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Home Run Derby predictions

Winners win....nothing.

Contestants

- Lance Berkman, Astros (switch)
- Ryan Braun, Brewers  (righty)
- Josh Hamilton, Rangers (lefty)
- Evan Longoria, Rays (righty)
- Justin Morneau, Twins (lefty)
- Grady Sizemore, Indians (lefty)
- Dan Uggla, Marlins (righty)
- Chase Utley, Phillies (lefty)

Yankee Stadium

Yankee_stadium_medium

via www.baseball-almanac.com

Lefties will have the advantage in this park. Righties have a short porch in left field, too, but the left-center field fence is deeper than the right-center field fence.

I wish Morneau wasn't in the derby this year. Surely someone else could have been able to participate. He was pathetic last year in San Fransisco. I would have liked to have seen B-Mac in there.

This FanPost does not express the views or opinions of Talking Chop.

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Picks

Round One
Josh Hamilton
Dan Uggla
Ryan Braun
Lance Berkman
Grady Sizemore
Justin Morneau

Round Two
Josh Hamilton
Lance Berkman
Dan Uggla
Ryan Braun

Finals
Josh Hamilton – WINNER
Lance Berkman

- Oh, Bobby. -

by sdp on Jul 13, 2008 3:50 PM EDT reply actions  

this is less of a prediction, more of a statement..

i never want a Braves player in the Home Run Derby… while i believe it is an awesome event, which i watch nearly every year… it screws up a players swing far too much..i.e. Arbeu two years ago (he hit like 23 HR in the derby and then 1 or 2 the rest of the year)

although if it screws up a players swing maybe Frenchy should try it…im kidding, it actually loooks like three days in AA may have actually helped him (kknock of as much wood as i possibly can at a given time)

and my prediction is a finals of Josh Hamilton and Ryan Braun.. and i think Hamilton takes it

"We win today, that's two in a row... if we win tomorrow, that's called a winning streak. It has happened before..."

by Swo12bv on Jul 13, 2008 4:39 PM EDT reply actions  

Maybe Andruw can get into the HRD to fix his swing.

by Something Profound on Jul 13, 2008 8:36 PM EDT up reply actions  

Druw was in a home run derby a few years ago in Vegas (that stadium is huge to center) and he finished second. I believe it was the year before he hit 51

by yondaime4 on Jul 14, 2008 12:40 AM EDT up reply actions  

Andruw

Andruw was in the 2005 HR Derby in Detroit. I was there, but late, and missed the entire Bobby Abreu barrage to open the derby. Andruw also had a HR that hit the “Hit It Here” sign, which I think meant that a lucky fan won a car, or money, or something.

by jc25 on Jul 14, 2008 11:16 AM EDT up reply actions  

re:

I’ve got Sizemore and Hamilton on fantasy teams, so here’s hoping they both sit down early.

by jc25 on Jul 13, 2008 4:43 PM EDT reply actions  

my pick is berkman

by bigjoe on Jul 13, 2008 5:36 PM EDT reply actions  

i also predict that there will be some home runs hit

by bigjoe on Jul 13, 2008 5:36 PM EDT reply actions  

whats the over/under on total HR

i saw if the nbr is 3 im gonna go over

"We win today, that's two in a row... if we win tomorrow, that's called a winning streak. It has happened before..."

by Swo12bv on Jul 13, 2008 5:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

IF

the format stays the same as last year, I’m going out on a limb by predicting Longoria will take it.

If the format changes, I can’t remember where I heard the rumors – maybe on XM radio, then I’m going with Hamilton.

by scstrato on Jul 13, 2008 10:57 PM EDT reply actions  

My call is Braun. I think he has the most legit power out of any of these guys. Utley also has a chance I think because he has the type of swing where he can just get locked in and yank a few out. Also he is all wrists so he won’t get tired as fast.

by yondaime4 on Jul 14, 2008 12:41 AM EDT reply actions  

My money

Dan Uggla beating Evan Longoria in the finals.

Uggla’s got the fastest, most effortless looking swing out of all those guys, and I’m willing to bet more raw physical strength than all the others. Berkman, Morneau and Sizemore have more, I guess I’d say “scientific” or rather, just plain sweeter, truer swings that look as good as well as they deliver, but they’ll tire out. I have Longoria going the distance, simply because he’s the youngest, and I think he’ll be out to try to prove something, even if it does mess up his swing. Utley will hang around late for the sheer fact that he is a Philly in the derby, and they always do well, much to my dismay.

Doesn’t really matter though. I don’t really care much who wins, I’ll be watching American Gladiators through the first round, and I’ll have more than enough time to catch the remaining two hours of this overblown, too-long event.

No wonder nobody likes you, Tuttle... everything's a (Pujols) damn debate.

by royhobbs on Jul 14, 2008 8:56 AM EDT reply actions  

I have to go with a lefty, and I like Hamilton’s story. I’m going to go with him just because I’ll be rooting for him.

Just caught up on all the open threads from over the weekend…whew, that was a lot of reading! Good stuff though.

by VegasAces on Jul 14, 2008 9:09 AM EDT reply actions  

I like Hamilton and Uggla in the finals.

I guess I should be one to talk.
There's nights that I can't even walk.
There's days I couldn't give a fuck.
And in between is where I'm stuck.

by Smoltz's Beard on Jul 14, 2008 9:32 AM EDT reply actions  

I predict Chris Berman will force me to mute or change the channel by the third hitter.

On a side note, i always wanted to see Klesko in the Derby, i thought that woulda been quite a show.

by 10-4 on Jul 14, 2008 10:35 AM EDT reply actions  

ChUtley.

I know it’s going out on a limb a bit. but I feel like he has a swing where he can keep it going for a few rounds and not get tired.

by JDMaker1 on Jul 14, 2008 11:36 AM EDT reply actions  

Fat Elvis over Braun

with Uggla making it close. Berkman’s just so locked in this year that I’m picking him. He’s an animal.

I think Hamilton will be the disappointment of the derby. His road split is pretty ugly.

by VictorW on Jul 14, 2008 1:10 PM EDT reply actions  

fail

No wonder nobody likes you, Tuttle... everything's a (Pujols) damn debate.

by royhobbs on Jul 14, 2008 10:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

solid analysis

"We win today, that's two in a row... if we win tomorrow, that's called a winning streak. It has happened before..."

by Swo12bv on Jul 14, 2008 10:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

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