mixed bag. His stuff is evidently dominant, but sometimes he just can't harness it. Sometimes that means he has no curveball whatsoever and is forced to nibble with his fastball. Other times he'll (admittedly) lose focus for a pitch, and he'll pay for it. The upside is tantalizing, and it's good to have him on staff. The commitment was a bit too long and the contract a but too lucrative. Still, it's tough to complain too much...
Q: The Braves need offense, and two of the guys most often mentioned are the Yankees Xavier Nady and Nick Swisher. What is the likelihood that either of those guys is traded this season, and what would the Yankees be looking for in return?
A: I don't think there's a chance either is traded. Swisher has been phenomenal for stretches, and the Yanks greatly benefit from his bat when he's hot. Plus, he's under contract for next year, while no other corner outfielders are. His contract is affordable, so it's best the Yanks hang onto him.
Nady, I always thought, would be a good fit with the Braves. Unfortunately, the fit doesn't appear to be there. Nady is coming off an elbow procedure and it's unknown whether that will hold up. Beyond that, he's a free agent after this season, and he presents the Yanks with a valuable bench bat. The only way the Yanks would trade him would be to upgrade the team this year. So unless the Braves are willing to part with Mike Gonzalez, I don't see the two sides working out a deal.
Q: If you could pick one pitcher from the following group -- Phil Hughes, Joba Chamberlain, Jair Jurrjens, or Tommy Hanson -- who would you pick and why?
A: Joba Chamberlain. They're all highly touted, for sure, but my familiarity with (and therefore bias toward) Joba gives him the edge. He has incredible, absolutely incredible stuff, including a curveball which he apparently doesn't enjoy throwing frequently. He's got things he's supposedly working on now, and it's turning him into a six-inning, three-run pitcher. The Yanks will take that for now, in hopes that he harnesses his stuff and can be a three-pitch (plus a serviceable changeup) pitcher who can blow it by guys when he needs to.
Again, the above is heavily subject to confirmation bias. I like Jurrjens, a lot, but I haven't seen enough of Hanson to get a good feel for him. Maybe I'll have to start pulling up his starts on MLB.tv.
Q: Do the Yankees, as they are currently constructed, have enough to overcome the Red Sox lead in the AL East? Do they have enough to overcome the surging Blue Jays and the Rays?
A: There is no doubt that the Yanks can win the East. The talent is there. In fact, if they get Nady and Damaso Marte back, they don't even need to make a move. It'll be a tight rate, of course, since all four teams are respectable.
Remember, back in 2007 the Yanks were down 10.5 games at this point, and came within two games of winning the division. They were trotting out Kei Igawa and a gimpy Roger Clemens that summer. This summer they've got five solid starters and a much, much better bullpen. Watch for a big win streak following the All-Star break.
Many thanks to Joe for his great answers to my questions.
For a preview of the pitching matchups in the series, visit bigjoe's series preview at Braves Heart.
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47 comments
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Comments
JOBA! SURE FIRE HALL OF FAMER THERE!!!
by Zeus12888 on Jun 23, 2009 10:37 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I propose a sweep of the Yankees so we all feel better about hating the Yankees.
by Bronn on Jun 23, 2009 3:25 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
third
sweeping the “damn yankees” will get us back to .500
"The future is no place to place your better days." - Dave Matthews ~ RIP Roi
(self-appointed President of Yunel's Cartel~~~)
by Chief Noc-A-Homa on Jun 23, 2009 4:44 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
At least he admitted his bias, but picking Joba of JJ is just ridiculous. He’s a 6 inning 3 run pitcher? JJ is a 7+ inning 1 run pitcher!
"At least he didn’t nail the bitchy fat girl from Hell's Kitchen."
www.dropoutproductions.com
by cbwilk on Jun 23, 2009 11:30 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
but JJ isnt a Yankee, so….
The New Punchout for Nintendo Wii......get it
by bravesguy311 on Jun 23, 2009 11:33 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Also JJ has one less DUI
Yankees love controversy. Anything for more headlines.
by Fischerking on Jun 23, 2009 12:29 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yet
Reporter: How will you address all of the dropped passes?
Mike Smith: I don’t think that we were as sharp as we have been catching the football. It’s something that is very fixable. It’s VERY fixable.
by FrankyWren on Jun 23, 2009 5:28 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
From your answers to his questions….
If Nady is worth Brandon Jones straight up, then wouldn’t it make more sense for the Braves to just play Brandon Jones?
by redwards95 on Jun 23, 2009 11:36 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I would still take Casey over Tex any day of the week. Half of Tex’s personna is constantly looking intense, and having a miniscule strike-zone. It’s kind of comical, imo.
He’s solid, don’t get me wrong. I’m just glad he’s not with the Braves anymore.
"The future is no place to place your better days." - Dave Matthews ~ RIP Roi
(self-appointed President of Yunel's Cartel~~~)
by Chief Noc-A-Homa on Jun 23, 2009 11:39 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I like Kotchman’s salary a lot better, but come on, he’s so vastly inferior to Tex as a baseball player it’s ridiculous. Tex’s .181 higher career OPS and .021 higher career batting average are plenty to prove that.
"At least he didn’t nail the bitchy fat girl from Hell's Kitchen."
www.dropoutproductions.com
by cbwilk on Jun 23, 2009 11:46 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Right, but Tex is a douchebag.
“I told my wife to tell me where I’m going to play…………..and she said the Yankees!!!!”
lmao, fuckers. Of course the gold digger said the Yankees. I repeat: the Yanks can have him. He, and his wife will ft in perfectly with that smut. I’ll bet they roll in money every nite before they go to bed.
"The future is no place to place your better days." - Dave Matthews ~ RIP Roi
(self-appointed President of Yunel's Cartel~~~)
by Chief Noc-A-Homa on Jun 23, 2009 11:50 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I’ve never tried to get Casey’s autograph, but I’ve heard from people who have that he’s kind of a douche, too. So give me the douche who’s one of the 10 best hitters in the game right now, instead of one who’s kind of average, or even slightly below average.
by Bronn on Jun 23, 2009 11:56 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
You’re absolutely right, there is one thing Kotchman does better than Tex, and that’s be a d-bag.
"At least he didn’t nail the bitchy fat girl from Hell's Kitchen."
www.dropoutproductions.com
by cbwilk on Jun 23, 2009 12:07 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah, I've heard that. If he's a douche at his core, then ok. Some people are douches.
Just keep playing the way you’ve been playing, Casey.
"The future is no place to place your better days." - Dave Matthews ~ RIP Roi
(self-appointed President of Yunel's Cartel~~~)
by Chief Noc-A-Homa on Jun 23, 2009 12:38 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I hope he doesn’t keep playing the way he’s been playing. As it is, he’s a step down from Martin Prado. He needs to step up just to keep pace with our second best utility man.
by Bronn on Jun 23, 2009 12:40 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
He's been hitting balls, just right at people. The game can be funny like that.
"The future is no place to place your better days." - Dave Matthews ~ RIP Roi
(self-appointed President of Yunel's Cartel~~~)
by Chief Noc-A-Homa on Jun 23, 2009 12:43 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
He’s probably a douche cause we took him away from his perfect 75 degree weather year- round
by Bmacbandwagon on Jun 23, 2009 1:14 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Come on chief, dont forget.
Joe Girardi is the best manager Tex has ever played for
by Zeus12888 on Jun 23, 2009 12:17 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
For serious?
Tex has posted an OPS+ the past two seasons of 150 and 151. This year he’s posting a 155 OPS+.
Kotchman, for comparison, posted a very nice 119 OPS+ in 2007, then last year it was 93. This year, it’s 86. And you might talk about Kotchman being good with the glove, but Tex is certainly no slouch defensively.
And if you go in for things like WARP3, Teixeira was worth 8.7 wins over replacement players last year. Kotchman was worth only 1.4.
by Bronn on Jun 23, 2009 11:51 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Casey doesn't get enough credit, though. The guy is key.
Tex just fits in perfectly playing with a bunch of douchebags, ie, the Yankees.
"The future is no place to place your better days." - Dave Matthews ~ RIP Roi
(self-appointed President of Yunel's Cartel~~~)
by Chief Noc-A-Homa on Jun 23, 2009 11:54 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Be nice.
I would take Teixeira every day of the week and twice on Sundays. I mean, he’s just so darn adorable…him and his bobble-butt.
"If I had a little humility, I would be perfect" - Ted Turner
by Little Lady on Jun 23, 2009 4:20 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
ewwww.
I thank God every time I DON’T have to see him twitching his tail at 1st.
"The future is no place to place your better days." - Dave Matthews ~ RIP Roi
(self-appointed President of Yunel's Cartel~~~)
by Chief Noc-A-Homa on Jun 23, 2009 4:30 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
This summer they’ve got five solid starters and a much, much better bullpen. Watch for a big win streak following the All-Star break.
Yea, Chien Ming Wang, theres a real “solid” starter for you. Solidly atrocious, maybe
by Zeus12888 on Jun 23, 2009 12:19 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Hush, they might catch on before the Braves get a chance to pound him.
by Bronn on Jun 23, 2009 12:21 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Oh good lord.
JJ > Hanson > Joba > Hughes
Taking Joba over either of those two (ESPECIALLY JJ) is just absolutely ridiculous.
Also, I like how he says that Nady “is a good fit, but the fit isn’t there”. Sounds like he is trying to put a square in a round hole…lol.
"Actually, Justin was right."
by bigjoe on May 15, 2009 9:04 AM PDT
by justincredubil02 on Jun 23, 2009 12:32 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Hanson will be better than JJ before long, I deem.
The funny thing about Joba is that he’s actually older than JJ, despite the fact that JJ seems like a seasoned veteran, while Joba is still an enigmatic young pitcher with upside.
by Bronn on Jun 23, 2009 12:37 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
nice point sir
The New Punchout for Nintendo Wii......get it
by bravesguy311 on Jun 23, 2009 12:54 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
It is also funny to hear
a Yankees fan talk about an “affordable contract”.
"Actually, Justin was right."
by bigjoe on May 15, 2009 9:04 AM PDT
by justincredubil02 on Jun 23, 2009 12:35 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Interesting to see their interest in Gonzo
Wonder if the Braves would consider a swap of Gonzo for Nady towards the dead line if Nady has come back and proven himself healthy and productive
by drumzalicious on Jun 23, 2009 1:40 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Its bad when two of your top 5 hitters are your utility infielders (when Omar is healthy). I dont care where but martin should play everyday
by Heyward is the next crime dog on Jun 23, 2009 3:30 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
yeah. Now if Yunel is out again for awhile, stick Martini at short.
Diory looks like a deer in headlights at the plate.
"The future is no place to place your better days." - Dave Matthews ~ RIP Roi
(self-appointed President of Yunel's Cartel~~~)
by Chief Noc-A-Homa on Jun 23, 2009 3:54 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Naw,
Diory looks like the deer who’s already been hit by a Mac truck
by Zeus12888 on Jun 23, 2009 4:31 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
There is something about out guys
who get hits in their first games…they look lost at the plate afterwards.
FYF, Schafer, Diory, etc…
"Actually, Justin was right."
by bigjoe on May 15, 2009 9:04 AM PDT
by justincredubil02 on Jun 23, 2009 5:08 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Apart from some stuff last night Diory has been fine. I remember that game he played behind Lowe. dude was a monster on the field
by drumzalicious on Jun 23, 2009 7:09 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
The Yankees ERA jumped dramatically after they added A-Roid
This after the report that he tipped pitches for opposing hitters in lop-sided affairs. Coincidence? If that claim is true, I find it to be worse than the steroids matter. What he doesn’t realize is that he’s leaving his own bullpen staff (teammates) out to dry by doing these favors for other players so they will return it to him. That’s incredibly selfish. He wants better numbers for future ridiculous contracts while these pitchers on his team are suffering with worse numbers and possibly losing their job and their security for their family. Nice one A-Roid. I don’t know how I could justify rooting for the Yankees if I were thier fan.
by pancanbra on Jun 23, 2009 6:12 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Tex/Kotch
The string of comments suggesting Kotchman over Teixeira is incredible. “But he’s a douchebag…”but he asked his wife where he should play, and she said the Yankees." Because his wife likes extremely large bank accounts—I don’t blame her.
Yankee fans always get a hard time for saying retarded shit like this. Collective pot, meet kettle.
YOU all can have Kotchman. I’ll take the guy who’s really, really good at baseball.
by hoboken_wood on Jun 23, 2009 7:13 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
They both are
one just is a better hitter…
"Actually, Justin was right."
by bigjoe on May 15, 2009 9:04 AM PDT
by justincredubil02 on Jun 23, 2009 10:14 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
who cares
season is already done. bobby cox can not manage with out 3 hall of fame pitcher in his rotation. last 4 years have proven this.
by no way on Jun 23, 2009 9:27 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Best Post Ever
you get the prize.
"Actually, Justin was right."
by bigjoe on May 15, 2009 9:04 AM PDT
by justincredubil02 on Jun 23, 2009 10:09 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
But just for fun
Last 4 years includes 2005…
2005 Starting Pitchers – John Smoltz, Horacio Ramirez, Tim Hudson, Kyle Davies and Mike Hampton
Unless Cooperstown creates a “most times on DL” or “Fail to live up to expectations” wing, I don’t think that there were 3 Hall of Famers in this rotation.
Also, that was the year of the “baby braves”. Do you remember that? The year that many people consider Cox’s best managing performance…you know, the one where we won 90 games with a bunch of rejects, has-beens, and rookies.
"Actually, Justin was right."
by bigjoe on May 15, 2009 9:04 AM PDT
by justincredubil02 on Jun 23, 2009 10:14 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
son.of.sourman?
"At least he didn’t nail the bitchy fat girl from Hell's Kitchen."
www.dropoutproductions.com
by cbwilk on Jun 24, 2009 4:05 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

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