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Around SBN: The Amateur Mathematics Of Linsanity

Braves community projection

Hey guys, I noticed today that nobody had claimed the Braves over at BTBS community projections, so I took up the task. I've got a rough outline of the spreadsheet using CHONE projections and a little bit of non-statistical adjustment (example: CHONE has Vasquez pegged for 196 innings of 3.27 ERA ball. Given his history of underperforming his FIP, I think the median outcome is probably half a run higher). Anyone who wants to help me out on this need to simply leave a message here and I'll get back to you via email tommorow afternoon. I'm confident in my playing time allocations for the infield and starting rotation, but the outfield and bullpen are a big jumbled mess right now.

This FanPost does not express the views or opinions of Talking Chop.

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Good. I’m glad someone from here picked that up. I’m not a projection person. I’ve tried it in the past and I just haven’t fallen in love with it (or even in like with it).

by gondeee on Jan 16, 2009 1:26 PM EST reply actions  

I was actually thinking of making this same post.

I wouldn’t mind seeing a collection of projections from people on this site as well.

by Perrinbar on Jan 16, 2009 1:31 PM EST reply actions  

We usually get to something like that in February. Let’s not jump the gun.

by gondeee on Jan 16, 2009 2:54 PM EST up reply actions  

An approach other sites are taking is to start with a initial projections (CHONE?) and carry out discussions of which ones should be altered.

Others are going player by player with OBP/SLG group projections. Others are just doing group PA/IP projections.

It’s flexible, but the more group input, the better. And no huge rush; everyone will be making changes through Opening Day, I assume.

Beyond the Boxscore // Calling BJ Upton lazy is lazy.

by Sky Kalkman on Jan 16, 2009 5:49 PM EST reply actions  

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