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Cody Johnson Breakdown

I enjoyed watching the Rome Braves play a little over a week ago and was able to take notes on many Rome players.  I hope you enjoyed reading my Erik Cordier report a few days ago.  Along with Johnson, I'll be adding Freddie Freeman and Jason Heyward in the next couple of days.

Scouting the Sally - Cody Johnson, OF, ATL

Cody Johnson (1-6, 1 HR, 1 R, 1 RBI, 1 BB, 2 K) - I first wrote about Johnson in a "Fatal Flaw" piece questioning his future success based on his propensity to strike out far too much. After watching him play in person, my feelings about him have not changed. However, he will undoubtedly receive every opportunity to prove me wrong and will likely reach the bigs on power alone even if his other tools are below average across the board.

  • Looked his listed height of 6'4"; Likely heavier than 195
  • Great muscular build; NOT athletic
  • Awkward physically in the outfield; Slow runner
  • "Scrunched stants"; Did not look strong in the batters box
  • Poor body language; Lacked confidence? Frustrated?
  • Fooled often at the plate; Guess hitter?
  • Same swing path for every pitch; Did not adjust for high/low pitches
  • Late on 92+ MPH pitches; Lunges; Head pulls off the ball
  • Doesn't follow through on swing finish
  • Difficulty adjusting with two strikes; Guided bat through the zone instead of his "grip and rip" approach
  • BIG power; Connected with 94 MPH fastball with 2 strikes for a 450-500 foot HR

Johnson turned out to be exactly as billed from everything I have read. The power is VERY real, but so is his being below average in all other aspects of his game. I see a great deal of Russ Branyan in him and believe he will have a similar career. His immense power will continue to tease and leave us wanting to believe in his being more than just a one-dimensional prospect. With that said, it would be wrong of me not to mention that in a quarter century of watching baseball in person, I would be hard pressed to recall such a mammoth shot being hit during a game situation. Using the phrase "light tower power" might not even to the home run justice.

It will be interesting to see how he adjusts to higher levels as pitchers throw less belt high fastballs and are able to locate multiple pitches. To be successful, Johnson will have to make significant adjustments to his hitting approach including the ability to take a strong swing at a something other than a belt high fastball. In this double header, he was behind just about every fastball he saw and flailed wildly at a couple of breaking balls low and away. With two strikes, his attempt at shortening up was to weakly guide his bat to the ball just hoping to make contact.

For comparison sake, take a look at Ryan Royster from 2007-2008. Royster's numbers dropped from .329/.380/.601 in the Sally to .265/.318/.373 in the FSL due high high strikeouts and discipline issues. With Johnson already at .250/.306/.478 with a jaw dropping 177 strikeouts, his numbers could become ugly in a hurry.

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I'm eager to see Johnson in Hi A.

And get to a league where the breaking stuff is more consistent. I don’t think a sink or swim situation is coming up anytime soon, but he might not even be able to make it to a level where he can enter into our future plans. Nevertheless, we knew this when we drafted him; he was always going to be extreme boom or bust.

Anyways, thanks for the insight!

by soup du jour on Sep 1, 2008 9:40 AM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

exactly soup du jour. The Braves and EVERY single major league baseball team AND the scouts KNEW he had a hole in his swing and knew he would be a boom or bust. But at pick number 24 hard to go wrong with that pick for the Braves. Johnson still has plenty of time to be a good player, everybody knew it would take awhile.

braves#1

by rockybull on Sep 1, 2008 5:44 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Cody Johnson

Thanks for one of the best pieces that I have seen on Cody Johnson. I am a Cody Johnson fan, but I recognize that he has significant limitations. One thing that I would add to the discussion: Johnson has shown the ability to learn and improve. His 2007 (at a slightly higher level) was vastly better than his dreadful start in 2006. Again, while he started terribly in Rome in 2008, his second half numbers are pretty decent. Therefore, while he has a long road ahead of him, he is still very young and appears to be teachable. I guess at this point I could imagine him becoming a Jay Buhner type—though the shadow of Branyan will loom over him for the foreseeable future.

by Stephen in the UAE on Sep 2, 2008 12:37 AM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

For what it's worth....

The Rome paper has this to say:
"The former first-round draft pick batted .296 with 17 homers and 56 RBIs after the All-Star break, compared to batting just .210 with nine homers in the first half.

"I came back from the All-Star break trying to resurrect my season," said Johnson, a left-hander hitter with remarkable power. "I knew I needed to put up good numbers to keep from repeating (the low-Class A level) next year. Now, we’ll just have to wait and see what happens."

Johnson led the league in strikeouts, but showed far better plate discipline in the second half, when he decreased his strikeout total by 23 (from 100 to 77) while having almost the same amount of at-bats (238 in second half; 230 in first)."

by secondbass on Sep 2, 2008 5:19 AM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Obviously that’s still a huge amount of strikeouts in the second half, but if he’s hitting for an almost three hundred average with that many homeruns and RBIs you can’t help but realize how productive he is. I’ve never believed that strikeouts don’t matter, an out is not an out, putting the ball in play has a huge impact on the game, but I will say that, for power hitters, strikeouts are more acceptable. A guy like Cody isn’t going to leg out many hits anyway, obviously he could be moving the runners over by putting the ball in play, but if he’s going to produce those kind of numbers how can you argue? This is great info scondbass, and I think these splits give a great idea of what kind of season Cody really had.

by cbwilk on Sep 2, 2008 9:42 AM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

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