Braves Top-10 Minor League Right Handed Starting Pitchers (6-10)
The second half of the Braves top right handed starting pitching prospects contains several young, live arms, as well as a few more polished players, and one pitcher who could have an impact in Atlanta in 2010.
6. Caleb Brewer B/T: R/R Born: 2/2/1989 Ht: 6'3" Wt: 205
A 14th round draft pick in 2007, Brewer had a decent debut with the Orlando Braves in the GCL as an 18 year old, going 0-1 with a 4.68 ERA and a 1.68 WHIP in 32.2 innings, but certainly wasn't on anybody's prospect list coming in to 2009 after missing all of 2008 with an injury. But, he's rocketed himself up those prospects list after returning to the GCL this year, compiling a 3-3 record with a 2.82 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP in 44.2 innings in 12 games (10 starts).
Brewer held opponents to a pathetic .132 average against and led the team in strikeouts with 65, which was 23 more than Robinson Lopez, who pitched 4 more innings than Brewer, as well as leading the team in strikeouts per 9 innings, with an astounding 13.1. But, he also walked a ton of batters, 31, good for a whopping 6.2 per 9 innings. He had troubles with this in his first season, walking 6.6 per 9 innings that year, and while each could be explained away easily, inexperience the first season and rust this year, this is something he's going to have to dramatically improve as he moves up the ladder.
Baseball America recently rated Brewer's curveball as the best in the system, and he pairs it with a good fastball and a developing changeup. At 6'3", he has great size for a pitcher, allowing him to get good leverage on his pitches. The biggest thing for Brewer at this point is staying healthy. He should begin 2010 at Rome and since he's coming into the season as a 21 year old, he'll be a little old for a typical top prospect at that level, but given the missed time and his dominance this season, he seems capable of quickly mastering the Sally League, which could lead to quicker promotions in the ensuing years.
T7. Todd Redmond B/T:R/R Born: 5/17/1985 Ht: 6'3" Wt: 215
After being acquired from the Pirates in exchange for Tyler Yates, Redmond was the Southern League Pitcher of theYear in his first season with the Braves. He followed up that strong showing with an up and down AAA debut that saw him end up with a team leading 9 wins, along with 6 losses, a 4.41 ERA, and 1.37 WHIP in a team leading 145 innings in 27 games (24 starts). He started well, with a 3.32 ERA in April, but stumbled in the middle, going 3-5 with a 5.37 ERA in May and June, before getting on a roll again with a 5-0 record and 3.71 ERA in July and August. Redmond continued that roll as he established him self as the ace of USA's World Cup team, going 3-0 with a 1.21 ERA in three starts, covering 22 innings. Facing Germany, Taiwan, and Puerto Rico, he held batters to a .147 average and struck out 17 while only walking 1.
Redmond doesn't have the pure stuff of some of the other pitchers on this list, pairing a solid curveball and changup with a fastball that tops out at 90 mph, but he's as polished a pitcher as anyone in the organization. He's a control pitcher who hits his spots and rarely hurts himself with mistakes or walks. AAA was obviously a bigger adjustment for him than AA, as he allowed more hits and walks per 9 innings than his career numbers and struck out fewer per 9 innings than his career numbers. But, across the board, those numbers were still solid, if unspectacular, which is a great assement of Redmond himself.
Already a member of the Braves' 40 man roster, Redmond will turn 25 early next season. Essentially, he's a finished product, and will likely be asked to return to Gwinnett to further refine and polish his pitching. While he would be more than suitable as a back of the rotation starter, a role that he could probably fill suitably in 2010 if needed, his ultimate landing spot will likely be the bullpen, where his ability to get ground balls, as well as his stubborn pitching style, could make him a highly effective middle reliever.
T7. Robinson Lopez B/T: R/R Born: 3/2/1991 Ht: 6'2" Wt: 190
One of the youngest players on the Talking Chop prospects lists, Lopez made his professional debut as an 18 year old this season playing for the Orlando Braves in the GCL. He was named the team's Pitcher of the Year and paired with Caleb Brewer to form a daunting duo at the top of the team's rotation, and led the starters with a 1.29 ERA and innings pitched, 48.2, to go with his 3-1 record and 1.08 WHIP in 11 games (8 starts).
Showing this kind of ability at this young an age is a great sign of Lopez's ability. He was highly thought of when the team signed him and he rewarded the scouting department's belief in him. Honestly, little could have gone better for him in his debut and he'll look to build on his success in Rome in 2010, where another fine season could catapult him up this list.
9. Kyle Cofield B/T: R/R Born: 1/23/1987 Ht: 6'5" Wt: 190
Since being drafted in the 8th round of the 2005 draft, Cofield has quietly moved up the organizational ladder, one rung at a time, pitching this year for AA Mississippi as a 22 year old. He turned in another solid season, leading the team with 10 wins, along with 5 losses, a 3.90 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP in 140.2 innings piched in 26 games (24 starts). While he's never been outstanding in his career, Cofield has been consistent, as the majority of his per 9 inning stats were relatively close to his career averages, including 7.8 hits per 9 innings (compared to 8.4 for his career) 5.7 walks per 9 innings (compared to 5.0) and 5.6 strikeouts per 9 innings (compared to 6.3).
Like Redmond, Cofield doesn't have overpowering stuff, but his knowledge of pitching has increased exponentially in his time with the organization and while there's a chance he could return to Mississippi to start out 2010, it's more likely that he makes the move up to AAA Gwinnett. Also like Redmond, his lack of overpowering stuff likely means that his eventual landing spot is in the bullpen, but, unlike Redmond, he's still young enough to make some drastic improvements in his development, meaning that he could establish himself more prominently as a possible starting candidate for Atlanta in late 2010 or 2011.
10. David Francis B/T: R/R Born: 2/8/1988 Ht: 6'1" Wt: 200
The Canadian born Francis made headlines when he struck out 16 on his way to pitching a 7 inning no-hitter while playing for Danville in 2008. The rest of his debut season was equally successful as the 12th round draft pick picked up 5 wins and 3 losses, a 2.35 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP in 53.2 innings in 11 games (8 starts). Things didn't go quite as smoothly in his second season as the 21 year old went 5-7 in 30 games (6 starts) for Rome this year, compiling a 3.67 ERA and 1.48 WHIP in 88.1 innings. He also started 4 games for Myrtle Beach, where he didn't record a win or a loss, but did post a 7.02 ERA and 1.74 WHIP in 16.2 innings.
Francis got in trouble by allowing hitters to make good contact, giving up a .293 average against while pitching for Rome, giving up 10.3 hits per 9 innings. Oddly enough, he had less of a problem with this in his starts for Myrtle Beach, dropping his average against to .258 and his hits per 9 innings to 8.6, and while those numbers paired with a huge jump in his strikeout rate, from 7.4 per 9 innings at Rome to 11.9 per 9 innings at Myrtle Beach, both of the hitting stats are still fairly high and he also saw a huge jump in his walks, from 3.1 per 9 innings at Rome to 7 per 9 innings at Myrtle Beach.
It's fairly clear the Francis isn't as bad as his overall 2009 numbers would indicate, but he's also probably not as good as he was in 2008 either. Depending on how things play out in Spring Training, he may find himself returning to Rome in 2010 as a 22 year old, which makes him several years too old to be considered a top prospect. But, if he can keep the batter from getting square on his pitches and start making them miss a few balls again, he could develop into a useful pitcher at the upper levels, even if that may have to happen with him in the bullpen.
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Every G Braves game I went to I would be saying, “I hope i get to see Hanson or Medlen, aww damn its Redmond!” I swear I must have seen him pitch half a dozen games. But after seeing him pitch, I have to say that I am a Todd Redmond fan and wish him all the luck in the world.
"Braves fans in the hizzy" -Boog
"Is that like the crib?" - Joe
by GwinnettBraves on Nov 9, 2009 8:04 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Love these posts...
Have you considered doing them in descending order? America loves counting things backwards. Even minor league pitching prospect reports (and new years, spaceship launches, top plays, cutest animal-related internet videos… but especially minor league pitching reports). Anyway, kinda sucks to get less excited as you read on. Or I could just start at the bottom.
Can’t wait to see how these guys do no matter how they’re listed though. Thanks!
by sgrapevine on Nov 9, 2009 8:08 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Hmm…that’s a pretty interesting idea. Maybe we’ll do that for the overall top-25 posts.
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by cbwilk on Nov 9, 2009 8:27 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Thanks, it’s fun. Like I said below, I’m learning as much as anyone else about all the guys. When you have to write it up you really have to study them. I probably would rate some guys completely differently now. And heck, I only wrote up half the positions.
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by cbwilk on Nov 9, 2009 10:11 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Lopez /Brewer
Can someone explain why Brewer is ranked higher? Maybe that a question that will be dealt with in the roundtable. I’m not sure how hard Brewer throw but Lopez did his thing at 18 without any experience in the DSL or GCL previously. Lopez has a FB that has been clocked as high as 98 and sat 94-96, has a good change and a developing curve. His Ks may not reflect it at this point but he’s just 18 and this was his first professional experience.
by Jay212033 on Nov 9, 2009 9:08 PM EST via mobile reply actions 0 recs
Brewer is ranked higher because I didn’t have Lopez on my list at all and I had Brewer slightly higher than either gondeee or yodamie14 did. Now why I did that is another question, and after doing the writeup I actually said in the round table that I thought more highly of Lopez now. Personally, I’m learning as much about the Braves system as anyone else by doing these writeups.
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by cbwilk on Nov 9, 2009 9:21 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Thanks for being honest, CB
I love talking about our mL and going to the games. I can’t wait to see Brewer and Lopez pitch in Rome. Both guys have great potential but all I can go by at this point is scouting reports and stats can’t wait for the top 5 and the roundtable great job and keep it up!
Oh yeah one last question how much credit do the guys in the DSL get?
by Jay212033 on Nov 9, 2009 10:39 PM EST via mobile up reply actions 0 recs
That should read
How much consideration do the guys in the DSL get?
by Jay212033 on Nov 9, 2009 10:48 PM EST via mobile up reply actions 0 recs
Personally, I don’t give them a huge amount of credit. If a guy is really dominant, obviously you have to pay attention, but you also have to take the context of their age and their competition into account. If a guy is 19 or 20 in the DSL, I’m not really that impressed, regardless of what he does. But, if he’s 17 or 18, then we’re talking. It’s a lot like the GCL, because it’s so far away from the Majors and so few of the guys will ever play even at AA and the amount of games they play is smaller too, and all that adds up to making projecting them very difficult.
Of the 70 players we each submitted to make up our prospect lists, I only had 2 guys from the GCL this year, 3B Edison Sanchez (who I ranked as 2nd but ended up as 4th on the overall list) and LHSP Andy Otero (who I ranked 10th and didn’t make the final list).
Sanchez is a big guy and he had a great season with a .900 OPS. He’s only 18, so even if he played for the GCL or Danville teams next year, he could play for Rome as a 20 year old and be right on track for that age level that I like prospects to be at.
Otero was only 17 there (and he won’t turn 18 until June) and his numbers were ridiculous: 6-1, 0.84 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 13.1 strikeouts per 9 innings. But, then you see that he’s only 5’9" and weights 160 and I have no idea what to make of him. I don’t know what he throws, I’m assuming he’s some kind of lefty Pedro Martinez (which there actually was one of, but I’m making an analogy here) throwing 100mph laser beams up there because of all the strikeouts, but who knows? If he were bigger and the crop of young starters was a little weaker he probably would have been much, much higher on my list. I really can’t wait to see how he progresses, cause he could go level to level, play GCL, then Danville, and still be looking at playing in Rome in 2012 as a 19 year old, just the right age.
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by cbwilk on Nov 9, 2009 11:10 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Cool
Those two guys were the ones I were going to ask about as well as Luis de Luna but you answered my question. I posted a scouting report on Otero on Sickels’ sight in the Top 20 thread here it is. The info is from BA and Johnny Almaraz.
Andy Otero, 16(at the beginning of the season) – Absolutely blew the DSL away, may even skip the GCL next season and start in Danville at 17. At 5’9" this kid is very agressive with his FB in the 91-92 range topping out at 93, he racks up a ton of Ks by going directly after hitters with excellent control and a very good change and a decent slider.
I can’t belive he didn’t even make the Top 10 LHP for the Braves the list must be pretty good for this kid not to be on the list!
by Jay212033 on Nov 10, 2009 12:02 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I think the biggest reason he didn’t was because he was in the DSL. If he did that in the GCL, he’d definitely be on there. But still, it’s a pretty good list.
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by cbwilk on Nov 10, 2009 12:47 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Oh I believe you
We have some very good young LHP coming up!
by Jay212033 on Nov 10, 2009 1:12 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Walks plus Hits per Inning Pitched. Like ERA, the lower this number is the better. I’m sure there are plenty of better ways to judge pitchers, but this isn’t a bad one, since it’s going off of how many people the pitcher is letting get on base each inning.
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by cbwilk on Nov 9, 2009 9:59 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
For reference:
The best WHIP in the NL this year was Rockies closer Houston Street at .91 (ridiculous). Our own Javy Vasquez comes in at 1.03 good enough for number 5 in the NL. 5 of our pitchers are in the top 30 of this category; Jurrjens being number 30 at 1.21.
Oliver Perez has the highest in the NL of pitchers over 60 innings at a healthy 1.92.
The NL avg is 1.37.
Now it’s part of your arsenal. Use it well.
by sgrapevine on Nov 9, 2009 10:12 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Can't wait to see the top 5
These guys really don’t do anything for me.
I suppose the top 5 is Teheran, R. Delgado, Spruill, Hoover, and David Hale, which leaves Pruneda out.
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by PWHjort on Nov 10, 2009 12:30 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
I think Hale and Pruneda
Will be with the relievers. I think they are doing RH starters at the moment.
by Jay212033 on Nov 10, 2009 12:45 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Yes, they’re relievers.
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by cbwilk on Nov 10, 2009 12:46 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs

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