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Late November/early December Rosterbation....

The previous post has closed up comments apparently, so I guess it's time for a new one.  Let's see if we can try and keep the mess from spreading too much.

 

Free agency is starting up, arbitration deadlines are closing fast.  Should be lots of movement across the board.  Will Wren make a big trade?  A small trade?  A big signing?  A small signing?  Will we bring back Gonzo or Soriano, or sign Wagner, or Saito, or Valverde, or Putz to close?  Have I hit the charachter requirement yet?

 

Time for more rosterbation, let's try and keep it in here if we can ladies and gentlemen.  The janitor will appreciate it.

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Of the following possible relievers...

who are most people wanting? Who do most think is probable?

Jeff Weaver
Billy Wagner
JJ Putz
Chan Ho Park
Jose Valverde
Soriano
Fernando Rodney
Darren Oliver
Will Ohman
Guillermo Mota
Ron Mahay
Gonzo
Tom Gordon
Kevin Gregg
LaTroy Hawkins
Bob Howry
Brandon Lyon
Kiko Colero
Rafael Betancourt
Justin Duchscherer
Kelvim Escobar
John Smoltz

by Mr. Sanchez on Nov 23, 2009 9:10 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Billy. Wagner.

"Im a fullonrapist, I do men, women, autistic kids, children, the elderly." -Charlie Kelly

by Hcgadawgs on Nov 23, 2009 9:15 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Gordon or Hawkins seem pretty good to me...

and this puts my man Saito into question…
“Making his decision slightly less difficult is the fact that the club will likely let free agent Takashi Saito sign elsewhere this offseason. Saito was arguably the most consistent and reliable reliever last season, but his age and price tag appear to be too much for the Red Sox to invite back”
http://www.nesn.com/2009/11/daniel-bard-bringing-the-heat-as-jonathan-papelbons-setup-man.html

If his price is supposedly too high for Boston, I doubt our chances.

by Mr. Sanchez on Nov 23, 2009 9:36 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I like Hawkins, but I think...

…you can stick a fork in Gordon. Hell, his kid is already in the minors.

by cavebird on Nov 24, 2009 9:53 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

agreed

Gordon seemed gassed 2 years ago IMO.

by Andy Braves Fan on Nov 24, 2009 10:03 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Let's see....

I like Hawkins and Calero and Betancort if the price is right, although I think he will resign with the Rockies. I doubt Smoltz goes the closer route, but it would, of course, be nice to have him back. I would love Wagner, but if the Red Sox offer him arbitration, he costs us our first round pick. (While we have Class A’s in Gonzo and Soriano, I would guess they are signed by teams that don’t give us a first round pick for them—-i.e. teams who sign a higher priority other free agent and teams that have protected picks.) I think Gordon is finished. Duchscherer is a starter and I don’t think his stuff would translate that well to the bullpen, but who knows? Putz is interesting.

Basically, I want to see us sign a bunch of cheaper live arms without worrying about whether the pitcher has the mantle of being a proven closer. You pay too much of a premium for a proven closer and the results are not necessarily any better.

by cavebird on Nov 23, 2009 9:53 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

See Ducscherer's career #s...

http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/split.cgi?n1=duchsju01&year=Career&t=p#sprel

He’s pitched more innings as a reliever than starter, near 200 relief appearances, and from the stats it looks like his stuff translates pretty well to the pen.

by Mr. Sanchez on Nov 23, 2009 10:46 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I stand corrected. Is he a free agent?

by cavebird on Nov 23, 2009 11:09 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Duchs had a serious struggle w/ depression this year. Unless the Braves are convinced that’s he’s got that conquered, I’d tread carefully.

If Albert played in the AFL, they’d have to rename it the AZ/NM Fall League, based on where his homers landed.

by Yakker on Nov 24, 2009 8:24 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Could this be a sign of the roid era?...

seems like the bigs are getting a lot more guys going down with “depression” than I can ever remember.

by Mr. Sanchez on Nov 26, 2009 10:25 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I think it is just more diagosed now.

It has always been around. Big Ed Delehanty had severe enough problems that (although his intent was unknown) he quite possibly committed suicide by jumping off Niagra Falls.

by cavebird on Nov 26, 2009 11:25 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Give me

Kevin Gregg, JJ Putz, and 1 of Fernando Rodney, Kelvim Escobar, and Billy Wagner. Maybe the Duchscherer.

by Andy Braves Fan on Nov 23, 2009 11:30 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Gregg reminds me of a Kolb or Wickman...

if we go into the season with him working the 9th, it’ll probably work out about as well as those two did.

by Mr. Sanchez on Nov 23, 2009 1:49 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Meh

That’s where the Rodney or Wagner would come in. The good thing about Gregg is that he is coming off a bad year, but he isn’t terrible.

by Andy Braves Fan on Nov 23, 2009 2:00 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Rodney scares the crap out of me.

Sure he racked up the saves last year, but his ERA was crappy and he still walks way too many batters. Let someone else overpay for his saves. Escobar is a massive injury question mark, which could make him cheap, but also means we can’t rely on his as the primary closer with no back-up options. Wagner is a Class A free agent which would be a waste of a first round pick if the Red Sox offer arbitration; the current system is screwy; basically lower-tier Class A free agents (like Wagner, Gonzo, and Soriano) can only be signed by teams who are signing bigger Class A free agents or teams with protected first round picks. It leaves the Braves is no-mans land on Class A free agents—-we won’t spend the money to sign someone good enough to justify giving up our first round pick (like Holliday) which means we almost can’t intelligently sign any Class A guys who are offered arbitration.

by cavebird on Nov 23, 2009 2:20 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I’ve never known the Braves to care much about giving up a first round pick. There were more than a few years where the team’s first pick in the draft was in the supplemental round or in the second round.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Nov 23, 2009 2:32 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I agree that we haven't cared...

…I just think that we should. When pursuing a big name free agent, I don’t think it is of critical importance. However, when pursuing a lesser free agent, I think it should be factored into the analysis. Basically, to get Wagner, assuming the Red Sox offer him arbitration, we have to trade our first round draft pick. Other possibilities don’t require this. I just think it should be factored in to the analysis and honestly, I don’t think Wagner is worth enough more than other options to make it worth while to give up the pick to get him.

by cavebird on Nov 23, 2009 3:48 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Realistically, the Braves haven’t gotten a lot out of their first round draft picks over the last couple decades. I think their strategy, sign the Major League talent and allow the scouts to find impact players in the later rounds, is a pretty solid one.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Nov 23, 2009 7:16 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I disagree.

The Braves haven’t done too badly with their first round picks the past two decades. One big problem we have had is a good one—-we haven’t had many high picks in those years. We have had a total of 17 picks in the first round of the past 20 years; in 1993 (Maddux), 1997 (Bielecki), 1998 (Weiss), 1999 (??), 2003 (Byrd), 2004 (?), and 2008 (Glavine), we did not have a first round pick. In 2000 & 2001, we had two. One of our first round picks, Chad Hutchinson (1995) did not sign and chose to play quarterback at Stanford instead.

Those 16 first round picks have included 7 total duds: Mike Kelly (#2, 1991), Jamie Arnold (#21, 1992), Jacob Shumate (#27, 1994), A.J Zapp (#27, 1996), Scott Thorman (#30, 2000), and Joshua Burrus (#29, 2001). The most recent three picks will all be listed in the top 10 prospects for the Braves this year (possibly all in the first five): Heyward (2007), Minor (2009), and Cody Johnson (2006); obviously the jury is still out on them, but so far, not looking too bad. Two other picks have had at least one good major league season each and the jury is still out on them, but we will find out from their performances on other teams: Joey Devine (2005) and Jeff Franceour (2002). One is an all-star but was traded from the Braves as a minor leaguer: Adam Wainwright (2000). And, of course, one of our picks is a future hall of famer: Larry Wayne Jones (#1 overall, 1990).

All in all, I would say that is a decent list. I wouldn’t sneeze at what we can do in the first round and I wouldn’t lightly throw it away. If we are signing a big enough free agent, hey, that’s the cost, but with a lesser free agent that we could get the same from elsewhere, I would value the pick.

by cavebird on Nov 23, 2009 10:45 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I like the research, mostly cause I didn’t want to have to go through and find it all again, but my first instinct is that if 44% of your first rounders are total busts, then that’s already a poor start. You also forgot to add Macay McBride, and he’s got to be considered a bust too, a 27 year old with 103 Major League innings who hasn’t pitched in the majors in 2 years can’t really be anything else. So right there, half of the guys the Braves have drafted in the first round are total failures.
Like you said, the last three are still coming up, so we can’t judge them, so that leaves a remaining four guys. Jeff Francoeur, despite what anyone thinks of him, does have over 2700 Major League at bats, so while he’s not a stud, he did develop into a Major Leaguer. For all of Joey Devine’s success last year, he still has less than 70 Major League inning and is coming off major arm surgery. But, we can give him the benefit of the doubt, because if nothing else he helped acquire Kotsay for the ML team. And yes, Jones and Wainwright can’t be questioned a bit.
But still, when you’re starting out with the reality that half of the guys drafted in the last two decades gave absolutely nothing to the team in terms of value, that’s not good and I think it proves my point. so far they’ve only had to real, high quality Major Leaguers in 16 first round chances, mostly in the range where their first round pick is going to be this year, and, no matter how unlikely it seems, there’s a chance that four of the other guys (Minor, Heyward, Johnson, and Devine) could become busts too. That’s not a sign of being overly successful in the first round.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Nov 24, 2009 12:06 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I have to wonder

what percentage of 1st round picks turn out anyway? I mean, out of context, a .300 average is only 3 out of every 10, but when you put that into the context of a baseball batting average it is pretty damn good. I wonder how the Braves stack up against other teams.

by Andy Braves Fan on Nov 24, 2009 9:40 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I searched all over and couldn’t find the link again, but Baseball America did a study of the first 40 years of the draft (up to 05 I think) that showed that 33% of first rounders never make it to the Majors at all. Of the other 67% only 40% of them actually have significant careers (which was judged by more than 1000 plate appearanaces and some number of innings [500? I’m not sure]).
So really, even first round picks don’t have that great a success rate.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Nov 24, 2009 11:31 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Ok

with that in mind, the Braves probably have a pretty average success rate.

by Andy Braves Fan on Nov 24, 2009 12:22 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

By that metric...

…it seems like 27% or so (26.8% to be precise) of first round draft picks have significant major league careers. That’s not bad at all.

by cavebird on Nov 24, 2009 12:31 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I think

that teams are more cautious about losing picks now because free agent salaries have gotten so high. It has gotten to the point that teams feel that they are making a gamble on what seem to be mostly diminishing returns. As a result, they are more willing to take a chance on draft picks.

by Andy Braves Fan on Nov 24, 2009 12:37 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Yes, and it is smart.

The investment/return ratio is much better. Most free agents come at a premium. If they perform, they earn their contract, if they underperform, they are an albatross. Draft picks, however, don’t get nearly as much money (with a few notable exceptions) and when they perform they outperform their contracts significantly. If a team has limited revenue, draft picks are a much more cost effective source of obtaining talent.

by cavebird on Nov 24, 2009 12:39 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Considering the money they give out now, that seems awful. Imagine giving a guy 6 million out of the gate and getting nothing out of it.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Nov 24, 2009 12:42 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

yep...

let’s sign Glavine or Anderson or Jason Schmidt to a $6 mil deal this off season. That’s a great idea. But that’s what happens sometimes in the draft.

by Mr. Sanchez on Nov 24, 2009 1:16 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

when you consider the bonuses those guys demand...

I’d say only having 27% turn into anything worthwhile is bad.

by Mr. Sanchez on Nov 24, 2009 1:13 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

The guys who get $6 million plus...

…are top two or three picks. They have a different success rate, I would imagine. The mid first rounders are in the $2 million range.

by cavebird on Nov 24, 2009 1:36 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Bryan Bullington just signed a minor league deal with the Royals…his fourth organization…

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Nov 24, 2009 1:58 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

C'mon...

…everyone knows that early picks by the Pirates don’t count. I mean seriously. This year they drafted a good field no hit catcher in the top five picks for signability reasons.

by cavebird on Nov 24, 2009 8:36 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I know, I just thought it was funny since Bullington is such a douche. Seriously dislike that guy.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Nov 24, 2009 8:49 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Given where we have picked in the first round...

…it is not bad at all. Also, McBride, while unlisted (my oversight) was one of the seven busts (I listed only six, oops), so it is only 44%. Also, we have to factor in that we had a very low first round pick almost all those years. (Which, of course, is a good thing—-consider the alternative.) Additionally, factor in that after paying a signing bonus of a few million dollars we get six years of team control for a draft pick after they come up, even a 30% success rate is great for a team overall. I forget which study it was, but one study clearly showed that the most cost effective way of obtaining baseball talent was through the draft. It makes sense to me.

Don’t get me wrong, when the right player comes along, you give up the first round pick without worrying. I just don’t like giving up a first round pick for an overpriced commodity (proven closer) that is not coming at a discount when we could find someone else that would suffice without giving up the pick.

by cavebird on Nov 24, 2009 9:59 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

100% agreed on this:

I just don’t like giving up a first round pick for an overpriced commodity (proven closer) that is not coming at a discount when we could find someone else that would suffice without giving up the pick.

by Andy Braves Fan on Nov 24, 2009 10:04 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Ah, you didn’t list McBride but you did point out that we didn’t sign Hutchinson, that’s where I got confused. So that’s still 7 out of 15 that are total busts, which still kind of gets at what I’m saying, that, at least for the Braves, there’s a 47% chance that the first pick will be a total bust, a 27% chance he’ll become a Major Leaguer (including a 13% chance he’ll be a stud), and a 20% unknown chance. Frankly, those aren’t the kind of odds that are going to make me not sign a quality player just so I don’t lose the draft pick.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Nov 24, 2009 11:35 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

A 13% of getting a stud...

…under team control for six years far outweighs, to me, any possible advantage we could get from Wagner being better relative to the money it costs to sign him compare to other players we could sign.

by cavebird on Nov 24, 2009 12:30 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

And does your % reduce that much...

dropping slightly lower (and cheaper) with sandwich picks and 2-5 rounders?

I agree with the idea of building through the minors and the draft, but that is done on first round picks. Can’t be done on first round picks alone. It takes success in sandwich picks, rounds 2, 3, 4, 15, and 26, et al.

by Mr. Sanchez on Nov 24, 2009 1:19 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

No doubt about that.

You need good picks all the way through, although the odds of success diminish significantly after the first few rounds. I am just saying that a first round pick is a valuable commodity that should be considered when contemplating signing a Class A free agent. Not a dealbreaker, but something to consider.

by cavebird on Nov 24, 2009 1:38 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I'd be pretty nervous if Rodney were closing too...

if we had the combination, I’d feel better in that you hedge your bets so that if one fails, hopefully the other succeeds. But Gregg is not someone I want, with more seasons over 4.50 era than under. Why not just go after Matt Capps, who would be cheaper? He seems like the ideal “overpay for past saves” type crap reliever. Aka Kolb, among others. He saved games for a crap team, and didn’t do it at an exceptional level either.

by Mr. Sanchez on Nov 23, 2009 2:24 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

My point is

that all of these guys are warm bullpen bodies that can take the ball in the 9th. Get enough of them, and you will find a closer. I would rather underpay for a bunch of guys who are decent options than overpay for “the proven closer”. Hell, why not just go closer by committee.

Matt Capps would have to be had in a trade. These guys all just cost money.

by Andy Braves Fan on Nov 23, 2009 2:38 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

i say give moylan a shot, and if it isn’t working by the allstar break…make a deal for a “proven” closer

"Im a fullonrapist, I do men, women, autistic kids, children, the elderly." -Charlie Kelly

by Hcgadawgs on Nov 23, 2009 2:56 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I'm ok with that

but I do think that the Braves could use some more bullpen arms anyway, I just don’t think that spending lots of money on it is necessary or smart. There are plenty of guys in FA who aren’t “proven closers” who could fill the closer role or at least be solid in setup roles. Grab one or two for stability and call it a day.

by Andy Braves Fan on Nov 23, 2009 3:01 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

If Moylan closes...

you still need to bring in guys who can work the 7th and 8th, although they would clearly be cheaper than a “proven” closer.

by Mr. Sanchez on Nov 24, 2009 1:22 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

But Rodney and Gregg fit that...

overpay for a “proven closer” model you mention. They’ve got 30 save seasons under their belt, and likely require a higher price than their past performance deserves because of those seasons.

by Mr. Sanchez on Nov 23, 2009 3:08 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Maybe

and if so, don’t sign them.

by Andy Braves Fan on Nov 23, 2009 3:47 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Actually, every single name you listed...

…except Duchsherererer (sp???) has been a closer for a significant period of time in his career and Duchscherer has 14 career saves himself. (Gregg: 85 SV (closer 2007-09); Putz: 103 SV (closer 2006-07); Rodney: 70 SV (closer 2009); Escobar: 59 SV (closer 2002); Wagner: 385 SV (closer 1997-2008).

I agree with the idea of getting good live arms for the bullpen and not paying for an established closer. Your list, however, is just about the opposite of that.

by cavebird on Nov 23, 2009 3:56 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

He’s only been “coming off a good year” once. Every other year of career has been too bad for me to want him on my team.

by FineHamAbounds on Nov 24, 2009 5:17 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Duchscherer, Escobar, and Putz are all good risk/reward options for us imo. Each has dominant potential and won’t cost a fortune on a one year deal, obviously not the only move you make but it’d be a start

by McCann's the Man on Nov 23, 2009 8:34 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Joaquim Benoit is a minor league FA and could be worth a look.

If Albert played in the AFL, they’d have to rename it the AZ/NM Fall League, based on where his homers landed.

by Yakker on Nov 24, 2009 8:21 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

That's a great idea!

However, we seem to have grabbed Abreau and filled the 40-man roster. Still, if we can grab him as a minor league FA, he is a great low-risk, high possible reward kind of guy. Always had great stuff.

by cavebird on Nov 24, 2009 8:37 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah

Another reason I was surprised by the Abreu move. Benoit may have had some “character” issues that scared the Braves off.

If Albert played in the AFL, they’d have to rename it the AZ/NM Fall League, based on where his homers landed.

by Yakker on Nov 24, 2009 8:55 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Oh, and

Calero’s a minor league FA too. Probably worth kicking the tires.

If Albert played in the AFL, they’d have to rename it the AZ/NM Fall League, based on where his homers landed.

by Yakker on Nov 24, 2009 8:59 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I wouldn't mind either Calero and/or Benoit

imo it’s been long overdue for Wren to shake things up and sign some cheap relievers with high upside.

by SmithnCompany on Nov 24, 2009 11:20 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Calero is a major league free agent

not a minor league free agent. In fact, he is a Class A free agent. Fortunately, he was a Marlin, so we don’t have to worry too much that he’ll be offered arbitration.

by cavebird on Nov 26, 2009 11:26 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Aside from the arbitration status, Class A, B, etc., there’s really no difference between a Major League free agent and a Minor League free agent.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Nov 27, 2009 1:29 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Can we sign Calero without adding him to the 40-man?

If Albert played in the AFL, they’d have to rename it the AZ/NM Fall League, based on where his homers landed.

by Yakker on Dec 2, 2009 2:12 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Yes, if he’s willing to accept a Minor League deal.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Dec 2, 2009 2:54 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

He won't be.

His numbers last year were too good. Plenty of teams would happily sign him to a major league deal. My guess is that he’ll get $2-3 million somewhere. I’d happily see the Braves do that.

by cavebird on Dec 3, 2009 9:08 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I don’t think he will either, I was just answering the hypothetical. But, like I pointed out in another thread, that’s a lot of money to pay for a 35 year old coming off a year where he played much much better than he ever had in his career, especially considering he missed almost all of the year before. I just don’t trust that he’ll be that good again.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Dec 3, 2009 1:43 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I didn't realize he was that old, but...

…his career numbers are pretty good. Given his track record (career 3.24 ERA, 9.6 K/9, 2.57 K/BB), I’d give him $2-3 million in a heartbeat. There aren’t many guys out there who have put up those numbers over several years. The injury is an issue, but he seemed to be over it last year.

by cavebird on Dec 3, 2009 2:13 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Calero has a career FIP of 3.29, ERA of 3.24 as cavebird said, and tRA of 3.56. Those are damn impressive numbers if we’re only talking about a 2-3M dollar commitment

by McCann's the Man on Dec 3, 2009 8:28 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Sign Wagner. Trade for Masset and let him spell Wagner in the 9th on occasion.

"Four of us wolves, running around the desert together in Las Vegas, looking for strippers and cocaine..."

by jeg on Nov 25, 2009 4:58 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Offensive options...

Here are the names that DOB said the Braves have interest in this offseason. I’m sure some more than others, and many not listed. But I thought getting these on here early might weed out some of the “Vasquez for Ryan Braun” and other incredibly outlandish ideas.

Mark DeRosa
Mike Cameron
Josh Willingham
Jermaine Dye
Xavier Nady
Marlon Byrd

Personally I like Mike Cameron. Likely not too expensive and by taking over CF and sending McLouth to LF our defense is better immediately. Not to mention he can hit around 25 homers a year (which would have led our team this year). Then trade Lowe to free up some money (preferably for a good 3B prospect). Also a Lowe for Konerko has been mentioned which I would be fine with also.

I understand that these scenario’s have been covered ad nauseum but maybe this is a good jumping off point.

by Fischerking on Nov 23, 2009 9:45 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

I'm with you on most of that.

I like Cameron, assuming he costs in the $6-$7 million range, which I would guess he would. I am intrigued by a Lowe for Konerko trade, but worry that Konerko’s $ 12 million dollar deal would constrain us too much elsewhere (i.e. signing Cameron and bullpen arms). Still, it is possible we could squeeze in Konerko, Cameron, and a couple of solid relievers. I would be quite happy with that offseason.

by cavebird on Nov 23, 2009 10:00 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

One has to wonder

if a Lowe for Konerko swap is possible. I would be very happy with that offseason as well.

by Andy Braves Fan on Nov 23, 2009 11:31 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Mike Cameron’s been worth 4 WAR three of the last four seasons. I highly doubt he’ll have to settle for a $7M/1 deal.

If Albert played in the AFL, they’d have to rename it the AZ/NM Fall League, based on where his homers landed.

by Yakker on Nov 24, 2009 8:28 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Teams don't look at WAR much, fortunately...

…but if someone is smart and offers him 2 yrs, 20 million, then we are sh*t out of luck.

by cavebird on Nov 24, 2009 8:37 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I think there are plenty of clubs that will. We’re lucky that the M’s, Indians, and Red Sox all have excellent CFs. Seems like folks around here expect Cameron to sign a one-year deal for approx. $5-7M. No way that happens.

My guess is $24M/2.

If Albert played in the AFL, they’d have to rename it the AZ/NM Fall League, based on where his homers landed.

by Yakker on Nov 24, 2009 8:57 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I have no idea what he should be worth or what the market will bear, but with that disclaimer, my guess – if I had one – would be much lower than yours.

by fandave on Nov 24, 2009 10:44 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I really hope you are wrong.

But if you are right, good for Cameron, he deserves it.

by cavebird on Nov 25, 2009 12:29 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I can’t see 12M a year for his 37 and 38 y/o seasons. Whose going to pay him that? SF if they lose out on Holliday/Bay? DET if Granderson is traded?

 I’ll guess more like 1 year, 8M with a team option for 9M with a 1M buyout, which is roughly what he would gotten for 2008/2009 if he hadn’t gotten suspended.

"Four of us wolves, running around the desert together in Las Vegas, looking for strippers and cocaine..."

by jeg on Nov 25, 2009 5:24 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I would do that without the option/buyout...

and would probably reluctantly do it with, just because I am assuming they are looking for a 1 year filler. Cameron is a solid, consistant player. Not much risk involved as you basically know what you are getting. And the fact that he is a FA and wouldn’t cost prospects or players is also big.

Our offense was rounding into shape at the end of last season. But we needed a Cameron type guy with some power and really good defense. He would fill a big need for us and lessen the need for a big bopper 1B. If we could find someone solid and consistant there too then I like our chances.

by Fischerking on Nov 25, 2009 8:31 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Well, except...

….that I wouldn’t mind the buyout and club option.

by cavebird on Nov 25, 2009 9:25 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

wouldn’t cost prospects or players is also big.

As a Type B, wouldn’t ATL have to compensate MIL with a draft pick?

If Albert played in the AFL, they’d have to rename it the AZ/NM Fall League, based on where his homers landed.

by Yakker on Nov 25, 2009 12:42 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

no

If he were offered arb, they just add a pick between the 1st and 2nd rounds. Mil won’t offer him arb, because he wants to go back and basically they can’t afford him. Plus they traded Hardy for Gomez.

by Salty on Nov 26, 2009 12:24 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

In retrospect, $24M/2 is probably a little high. I’d adjust to either $20M/2 or $12M/1. He’s still a plus plus defender at a premium position with a solid batting eye and very good power. Plus, he’s apparently a good clubhouse guy, for those who care about stuff like that. Many teams will be vying for his services.

My point is this: Many on here seem to be thinking of Cameron as a cheap signing option. He may not cost as much as Matt Holliday, but he will not be cheap.

Bottom line: The word on Mike Cameron is out. Don’t expect a discount.

If Albert played in the AFL, they’d have to rename it the AZ/NM Fall League, based on where his homers landed.

by Yakker on Nov 25, 2009 12:41 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

He lives in Atlanta

I could see him signing for 7-8-9 million.

by Salty on Nov 26, 2009 12:25 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

heh

the difference between 7 and 9 mil is a lot when you also need to sign a couple of relievers and a quality one can be had for 2 mil

by drumzalicious on Nov 26, 2009 1:26 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

It'll sure be interesting to see what Lowe's fate is this year

Are you thinking that you get a good 3B prospect and don’t pick up any of Lowe’s salary?

by Salty on Nov 23, 2009 11:36 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Not at all...

I think if you want ANYTHING of value for Lowe, you need to assume either we are going to pick up a significant part of his salary or we are trading for someone in a similar situation.

Side note: I think our best bet might be to trade Vasquez in order to get maximum value. He had a career year this year and his performance is likely to see some drop off. His value is at it’s max. Unless the FO realistically believes he can perform at or near that level for 3 more years and they have the financial means to extend him which is what he wants.

Lowe on the other hand had a down year compared to his career averages. So trading him would net less than it would at any other point. That being said, I would love it if we could make a profitable deal for Lowe and be able to extend Vaz and have a rotation of Huddy, Vaz, Hanson, Jair, and KK (unless he is used in a deal) for the next three years.

by Fischerking on Nov 23, 2009 12:57 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Have you seen the salaries some starters get?...

Lowe would be above SEVERAL guys bringing home $10-12+ million in 2010. With the insane 8 figures paid to guys like Arroyo, Dempster, Lohse, etc, I don’t think finding someone willing to take Lowe’s salary will be too difficult (and that is without us paying some of it).

by Mr. Sanchez on Nov 23, 2009 1:52 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Those guys make less than Lowe

and they’re all in the discussion as bad or not very good contracts.

by Salty on Nov 23, 2009 9:49 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

But they got the contracts is the point..

because someone REALLY needed pitching, and was willing to drastically overpay for it. Happened before, will happen again, and Lowe is better than each of those guys.

by Mr. Sanchez on Nov 24, 2009 1:23 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Personally

i think Cameron would be the best. He would give us that pop and make our OF defense kinda crazy. We could even move McLouth to LF

by drumzalicious on Nov 23, 2009 12:14 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

but then again

The last 3yrs his numbers with RISP are kinda lack luster for what we would want from a Clean Up hitter.

by drumzalicious on Nov 23, 2009 12:16 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

His RISP numbers in 2009 were low...

…but in 2008 were close to his season as a whole numbers and in 2007 were well above his season as a whole numbers. Over his career they are slightly better than his numbers as a whole. Regardless, I would put little stock in that—-RISP numbers flucuate a lot over time and are pretty random—-I have yet to see any evidence that players generally have any sustained ability or failure to hit with RISP.

by cavebird on Nov 23, 2009 2:25 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

You needed a picture of a janitor and didn’t use this guy? You get the evil eye!

Janitor Pictures, Images and Photos

"Matt Diaz is a baseball player."-Joe Simpson

by 10-4 on Nov 23, 2009 10:41 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Argh! Thats 2 photobucket fails in a week! Anyway, its this guy:
Janitor Pictures, Images and Photos

"Matt Diaz is a baseball player."-Joe Simpson

by 10-4 on Nov 23, 2009 11:59 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

or this one..

Photobucket

"Im a fullonrapist, I do men, women, autistic kids, children, the elderly." -Charlie Kelly

by Hcgadawgs on Nov 23, 2009 12:16 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

well played. i’m gonna stick with mine though, since Joe Dirt’s tenure as a janitor was short lived.

"Matt Diaz is a baseball player."-Joe Simpson

by 10-4 on Nov 23, 2009 12:36 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

because...

a) not a fan of that show
b) too obvious
c) the array of paint splatter (looks like paint at least), and the sour look on his face makes him seem like the guy who’d be working the mop in a rosterbation room.

by Mr. Sanchez on Nov 23, 2009 1:54 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

woah woah woah, not a fan of joe dirt?

"Im a fullonrapist, I do men, women, autistic kids, children, the elderly." -Charlie Kelly

by Hcgadawgs on Nov 23, 2009 2:32 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Reading comprehension is crucial...

“a) not a fan of that show”

Scrubs is a “show”. Joe Dirt would be a “movie”.

by Mr. Sanchez on Nov 23, 2009 3:09 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/show

#21

"Im a fullonrapist, I do men, women, autistic kids, children, the elderly." -Charlie Kelly

by Hcgadawgs on Nov 23, 2009 3:13 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

That’s sort of thin. Obviously back in the first half of the last century people called it a show when they were going to the movies, but anymore if you say show most anyone is going to infer that you’re talking about television.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Nov 23, 2009 3:15 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

yes and therefore i asked “not a fan of joe dirt?”, a simple explanation would have sufficed but for some reason he felt the need to be a smart ass..

"Im a fullonrapist, I do men, women, autistic kids, children, the elderly." -Charlie Kelly

by Hcgadawgs on Nov 23, 2009 3:22 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

"woah woah woah"...

makes it seem like that explanation between the two was necessary.

And yes, I think Joe Dirt has some funny parts. Plus, she is pretty hot (even when she was on Dawson’s Creek).

by Mr. Sanchez on Nov 23, 2009 3:29 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

plus there's the fact I responded to 10-4, and not you...

among others reasons if you are wondering what “reason [I] felt the need to be a smart ass”. As I’ve always said, much rather be a smart ass than a dumb ass.

by Mr. Sanchez on Nov 23, 2009 3:34 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

whatever helps ya sleep better my friend

"Im a fullonrapist, I do men, women, autistic kids, children, the elderly." -Charlie Kelly

by Hcgadawgs on Nov 23, 2009 3:47 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I hope you walk better...

once they remove the stick from your butt. Thanks for the definition of “show” in #21, meanwhile ignoring #20. But to reiterate, simple reading comprehension would have made it much easier for you.

Now enjoy your picture show. Also,

Do

Not

Seek

the Treasure

it’s an ambush

by Mr. Sanchez on Nov 23, 2009 4:03 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

the stick from my butt?

i was carrying on a simple conversation…with no hostility intended before you got cocky behind a keyboard.

"Im a fullonrapist, I do men, women, autistic kids, children, the elderly." -Charlie Kelly

by Hcgadawgs on Nov 23, 2009 4:13 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

The reading comprehension comment..

was clearly something you took as more than intended. But for “cocky behind the keyboard” look to the one calling another a smart ass because they want to hold to a 1950s definition of a movie as a picture show.

Now can we get back to discussing baseball instead of my choice of janitor picture?

by Mr. Sanchez on Nov 23, 2009 4:20 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

and should i give you the definition of a synonym while i’m at it…psst, a word CAN have multiple meanings..

"Im a fullonrapist, I do men, women, autistic kids, children, the elderly." -Charlie Kelly

by Hcgadawgs on Nov 23, 2009 4:14 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

synonym=movie or show

"Im a fullonrapist, I do men, women, autistic kids, children, the elderly." -Charlie Kelly

by Hcgadawgs on Nov 23, 2009 4:17 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

oh brother

I thought hurricane season was over........

by bravesguy311 on Nov 24, 2009 12:24 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

An reason for an argument…gotta love the rosterbation thread…

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Nov 23, 2009 3:40 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Rosterbation makes us catty, apparently...

"…aren’t worthy enough to hold his (Pujols) ass cheeks apart while Playboy models wipe him with thousand dollar bills after he craps out the cure to whatever previously-incurable disease." by royhobbs 1/7/09

by buzzdeadwax on Nov 24, 2009 4:06 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

And now for something completely different...

BASEBALL!

It’s got Rosenthal’s name on it, so expect the Bowman rebuttal soon, but Jermaine Dye as a 1B?
http://msn.foxsports.com/mlb/story/10357594
Free-agent right fielder Jermaine Dye has made only one career appearance at first base, in 2005. Yet teams are asking his agent, Robert Bry, if he is willing to play first, and Dye is open to the idea.

Dye, 35, could be a right-handed hitting alternative at first for several clubs, including the Braves, Mets, Giants and Orioles.

His willingness to play first alone should only increase his marketability. If Dye is not going to be a DH, he might be better at first than in right at this stage of his career.

“It wouldn’t surprise me at all if he had some success over there,” one executive says.

The negative on Dye is that he slumped after the All-Star break last season, batting .179 with a .293 on-base percentage and .297 slugging percentage.

by Mr. Sanchez on Nov 23, 2009 4:26 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Bowman sees Schafer as possible trade bait?...

http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20091123&content_id=7704066&vkey=news_atl&fext=.jsp&c_id=atl&partnerId=rss_atl

I asked this last week, Schafer or McLouth, if you had to move one today, who would you rather keep? I think I’d prefer the fools gold of Schafer upside (not saying Schafer is fools gold, but pining for an “upside” that may never come often is)

by Mr. Sanchez on Nov 23, 2009 4:27 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Schafer of course

Mclouth is average is way to low to be a lead-off man and were not batting lower in the order so to me he just doesn’t not really fit. If he were to bat lower in the order and use his power to drive in more runs I would say keep him. plus Schafer has a really high ceiling, and even if he doesn’t reach his potential he will still have great defense in center field and would get more from him I think.

by Braves Equals Life! on Nov 23, 2009 5:45 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I Would Move Schafer

You know what you’ve got with McClouth. + Defender, .280ish hitter with 15-25 HR, 15-20SB. Solid outfielder, Schafer is an unkown. That being said, Schafer has a much higher ceiling, and could net you ML Ready talent in a trade.

by FloridaBravesFan on Nov 23, 2009 7:16 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

actually, McLouth is more of an .250-.260 hitter, but i get what you’re saying.

If Schafer helps bring us a big bat, I’d be for trading him since McLouth is a solid CF. Schafer could easily become an allstar one day, but you just never know. those wrist injuries can plague a hitter for a long, long time.

"Are you tryin to say Jesus Christ can't hit a curveball?"

by mvhsbball on Nov 23, 2009 8:04 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

McLouth is not a plus defender. He doesn’t make the best reads in center. He’s solid and he catches what he gets too but he should be in left field, not center.

"Four of us wolves, running around the desert together in Las Vegas, looking for strippers and cocaine..."

by jeg on Nov 25, 2009 5:36 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Old debate. I’d take the other side, but I think he would make a great corner fielder.

by Salty on Nov 25, 2009 10:29 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Mclouth

Is a great CF’er my problem with him is that he very rarely tries to throw out any runners which is a product of a lack than luster arm. He would be a great LF’er tho with Schafer in CF that would be amazing.

I just personally would rather keep Schafer for our CF of years to come. Heyward in RF and let one of our prospects develop into our LF’er.

Also once Schafer adjusts to the league it allows us to put McLouth lower in the lineup and put Schafer in the lead off spot.

by drumzalicious on Nov 25, 2009 4:29 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

McLouth probably has two more passable seasons as a CF and then he’ll be inadequate there. His reads are below average and once he begins to lose speed, his days in CF are over. He’s just adequate in center for the time being.

I’m not giving up on Schafer but he has such a long way to go vs LHP. He has to close up the hole he has on the inner half too. I do like the idea of having his speed at the top of a lineup though. Even more so that power, this team desperately lacks plus baserunners.

"Four of us wolves, running around the desert together in Las Vegas, looking for strippers and cocaine..."

by jeg on Nov 25, 2009 6:51 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

i think those struggles we saw were a product of his injury. heck chipper injured a thumb or something and couldnt catch up to inside fastballs. imagine the whole wrist

by drumzalicious on Nov 25, 2009 9:11 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I can see the wrist effecting his ability to hit inside fastballs. The struggles vs LHP occurred throughout his minor league career. He is going to have to go to work on that. But from all accounts, he has worked very hard since the suspension. Hopefully he can make progress but I tend to believe he needs to spend some time in AAA. He struggled against A ball LHP, lets see some progress vs AA/AAA LHP before we throw him (back) to the wolves.

"Four of us wolves, running around the desert together in Las Vegas, looking for strippers and cocaine..."

by jeg on Nov 25, 2009 10:53 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I have a feeling we will see Schafer mid season. If he and Heyward are both hitting .300+ and OPS of like .900+ i believe they both will be up and we will see either McLouth or the OF’er we sign during the offseason. Most likely McLouth though because the new OF’er will be that power bat in the middle of the order.

I highly doubt McLouth is with us after next season. If he isnt traded at the deadline he will be gone after the season. Schafer gives us a more than adequate replacement in CF, Heyward kills in RF, and I personally like Diaz over McLouth anyway in LF.

by drumzalicious on Nov 26, 2009 1:29 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Diaz over McLouth

that’s a bit of a stretch. Again, I love Diaz, but McClouth is a superior player IMO.

by Andy Braves Fan on Nov 30, 2009 9:59 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Really?

Are you sure?

This past season Matt Diaz had 371 AB’s to Nate McLouth’s 507.

He actually recorded ONLY 14 LESS hits over all than McLouth. FOURTEEN in basically 130 LESS AB’s not to mention only 12 less RBI’s.

The fact that McLouth had more 2B’s and HR’s is a product of him having seemingly less power than McLouth however i wouldnt be surprised to see Diaz put up 20 HR’s if he played a full season. In the last 2 months of the 6 months the team played he had 9 of his 13 HR’s and thats actually the time that he was playing more on a daily basis. That is backed up by the fact that his Slugging Percentage was .50 points higher than McLouth. Also doesnt hurt to have had a OBP that was .40 points higher.

so yes i do like Diaz over McLouth as my left fielder

by drumzalicious on Nov 30, 2009 4:39 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

And considering Diaz's BABIP

as well as his rather large perceived strike zone, I wouldn’t be surprised to see Diaz put up a .700 OPS over the course of a full season. The fact is that Diaz is a journeyman in his 30’s that has fared very very nicely in a platoon role. A full time role may well expose his many potential weaknesses, weaknesses that are very visible (IE, plate discipline.)

I think very highly of Diaz, especially considering his hustle and work ethic.. I want him to be a Brave for a long time. But to pencil him in as an .800 OPS full time starter seems naive to me. I think you are being overly optimistic on a guy who has never been a full time player. That’s one thing if the guy is a highly touted rookie post-breakout season. It’s quite another when looking at guys like Diaz.

McLouth has been a very productive full time starter playing most of his career on a team that provided him with little protection if any. The smart money has to be on McLouth.

by Andy Braves Fan on Nov 30, 2009 6:32 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

And you are forgetting the biggest reason...

…McLouth is just average in center, but should be pretty good in left. Diaz, despite his efforts—-and he is a hard worker—-is still a butcher in the field.

by cavebird on Nov 30, 2009 8:31 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

he is not a butcher and has improved considerably the last few years, which is not to say he is more than serviceable.

by fandave on Nov 30, 2009 9:39 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

You and defensive metrics don't agree here

Per fangraphs, he had his worst defensive season since 2005 last year. I don’t buy fangraphs here—-they said he was a plus fielder in 2006 and 2007 and he certainly was not. BR.com has him plus in 2006 and his worst fielding season in 2007 (no 2009 numbers yet). The problem with defense is that it is tough to judge and there are no consistent statistics with which to measure it.

From your comment (and I believe your previous comments—-if not you, someone else has been saying the same thing), I suspect that you are going by what you have seen. Given the lack of reliable metrics, I am as well. He’s not Adam Dunn or even Josh Willingham out there, but to my eye, he is still pretty bad. His routes have gotten a bit better, but the glove is still made of stone. I just don’t see the considerable improvement the last few years that you do.

by cavebird on Dec 1, 2009 9:46 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

to be fair he was playing in RF a bit last year and thats not at all where he should be

by drumzalicious on Dec 1, 2009 2:12 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

My belief system does not include defensive metrics.

by fandave on Dec 1, 2009 3:30 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

That's fair enough

Defensive metrics aren’t reliable enough for me to completely trust them myself—-look at how different metrics treat Diaz in 2007, one says he was a plus fielder, the other says it was the worst fielding year of his career. That being said, just watching him last year is what makes me think he is still a very poor fielder. It just wasn’t pretty. It wasn’t Garrett Anderson ugly, but it wasn’t good.

by cavebird on Dec 1, 2009 8:29 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

looked a helluva lot better to me than 2-3 years ago.

by fandave on Dec 1, 2009 10:06 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

There are quite a few players who can play but are never given the chance at a full time role because they are blocked.

I disagree with you but time will tell with diaz

by drumzalicious on Dec 1, 2009 2:13 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

He used to be known for getting good jumps before he came over. What do you base your statement on?

by Salty on Nov 26, 2009 12:27 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Wouldnt mind

Nick Johnson at 1B if we can get a Power Hitting OF’er. His OBP would be GREAT in our lineup

by drumzalicious on Nov 23, 2009 7:34 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

I always wonder how useful on base percentage is when you’re a base clogger like Johnson. I’d love to see some in depth research on that. Not saying I’m against slow guys who walk a ton, I was one, but I just wonder how much of an impact they actually have.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Nov 23, 2009 8:14 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

i guess depends on where you put them in the order...

and what order you put them in (i.e. on a team like the Rays that likes to run, with say Johnson 2 in the two hole, or 6th on a team that just moves station to station with no steals)

by Mr. Sanchez on Nov 24, 2009 1:26 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Johnson's bones are made of pretzels...

When he faced the Braves and was healthy he was always pretty scary because you knew that he would AT LEAST get on base. Those times seemed to have come and gone. You can probably only count on him for about 1/3 of a season, and even then we would probably be cringing with every bone crackling step toward the bag.

Also I don’t think I could look at that stache for an entire season. Just sayin’.

by Fischerking on Nov 24, 2009 8:50 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I love Nick’s stache!

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Nov 24, 2009 11:35 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Johnson upside/downside

Johnson is/was a good contact hitter with decent pop….but being a “b” side player I don’t think he ever fully recovered from his last injury…thoughts?

by bravestatoo on Nov 24, 2009 4:17 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Best case scenario,...

are we looking at Kotchman part 2? Why not just go after the healthier version in Kotchman (I assume the Red Sox are non-tendering him).

by Mr. Sanchez on Nov 24, 2009 1:28 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

And for the record

I go with Joe Dirt…if it was a TV show I would watch it…besides in the Movie His life’s story was bio’d on a radio talkshow..where he was introduced as a “Janitor”

by bravestatoo on Nov 24, 2009 4:20 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

arguing over a picture of a sanitation professional...

get getting a nose bent out of shape because some one may or may not enjoy the movie Joe Dirt. I’m getting the feeling we’ve all been in the rosterbating room a bit too long, and need to go out there and mingle.

by Mr. Sanchez on Nov 24, 2009 1:30 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Carlos Delgado

He was a beast in 08, but was injured last year. He’ll be cheaper than he’s ever been this offseason, and he’ll likely end up signing a 1-yr deal, which is great for the Braves and Freddie Freeman.

Unlike LaRoche, you can slot him into cleanup, since he’ll hit lefties as well.

Jermaine Dye is righthanded, and willing to play 1B, but Delgado actually is a first baseman, and he’s the better pure hitter as well.

It seems many are screaming for a right-handed cleanup hitter, but we can still help balance our lineup in left field. Mike Cameron hammers lefties, and would give us a great defensive upgrade taking over in center and shifting McLouth to left.

Or we could go the all power-route with Willingham… chipper/delgado/willingham/mccann sounds like a strong middle of the order to me.

In either case, Delgado is a great player to have on this team, he’ll have something to prove, and I’m sure he’d relish the opportunity to play for Bobby in his last go-round. He could easily be this offseason’s best pickup. He won’t cost us a single prospect, and he’s gonna be pretty cheap too.

by dave462 on Nov 24, 2009 10:52 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

YES! THANK YOU!

i’ve been screaming for this, 100% agree

"Im a fullonrapist, I do men, women, autistic kids, children, the elderly." -Charlie Kelly

by Hcgadawgs on Nov 24, 2009 11:05 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

What is Delgado's health situation like now?

I am guessing that the fact that he hasn’t come up more in 1B FA discussion is because he isn’t expected to be fully healthy or able to perform near as well as he did in ’08. I would love it if the reports were saying that he is expected to be completely healthy and ready to mash. But at his age is he ever going to fully bounce back?

by Fischerking on Nov 24, 2009 12:11 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Delgado

also has a hip problem, and is not young (chipper’s age). Degenerative hip problems are generally a bad sign. I’m not saying that he is a bad choice, but he isn’t necessarily a reliable choice either. And you mention his ’08 season, but most of that was post all-star break. Before that he was pretty bad, and questions of his long-term ability were in question even then. Now with the hip…

by Andy Braves Fan on Nov 24, 2009 12:26 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

delgado’s a pretty classy guy, i dont think he’d come back unless he was confident in himself that he could perform, kind of like chipper..

"Im a fullonrapist, I do men, women, autistic kids, children, the elderly." -Charlie Kelly

by Hcgadawgs on Nov 24, 2009 12:32 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I mean

Delgado being a classy guy notwithstanding, its still a significant risk to put all of your eggs in that basket. And even if he is confident, that doesn’t make it a guarantee. I don’t think his confidence and classiness are necessarily major factors here.

by Andy Braves Fan on Nov 24, 2009 12:45 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

well the fact that theres a good chance he returns to the old delgado for nearly half the price, i’d say its worth the risk

"Im a fullonrapist, I do men, women, autistic kids, children, the elderly." -Charlie Kelly

by Hcgadawgs on Nov 24, 2009 12:51 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Based on what is that a fact?

The old Delgado hasn’t played in over a season, and Delgado will be 36-37 years old with a hip problem. There is no reason to expect the old Delgado to return even if he does play a full season of ball in 2010.

I’m not saying he isn’t worth the risk, but I’m not positive that he is either.

by Andy Braves Fan on Nov 24, 2009 1:10 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Smoltz was confident he would be healthy too...

and by the time he finally took the mound after half the year was over, it was pretty ugly before St. Louis. Just sayin most professional athletes tend to be confident in their abilities.

by Mr. Sanchez on Nov 24, 2009 1:33 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I like Delgado---at the right price.

If he really only wants one year and is reasonable, I think that’s not a bad risk to take. The Braves have to probably keep KJ in that instance (and shift Prado to 1B for the inevitable downtime), but he does have significant upside. I just don’t think he’ll have to settle for one year. Call it a hunch, but the Orioles have money this offseason and Delgado just seems like the kind of guy they would overpay for.

As I have said many places, I love the idea of signing Mike Cameron. Great defense, should be reasonably priced, and has some right-handed pop.

I am not so thrilled with the idea of trading for Willingham. Streaky but solid hitter, but an absolute butcher in the field. An OF of Willingham, McLouth, Diaz to start the season would be scarily bad.

by cavebird on Nov 24, 2009 12:35 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

yeah, signing delgado would probably allow us to sign cameron too, and both of those are significant upgrades

"Im a fullonrapist, I do men, women, autistic kids, children, the elderly." -Charlie Kelly

by Hcgadawgs on Nov 24, 2009 12:45 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Stanley Spadowski FTW

Here are Pujols's stats: 1.000/1.000/4.000/5.000. That's right. He is batting a thousand, with a thousand OBP (naturally), and every hit has been a home run, and thus his OPS is a perfect 5.000.

by TradeAndruw on Nov 24, 2009 2:19 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Im thinkin of somethin orange, soethin orraaaange…..give up?

Its an Orange

I thought hurricane season was over........

by bravesguy311 on Nov 24, 2009 3:29 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

NEWS FLASH

Braves just signed a former Royal (or at least a former Royal minor Leaguer. It’s 25 year old Juan Abreu:

http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2009/11/braves-sign-juan-abreu.html

by Andy Braves Fan on Nov 24, 2009 2:27 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

according to Bowman...

he’s now on the 40 man roster though. Interesting?

by Mr. Sanchez on Nov 24, 2009 2:40 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Braves scouts

must see something in him. Seems like the raw potential is there if he can start locating his pitches.

by Andy Braves Fan on Nov 24, 2009 2:45 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

He’s got stupid K numbers, but the walks are hight too.

by FineHamAbounds on Nov 24, 2009 5:20 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Thanks for the heads up. I tried to make a front page story but the website is being odd right now. Hopefully it works later.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Nov 24, 2009 3:35 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

IF we are really considering trading Schafer

What would you guys want for him?

What about Schafer + Pitching prospect for Soria?

by drumzalicious on Nov 24, 2009 4:45 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

I think Schafer would be packaged with a veteran...

like Lowe, Kawakami, or Vasquez, to increase that package, instead of as the main piece for an older, more expensive player.

by Mr. Sanchez on Nov 24, 2009 5:54 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I would like to get Soria. Being in the midwest I got to watch just about every Royals game this year and the guy is a top 5 closer. The Royals know that he’s very good and he isn’t that expensive yet. He makes only $3M in 2010, $4M in 2011. 2012, 13, and 14 are team option years for him worth $6M, $8M, and $8.75M with a $.75M buyout each year.
The Royals have some pieces in place to contend next year. Their staff isn’t bad with Greinke and Meche at the top. Their lineup has potential with Butler and Gordon. If they have another disappointing year then they might move him after next season.
Right now Moore would have to be blown away to trade him and with so many closers available that’s not likely to happen. Schafer and Medlen might be enough but I would rather go the cheap route for a closer and trade those two for a bat.

by jack dein on Nov 24, 2009 6:13 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I would definitely like that deal

But only if the pitching prospect was not Teheran. He like Kimbrel and Heyward should untouchable imo.

by SmithnCompany on Nov 24, 2009 7:45 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I was reading on ESPN’s rumors page and Buster Olney is saying that the Astros are going to try to cut their payroll from about $107M down to the low $90’sM. He mentions that this could mean that Lance Berkman could be traded. He says that the team has holes all over the roster.
Berkman is owed $14.5M in 2010 with a $15M team option for 2011 or $2M buyout. If their trying to cut payroll their not going to want anyone on the major league roster. They have a horrible farm system, maybe the worst in baseball. I think that if we gave them 4 B level prospects instead of parting with any of our top guys we could get the trade done. I think Hicks, Redmond, Cody Johnson, and Diamond. That might be enough to get him.

by jack dein on Nov 24, 2009 6:29 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Getting Berkman would only make sense if it's a 3 team trade

Besides it should be noted that Berkman has already made it known that he doesn’t know if he even wants to continue playing professional baseball after his contract is up.

by SmithnCompany on Nov 24, 2009 7:46 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Berkman is a shell of his former self and moving him out of Houston will make the problems even worse. He’s unlikely to produce enough to justify the $16.5M, not that the Braves have it anyway.

If Albert played in the AFL, they’d have to rename it the AZ/NM Fall League, based on where his homers landed.

by Yakker on Nov 24, 2009 8:34 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

heh

that shell put up better numbers last year than basically our entire offense.

by drumzalicious on Nov 25, 2009 2:42 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

that shell put up better numbers cost more last year than basically our entire offense

fixed

If Albert played in the AFL, they’d have to rename it the AZ/NM Fall League, based on where his homers landed.

by Yakker on Nov 25, 2009 3:49 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

um

Im pretty sure that makes sense. A guy that out performs your entire offense should get paid more than them as well.

by drumzalicious on Nov 25, 2009 4:31 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

um

I’m pretty sure he didn’t actually outperform the entire offense. Even assuming you’re ignoring McCann and Chipper. He did, however, probably cost more.

If Albert played in the AFL, they’d have to rename it the AZ/NM Fall League, based on where his homers landed.

by Yakker on Nov 25, 2009 7:48 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

If the Astros are really cutting payroll they should just go all out. Their farm system could be stocked so heavily.

Parting ways with Oswalt, Lee and Berkman would help the team so much in the future.

Lee would have plenty of suitors especially in the AL where he could DH at times.

Oswalt is basically what the Mets/Yankees need a solid #2/#3. Thats just the short list you could include the Dodgers, Angels, Brewers, etc…

Then Berkman would get calls from the Red Sox, Braves etc.

Honestly i dont think we could compete with some of the other teams going after Berkman but we could try

by drumzalicious on Nov 25, 2009 2:56 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Lee has a full no trade and they asked and he said no. Oswalt may not accept a trade. Berkman I don’t know. He had a down year, but I’d be surprised if he didn’t bounce back.

I don’t think the ownership wants to do the full tilt blow up. The farm will take a while and that means the team would be really bad for a few years at the least. I know that may make sense from a fan standpoint, but owners still want people to buy tickets and jerseys and to watch on TV.

by Salty on Nov 25, 2009 10:36 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

We all know I’m not one to rosterbate, but I keep seeing that the Jays are itching to trade Lyle Overbay and I wonder if he wouldn’t be a good fit for the Braves. His contract ends after the season, so if the Braves really are looking at Freeman being ready in 2011, then he’d be the kind of one year player they were looking for. He’s also going to make 7 million, which is what LaRoche made this year and probably less than LaRoche is going to make next year.
I’m honestly not sure how good of a fielder Overbay is. I do know that even with being in the AL the last few years he’s only DHed a few times. For what it’s worth, he doesn’t make a lot of errors. Maybe one of the UZR junkies on here can tell me what that thing says about him.
As far as hitting, he’s not as good as LaRoche. Before a resurgance this season he had actually been fairly bad for a couple of years. But, while he won’t hit as many homers as LaRoche, he does walk a good amount and hits a good amount of doubles, his career OPS is .812.
I’m not saying that the Braves will or should go out and get the guy and I have no clue what he’d cost in a trade, I’m just putting his name out there as a guy who could be a possibility. Have at it rosterbators.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Nov 24, 2009 10:51 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

No thanks

imo he is just an older version of Kotchman with slighly more power.

by SmithnCompany on Nov 24, 2009 11:16 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

He’s not a bad player but he’s really overpayed. For a guy who doesn’t have much power and doesn’t hit for a high avg. Highest HR total for a season 22 in 2006 and only has a .279 career avg. His OBP is solid at .363.
If we didn’t give up much to get him and the Blue Jays sent some money back then it might not be bad. Seems like another Kotchman to me.

by jack dein on Nov 24, 2009 11:16 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

The Kotchman references baffle me a little since his career OPS is 70 points higher. Obviously he gets on base and slugs a little better. I agree with the knocks against him for lack of power and the big salary, but he’s a much better player than Kotchman.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Nov 24, 2009 11:27 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Not really when you consider

1.) the higher price tag
2.) below average defense

imo i think Wren should steer clear of Toronto when talking trades.

by SmithnCompany on Nov 24, 2009 11:46 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Ok, you made me have to go check Fangraphs for the UZR. Yeah, looks like for the career he’s a negative defender, but maybe not by much. I had forgotten how much Iove their value system; according to it he was worth 9.2 million last year while making 7 million, so that’s pretty good value. In fact, aside from 07, where he was just bad, he’s always overperformed what he’s gotten paid.

Again, not advocating going out and getting the guy, just trying to talk about him a little.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Nov 25, 2009 12:25 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

The value of UZR is debatable, but its particularly poor at rating 1st base or catcher.

by Salty on Nov 25, 2009 10:39 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

you forgot

3. Skydome plays as a very offensive park.

If Albert played in the AFL, they’d have to rename it the AZ/NM Fall League, based on where his homers landed.

by Yakker on Nov 25, 2009 3:55 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I think the age though...

makes you think he’s on the backside of that career OPS, and likely a possible Kotch redux.

by Mr. Sanchez on Nov 26, 2009 10:30 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I think Wren

Should look into what it would cost to sign Branyan. Would a 1yr/$10 million contract with a club option be enough?

by SmithnCompany on Nov 24, 2009 11:22 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

The Mariners already offered him a 1 year deal and he turned it down because he wants at least 2 guaranteed. I think that we could sign him for 2 years $18M with a team option for $10M that would vest if he reaches 525 at bats each year or if he gets traded.
I like him and my only real issue is that he hasn’t ever played a full season. Last year he only played 116 games at 1B. He’s only played 166 games in 8 years.
He’s not going to hit for a high avg. but he has great power. He hit 31 HR’s in 431 at bats last year, and that was playing at SafeCo.

by jack dein on Nov 24, 2009 11:38 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

It baffles me that Russell Branyan is a viable free agent first baseman and that he’s going to get that kind of money. Wow. I mean, last year, as a 33 year old, was really his first full MLB season (like you pointed out). It just seems crazy, but hey, sometimes those guys that get to play a lot in AAA end up developing and getting a good 3 or 4 season in the Bigs in their 30s. Still, kind of makes you bummed that the Braves actually had this guy at one point and traded him for Scott Sturkie.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Nov 25, 2009 12:13 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Don't be bummed.

Everyone with enough chances and AAAA talent can have that season. The strikeouts for him are killer. My advice is to stay far, far, far away.

by cavebird on Nov 25, 2009 12:32 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

This is probably the worst free agent class ever. John Lackey is the best pitcher. He’s good but I’m really not that sold on him. Some team is going to pay him to be their ace and he really isn’t an ace pitcher. Don’t get me wrong he’s a good pitcher but he has a career ERA of 3.81and has given up more hits than innings pitched. Not only that but he’s 31 and looking for a contract similar to what Burnett got last year. That’s asking for a lot for a guy who hasn’t pitched 200 innings since 2007. After him the market tails of to a bunch of middle to back end rotation guys.
The hitting market isn’t much better. Matt Holliday is a solid player and he’ll only be 30 when next season starts but outside of Coors his power hasn’t been that great, at least not as good as what Borus thinks he should get paid for it. Is he really worth a $100M contract? Jason Bay is a year older but has better power for a lesser average and worse defense. The Red Sox already offered 4 years $60M and he turned it down. He’ll almost have to stay in the AL because from what I’ve read from scouts is that his defense has been declining for awhile. That means that a move to DH is likely.
The problem is there are a lot of teams that need players and once those 3 sign mid level players are going to get overpayed because teams will panic. That’s why I hope the Braves take the trade route. I looked over the free agent list and there’s only 2 players (not including our own free agents) that I would like the Braves to pursue, Wagner and Rodney. Soriano and Gonzalez are almost certainly gone and LaRoche is probably the 3rd best bat in this class.

by jack dein on Nov 25, 2009 12:46 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I agree with your take on the free agent class...

…but disagree with the Braves pursuing Wagner or Rodney. I don’t think signing a “proven closer” makes financial sense because a live arm without the proven closer tag can do just as well at a far lower cost. Rodney has been a mediocre pitcher throughout his career and was one last year, but since he got saves opportunities he’ll get paid. He could easily be a gascan. Wagner doesn’t bother me if he doesn’t want too much money and the Red Sox don’t offer arbitration. Right now Wagner and the Sox are playing the game where the Sox say they’ll offer and Wagner says he might accept to scare them. I am afraid that the Sox will offer because they know Wagner will refuse because he wants to be a closer.

For the bullpen, I think we should look at this cheaper live arms (so long as the Class A guys on this list aren’t offered arbitration): Calero, Dotel, Putz, Nelson, Speier, Betancourt, and a guy whose name I just forgot. We could sign two or three of these guys for the price of one Wagner or Rodney.

by cavebird on Nov 25, 2009 9:40 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

The live arm without the tag can fail miserably too. If you sign 3 of the above, do they all go on the 25 man roster? When a guy stumbles, how long do you stay with him before you rotate a guy out of his other role?

Do you think the starters might not be happy if you’re going through the process of rotating guys? Do you think they might press if the bullpen gets creaky?

by Salty on Nov 25, 2009 10:48 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Named closers can fail as well

Of course if you sign all of the three above, they go on the 25-man roster. Two take the spots of Gonzo and Soriano and I would suggest that the third takes Manny Acosta’s spot.

As for what happens if any should fail—-pretty much the same thing that happens when a named closer fails. Except that you have more options to throw out there than if you had sunk all of your available salary into one “proven closer.” For the record, I think the odds of Calero, Dotel, Putz, Nelson, Speier, or Betancourt failing are no higher than Rodney failing. (I think Rodney is a disaster waiting to happen.) Wagner is trickier to evaluate because he has been very good but is coming off of major surgery.

I don’t disagree that the starters might not be happy or might press if the bullpen gets creaky. I just think we have a better shot of the bullpen not being creaky with 3 live arms (who have proven they can get major league hitters out) than we do with one proven closer.

by cavebird on Nov 25, 2009 11:23 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

But the rate of failure for guys trying out for closer is high and the rate for proven closers is low.

You’re also depreciating the disturbance it has rotating guys around the bullpen and changing their roles. Its only on blogs like fangraphs that pitching is the same no matter when or where you do it.

by Salty on Nov 25, 2009 11:34 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

The failure rate is only lower for...

well established closers who are good pitchers. The failure rate for pitchers who have succeed once or twice in a closers role or even a few years without great peripherals and a history of mediocrity is very high. Here’s a list just from this decade:

Antonio Alfonseca (2002 CHC)
Danny Graves (2004 Cin)
Dave Veres (2001 STL)
Mike Williams (2003 PIT/PHI)
Jose Jimenez (2003 COL)
Derek Lowe (2001 BOS)
Billy Koch (2003 CWS)
Bob Wickman (2007 ATL)
Jorge Julio (2004-05 BAL)
Mike MacDougal (2004 KC)
Rocky Biddle (2004 MTL)
Joe Borowski (2008 CLE)
Matt Mantei (2004 ARI)
Dan Kolb (2005 ATL)
Shinjo Takatsu (2005 CWS)
BJ Ryan (2009 TOR)
Todd Jones (2001 DET, 2008 DET)
Derrick Turnbow (2006 MIL)
Ryan Dempster (2006-07 CHC)
Chris Ray (2007 BAL)
Jeremy Accordo (2008 TOR)
Kevin Gregg (2009 CHC)
Salomon Torres (2007 PIT)
Kerry Wood (2009 CLE)

by cavebird on Nov 25, 2009 12:22 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

So you agree with me?

by Salty on Nov 26, 2009 12:30 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Obviously not.

My references were all to Rodney. Your response indicated that you considered him a “proven closer” because of one year. I don’t think he is safe at all and my list was to show that. Wagner is a totally different kettle of fish—-he is an aging premium closer coming off a major injury. Hard to judge what he is worth. If the Sox don’t offer him arbitration, I would be happy with him at the right price.

by cavebird on Nov 26, 2009 11:30 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Its not obvious

My responses never indicated anything about Rodney.

by Salty on Nov 27, 2009 12:25 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Well, crap...

…posters switched in the middle. I appears that it was Jack Dien that wanted us to pursue Wagner and Rodney. Note that my first response said I didn’t mind going after Wagner if the Sox don’t offer arbitration. I agree that Wagner is in the small class of elite closers who are much more reliable. The only questions with him are the injury and whether he’ll costs us our first round pick as well as full market price. Maybe we do agree—-I don’t mind going after Wagner as long as he isn’t too expensive and doesn’t cost us our first round pick (and I could live with losing the pick if the price is right). I just think we should stay far away from Rodney—-he will cost way too much for a mediocre reliever.

by cavebird on Nov 27, 2009 3:18 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I hadn't seen Rodney before this year

The first time he was really awful and the next two he was badass. It does make you wonder.

by Salty on Nov 27, 2009 10:17 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Look at the numbers...

…it does happen, but usually guys who have been around for a while don’t suddenly go nuts. He has stuff, but still doesn’t have control. He is completely mediocre who got a bunch of saves because of the role he got. Nice gig if you can make a pile of cash out of it like he will. Shit, I am a lawyer, I wish I was his agent. The 10% of whatever he signs for will be more than my salary the next 2 years.

by cavebird on Nov 27, 2009 11:19 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

wouldnt it be crazy

If the Red Sox signed Holliday and Bay?

Like if they rid themselves of Ortiz via trade. They could make Holliday their LF’er and Bay the DH.

by drumzalicious on Nov 25, 2009 4:35 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Nearly 150 comments in one day?

Shit, we’re gonna need one of these new threads every couple of days!

"Are you tryin to say Jesus Christ can't hit a curveball?"

by mvhsbball on Nov 25, 2009 12:55 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Just wait till the Winter Meetings start. Most reporters are saying thats when the deals will start to come out.

by jack dein on Nov 25, 2009 12:57 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

last year

I discovered Hell — also know as MLBTraderumors.com — and I pretty much hated my life after that point. It’s pretty much impossible for me to stay away from that site now.

"Are you tryin to say Jesus Christ can't hit a curveball?"

by mvhsbball on Nov 25, 2009 1:11 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, that’s kind of always been the case. That’s why the countdown to free agency was funny to me. A whole lot of excitement so that Omar Vizquel could sign on to be a backup with the White Sox.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Nov 25, 2009 1:13 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

don't forget the big trades

like Aaron Herang being dealt to the DBacks. A couple buddies of mine were convinced that with Herang next to BWebb, Haren and Scherzer would take them back to the postseason. I LOL’d

"Are you tryin to say Jesus Christ can't hit a curveball?"

by mvhsbball on Nov 25, 2009 1:16 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Is that an odd nickname for Heilman or are you confusing him with Harang?

Also, Scherzer is the man, that dude is beyond awesome.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Nov 25, 2009 1:20 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

FML

Yeah, I meant Heilman. Just act like I didn’t put Harang…

And yeah, I met Max before a Spring Training game last season! I didn’t get to talk with him too much, but definately a cool guy. If you talk to him, say “M-I-Z…” and I bet you $5 bucks he’ll reply with a proud “Z-O-U!” Gotta rep the Missouri Tigers.

"Are you tryin to say Jesus Christ can't hit a curveball?"

by mvhsbball on Nov 25, 2009 1:31 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I’m bummed that Heilman and Gregg are going to be gone from the Central.

by Salty on Nov 25, 2009 10:50 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Man, those colleges love their spelling…

I got to meet him this year in May when he was with Mobile. He had come over and was signing autographs and was just really cool. I had 3 cards, my one friend had like 7, and our other friend had like 25, which Scherzer joked about but still started signing them all with no problem.
While he was over there signing and just hanging out, Matt Green, a former second round pick who’s turned out to be a fat failure, finally came over. We had asked him a half hour earlier but he was a real jerk about it and even when he did come over he was fairly unpleasant. Scherzer kind of watched him out of the corner of his eye while he was signing. So Green signs 2 cards for me (out of 5) then 2 for my friend (out of 8). My friend, who always wants to push for a little more, asks Green if he wouldn’t mind doing one more, just so he’d have the different cards all signed. Green says, “No, sorry. I just do two.”
Sherzer, who’s still in the middle of signing the 25 for our other friend, pops his head up. “Just two?” he asks.
“Yeah,” Green says, trying to play it cool but obviously annoyed by the question.
“Why?” Scherzer presses.
“Well, if you sign too many they’re just gonna sell them. So I just sign a couple.”
“Really?” Scherzer asks, shaking his head. “I don’t think so. They’re just baseball fans. Nothing wrong with signing some autographs. It’s just people helping people.”
Green doesn’t really say anything and just kind of plods off.

So we made sure to tell Max just how high he jumped in our esteem for that. I’m definitely a Max Scherzer fan.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Nov 25, 2009 2:03 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

+1 for Max Scherzer

Good stuff. And Matt Green sounds like a total asshole. Who the hell would buy a Matt Green card anyways? It’s not like it has much value..

"Are you tryin to say Jesus Christ can't hit a curveball?"

by mvhsbball on Nov 25, 2009 5:42 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

The funny thing is that he doesn’t realize that by limiting what he signs, he is making them valuable. The only reason I could even sell a Matt Green card is because somebody might be trying to complete a set and they’d have trouble completing it because he has a semi-rare autograph. But maybe, in the back of his head, he does realize that and that’s why he limits, so one day when it does sell he can say, “See, Max, I told you!”
He just struck me as the kind of guy who sat around eating a pastrami sandwich and checking searching “Matt Green autographed” on eBay instead of actually working on his pitching. I mean, I appreciate the guy signing some for us, but you can do a nice thing and still be a dick about it.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Nov 26, 2009 2:45 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

so apparently

Billy Wagner will start listening to offers next week. Was kinda wondering why we hadnt signed him yet lol

by drumzalicious on Nov 25, 2009 9:15 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

i'm with ya

it seems like Bobby really wants the guy.

"Are you tryin to say Jesus Christ can't hit a curveball?"

by mvhsbball on Nov 25, 2009 9:49 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Need to wait until after the arb deadline, too.

If Albert played in the AFL, they’d have to rename it the AZ/NM Fall League, based on where his homers landed.

by Yakker on Nov 26, 2009 3:24 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I feel drunk talking myself into Billy Wagner, but here we are. I’d rather have Gonzalez, but wouldnt mind Wagner for 8 a year.

I also like Calero a lot, because he’s real effective, and likely would be kinda cheap.

by bigjoe on Nov 25, 2009 9:57 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

I agree with both comments

But I think Calero and maybe even Benoit (former Ranger) could be two very effective pieces coming out of the bullpen.

by SmithnCompany on Nov 25, 2009 10:58 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

i think

we could get Wagner for cheaper than that. Maybe like 4-5 guaranteed with incentives up to 8 mil, plus a mutual option for 2011. I think he will bite on that. He has the potential to be one of the better paid relievers in baseball and it gives him the ability to go for a higher contract next year.

I believe we should also do that kind of deal with someone like Calero and/or Putz. I would really like Bobby to have a strong 8th inning guy so that Moylan can be used more freely in whatever inning to get that Ground Ball out. He is a good reliever i just would like bobby to be able to use him where he wants and not have to worry about his 8th inning being a question mark.

by drumzalicious on Nov 26, 2009 1:33 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I'll throw another vote in for Kiko

and one for Joaquim Benoit, who is also a minor league FA.

If Albert played in the AFL, they’d have to rename it the AZ/NM Fall League, based on where his homers landed.

by Yakker on Nov 26, 2009 3:25 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Benoit is minor league FA, Calero is Class A free agent

We have to wait on arbitration deadline for Calero as well. Fortunately, the Marlins are cheap. ;)

by cavebird on Nov 26, 2009 11:47 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Other options...

I would be interested in knowing how much Saito would cost for a one year contract? His numbers have historically been great and I could see him closing or setting up.

I would also like to see them look at Tony Pena Jr. He supposedly has great stuff….and has had some success..and is fairly young.

If Putz could be had on a relatively cheap deal…I would be good with that as
well.

I am assuming the Braves are offering both Soriano and Gonzalez arbitration?

Wagner worries me a lot….is he attractive only because he would sign a one year deal?

by calbers on Nov 25, 2009 10:40 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

With Wagner

The only concerns teams other than the Red Sox seemed to be concerned with is if he’ll require giving up your 1st round pick to sign him. Add that with the fact that he is just coming off TJ surgery less than a year ago and that’s why a lot of teams are more interested in guys like Soriano and Gonzo.

by SmithnCompany on Nov 25, 2009 11:01 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Very true...

However, the Braves can give up the pick…if they are going to get picks from Soriano and Gonzalez. I just worry about his health…that being said his numbers have been great throughout his career…and even his numbers in a short sample last year wear good.

If you sign Wagner you have to sign a setup/ closer in waiting though because he is likely going to need some help at times and shouldnt be overworked.

by calbers on Nov 25, 2009 11:09 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Saito is a great choice

I was vying for us to get him at the deadline some how. Wagner plus Saito/Calero/Putz puts our BP in a very strong position. Whatever relievers we are signing out of that bunch should be on 1yr incentive deals with mutual options for the 2nd year. Just so if they are injured we arent paying them THAT much and if they are good and the team makes the playoffs they are more inclined to stay for a 2nd year.

Giving guys like Kimbrel and Hyde some time to develop would be great. I wouldnt mind them getting a full season in AAA

by drumzalicious on Nov 26, 2009 1:35 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I can’t believe that the White Sox would let TPJ go, after giving up Brandon Allen for him. But that’s KW for ya.

If Albert played in the AFL, they’d have to rename it the AZ/NM Fall League, based on where his homers landed.

by Yakker on Nov 26, 2009 3:30 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Saito

Saito has a partially torn tendon in his elbow and has difficulty pitching on back to back nights. Not to mention his tRA last year was almost 4.50, and he turns 40 in February.

I don’t understand the fascination with him.

If Albert played in the AFL, they’d have to rename it the AZ/NM Fall League, based on where his homers landed.

by Yakker on Nov 26, 2009 3:59 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

He played for the Red Sox!

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Nov 26, 2009 4:18 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Seriously

I don’t get the love for the 35 and over crowd on here…Saito, Putz, Wagner, etc…hey, why don’t we just go after Jason Isringhausen and Troy Percival for crying out loud?

Has anyone seen Steve Bedrosian recently? How about Al Hrabosky? They’d be perfect for us!!!

/sarcasm

If Albert played in the AFL, they’d have to rename it the AZ/NM Fall League, based on where his homers landed.

by Yakker on Nov 26, 2009 6:12 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Don’t lie, you know Bedrock could still bring it.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Nov 26, 2009 8:51 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Actually, yeah. Bedrock was the man.

If Albert played in the AFL, they’d have to rename it the AZ/NM Fall League, based on where his homers landed.

by Yakker on Dec 2, 2009 2:12 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

got nothing to do with it for me....

I just see 4 years in the bigs, all with an ERA under 2.5, and his numbers were pretty impressive in those first 3 years in the NL.

by Mr. Sanchez on Nov 26, 2009 10:39 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I want some action already.

"Are you tryin to say Jesus Christ can't hit a curveball?"

by mvhsbball on Nov 26, 2009 10:43 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Good time for it, seeing how all the ML offices are closed for the holiday…

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Nov 27, 2009 1:30 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I want some overtime work! It’s just the 2nd best holiday of the year…

"Are you tryin to say Jesus Christ can't hit a curveball?"

by mvhsbball on Nov 27, 2009 2:30 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

This is a rosterbation thread...

…if you want “action” you probably need to check out other websites. :)

by cavebird on Nov 27, 2009 3:19 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Caberera and Graderson

read an article about possible Braves interest, whats everyone think???

by Braves Equals Life! on Nov 29, 2009 4:22 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

It’s almost impossible for the Braves to get Cabrera. Even if we were to move Lowe it would still be very difficult to bring him in and fill the other needs on this team. Granderson is possible but I he would be high on the Braves list of players that they would want.

by jack dein on Nov 29, 2009 4:33 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Granderson can’t hit lefties for shit. I don’t wanna empty our farm system for a platoon player.

"Are you tryin to say Jesus Christ can't hit a curveball?"

by mvhsbball on Nov 29, 2009 5:11 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

The article

also said the Tigers would take on some salary around 5 mil, if they dealt Cabrera

by Braves Equals Life! on Nov 29, 2009 5:18 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

what article was it. gotta link

by jack dein on Nov 29, 2009 6:35 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Still tho, it would take a ton of prospects to get Cabrera. I’m guessing Freeman, Teheran and then a B level prospect or two.

"Are you tryin to say Jesus Christ can't hit a curveball?"

by mvhsbball on Nov 29, 2009 7:59 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

here are his career stats:

http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/c/cabremi01.shtml

I legitimately think I would cream my pants if the Braves got him.

"Are you tryin to say Jesus Christ can't hit a curveball?"

by mvhsbball on Nov 29, 2009 8:02 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

If it was $5M a season then it would be worth making the deal.
I’m thinking that a 3 way deal would have to be made. We send Lowe to a 3rd team with that team not giving up anything to the Braves or Tigers. We get Cabrera. The Tigers get Freeman, Teheran, Hicks, and Redmond. If the Tigers pay $5M a season for the rest of the deal then that’s $30M over 6 years their giving up. We would owe him $15M in 10 and 11, $16M in 12 and 13, $17M in 14 and 15. That’s 6 years and $96M. Our payroll wouldn’t have to increase the first 2 years because we’re already budgeted for Lowe.

by jack dein on Nov 29, 2009 8:40 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, and Miggy is one of the few guys worth his salary. He’s also lost a little weight the past few years and is incredibly durable for being such a big guy.

I still haven’t seen the article tho…

"Are you tryin to say Jesus Christ can't hit a curveball?"

by mvhsbball on Nov 29, 2009 8:50 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

ya know

to be honest if we were to be able to drop Lowe i wouldnt be surprised if Liberty Media opened up the check book for us to get Cabrera and still expand our roster.

I remember at one point they were actually working to give Tex a contract that was worth around 18mil a year i believe. i would have to find it but it was just the fact that they were showing they were willing to lock up an impact player if they were that big of a difference maker.

If we got Cabrera you have to figure they dont sign an OF’er and just get a closer and SU man then prob let Heyward start the season in RF and put Diaz in LF.

Since its a rosterbation thread i guess this post would not be complete without a lineup =^)

Diaz LF
McLouth CF
Chipper 3B
Cabrera 1B
McCann C
Escobar SS
Heyward RF
Prado 2B

That’s right. I think Diaz would be a better lead off man than McLouth. Look no further than McLouth and his OBP of .352 and Diaz’s OBP of .390. Not to mention the highest OBP McLouth has posted was a .356

Then sign Wagner and Saito and call it a day

by drumzalicious on Nov 30, 2009 2:32 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

we shouldn't sign Wagner

Saito is possible, but we have some interesting arms that could close as a committee and with all the free agent losses we’ll sustain, we get something like 6 picks in the first two rounds that can help up restock the farm from trading Freeman/Delgado/Hoover/Hicks (NO Teheran) for Cabrera.

by apoxonbothyourhouses on Nov 30, 2009 7:03 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

personally

i dont want anyone in our current BP in the 9th inning. Wagner came back last year and was very good out of the pen.

by drumzalicious on Nov 30, 2009 4:40 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Really

I would be very comfortable putting the ball in Medlen’s hands in the 9th…

What is it with the “mystical 9th inning?” It’s 3 outs, just like any other inning. A save situation is a high leverage situation. People act like you have to have the nerves of a D-Day invader, the stamina of a marathon runner, and the brains of Albert Einstein, and the arm of Randy Johnson to be a closer. I simply don’t buy it…

by Andy Braves Fan on Nov 30, 2009 6:37 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I'll never buy

its like any other inning. The whole theory sounds like a fangraphs article gone awry.

by Salty on Dec 1, 2009 9:47 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, seems like on of those things a stat geek who never experienced the pressure of trying to finish off a game would say.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Dec 1, 2009 10:52 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

No

I cannot claim that I have ever closed an ML game, or any game at all since middle school (for the record, I was quite successful, but it was also middle school).

But what you are telling me is that finishing the last three outs of a game in which your team has a lead (albeit not a large lead), which is for all intents and purposes a high leverage situation no matter how you think about it, is as much or more pressure than:

1. the starter who has to start the game tied (IE, no lead) and face that lineup multiple times throughout the game.

2. a middle reliever who comes in with a game tied and inherited runners in scoring position late in the game, a situation where giving up a single could cost the lead, and since it is later in the game (but not the mystical 9th), probably costs your team the game (statistically and realistically)

or any other situation in baseball where it is a lower leverage situation? Every position in baseball has pressure, but a “save” situation is realistically a high leverage situation. Bob F*ing Wickman could do it (really, he did).

Lets just do some simple math:
The New York Yankees, the highest scoring team in baseball scored 915 runs. There played (approximately) 4374 outs (162 games x 9 innings x 3 outs). That is .2 runs per out. In other words, not 1 run per inning on average (in fact, about .6 runs per inning). Can you honestly tell me that that inning of work is more stressful than others when all likelyhood is that you win that situation if you are any pitcher as good or better than Bob Wickman?

by Andy Braves Fan on Dec 1, 2009 11:48 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Yes.

Successful closers are unique.

by fandave on Dec 1, 2009 12:28 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Incorrect.

To be unique, one must be one of a kind. By definition, successful closers, being more than one, cannot be unique.

by cavebird on Dec 1, 2009 12:35 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Not to lapse into a discourse on semantics, but surely you must be aware that many words are routinely used in a variety of contexts and have multiple accepted meanings.

One dictionary meaning of the word unique is: not typical, unusual.

by fandave on Dec 1, 2009 12:52 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

That just means...

…the dictionary has accepted the repeated incorrect use of the word and deemed it correct. It happens far too often in modern times. This is how Latin became Italian, Spanish, French, etc.

by cavebird on Dec 1, 2009 1:01 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

And that completely ignores the fundamental science of Linguistics that fully support the notion that if a word “communicates”, such as the use of unique to refer to a small sect (the descriptive definition) rather than the prescriptive definition of one of a kind, then that word is viable and part of the language and cannot be considered as incorrect. In other words, if it can be understood, it can’t be incorrect, by virtue of it being understood, and attempts to undermine its use are purposely trying obfuscate useage and attempt to halt language change, a fundamental impossibility.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Dec 1, 2009 1:39 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Does this guy know how to party or what??!!!

I thought hurricane season was over........

by bravesguy311 on Dec 1, 2009 2:38 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Ain’t no party like a Linguistics party…

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Dec 2, 2009 12:30 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Noam Chomsky in da house!

7/10/09-A New Dawn.

by !Vive la Francoeur! on Dec 2, 2009 8:09 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I ignore linguistics all the time...

… my father was a classics professor (and PhD) and both of my brothers studied linguistics. I ignore their conversations on the matter all the time.

For sh*ts and giggles, however, how does this fit into your idea of linguistics: I understand the usage of the word unique above to be incorrect. Therefore, I both understand it, and it is incorrect. Under that theory any use that is understood is correct; therefore word choice and grammar is completely meaningless. By that theory people who type “str8” for straight and similar things are not incorrect, while proper taste would indicate that doing this should be an offense punishable by lopping off fingers.

by cavebird on Dec 1, 2009 8:34 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

There are several common fallacies in this example. First, the terms “correct”, “incorrect”, and “proper” simply don’t apply to a scientific look at language. There is no right and wrong, there is only what is used. You may have an ideology about how a certain word or words are used, a belief system about word use, but that doesn’t make it correct or right, even to you, it just makes it your own ideology that biases you.
Word choice and grammar are never meaningless. If people choose words that those they’re trying to communicate with don’t understand, they will fail to communicate, similarly, if they put the words in an order that fails to communicate to those they’re trying to speak with, it also fails. Since you understood the use of ‘unique’ it did communicate, making it meaningful, especially since it caused a reaction from you.

But yes, as much as I think the ‘str8’ typers deserve their fingers cut off, they’re perfectly in the right to type it, so long as it communicates.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Dec 2, 2009 12:30 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

So basically...

…anything goes so long as it is understood? Then why the hell did I have to go to English classes all those years?

And while linguistically people who misuse “unique” (don’t get me started about announcers who do) and those who use “str8” are communicating—-they are communicating their message and immediately tarnishing that message by communicating their poor language skills.

by cavebird on Dec 2, 2009 9:26 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Again, words like “misuse” and “tarnish” aren’t viable in a scientific discussion of language. Yes, you’re correct that the usage of words is judged by others, there is a social value put on the words, but, from a scientific perspective, there is no such thing as incorrect usage, so long as it communicates.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Dec 2, 2009 9:46 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

And that shows...

…the limitation of using scientific analysis on an inherently social matter such as communication. It has its uses, but it is limited.

by cavebird on Dec 2, 2009 11:10 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

It’s not limited at all. They’re two parts of the same conversation.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Dec 2, 2009 2:54 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

That's why it is limited.

It is only one part or a two part conversation!

by cavebird on Dec 3, 2009 9:10 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

All evidence points to the contrary

Lets go through some names:

Kerry Lightenberg
Greg McMichal
Todd Jones
Bob Wickman
Kevin Gregg
JJ Putz
Fernando Rodney
Danys Baez
Dustin Hermanson
Derrick Turnbow
Keith Foulke
B.J. Ryan
Jose Mesa
Ugueth Urbina
Danny Graves
Jorge Julio
Hideki Irabu
Roberto Hernandez
Tim Worrell
Matt Mantei
Dan Kolb
Jose Jimenez
Rod Beck
Aquilino Lopez
Rocky Biddle
Matt Herges
Jason Frasor
Ambiorix Burgos
Chris Ray
Joe Borowski
Alan Embree

All of these players have been successful closers in the past 10 years. Some of these names I am willing to bet you have never even heard of. Many of the ones you have heard of I can tell you now were not extroardinary pitchers. Yet all of these players have double digit saves in 1 season.

by Andy Braves Fan on Dec 1, 2009 12:54 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Whatever. Double digit saves in 1 season would not a successful closer make, in my view.

by fandave on Dec 1, 2009 12:57 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Why

They did the job didn’t they. And they did it consistently over a season. Many of these guys did the job over multiple seasons successfully. This is just a small list of closers in the past 10 years. The sheer fact that there is so much turnover in that role every year speaks volumes about the “unique” qualities of a closer in my mind.

by Andy Braves Fan on Dec 1, 2009 1:13 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

That's

“all evidence”?

by Salty on Dec 1, 2009 9:14 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

No

it isn’t all evidence, but it is significant. If closer’s are so unique, why do so many pop up from year to year?

by Andy Braves Fan on Dec 2, 2009 9:35 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Jeez, I was withdrawing from this discussion, but since you’re asking, here’s an answer:

There are 30 teams playing a total of that are scheduled to play a total of 2,430 games each MLB season. Each team must have someone on its pitching staff available to pitch in the final inning of each game, and for each game, there is some measurable, but obviously pretty significant percentage chance that there will be a save possibility for at least one pitcher on one or the other of the teams (although there could be multiple save possibilities in any given game). Therefore, for each team, pitchers working out of the bullpen will inevitably accumulate some number of saves, as well as blown saves and other stats.

by fandave on Dec 2, 2009 11:50 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

But so many pitchers

become established closers. I’m not just talking about the Peter Moylans’ of the world who rack up a save or two every year (though the fact that these pitchers can obviously save a game as well isn’t irrelevant), but tons of other pitchers. Basically, any good relief pitcher can pretty much close a game as well. Hell, even decent relievers can close games (see Farnsworth, Kyle).

by Andy Braves Fan on Dec 2, 2009 12:00 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

And notably

All of the pitchers above actually wore the “closer’s” badge, not just relievers who ended up with saves. So, for instance, you probably have never heard of Rocky Biddle (I certainly don’t remember him), but in 2003 he was the Closer for the Expos, and he saved 34 games.

And these guys come from everywhere. Some are/were rookies. Some were claimed out of the international league. Hell, Mo Rivera himself was a failed starter…

by Andy Braves Fan on Dec 2, 2009 12:08 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Of course many pitchers have served in that capacity for some period of time, if that’s what you mean. And they will have experienced some success and some lack of success.

My original point is that there are very few relief pitchers who are consistently successful in the closer’s role and consistently have a major impact on their team’s fortunes; and that those pitchers are “unique” (e.g., atypical). I will continue to stand by that opinion.

by fandave on Dec 2, 2009 12:42 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I have no problem with that point.

But I maintain that these elite closers (I don’t use “proven closers” here because that can mean meatballs who get saves for one year like Rodney) are atypical because they just are very, very good relief pitchers. They would (and have in many cases like Rivera) do well in set-up roles, too. There aren’t a lot of guys who were elite set up guys who failed as closers—the fact that I keep saying this and nobody points out a single counter-example says something—which to me shows that yes, there are elite closers who deserve a premium; these guys are just the best relief pitchers available; it isn’t about 9th inning mystique.

by cavebird on Dec 2, 2009 1:43 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Exactly

there is that word again.

My original point was that there the “9th inning mystique” was a myth. If there was something really special about being able to pitch the 9th, not as many guys could do it. Elite closers are really just elite relievers, their success in the 9th isn’t what makes them special. I stand by that opinion.

by Andy Braves Fan on Dec 2, 2009 2:09 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

But to answer your point...

…I disagree to an extent. I think it is sort of the flipside of your argument. Many relief pitchers can be successful closers—-the stress of the eighth inning isn’t much different from the ninth. There are some, however, who do have a mental block that keeps them from pitching well in the ninth for whatever reason. The reason a lot of scrub closers fail is that they simply aren’t that good to start with—-not the mental issues. While there are a few, there aren’t that many relief pitchers with good stuff that repeatedly failed as closers.

by cavebird on Dec 1, 2009 1:03 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

You just illustrated my point

Many relief pitchers can be successful closers

In other words, a quality reliever can be a quality closer. Considering the number of quality relievers out there, I would argue that most if not all of them can handle the 9th with a lead as well. This disputes the “unique” factor that closers mythically must have.

The reason a lot of scrub closers fail is that they simply aren’t that good to start with

So, to paraphrase, bad relievers make bad closers as well. I never said that having a bad reliever take the 9th is a good idea, but I wouldn’t be all that comfortable with a bad reliever taking the ball in the 6th inning either. You want good relievers on your team no matter what the situation, but that doesn’t make the 9th inning with a lead a special situation, or really more special than taking the ball in the 7th with the lead. The job description is essentially the same.

There are some, however, who do have a mental block that keeps them from pitching well in the ninth for whatever reason

This is the only point you make that is contradictory to what I have said, and the fact is that there is little or no evidence to support that. The fact is that guys who fail at the 9th fail as relievers in general in the long run. Most of them are simply bad relievers.

by Andy Braves Fan on Dec 1, 2009 1:21 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Despite where it was placed...

…making it look somehow like I was responding to you; I was responding to fandave. I agree with you, Andy. Therefore, I am glad I illustrated your point. ;)

by cavebird on Dec 1, 2009 8:36 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Most if not all quality relievers can be closers? I doubt there is a single pitcher in baseball at the professional level who would agree with that.

by Salty on Dec 1, 2009 9:16 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

So all professional pitchers...

…believe the ninth inning has mystique? That’s strange. Apparently current professional pitchers laugh at the beliefs of pitchers before current closers even came into being, because they obviously didn’t believe that.

by cavebird on Dec 1, 2009 10:26 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

And furthermore

If they didn’t believe that, they probably wouldn’t say anything. It’s how the best relievers make their money.

by Andy Braves Fan on Dec 2, 2009 9:49 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I read all the mess after this and I’m just gonna go with fandave and reply with a simple yes.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Dec 1, 2009 1:40 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

So

despite all evidence to the contrary, you still feel that closers are unique relievers who have an inate ability that other pitchers don’t have.

I mean, if that is the case, fine, we can agree to disagree. I think you said it yourself… “some people don’t believe in evolution either.”

by Andy Braves Fan on Dec 1, 2009 2:10 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Hey, he doesn't believe in word usage either...

…by his theory, anything that is understood is correct. ;)

by cavebird on Dec 1, 2009 8:37 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Which is true…scientifically speaking.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Dec 2, 2009 12:31 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Words are just a method of communication...

if I speak jibberish, but you understand what I’m trying to communicate, that gets the job done.

by Mr. Sanchez on Dec 2, 2009 8:39 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

But also communicates...

…a message regarding your knowledge of the language, educational backround, etc. Maybe it is all “correct” (although I should properly say incorrect per the linguist as there is no correct or incorrect), but how one presents a message does reflect on the message itself.

by cavebird on Dec 2, 2009 9:27 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Which is an entirely different thing that saying one thing is correct or incorrect. Now you’re talking about the social values and judgments and ideologies surrounding language, which are socially created and not static, varying from one group of speakers to another.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Dec 2, 2009 9:48 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Correct and incoorect...

…can connotate social value judgment as well as whether one communicated their thought in a scientific sense, no?

by cavebird on Dec 2, 2009 11:11 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

And my bad spelling...

…really doesn’t help my case. ;)

by cavebird on Dec 2, 2009 11:12 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Something can only be seen as incorrect scientifically if it fails to communicate. If the other person can’t understand, then the attempt was incorrect, because if failed to communicate.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Dec 2, 2009 2:56 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

But it can be incorrect...

…in other ways, even if it is not incorrect scientifically. Thus, when I called the use incorrect, I was not incorrect even if I was incorrect scientifically. Furthermore, since you understood what I meant when I called the usage incorrect, my comment could not have been incorrect scientifically, because it communicated! Okay, this has now gone far past the point of silly….

by cavebird on Dec 3, 2009 9:12 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Yes, that’s right there was all silly.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Dec 3, 2009 1:44 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Saying all good relievers can be closers

sounds more like the people who argue that the earth is 7000 years old. You know they argue that science and evidence is on their side too.

by Salty on Dec 1, 2009 9:19 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

It's real simple on evidence...

…if being a good closer has this mystique, then there should be a bunch of pitchers who were consistently good set up guys but repeatedly failed as closers. I don’t see any evidence of this.

by cavebird on Dec 1, 2009 10:30 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

The discussion isn’t really about whether or not a guy can do it for a year or a few years, it’s about the guys who can do it for a while. Yeah, any schlub can close some games for a bit, but it takes a special MFer to deal with it year in and year out. So yeah, we’ll have to agree to disagree.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Dec 2, 2009 12:32 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

To be an elite closer...

…yes. Those guys are few and far between. I just happen to think those guys are also far and away the best relief pitchers period and would be great set-up guys too. I also think elite set-up guys become the elite closers—-think Mariano Rivera setting up for Wetteland in the 90’s.

The elite closers tend to have great ERAs, K/9, BB/9, and other numbers as well. There aren’t many set-up guys who maintain that over several years and the ones that do usually become elite closers.

I am not sure if we are agreeing or disagreeing anymore. I am just saying that it is not 9th inning mystique. If you are talking about elite closers, these guys are just better pitchers period. And yes, Wagner, is in that class. He also has a career 2.39 ERA, 1.009 WHIP, 11.8 K/9, and 3.93 K/BB over 15 seasons. There aren’t any set-up guys who couldn’t hack it as closers with those kind of numbers that I am aware of.

by cavebird on Dec 2, 2009 9:32 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Again

exactly my point. I am not saying that Mo Rivera isn’t a special pitcher, I am more against the idea that he is special, so a team should save him until this “special” 9th inning situation that you are likely to win anyway is of any good sense.

Mo Rivera isn’t special because he can finish off the game in a high leverage situation. CB, you said yourself that any schlub pitcher can do it. So why are team saving their best relievers for this less than dire situation? I would argue that it is much more special for a pitcher to come into the game in the 7th with the bases loaded and the lead on the line and the cleanup hitter up, and using your best reliever in that situation would increase his actual value.

by Andy Braves Fan on Dec 2, 2009 9:43 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I completely agree that many times the most high pressure situation in a game doesn’t necessarily come in the 9th, and in certain games teams should use their best relief pitcher before the 9th if that’s what they need. But the 9th is different, because there’s no safety net. If a pitcher screws the game in the 7th, his team can pick him up, both the other pitchers and the hitters. If he screws it up in the 9th, the team usually can’t do much and the guy is just the one who failed everybody. That’s a different kind of pressure that most people can’t handle. Stats can’t measure human emotions and reactions.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Dec 2, 2009 9:52 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

If that is the case...

…why aren’t there guys out there who have put up great numbers as set-up guys but could never hack it as closers?

by cavebird on Dec 2, 2009 9:54 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Exactly

I seem to be saying that a lot when you post Cavebird…

But I digress… The key to what you said CB is this:
bq. That’s a different kind of pressure that most people can’t handle.
But the mere fact that closers change all the time, that so many pitchers have been successful closers at some point in their career… that alone shows that the pressure in the 9th isn’t all that different than other pressures. Every position in baseball has unique pressures, but the 9th inning mystique is a myth.

by Andy Braves Fan on Dec 2, 2009 10:34 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I don’t see how that equates at all. The pressure of the 9th is different, it just is. It’s not mystique.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Dec 2, 2009 2:57 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

There are literally tons of those guys.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Dec 2, 2009 2:56 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Literally tons?

Tons of guys who put up elite middle reliever numbers but never could cut it as closers? By all means, name one, just one, middle reliever who put up numbers comparable to say, Billy Wagner, but never could cut it as a closer. Just one.

by cavebird on Dec 3, 2009 9:14 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

And in a football analogy...

a lot of guys can accurately kick a ball through the uprights from the 45 yard line. But there is a difference between doing it on a practice field alone, in the 1st quarter with a lead, and in the 4rh quarter down 2. Pressure of the finality of the moment matters.

by Mr. Sanchez on Dec 2, 2009 2:41 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Yes! And doing it with time running out too, knowing if you miss the kick the game is over.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Dec 2, 2009 2:58 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

But that analogy is completely off

In that in those analogies, the kicker is in a do or die situation with 0 leverage. A closer has at a minimum of a 1 run lead. Teams win that matchup 90% of the time or more.
Yes, it is kind of a do or die situation, but your analogy is more of a .400 OBP hitter with the game on the line, last out in the 9th, a man on 2nd, and down a run. In other words, your analogy more closely resembles a guy that the closer potentially faces, not the closer himself.

If you want a football analogy, the Closer is the same as the best defense in the league facing a mediocre-at-best offense running a 2 minute drill from their own damn goal line.

by Andy Braves Fan on Dec 2, 2009 3:05 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

And further on that analogy

the mediocre offense has to score a touchdown to win or a field goal to tie. Even with a 1 run lead, 1 run would only tie the game, so in that sense it is hardly do or die as baseball is a generally low scoring game, even in the age of offense!

by Andy Braves Fan on Dec 2, 2009 3:08 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Whatever. It’s not my analogy. Agree to disagree. I think the 9th is special, you think it’s not. Either way it doesn’t change the way that baseball teams are constructing their rosters and organizing their bullpens.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Dec 2, 2009 3:27 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I think we already did

agree to disagree. I just had to point out that that analogy was far less than optimal.

by Andy Braves Fan on Dec 2, 2009 4:57 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

The only Optimal I care about is Prime, and even that’s wrong.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Dec 2, 2009 5:14 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

As near as I can tell

your argument is that the existence of other high pressure situations proves that the 9th inning job isn’t high pressure.

by Salty on Dec 1, 2009 9:13 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

On the contrary...

…the argument is that other high pressure situations are not particularly different from ninth inning high pressure situations. If the ninth inning mystique was true, then there would be a ton of pitchers who were great set-up guys but sucked as closers and very few guys who were poor pitchers but still had a good season as a closer. It just isn’t true. Ya’ll are the new earthers on this one, not us.

by cavebird on Dec 1, 2009 10:28 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

thanks

"Are you tryin to say Jesus Christ can't hit a curveball?"

by mvhsbball on Nov 29, 2009 10:00 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

but i doubt

we’d seriously pay that money for Cab.

while he’s a player (when he’s happy) and i think the change of scenery could be very good for him, giving up Freeman, Teheran/Delgado, Hicks and Hoover (which is the type of package that would take to get Cab) is A LOT. not to mention the monetary issues.

If we could do a:

Freeman
Delgado
Hoover

for Cab and 10 million$

then i would think about it long and hard about it if I were Wren. otherwise, move on to something else.

by apoxonbothyourhouses on Nov 30, 2009 7:01 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

It's all silly rosterbation and we won't...

…ever pay the money on Cabrera’s salary, but I don’t think that is a particularly huge price to pay. Freeman is obviously the biggest loss in that deal and he is the price of admission so to speak. On the other hand, we’d be blocking him for 6 years by getting Cabrera anyway. Hoover is a nice prospect, but hasn’t hit AA yet and was a bit old for his league. Hicks is heading rapidly towards bust territory—-if you can’t hit over .240 in AA, you won’t break Mendoza in the bigs. (And honestly, I have no idea why Detroit would want him.) Finally, Teheran and Delgado (whichever was in the deal) are both great prospects, but are young pitchers—-either could just as easily blow out his arm as become a great major league pitcher. I would do that deal is the money was right—-which it won’t be, which is why the whole exercise is rosterbation, but hey this is the thread for that!

by cavebird on Nov 30, 2009 9:14 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Change of scenery?

The change of scenery argument only works if he didn’t already get a change of scenery and continue to get into trouble.

At this point you know who he is and it’s doubtful that for some reason he straightens up because he is in Atlanta.

by Fischerking on Nov 30, 2009 12:29 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I don't buy the change of scenery argument either

but I will say that the Braves have a good track record with that; see Gary Sheffield.

by Andy Braves Fan on Nov 30, 2009 2:28 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

No Where

in that article does it mention trading Teheran and i would like to believe Frank Wren isnt crazy enough to deal both Freeman AND Teheran.

by drumzalicious on Nov 30, 2009 4:43 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Juan Pierre is likely available...

would you be willing to take on his $18.5 mil over the next two years to play LF and leadoff if it meant they’d take on Lowe and his entire salary?

by Mr. Sanchez on Nov 30, 2009 6:28 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

As much as I don’t really care for Pierre, the money we would save in this deal would be great. He’s owed $10M in 2010 and $8.5M in 2011. He did well filling in for Ramirez. He hit .308/.365/.392 this year in 380 at bats. He has almost no power. In 10 seasons he’s hit 13 HR’s. He is however an excellent base stealer with 459 SB’s in 10 years. While he doesn’t walk a lot he also doesn’t K a lot either and his walks and strikeouts are usually close to each other. He has 340 career walks and 337 K’s.
He’s not a great player but the money we would save would be great. It would allow us to spend in other areas. I would wait until Lackey signs and then see what the market looks like but you could do worse.

by jack dein on Nov 30, 2009 6:41 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I think he'd be an interesting option...

let Schafer and Heyward start in AAA, or if Schafer is ready maybe platoon with Diaz in RF or Pierre in LF. Sign a 1B to hit cleanup, and go
Pierre
McLouth
Chipper
1B signee
Esco
McCann
Diaz
Prado

Then the following winter, you can trade one or two of the veteran OFs for middle relief arms, prospects, or to fill whatever holes show up.

by Mr. Sanchez on Nov 30, 2009 7:30 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

That's unrealistic.

Nobody takes Pierre’s salary. We could trade others, but we would have to eat a bunch of money to move him and wouldn’t get anything of value in return. If Pierre had any value with that contract, the Dodgers would have moved him long ago. If we take Pierre, we will eat more or less the full value of the contract that we take on.

by cavebird on Nov 30, 2009 8:36 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

then you move McLouth or Diaz...

once Schafer and Heyward are ready for everyday jobs.

And it’s much less to eat than Lowe’s deal over the next three years, both per and without the 3rd remaining year.

by Mr. Sanchez on Dec 1, 2009 8:57 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

He is an interesting idea...

…he would be practically free if we took on his salary. He is a true leadoff guy, but doesn’t walk enough. He has to hit for a high average to be a passable player since his defense isn’t that good. (Great speed, no arm whatsoever.) However, he has great contact rates and has had decent seasons based on batting average in the past. From what I have read an all-around great guy, too. Still, that salary is tough to swallow. I just don’t know here.

by cavebird on Nov 30, 2009 8:34 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

No way. He is not the answer.
I’d greatly prefer Cameron, who has some decent pop and would give upgraded CF defense.
Swapping over-priced contracts and not significantly enhancing either our offense or defense is simply not very smart.

by fandave on Nov 30, 2009 9:46 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Bingo

I know I don’t post here much, but I do on other (large) sites and I’ve been a huge proponent of Cameron since around the time the offseason began. While he’s not spectacular offensively, we know exactly what we’d be getting from him: .250/.340/.450 with 20-25 homers and very solid defense in CF. By signing Cameron we also improve LF by sliding McLouth over, where he should be plus defensively. I think once McLouth is 100% healthy people around here will warm up to him much more and he’ll post the numbers that earned him an All Star berth with Pittsburgh. An outfield that consists of Cameron flanked by McLouth and Heyward should be very productive and stellar defensively.

by bravesfan91 on Nov 30, 2009 10:25 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

The Mets made a couple small moves today signing Alex Cora to a 1 year deal worth $2M with an extra $1M in incentives plus a vesting option for 2011 worth $2M that vests with 80 starts in 2010. They also signed Chris Coste. He will be on the 40 man roster but may not be on the opening day roster.

by jack dein on Nov 30, 2009 6:45 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

I am still hoping the Mets...

…sign Pineiro. Yes, I am bitter from liking him in fantasy years ago, but lord, if he signs with the Mets, I’ll get him on a fantasy team and he’ll post an ERA of 15. He is evil, I say, evil on a fantasy team. Second on my fantasy never again list behind Sir. Meatball.

by cavebird on Nov 30, 2009 8:37 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I tried reading Coste’s book, cause it’s a pretty great story and I had talked with him a number of times while he was in the minors and he was always a really interesting guy, but I had to give it up about a third of the way in cause it was so boring. I don’t understand how these guys can make such interesting baseball stories so hard to read.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Dec 1, 2009 2:58 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

hmm

anyone else getting the feeling that we are gonna end up signing cameron? i think our offseason will be us signing Cameron and Wagner. After that trading Lowe for a reliever.

by drumzalicious on Dec 1, 2009 2:57 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

If we sign Cameron and Wagner, I’ll be ecstatic.

by bravesfan91 on Dec 1, 2009 3:24 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Cameron is interesting because everything I’ve heard has him linked to the Padres which is interesting because he’s from Georgia. I haven’t really heard anything that links him to Atlanta. I really like Wagner. He’s a veteran who knows exactly what’s going to be expected from him. Him along with Saito would give us a solid back of the bullpen. We should hear more about who is going to be offered arbitration in the next few hours. It would be great if the Red Sox didn’t offer it to Wagner because then he wouldn’t cost a first round pick.

by jack dein on Dec 1, 2009 3:47 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Somewhere I read that he wants to go to a contender. Padres sure don’t meet that qualification. And he does live in Atlanta and has a couple young sons, so he’d get to see a lot of them.

by Salty on Dec 1, 2009 9:22 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Not saying it made sense just saying that I’ve seen him linked to the Padres in articles.

by jack dein on Dec 1, 2009 9:39 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

On the trade front

What would you guys think if we traded Lowe for Brandon Wood?

Put Wood at 1B until Freeman is ready. After that we can use him in a utility man role until Chipper retires.

by drumzalicious on Dec 1, 2009 4:20 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Obtaining a young power hitting corner IFer like Wood for Lowe would be a great trade.

Here are his minor league career stats.

What makes you think the Angels would let go of him?

by fandave on Dec 1, 2009 4:43 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

You mean aside from the fact that they have consistently blocked him? even this year when Chone Figgins is leaving via FA they are still looking for experienced 3B. Guys like Beltre etc have all been linked to them.

by drumzalicious on Dec 1, 2009 5:03 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Very unlikely that the Angels would take Lowe off our hands and give us a good player in return.

by jack dein on Dec 1, 2009 4:56 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

not really

they need a starter and having lowe would be a great fit for them especially if we eat a few mil a year off of his contract.

by drumzalicious on Dec 1, 2009 5:03 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Another thought

It was proposed a while ago and wasnt met with a lot of enthusiasm.

What about trading J.J.? If we trade him for another cheap cost controlled bat . . . say Justin Upton???

Thoughts?

by drumzalicious on Dec 1, 2009 5:14 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

it’s going to take a whole lot more than jair jurrjens for justin upton

by McCann's the Man on Dec 1, 2009 6:32 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

oh hell yeah

Try Jurrjens, Freeman, Teheran and a guy like Hicks.

"Are you tryin to say Jesus Christ can't hit a curveball?"

by mvhsbball on Dec 1, 2009 11:53 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

The Braves offered arb. to Soriano and Gonzalez but not to LaLoche or Anderson.

by jack dein on Dec 1, 2009 6:14 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

The Marlins cheaply chose not to offer Kiko Calero arbitration, I say this is a guy the Braves should lock into, forget Wagner and his health concerns plus loss of a draft pick. Adding Calero as a free agent, trading for a guy like Nick Massett of the Reds or Mike Wuertz of the A’s (both sellers probably looking to spend money on things other than relievers), and I say Kevin Gregg as a second free agent would greatly improve this bullpen. And all three total would likely come at a cost of no more than 10M combined and that’s conservatively high imo. Before you jump down my throat for Gregg, look at his numbers with the Marlins and then notice his HR/FB% jumped nearly ten percent this year, the main cause for his struggles. Those three plus Medlen, O’ Flaherty, Moylan, and right now Kawakami in the pen gives us a very strong relief core

by McCann's the Man on Dec 1, 2009 6:54 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

I am leery on Gregg...

…but agree with the rest. I am okay with Gregg as another bullpen arm, but I think his career save numbers will make him draw too high a salary. Calero is definitely a guy we should target. Much cheaper and doesn’t cost a draft pick like Wagner.

by cavebird on Dec 1, 2009 8:39 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

see i disagree with that assessment of Gregg, i think people will look at the unimpressive numbers from last year and disregard him as not worth a multi-million dollar deal. However if you consider the context, Gregg suffered greatly from Wrigley’s small dimensions and random winds, put him in Turner and I think you get the Gregg of a 3.5 or so ERA. 2 years for 6-8M would be a solid deal if no market develops for him. Now if you’re right and people overvalue the “established closer” role he has assumed then no i don’t want to pay him 5+million per

by McCann's the Man on Dec 1, 2009 11:28 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

He also battled a knee injury for the first few months of the season. It threw his motion off his throwing motion and caused to only be warmed up in save situations.

by jack dein on Dec 1, 2009 11:42 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

see i disagree with that assessment of Gregg, i think people will look at the unimpressive numbers from last year and disregard him as not worth a multi-million dollar deal. However if you consider the context, Gregg suffered greatly from Wrigley’s small dimensions and random winds, put him in Turner and I think you get the Gregg of a 3.5 or so ERA. 2 years for 6-8M would be a solid deal if no market develops for him. Now if you’re right and people overvalue the “established closer” role he has assumed then no i don’t want to pay him 5+million per

by McCann's the Man on Dec 1, 2009 11:29 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Add Darren Oliver to my list as the angels decided to not offer arbitration so Oliver requires no draft pick compensation. Solid lefty who won’t be looking for a big deal, would be a real solid fit and having lefties in the NL East is an advantage

by McCann's the Man on Dec 1, 2009 11:09 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

What do you guys think of Frank Catalanotto

He never had a truly outstanding year, but has been solid in the past. Could he be a 1 year deal fitting low risk high reward guy?

(Yunel is still the Queen of Hearts)

by GoBravesNY on Dec 1, 2009 11:21 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

He’d be nothing more than a bench guy, and to be honest I’d rather give our two open spots to Matt Young and another back-up infielder to complement Infante. Nick Green would be great. A bench of Ross, Diaz, Young, Infante, and Green would give us good defense and a little bit of speed.

by bravesfan91 on Dec 2, 2009 12:30 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I liked Catalanato back in the day...

…but I think he is now defensively limited and pretty much done.

by cavebird on Dec 2, 2009 9:44 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, we definately need a new rosterbation thread.

Oh hey, look…

"Are you tryin to say Jesus Christ can't hit a curveball?"

by mvhsbball on Dec 2, 2009 12:45 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

About once every two weeks we need one...

feel free to start it up. At least this time we seemed to keep the mess mostly in here.

by Mr. Sanchez on Dec 2, 2009 8:41 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Apparently

We have come to terms with Billy Wagner.

Still would like them to pick up a couple more arms. Calero/Saito would be nice with Calero being my first choice because of his age. After that Darren Oliver has been mentioned as well. Would give us another lefty outside of EoF

by drumzalicious on Dec 2, 2009 3:04 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Apparently

we’re also interested in acquiring Connor Jackson to play 1B for us. He hits RH and he’s cheap.

but the DBacks, supposedly, would want young mlb starters in return. Could a Medlen + Reyes fetch us Jackson?

and then do we sign Cameron and put him in CF and move McClouth to Left?

2B – Prado
SS – Escobar
3B – Chipper
1B – Jackson
C – BMac
LF – McClouth
CF – Cameron
RF – Heyward

that’s pretty nice, actually.

by apoxonbothyourhouses on Dec 3, 2009 7:05 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

If healthy, Jackson would be a great add. I don’t know if moving out of AZ will help prevent a recurrence of valley fever, however.

If Albert played in the AFL, they’d have to rename it the AZ/NM Fall League, based on where his homers landed.

by Yakker on Dec 3, 2009 12:37 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Yea, kindof a lost year for him, but Ive always liked him. Drafted him in Fantasy last year. But any who, its also a plus that he plays the outfield, gives Bobby some options to mix and match a bit. The Dbacks are hungry for pitching too….

I thought hurricane season was over........

by bravesguy311 on Dec 3, 2009 1:14 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

if we can afford it,...

he and Glaus sign like a great pair. I like Cameron a lot, but he may be too expensive, and we have OFs ready or soon to be ready in JS and JH (no one here really knows what timetable Wren has for them next year). Jackson could be a good fit, and also is young enough in case Freeman falters at AA/AAA.

by Mr. Sanchez on Dec 3, 2009 1:32 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

wait

dont we need power? he hasnt hit more than 15 hrs in his entire career

by drumzalicious on Dec 3, 2009 6:45 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I don’t really get what people like about Jackson enough to want to make a trade for him unless it’s basically KJ + mediocre prospect for Jackson.

I mean, going by his stats in his full seasons, Jackson will probably OPS around .820 and hit you about 14 HR. Which is pretty mediocre for a 1B and/or a cleanup hitter.

by Lennox on Dec 4, 2009 2:30 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Jackson was a terrific college hitter with tons of patience. If he never develops the power, you’re right. But many scouts believed that the power would come. Given his illness, it’s probably too early to give up on him, but I would only consider him an option if healthy and cheap, which he could be, as AZ has logjams at 1B and in the OF.

If Albert played in the AFL, they’d have to rename it the AZ/NM Fall League, based on where his homers landed.

by Yakker on Dec 4, 2009 12:04 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Eww...

“Given his illness, it’s probably too early to give up on him”

Sounds too much like Kotch and his lack of power coming back from mono.

by Mr. Sanchez on Dec 4, 2009 1:01 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

With an much poorer glove, too.

If Albert played in the AFL, they’d have to rename it the AZ/NM Fall League, based on where his homers landed.

by Yakker on Dec 4, 2009 2:40 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

The guy is 27, and yeah, he was sick last year, but he’s got 3 seasons of consistent 15 HR power before that. I don’t really see much reason to expect his power to take a drastic leap forward and for him to be viewed as a middle of the lineup hitter.

I mean he’s not a horrible option to go after if you just can’t find a legit power hitter for 1B and need to add someone, but he’s hardly a “big bat” cleanup hitter either. Honestly, while it takes some faith that he’d bounce back this year, I don’t know that Jackson would be all that much better than having Prado play 1B and KJ at 2B.

by Lennox on Dec 5, 2009 12:30 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

What about Jack Cust?

With the A’s acquisition of Jake Fox a lot of ppl are saying he might be non-tendered. I know he isn’t that RH bat we all want but he would be able to plug in the hole at 1B till Freeman is ready and he brings some 25+HR power.

by drumzalicious on Dec 6, 2009 2:51 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Beane’s non-tendering him for a reason. Guys like Cust are great until they get expensive, and then they’re quite expendable.

If Albert played in the AFL, they’d have to rename it the AZ/NM Fall League, based on where his homers landed.

by Yakker on Dec 6, 2009 6:24 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

but once he's non tendered...

he’s on the open market and likely becomes much less expensive.

by Mr. Sanchez on Dec 6, 2009 8:26 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Oh, thought the idea was to trade for him. As an FA making the league minimum, he’d be fine, but understand that he’s pretty terrible in the field.

If Albert played in the AFL, they’d have to rename it the AZ/NM Fall League, based on where his homers landed.

by Yakker on Dec 7, 2009 2:15 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

we could

move mccann to first and sign molina. just a thought. i know people are tired of hearing about moving mac to 1st, but why not?

Also, dont trade javier vazquez.

by esadb on Dec 6, 2009 6:33 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

because molina is flat out awful, there are plenty of 1B available that can produce better than him.

by McCann's the Man on Dec 6, 2009 6:38 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Not for the move to 1B for McCann but Molina is far from awful. Besides being a very good defensive catcher he hit .265/.285/.442, with 20 HR’s in 491 at bats. That being said Molina will get overpayed by someone. He’s a 35 years old and the best free agent catcher on the market. Someone probably the Mets will give him 3 years and somewhere around $24M.

by jack dein on Dec 6, 2009 8:08 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Wow, those OBP numbers for him are terrible. And his slugging is a lot lower than I thought it was. He’s really a worse player than I had given him credit for.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Dec 6, 2009 8:28 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I don’t see how a .727 OPS doesn’t qualify as awful except when you consider he is a catcher. But since esadb suggests getting him instead of a 1B it represents terrible production from that spot

by McCann's the Man on Dec 6, 2009 8:51 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

All this talk about Nelson Cruz

what do you guys think it would take to get him?

Package starting with Schafer, Cody Johnson, Medlen and a lower level pitching prospect not named Tehearan

by drumzalicious on Dec 6, 2009 11:55 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

He’s 29, has one good season in the Majors, and his OPS on the road was 153 points lower than it was at home in 2009, meaning he is, like every other guy who hadn’t done much then seemed to be good once he got to Texas, a product of that ballpark. Why would we want him?

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Dec 7, 2009 12:03 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Oh, and he’s also a right handed hitter who’s worse against lefties.

I wrote a novel, it's about baseball, you should buy it: https://www.createspace.com/3407939
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Dec 7, 2009 12:06 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

not sure it would take that much. Schafer and Medlen alone would get him.

by jack dein on Dec 7, 2009 12:03 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

No thanks.

If Albert played in the AFL, they’d have to rename it the AZ/NM Fall League, based on where his homers landed.

by Yakker on Dec 7, 2009 2:16 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

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