The Atlanta Braves and the Trade Deadline
The latest hottest rumor has the Braves inquiring with Arizona and the availability of Conor Jackson. Contrary to that rumor Peter Gammons said tonight on Baseball Tonight that the Diamondbacks are "not going to trade Conor Jackson." That makes sense as Jackson is still the future at first base for the D-Backs, but just as we speculated earlier that Chad Tracy could replace Jackson at first in the event of a trade, Tracy could also be used as incentive in a deal to replace Tex at first for the Braves. Gammons said,
Chad Tracy plus Jarrod Parker, Arizona will think about it and think about it hard... I think the Braves will too.
As a Braves fan (which I am) that deal would be done and done. Jarrod Parker is pretty much a top one or two future starter and if the D-Backs are willing to deal that plus Tracey for two months of Tex then I'm sold -- that's a whole lot more and a whole lot faster than two draft picks. Yes, Chad Tracy is not the glam choice that some would like, but he's a better defender than Conor Jackson and he's a more flexible player and still a guy who could rattle off 25 homers in a year while maintaining good plate discipline. Tracy may not be the future first baseman some fans think we want in return, but remember we only want him to bridge the gap to Tyler Flowers and Freddie Freeman, so a year or two of Chad Tracey fills that void.
We also have to look at the quality of the one singular prospect we could get in return. If we can get a guy like Jarrod Parker, then I'm 100% sold, because the consensus is that he can be a 1 or 2. The comparisons of him are to Tim Lincecum and Scott Kazmir -- 'nuf said.
Buster Olney mentioned that the Indians' willingness to deal Casey Blake could hurt the Teixeira market -- Blake can play first, third, outfield and DH. We will have to watch what happens with him closely.
Six days until the trade deadline and all reports are that we won't see much movement until just before the 4pm eastern deadline on July 31st. Once Brian Fuentes and that first outfielder gets traded (whoever it is); that will set the wheels in motion big time, and teams will be scrambling for the next best thing.......... that's where the Braves can cash in. All indications are that they're laying the appropriate groundwork to be key players at the deadline.
Have I mentioned that I love this time of year? Is it me or is it more exciting that the Braves could be sellers rather than buyers? We've made some great trades the last few years, but I'm ready to reload and get some young talent and watch it grow. (Though, the way this season is going, that sentament could change tomorrow.)
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31 comments
Comments
Really?
Tracy is basically an average 1B with the ability to play 3B, so I wouldn’t mind his inclusion in a Tex trade. Parker is an interesting prospect (thought of as a bit of a steal at #9) but he’s not blowing me away. The D’backs threw the kid drafted out of high school and right into A-ball, where he was just alright. He’s far from the majors and that concerns me, as he’s the principal piece of this deal. While I don’t believe in TINSTAAPP, they do worry me when they’re this far away. I’d like the headliner in the return package to be in AA or above, while the change can be farther away.
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by ejruiz on Jul 25, 2008 12:42 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Ohman
does anyonne else think we should try and trade him in a seperate deal rather than package him with tex?
im bringing this up cuz of thoughts on two tradees occuring this year.
1. john rauch for emilio bonifacio
first off… all of the experts expected the price for rauch would be higher than a #6 (maybe the d-backs are deep in prospects?) organizations prospect..now ohman doesnt come with a closer tag like rauch and is really thought of only lefty specialist.. but even so his price must be in the 11-16 range of an organizations prospect list.. the reason i say that is because of a second trade…
2. Tyler Yates for Todd Redmond
Redmond was the pirates 27th ranked prospect…27th in that organization…ohman is easilly better than yates..plus its the time of year where teams overpay for a certain need..if yates alone got us a 27th prospect id figure ohman at least deserves a 11-16 and maybe a 30ish?
the point is i think the return would be greater, in my mind, if he was traded to a differnt team than tex. i dont want him to just be a throw in like mahay was last year.
by pj16 on Jul 25, 2008 1:38 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
If Teixeira is traded
It’s looking like Wren will get some good stuff in return. And if Arizona becomes seriously interested and offering Jackson plus Parker, I think that’s a done deal right there.
by ChipperTeixeira89 on Jul 25, 2008 2:57 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I think Parker would be a fair return. Scouts like him more than Teheran. Obviosuly these guys are far away, but IF they stay healthy just into this offseason, why can’t we trade them again for more major league ready talent?
by NEBravesFan33 on Jul 25, 2008 9:01 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
From BP in January
Year In Review: The fastest rising high school arm was expected to go No. 3 overall to the Cubs, but last-minute changes at the top of the draft dropped him all the way to nine, where he looks like a steal.
The Good: Parker arguably had the best pure arm of any pitcher in the draft. His arm speed borders on ridiculous, and he sat at 94-96 mph all spring while touching 98 consistently. His curveball is a hard-breaking power pitch that already grades out as plus, and he surprised everyone by also exhibiting a solid changeup. His mechanics are clean, and despite playing against a low level of competition, he’s already proven himself on a much bigger stage by pitching for Team USA.
The Bad: Parker doesn’t exactly have the ideal size for a pitcher, but it’s not a huge concern for scouts because his stuff is so good. His secondary stuff needs improvement, but for his age, it’s not especially behind the norm. More than anything, he just needs innings and experience, and protracted negotiations prevented him from making his debut last year.
Fun Fact: Norwell High is located in Ossian, Indiana, a small town in the northeast part of the state that was named after a third century Scottish poet.
Perfect World Projection: It’s too early for anything but vague terms like ‘elite power arm’, but Parker’s arm is definitely a special one.
Timetable: Parker will likely begin his career at in Low-A, provided he looks good enough in spring training to warrant a full-season assignment.
~
I have no idea why the D’Backs would trade their top prospect and Chad Tracy for two months of Tex, but if Parker is in the deal it needs to get done.
I guess I should be one to talk.
There's nights that I can't even walk.
There's days I couldn't give a fuck.
And in between is where I'm stuck.
by Smoltz's Beard on Jul 25, 2008 9:11 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
well, if you are the D-Backs, you are giving up a 1B/3B with a career OBP of .348 and a potential #1 starter who is in low A ball. Low A Ball. You are getting back Mark Teixiera for the playoffs(they will beat out the Dodgers with or without Tex), and the two draft picks that you’ll get when he bolts.
Done and done if I am the D-Backs.
Done and done if I am the Braves.
I’m not sure Atlanta could get a talent like Parker in the draft next year, period. Unless they finish with the worst record and get that Strasbourg? kid from San Diego State.
by NEBravesFan33 on Jul 25, 2008 9:21 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Good point…I had forgotten about the potential two draft picks the D’Backs would get as well. That evens the deal out slightly, but I’m surprised that their #1 prospect is even in this discussion despite the fact that he hasn’t looked as sharp as everyone thought he would be.
I guess I should be one to talk.
There's nights that I can't even walk.
There's days I couldn't give a fuck.
And in between is where I'm stuck.
by Smoltz's Beard on Jul 25, 2008 9:37 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well, he is a 19 year old pitching pretty well in Low A. I can’t get too crazy over the stats, although a 76/23 K/BB ratio ain’t too bad. Scouts still love the kid.
by NEBravesFan33 on Jul 25, 2008 9:53 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Parker
I can’t see the Braves getting Parker—for Tex…hope that I am wrong.
One other quick point in Street and Smtih’s Baseball Yearbook Redmond was a top 10 pick in the Pirate ogranization…a good pick up for the Braves….
I think Chad Tracy and a less celebrated prospect might be the eventual deal. I just hope the Braves understand that they have to SELL…..
by Stephen in the UAE on Jul 25, 2008 10:49 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
If it is Chad Tracy and two “B” prospects, then I hope Frank Wren goes elsewhere. I’m not quite sure why people don’t think we can get at least one elite prospect for Tex. REMEMBER, we are also giving up those two draft picks. Draft picks are becoming more and more valuable as the years go on. If Parker isn’t in the deal, then the Braves should pass.
by NEBravesFan33 on Jul 25, 2008 10:55 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I don't know if we can get a high ceiling prospect,
but like a Gallagher or Jurrjens type? I don’t know if that’s too much, but lower ceiling and either major league ready or just about, as opposed to Ace potential 3-4 years off.
by VictorW on Jul 25, 2008 11:35 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Tracy would be very valuable as the lefty side of a first base platoon, but it makes little sense to run him out there against lefties as well; his career line is 225/272/347. So yeah, get Tracy, but factor in that he’s going to be effectively worthless for ~200 PAs necessitating paying a righty to caddy for him.
by 17843 on Jul 25, 2008 11:32 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
which is why Parker has to be in the deal
by NEBravesFan33 on Jul 25, 2008 11:37 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
If I'm Frank Wren...
I’d do my damndest to hold out for either Conor Jackson or Max Scherzer as the headliner, trying to pull in that one MLB ready high talent guy, also including Ohman if need be.
Although settling for the proposed deal above wouldn’t be such a bad option. But I would hold out for one of the two guys I mentioned right up to the deadline.
by soup du jour on Jul 25, 2008 12:14 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Peter Gammons said there is little to no market for Teixiera.
by NEBravesFan33 on Jul 25, 2008 12:19 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
All that means is the Red Sox aren’t very interested. Gammons doesn’t usually know jack about what other MLB teams are thinking.
by Rhyno18 on Jul 25, 2008 12:31 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
It's just you....
....well, obviously not. But not me. Being a seller means we are giving up, and I HATE giving up.
by sddbaker on Jul 25, 2008 12:34 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Just saw this in a Stark chat on ESPN
Eric (Atlanta): Hey Jayson- So, is there little to no market for Teixeira? What a disaster for Atlanta. Even when they want to sell, they can’t because no one wants their best trade chip. Please tell me Arizona swoops in and trades Chad Tracy and Jarrod Parker for Tex. It makes too much sense for the D-Backs.
Jayson Stark: (1:06 PM ET ) I don't get the sense the Braves think there's no market for Teixeira. In fact, I sense just the opposite. I think that Arizona deal you proposed is something both teams would think about. I also see scenarios where both the Yankees and Red Sox get involved. Of course, the Braves haven't put Teixeira out there yet. But the vibe from teams that have spoken with them is that they will, unless they sweep the Phillies this weekend, at least.
by NEBravesFan33 on Jul 25, 2008 1:08 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Jayson Stark: (1:06 PM ET ) I don’t get the sense the Braves think there’s no market for Teixeira. In fact, I sense just the opposite. I think that Arizona deal you proposed is something both teams would think about. I also see scenarios where both the Yankees and Red Sox get involved. Of course, the Braves haven’t put Teixeira out there yet. But the vibe from teams that have spoken with them is that they will, unless they sweep the Phillies this weekend, at least.
by NEBravesFan33 on Jul 25, 2008 1:08 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Thanks for the info.
I guess I should be one to talk.
There's nights that I can't even walk.
There's days I couldn't give a fuck.
And in between is where I'm stuck.
by Smoltz's Beard on Jul 25, 2008 1:18 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I really can’t see the Red Sox or Yankees getting involved, especially the Red Sox considering Ortiz raked in the minors.
by NEBravesFan33 on Jul 25, 2008 1:21 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Red Sox, Yankees, Dodgers are better targets
The Dbacks are not an ideal trading partner because they can’t expect to sign Teixeira long term. Their offer will be for a rental rather than a rental with option to buy.
Conor Jackson is indeed a poor first baseman. Guys like Teixeira (and Youkilis) aren’t just middle of the order hitters, they’re important assets in the field.
The Braves should place Teixeira with a team which can outbid the Mets for him next winter. And with the Red Sox and Yankees, you want to pit them against each other. Neither wants the other to get this guy. He could haunt them for years to come. A few months of bonding with teammates in a pennant race might tip the scales in a close bidding war next winter. The Red Sox and Yankees should be willing to pay for that edge with top talent.
by JimK on Jul 25, 2008 1:53 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
but Tex is a Boras client and is going to hit the free agent market regardless
by NEBravesFan33 on Jul 25, 2008 2:02 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I wonder if there’s any chance we trade Teixeira and still make an offer to him once he’s a free agent. i still think we should make a reasonable effort to sign him, but not for what he’s asking, which he won’ t likely get. But who knows, he may be able to be had for $18 mil a year for 5-6 years. A-Rod wouldn’t have gotten what he did if he hadn’t gone to the Yankees and begged them to resign him.
by 10-4 on Jul 25, 2008 3:31 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I guess that would depend on if we get a ML first baseman back in the trade. I bet someone out there is crazy enough to give Tex 20+...look at what Torii Hunter got.
by soup du jour on Jul 25, 2008 3:39 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Once they’re rid of Delgado’s contract, the Mets will be more than willing to give Tex $20 mil+/year. He wants $23mil-ish, I expect he’ll get at least 21 or 22 per year.
by Rhyno18 on Jul 25, 2008 5:35 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
It really seems Arizona may be the only viable option. Red Sox with Ortiz back don’t have a need for Tex. And I think the Yankees are looking more for a bat in the OF since they have Giambi and Sexson available at 1st base.
by dwbrave on Jul 25, 2008 4:43 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
CHAD TRACY??? we’re resigned to the fact that we’d be happy with CHAD FUCKING TRACY?
?
kill me.
by bigjoe on Jul 25, 2008 5:51 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
A little perspective from Arizona
Just want to give a little perspective from the Diamondbacks perspective. Tex would be a nice short term rental for us, he’d increase our playoff chances from around 55% to about 63% and world series chances from 10% to 13%. He’d change us from likely being the worst playoff team with the worst chances to just a lower tier playoff team with lower tier chances this year.
That’s nice, but it’s not a huge difference, and there is also no way we can re-sign him. So given that the core of our team is in good shape the next two years, that we have options for first base and our real needs are elsewhere (outfield, 2nd) we can’t give up much of value for him. No Parker, no Scherzer, those guys will be needed in the rotation or in trades that fix bigger holes for the long term.
And no Conor Jackson, he’s actually been surprisingly okay in left field and might be our left fielder of the future (he was an OF coming up and his lousy 1B work is a product of a late switch). We simply can’t give up valuable cheap players now. Maybe in a few years when the team finishes working through all the deferred payroll it still owes former players, and the Eric Byrnes (gulp!) contract.
So that brings us to Chad Tracy. Chad is a righty smasher who is decent around the bag. His career numbers are probably below his talent level given a bad knee that required microfracture surgery last year and which he looks to be pretty well recovered from now. He should be platooned but can get by if not given that most pitchers are right handed. He can also play a little outfield/3B.
My understanding was that Atlanta’s 1B was a huge hole before Tex, and might still be one after him, so Tracy could be a nice upgrade. He’s a good bet to be a league average 1B and he’s only making $4M a year and is cost controlled for a few years. But the problem is if Jackson can stick in LF (moving Byrnes to 4th outfielder thank god), Tracy is our 1B of the foreseeable future, so I don’t think we can punt on 2009 (already needing to replace Orlando Hudson) just to get a slightly better shot at a world series this year.
If your needs are at first base, can I propose a slightly different offer? We have a kid named D’Antona, just promoted from AAA. Despite Tucson being a hitter’s paradise, his .367 line translates to roughly .301/.335/.479 in Atlanta. He’s not a top prospect, he’s 26 years old, his defense is so-so, but he’s a cheap option for getting a good MLB hitter at first and probably worth one of the Tex picks you would lose. We could throw in a lower rung prospect or two to make up for the value of the 2nd pick.
Sorry to go all Millwood for Estrada on you, but the DBacks are a young team with limited financial resources but a core of young players that we can build around for a very long time and we don’t want to trade. We got really burned last year giving up on a couple of them (Hairston, Quentin). It’s hard for us to give up much value for Tex.
In reality the Angels should have already closed the deal. Not only do the Angels have one of the worst offenses in the AL (team OPS+ 93) but they are getting only .283/.327/.429 from first base. They are fooling themselves if they think they won’t fall back to earth by the end of the season and end up playing on the road in the ALCS. Tex could make them the dominant favorites in the World Series. Plus Arte Moreno can afford to sign Tex to a long term deal. They could give you Kotchman plus other stuff. I don’t know why this deal hasn’t already happened unless the Angels are trying to get Tex’s to agree to a discounted contract before the trade happens.
Or Tampa Bay should offer more than Arizona can. Again, so so production from 1B (238 /.344/.458), and a better team situated to make a deep playoff run. Arizona is just too much of fringe competitor this year, production from first is the least of our concerns, and we really need to build a better team for the next two years that can be a favorite rather than focus too much on trying to salvage our long shot chances this year.
by DBacksArb on Jul 27, 2008 1:55 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

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