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Braves 2009 Season in Review: Matt Diaz

I think we can officially call the 2009 season of Atlanta Braves outfielder Matt Diaz a "breakout season." For all NL right-fielders with at least 100 plate appearances, Matt Diaz led the league in batting average and on-base percentage. He was behind six other players in slugging percentage in the NL, but he was behind only Adam LaRoche and David Ross in slugging percentage on the Braves. Diaz had a higher slugging average than sluggers like Hunter Pence, Jay Bruce, and Ryan Ludwick.

While he only hit 13 homeruns, he did that in just 125 games at a rate of 3.1 percent. That rate is second on the Braves to only Brian McCann, and is the same rate that Diaz posted in 2007 when he put up very similar numbers to last year (which begs the question, wasn't that the "breakout season?"). His 2008 season and the dips in every category can be attributed to the knee injury he suffered and some bad luck as viewed by the big dip in his BAbip -- 60 points lower than his career average. Take away that injury-plagued year and add in a full slate of games and Diaz could be a batter who puts up a 20 homeruns and has an OPS in the neighborhood of .875.

Star-divide

I often think that Diaz would be a valuable pinch hitter, but he doesn't seem to be as good at a pinch hitter as he is as a starter. His career batting average as a pinch hitter is 35 points below his career batting average. That number could be attributed to some bad seasons his first few years in the league, as he did post better-than-respectable numbers for a pinch hitter from 2006 to 2008.

But Matt Diaz needs to be playing full time somewhere. After all, he is the "hittin' fool;" given that name by the way in which he swings at just about any pitch and seems to make contact. There's no way that the Braves should be thinking about taking a .300 hitter with good power out of their lineup. The problem is that he is sort of a guy without a position, and while he has good power, he doesn't have elite corner outfield power, and that seems to hurt his chances when stacked up against other players. His defense, too, is less than desirable, though not terrible.

I'd like to see the Braves give Diaz a few more at-bats next year. The Braves still need to go out and get a bigger power bat, but maybe Diaz can be that ninth-man type player who spells the left fielder, the right fielder, and the first baseman, and gets some at-bats when the matchup is favorable. Diaz could spell Jason Heyward and LaRoche (if he re-signs) against left-handers, since Diaz hits 70 points higher for his career -- and last year hit 157 points higher -- when a southpaw was on the mound. If Heyward is not deemed ready out of spring training, Diaz could keep the position warm until Heyward is ready to be called up.

It was one of the great failures of 2009 that a guy like Garret Anderson got 100 more plate appearances than Diaz, while putting up an OPS 173 points south of what Diaz put up. If only the Braves had seen that there was no need to go out and get Garret Anderson... they already had a better player on the team in Matt Diaz. Let's hope they don't repeat that mistake again this off-season. If the Braves go out and get an outfielder, they need to make him a real impact player, not the consolation prize that's signed a week into spring training.

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Comments

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Let’s hope they don’t repeat that mistake again this off-season. If the Braves go out and get an outfielder, they need to make him a real impact player, not the consolation prize that’s signed a week into spring training.

My thoughts exactly.

http://www.capitolavenueclub.com/

by PWHjort on Oct 30, 2009 12:33 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Plus...

he’s dreamy….

"It breaks your heart. It is designed to break your heart. The game begins in the spring, when everything else begins again, and it blossoms in the summer, filling the afternoons and evenings, and then as soon as the chill rains come, it stops and leaves you to face the fall alone." A. Bartlett Giamatti

by sddbaker on Oct 30, 2009 12:55 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Awesome pic. Dude is looking like a serious bad ass.

by fandave on Oct 30, 2009 1:54 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I just went from 6 to midnight

MATT DIAZ IS THE F**K*NG MAN.
They made me change my signature...

by nick9314 on Oct 31, 2009 12:06 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Awwww.Dammit. For a minute there I was confused by what you were saying. Then I thought about it. Now, I wish I could have that original minute back. Well played.

7/10/09-A New Dawn.

by !Vive la Francoeur! on Oct 31, 2009 4:32 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Oh, and by the way

MATT DIAZ F’N RULES!

http://www.capitolavenueclub.com/

by PWHjort on Oct 30, 2009 1:32 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Matt Diaz gives me a semi

no homo

60% of the time, it works every time

by ATLandUNC on Oct 30, 2009 2:19 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

YESSS.

Last time i sed that, I got killed. They are anti erection on this blog. lmaooo. maddy, hes the man.

MATT DIAZ IS THE F**K*NG MAN.
They made me change my signature...

by nick9314 on Oct 31, 2009 12:03 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Diaz had an insanely high BABIP this year, which should probably be a cause for concern.

of course, he’s had an insanely high BABIP in each full season with the Braves, which this season was right in line with, so maybe it is something he can repeat.

by Lennox on Oct 30, 2009 2:27 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Line Drives

Career LD% = 22.5
2009 LD% = 24.7 (career-high)

High LD% = High BABIP (usually)

"…aren’t worthy enough to hold his (Pujols) ass cheeks apart while Playboy models wipe him with thousand dollar bills after he craps out the cure to whatever previously-incurable disease." by royhobbs 1/7/09

by buzzdeadwax on Oct 30, 2009 3:02 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

i dont think a high BABIP is much to worry about

because matt diaz isn’t a typical hitter. hell, he moves around the batters box mid-pitch.

"Are you tryin to say Jesus Christ can't hit a curveball?"

by mvhsbball on Oct 30, 2009 4:24 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions   0 recs

First base? He played two games there in late-inning situations two years ago, the sum total of his experience there. Granted, Matt is a fantastic player who could play just about anywhere, I just hadn’t thought of him at first. Still, if that’s what it takes to get him into the lineup on a regular basis, maybe it’s worth a try.

by John Holton on Oct 30, 2009 2:34 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

hmmm. Interesting idea...

MATT DIAZ IS THE F**K*NG MAN.
They made me change my signature...

by nick9314 on Oct 31, 2009 12:03 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I just don't get it

What does he have to do for the Braves to take notice??? Diaz have put great numbers every year except when he had his knee injury and still he has never gotten a chance. Anderson did ok last year but I much rather Diaz to have gotten those plate apperances and they could have saved some money for other needs. I don’t think we need another OF. Diaz, McLouth, Church and Schafer will do fine next year. We would have to give up a 1st round pick for Damon or Abreu or Guerrero plus some $$$ and non of them would be worth it in my opinion. Not they are not good or improve our team but not for that cost and would not be that big of an improvent. Bay and Holliday would be too expensive. So unless Wren can come up with another great trade like the one for McLouth then we should give Dias a full time job.

by jvvenez on Oct 30, 2009 2:52 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Hit more homers

Seriously, that’s like the only thing he doesn’t do and that happens to be the team’s biggest systematic weakness. But you’re right, he’s largely under-appreciated.

http://www.capitolavenueclub.com/

by PWHjort on Oct 30, 2009 3:57 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

But he does hit homeruns, at about the same rate as Brian McCann. Like I said in the post, his HR rate was higher than any regular but McCann (and also Ross and LaRoche), it was higher than Chipper, McLouth, and everyone else — and that was the same HR rate he produced in 2007. He’s a 20-HR guy given a full season, and that’s not too bad, especially when you pair it with a high batting average and improving BB rate.

by gondeee on Oct 30, 2009 6:05 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

He's basically the man.

http://www.capitolavenueclub.com/

by PWHjort on Oct 31, 2009 2:38 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Diaz is awesome, but...

Matt Diaz is by far my favorite baseball player, period. I love the way he plays the game, hustles, hits ugly pitches, steals bases, and never complains about anything. But, seems like last time we tried a full-time Diaz experiment, he struggled against right-handed pitching. This season, his BA against LHP was .412, but only .255 against RHP.

I’d love to see Matty get a full-time job, but I wonder if relatively poor hitting against RHP will again prevent him from securing an everyday job? I know we’ve had several regulars hit less than .255 against all pitching, but I’ve gotta think that without some greater power potential or better speed, Diaz is going to be limited in his everyday opportunities.

by tchoup on Oct 30, 2009 3:00 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I don’t want to be a downer and I think Matt should continue to get a good amount of at bats but comparing his slash stats to other full time starters is a little unfair as Matt didn’t always play against righties, and he kills lefties. He’s decent enough against righties but not enough for him to be a full time starter imo unless the financial logistics of adding another player don’t work out. He’s the definition of an ideal platoon player

by McCann's the Man on Oct 30, 2009 8:55 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

You're right, here's the rub...

Its really easy to fall in love with his .313/.390/.488/.878 line and 20/20 potential. The problem is that he isn’t that player – he is two different players. If he is a full time LF/RF the 30% he would face LHP he is freaking bad ass (.412/.464/.640/1.103 25HR power) but the 70% of the time against RHP he is freaking below average (.255/.349/.400/.749 and 15HR power).

You simply cannot put that .749 OPS out there in LF 70% of the time but on the flip side you cannot sit that 1.103 OPS 30% of the time against LHP.

He is the PERFECT right handed bat to have on the bench when your LF/CF/RF/1B/C could all be lefties. I would suggest platooning him in LF with McLouth and bat them both leadoff as they would have fantastic speed and OBP in that spot. Schafer and Heyward could then play CF and RF and hit in the last two spots.

by bbxxj on Oct 30, 2009 10:28 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Man, that below average line vs RHP is better than we’ve gotten out of LF in a while.

"At least he didn’t nail the bitchy fat girl from Hell's Kitchen."
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Oct 30, 2009 10:31 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

This is true,

But it doesn’t make it any less optimal. To get the most out of Matty you don’t start him full time. A McLouth/Diaz platoon gets you an OBP of ~.400 and 20-25 SB. Now that’s alot better than any of our recent leadoff hitters, no?

Also, McLouth was shockingly bad against LHP since joining the Braves.

by bbxxj on Oct 30, 2009 10:48 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions   0 recs

Yes, but...

McLouth has the coveted “full-time veteran” status. Regardless of the overwhelming logic of this plan, we all know Bobby will never reduce McLouth to a platoon man.

Doesn’t change the fact that doing so is the smartest play, though. I’d sign on for that.

by J-Freak on Oct 31, 2009 2:40 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Matt Diaz' Success in 09 was Certainly "Out of Left Field"

See what I did there…

MATT DIAZ IS THE F**K*NG MAN.
They made me change my signature...

by nick9314 on Oct 31, 2009 12:05 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

ha ha.

ha ha ha.

ha.

by J-Freak on Oct 31, 2009 2:40 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

My HERO

I love his grit and ugly play. He is like a player from ages long forgotten.
Wish every kid had him as a role model

by Trek on Oct 31, 2009 2:15 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

LaRoche is a FA and I wonder if he is worth resigning because who wants to sit around and suffer while watching him hit during the first half of the season. Eventually first base will be Freeman’s but he is a few years away. I wonder if the Braves shouldn’t get Casey Kotchman back as the Red Sox have no need for him at all and have him in a strict platoon with Diaz?

by The Rap on Oct 31, 2009 6:15 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

As “bad” as LaRoche is in the first half, he still outproduced Kotchman in the first half this year. Kotchman hit .274 with a .742 OPS and 4 HR and 31 RBI in the first half compared to LaRoche hitting .250 with a .784 OPS and 12 HR and 39 RBI.

Also, no clue what this has to do with Matt Diaz.

"At least he didn’t nail the bitchy fat girl from Hell's Kitchen."
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Oct 31, 2009 7:19 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

speeking of Freeman

he had another nice day today in the AFL. hell, ever since I said I wasnt too crazy about him, he’s hit .500 or so with a HR and a few doubles. Maybe Freddie Freeman reads TalkingChop!

"Are you tryin to say Jesus Christ can't hit a curveball?"

by mvhsbball on Nov 1, 2009 12:36 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don’t know if he does or not, but I know a few minor league guys have checked it out here and there.

"At least he didn’t nail the bitchy fat girl from Hell's Kitchen."
www.dropoutproductions.com

by cbwilk on Nov 1, 2009 11:00 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

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