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Around SBN: The Ten Worst Swings Of The 2011 Season

Brian McCann: Atlanta Braves 2009 Player Preview

This player preview was written by Timm Davis, who can be found at Rain Delay, and posts here as... Rain Delay.

Who knew that when Johnny Estrada when down with injury in 2005 that a fresh faced kid from Athens, Georgia, would arrive from double-A Mississippi and wind up as John Smoltz' personal catcher for the remainder of the 2005 season, then go on to play in three all-star games and win two silver slugger awards. In a very short time Brian McCann has become a member of the elite catching corps in the game of baseball..

I bet you wouldn't be surprised to know that in the last 30 years, Brian McCann leads all Braves catchers with a career OPS+ of 123? The closest to him is (of course) Javy Lopez who clocks in with a 113. Other catchers on the list include Ozzie Virgil (99), Greg Olson (80), Eddie Perez (76) and Bruce Benedict (71) (to qualify a catcher had to have at least 1,000 plate appearances).

Fan Graphs says that Heap is second only to Joe Mauer with a Win Value of 5.8, which puts him on the top of the National League . The Braves know what they have with the 24-year old McCann, this is why they locked him up with a long term deal.

Each year he's been in the majors he eclipses the games played mark he set the previous season. Not to mention he had guys like Todd Pratt and Corky Miller backing him up at times. With a more competent backup this year in David Ross, McCann should get a bit more rest than he is used to (and Bobby would be wise to give him that rest).

There was some concern after the 2007 season, as his numbers dropped across the board and he was striking out more and hitting for less power, but keep in mind that he was injured a good portion, if not all of that season. It seems that when he has problems at the plate he turns more often to his Dad instead of Terry Pendleton for hitting advice.

With a healthy 2008 he showed us more accurately what he can do. He's struck out less, hit for more power and spread the ball around better. According to most projections, he should hit on or near .300 with anywhere between 20-25 jacks, which falls in line last with last season in which he had a career high in batting average (.301) and OPS+ (134).

Perhaps the only bum rap on him has been his less than stellar defense. While not atrocious it could be better. Spring reports said, and it certainly looks as though he's lost some weight coming into camp. That should help with his defense and mobility behind the dish. Even with all of his success in the batter's box, McCann has always been a tireless worker at the defensive part of his game, and that should continue from year to year.

In 2009 we should be able to pencil in a healthy McCann for about 20-25 home runs and a .300 batting average. There's no desparity in his splits either. Last year he hit two points lower against lefties (.299) than right handers (.301). It's nearly identical but reversed with OBP, with an OBP vs RH of .373 and an OBP vs LH of .375. Look for more of the same this year from Heap, WBC or not. The kid is good, and he's going to be good for some time to come.

Thanks to Timm for another good preivew.

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Baby Jesus > Joe Mauer

I don’t get why everyone knocks McCann’s defense – I ask the question, would Russell Martin or Joe Mauer be considered that much better if they had to play in the same division as Jose Reyes, Jimmy Rollins, Carlos Beltran, Shane Victorino and Hanley Ramirez? In 2008 those names combined for 199 steals. I’d like to wager that if Mauer or Martin had to deal with those guys on a regular basis, their defense would come into question, too.

Had to get that off my chest. Otherwise, another phenomenal write-up. I heart me some Brian McCann.

No wonder nobody likes you, Tuttle... everything's a (Pujols) damn debate.

by royhobbs on Mar 10, 2009 9:48 AM EDT reply actions  

But Russell Martin has to deal with such speedsters as Wily Taveras, Juan Pierre, Matt Kemp, Matt Holliday, Randy Winn, Fred Lewis, Russell Martin, Eugenio Velez, Clint Barmes, etc! Surely that evens it out, right?

I'm not not licking toads...

by Smoltz's Beard on Mar 10, 2009 10:29 AM EDT up reply actions  

If he has the ability to throw himself out then Russell Martin is WAY better than I thought.

by Fischerking on Mar 10, 2009 11:21 AM EDT up reply actions  

Taveras → Cincinnati
Holliday → Oakland

Winn is the only one Martin would have to contend with this coming year, to crack the NL’s Top-10 in 2008, and, that was a tie with Carlos Beltran (25). And that was practically a career-high, even with his aging legs.

No wonder nobody likes you, Tuttle... everything's a (Pujols) damn debate.

by royhobbs on Mar 10, 2009 11:46 AM EDT up reply actions  

Wow, you really do get fired up about this. I’m obviously kidding, I included Russell Martin’s name in the group for christ sakes…

Now who’s the loser, hmm?

I'm not not licking toads...

by Smoltz's Beard on Mar 10, 2009 12:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

I figured it was a waste to close the tab with all the 2008 NL stolen base guys without getting one last use out of it.

No wonder nobody likes you, Tuttle... everything's a (Pujols) damn debate.

by royhobbs on Mar 10, 2009 12:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

Ummm...

Juan Pierre and Matt Kemp are on the Dodgers. Why don’t you do a little research before you post? God…you and Adam Dunn hate baseball.

"…aren’t worthy enough to hold his (Pujols) ass cheeks apart while Playboy models wipe him with thousand dollar bills after he craps out the cure to whatever previously-incurable disease." by royhobbs 1/7/09

by buzzdeadwax on Mar 10, 2009 12:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

Screw you buddy!

I'm not not licking toads...

by Smoltz's Beard on Mar 10, 2009 12:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

Coming from...

…a no research doing, baseball-hating, Adam Dunn loving, Oreo cookie eating, pickle juice drinking, chicken-gristle eating…wait, what are we talking about again? Well, anyway, coming from you, that’s a compliment.

"…aren’t worthy enough to hold his (Pujols) ass cheeks apart while Playboy models wipe him with thousand dollar bills after he craps out the cure to whatever previously-incurable disease." by royhobbs 1/7/09

by buzzdeadwax on Mar 10, 2009 12:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

You forgot “sucks at Street Fighter”

No wonder nobody likes you, Tuttle... everything's a (Pujols) damn debate.

by royhobbs on Mar 10, 2009 12:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

Still waiting for you to get SF4, son

I'm not not licking toads...

by Smoltz's Beard on Mar 10, 2009 12:53 PM EDT up reply actions  

Mmm…I havn’t had an Oreo cooking in a long time

I'm not not licking toads...

by Smoltz's Beard on Mar 10, 2009 12:55 PM EDT up reply actions  

Is there any reliable defensive metric for comparing catchers other than FP% and % of runners thrown out?

by MatM on Mar 10, 2009 12:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

Who knows

Also to consider is the number of passed balls, which questionable, has some degree of judging whether or not the catcher’s mobility had anything to do with it or not.

No wonder nobody likes you, Tuttle... everything's a (Pujols) damn debate.

by royhobbs on Mar 10, 2009 12:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

I think the weight loss will be key

If you look at McCann’s numbers in the last two months:
.297/.352/.436/.788 (% of PA resulting in an extra base hit = 9.5)
vs. March thru July:
.302/.380/.564/.944 (% of PA resulting in an extra base hit = 12.7)

You get a drop-off of .005/.028/.128/.155, which suggests to me that he was tired at the end of the year. Combine the weight loss and the ability to get extra rest now that we have a competent back-up as mentioned, and I think we will see Heap be able to better maintain his production late in the year. I predict an OPS around .920

by MatM on Mar 10, 2009 12:02 PM EDT reply actions  

Actually, the interesting thing about McCann.

Is that he’s a pretty amazing plate blocker. The stats for his ability to prevent wild pitches have him in the top 5, I think it was. He isn’t good at holding or throwing out runners, but I actually think overall he comes out right around average as far as runs saved as a catcher. Combined with his amazing bat, he’s easily one of the top 2 catchers in the majors and may actually be better than Mauer.

by Perrinbar on Mar 10, 2009 1:24 PM EDT reply actions  

I think it's funny

how our two best hitters (Chipper and McCann) both turn to their dads instead of Terry Pendleton for advice. Hmmm….

by eaheckman10 on Mar 10, 2009 2:35 PM EDT reply actions  

What's wrong with that?

Sometimes, maybe they just want advice from those who know them better than anyone else. And in all fairness, McCann’s dad might not have been a pro, but he does teaching hitting. And let’s look at the bigger picture here, Chipper wouldn’t have become the hitting-savant he is today without the fundamentals that were apparently laid down from tireless repetitions with his own dad, imitating through the 1980s Dodgers lineup from both sides of the plate as a kid.

Both learned the meat of their swings from their dads. TP is around to help try and refine it. But there’s nothing wrong with going back to those who helped shape it from nothingness. Hell, McCann seems more likely to go to Chipper before going to TP. It’s not so much a knock on TP as much as it is going to whom you’re most comfortable with for advice.

No wonder nobody likes you, Tuttle... everything's a (Pujols) damn debate.

by royhobbs on Mar 10, 2009 3:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

Thank goodness that Wren brought in a true professional hitter this offseason to mentor Schafer, Heyward, and Freeman.

I'm not not licking toads...

by Smoltz's Beard on Mar 10, 2009 3:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

I don't think there is anything wrong with it at all

it’s good that they go back to whoever they feel most comfortable with. But I do find TP pretty underwhelming as a hitting coach

by eaheckman10 on Mar 10, 2009 4:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

Contrast TP

With the Walt Hriniak style of hitting. I say that because after working with hitters, you could see his influence (e.g., top hand letting go shortly after contact). I loved TP as a player, but what’s his philosophy? It seems like “Be aggressive, don’t clog the bases”. But what do I know—I’ve never played organized baseball, let alone taken coaching from TP.

"…aren’t worthy enough to hold his (Pujols) ass cheeks apart while Playboy models wipe him with thousand dollar bills after he craps out the cure to whatever previously-incurable disease." by royhobbs 1/7/09

by buzzdeadwax on Mar 10, 2009 6:32 PM EDT up reply actions  

His thought process is probably similar to this.

"OBP is not a production number, and should not be used as something he achieved."

by VictorW on Mar 10, 2009 6:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

+ Infinity

Did you make this? Is this a board game I can purchase?

"…aren’t worthy enough to hold his (Pujols) ass cheeks apart while Playboy models wipe him with thousand dollar bills after he craps out the cure to whatever previously-incurable disease." by royhobbs 1/7/09

by buzzdeadwax on Mar 10, 2009 7:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yep I made it. That board game sounds like it’d be about as fun to play as Monopoly.

"OBP is not a production number, and should not be used as something he achieved."

by VictorW on Mar 11, 2009 7:38 AM EDT up reply actions  

McCann

I agree with eaheckman10. I’m praying that TP will be tabbed as a manager somewhere else before Bobby retires. Its not good when your best hitters go somewhere else for advice and someone who really needs help (Frankie) just keeps getting worse.

by ChrisYesTPno on Mar 10, 2009 3:09 PM EDT reply actions  

Best catcher in the NL

And arguably the best in baseball. Having this guy at a position that’s extremely devoid of hitting right now is a godsend.

by FineHamAbounds on Mar 10, 2009 4:49 PM EDT reply actions  

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