Chicago Cubs - Atlanta Braves: Series Preview
The Chicago Cubs open up the 10-game homestand for the Atlanta Braves against NL Central teams at Turner Field tonight. The Cubs come in just one game over .500 on the season, as the Braves open up June at .500. It's always a fun series when the Cubs are in town, and tonight will have the added bonus of two former Chunichi Dragons players, Kenshin Kawakami for the Braves and Kosuke Fukudome for the Cubs, facing each other for the first time.
To help give Atlanta fans an idea of how the Cubs season is going I've exchanged five questions with Chicago Cubs blogger Al Yellon of Bleed Cubbie Blue. Al is a terrific blogger and a nice fellow. We met last year at the Hall of Fame game in Cooperstown, NY, which ended up being rained out. Anyway, here are my questions to Al about the Cubs, and here is a link to his questions to me about the Braves.
Q: Most people expected the Cubs to hold first place in the Central for the entire year, are you disappointed that the Cubs are only one game over .500 and in fourth place in the division?
A: Disappointed? Sure, but without Aramis Ramirez and with a bullpen that quickly sunk into mediocrity -- OK, at times awfulness -- one game over .500 and only 4.5 games out of first place on June 1 isn't that bad. Ramirez is the Cubs' best hitter, the guy every other team fears every time he comes to bat. The Cubs have a huge hole in the middle of their lineup and guys like Milton Bradley, Derrek Lee and Geovany Soto have not yet stepped up to fill it.
The starting pitching has been good-to-excellent, yet the Cubs have won only one game all year (last Friday vs. LA) where they scored less than four runs. So, generate some offense and a winning streak could easily follow.
Q: Do you think the other teams in the Central who are in front of the Cubs can keep up their good play all year? And do the Cubs have enough to overcome those teams if they stay hot?
A: I always say, "The Cardinals aren't this good", and most years they prove me wrong. Tony LaRussa, who Cubs fans love to make fun of, is an excellent manager, despite his wacky lineups at times. He always prepares his team to win. And any team with Albert Pujols has to be feared.
I thought the Brewers would decline without Sabathia and Sheets, but Yovani Gallardo has stepped up and filled at least one of those holes. But probably the biggest difference so far for Milwaukee is the presence of Trevor Hoffman. The Brewers haven't always had a lights-out closer. I'm surprised at his age that Hoffman has been one, but if he keeps it up, the Brewers won't fade.
The Reds are managed by Dusty Baker. Nuff said.
Q: The Braves and the Cubs were two teams that missed out on Jake Peavy this off-season. At this point in the season, do you regret the Cubs inability to acquire Peavy?
A: Not at all, because as I said above, starting pitching has been one of the Cubs' real strengths for the first two months. Peavy's numbers have been skewed by having Petco as his home park -- his road ERA is a full run higher than his home ERA, not just this year but for his whole career, and he has allowed significantly more homers away from Petco in fewer innings.
I think if the Cubs got Peavy, they'd be paying $70 million for a league-average pitcher. You guys can have him.
Q: What is the biggest strength of the Cubs so far this season? What is the biggest weakness?
A: I don't want to get repetitious, but starting pitching has been a huge plus. The Cubs are tied for 2nd in the league in quality starts. Granted, QS (which can result in a 4.50 ERA; all you have to do is throw 6 innings with 3 or less ER) isn't the best measure. Even during the recent skein of losing (10 of the last 14), the Cubs put up outstanding starts in 10 of those 14 games.
Conversely, when the starter is pulled, that's where things have gone south. Despite the presence of good setup men in Carlos Marmol and Angel Guzman, the relief pitching has been pretty bad. Kevin Gregg has 8 saves, but has been inconsistent (better lately). Neal Cotts, the only lefty in the pen, was so bad he was shipped to Triple-A and replaced by a minor league lifer, Jason Waddell. Aaron Heilman is about to be booed back to New York, he's walked so many people. The Cubs have converted only 61% of save opportunities.
Q: What player on the Atlanta Braves would you like to have on the Chicago Cubs?
A: I'm going to surprise you with an unconventional answer. It's not Chipper or McCann or Jurrjens. It's Kelly Johnson, who can play multiple positions (though he's played only 2B this year). He's got some power, a little speed, and could be a lefthanded Mark DeRosa type, something the Cubs sorely need. The trade of DeRo left the Cub bench really thin.
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24 comments
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Comments
Interesting comment on Kelly. That was suprising.
I really like the comments about Peavy. Proving to be a real primadonna. I’m glad we have the blue collar bull in Lowe instead of him.
by Fischerking on Jun 2, 2009 8:32 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Actually, when you look at the make-up of the Cubs
Perhaps not all that surprising. I mean, they’ve got Aramis Ramirez at third and Soto at catcher. A Cubs fan wouldn’t see Chipper or McCann as much of an improvement at either position, if at all (despite Soto struggling this year).
But their options at second base: Mike Fontenot, Aaron Miles, Andres Blanco, and Bobby Scales. Cubs would love a second baseman who can actually not be a complete detriment to the line-up. Though it’s obvious he thinks Kelly is more versatile than he is-he came up as a SS but lacks the range to really play the position, and he isn’t exactly a stellar defensive 2B option.
by Bronn on Jun 2, 2009 9:38 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Ramirez is still hurt I do believe
"If on-base percentage is so important, then why don't they put it up on the scoreboard?"
President, CEO, and chairman of the Brandon Jones fan club. PLEASE COME BACK! PLEASE COME BACK! PLEASE COME BACK!
by bigjoe on Jun 2, 2009 9:45 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Does he know that Kelly only plays 2nd and LF? He is not as versatile as DeRo…
Guy #1: Damn, these oysters are going to make us horny as hell...
Girl #2: Oh yeah, I forgot oysters are hermaphrodites.
by bwellnjonesco on Jun 2, 2009 8:42 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Nice
This a great post that allows both sides to see a little into the season of the other side from a fans standpoint. A very nice read and I hope that you will pursue more exchanges like this with our future opponents.
by Mountngrown on Jun 2, 2009 9:32 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Thanks
I plan to. I usually try to start doing them about two months into the season, so there’s something to talk about. No one knows how their team will play the first few weeks — it’s all raw emotion at that point, but now we can really start to analyze our respective seasons.
by gondeee on Jun 2, 2009 10:44 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I agree that this exchange wouldn’t have much value early in the season. Your call about “raw emotions” is right on. After a long winter every teams fans, for the most part, will all tend to be at least somewhat optimistic about the upcoming season. I will look forward to future posts of this nature.
by Mountngrown on Jun 2, 2009 12:24 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I totally agree with Al on Peavy
I voiced the exact same opinion this offseason…
by Andy Braves Fan on Jun 2, 2009 9:33 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
In retrospect, I think Frank Wren dodged a lot of bullets in the winter.
AJ Burnett is not an ace and he will never be, Furcal is having an horrible year and his best year was his rookie year (he has never had an OBP that good since), and Peavy is a Petco pitcher.
by Alvaro Andres Pizza Varela on Jun 2, 2009 9:52 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I mostly agree but getting Andruw back for peanuts like the Braves could have would have helped the outfield greatly. Then again he probably would have sucked being coached by Pendleton instead of Jaramillo.
by redwards95 on Jun 2, 2009 10:18 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
FW did dodge a lot of bullets and got really lucky.
Who would have thought that EOF would have been as stellar as he has aside from a few rough outings he has been looking good.
Also Vazquez? Really? i knew he would be good but right now we have almost 3 Aces on our team with the way Lowe, JJ, and Vazquez are pitching.
I wonder however if the Braves FO would have the balls to trade KK at the end of the year.
next year we will have Huddy, Lowe, JJ, Vazquez and Hanson. thats a sick rotation.
As far as Andruw Jones goes his stats are skewed by Home/Road splits and his numbers have actually declined throughout may so we will see if he reverts back or keeps declining
by drumzalicious on Jun 2, 2009 3:40 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Kawakami has to pitch better...
To actually get anything back in a trade.
Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.
by MichaelProcton on Jun 2, 2009 4:57 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Y'know...
Alot of the stuff he is bemoaning about the Cubbies sounds pretty darn familiar
by Zeus12888 on Jun 2, 2009 11:04 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Is this wishful thinking?
Or do you have something to verify this?
Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.
by MichaelProcton on Jun 2, 2009 2:26 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
by drumzalicious on Jun 2, 2009 3:56 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
THX.
But how did you know before noon?
Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.
by MichaelProcton on Jun 2, 2009 4:57 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
he’s not the one who initially posted it
"If on-base percentage is so important, then why don't they put it up on the scoreboard?"
President, CEO, and chairman of the Brandon Jones fan club. PLEASE COME BACK! PLEASE COME BACK! PLEASE COME BACK!
by bigjoe on Jun 2, 2009 5:14 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
oh, whoops.
thanks for that too.
Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.
by MichaelProcton on Jun 2, 2009 7:56 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Hopefully Ken is "on" tonite
The couple times I’ve seen him, he’s either been on or off. No in-between.
"The future is no place to place your better days." - Dave Matthews ~ RIP Roi
(self-appointed President of Yunel's Cartel~~~)
by Chief Noc-A-Homa on Jun 2, 2009 12:34 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
You’d think he would want Gonzalez over KJ. I’d be happy to take Milton Bradley in an OF exchange.
Is Big Z off suspension yet? I hope we get to see him.
If Dunn walks 30 fewer times, he'll drive in 15 more runs. This is thanks to the scientifically proven formula: RBI = (this is nonsense) (I made it all up).
Here's a stat: Wins as manager: Dusty Baker, 1,162; Bill James, 0.
by TradeAndruw on Jun 2, 2009 12:41 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
You'll see him on Thursday vs. Jurrjens.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
by Al on Jun 2, 2009 3:01 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Sounds Very Familiar
Record Around .500……4.5 Games back….Solid Starting Pitching….Absence of injured star 3b hurting offense….bullpen shaky at times….almost traded for Peavy and very content not to have made the trade….
by Sir Stealth on Jun 2, 2009 1:58 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

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