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Braves Center Field: The Now and The Future

At the major league level…
… A scrap-heap of scrappy players. Gregor Blanco and Josh Anderson can be exciting players, but they are not impact players. They are good defenders, but they lack consistency and they profile more as fourth or fifth outfielders than everyday players.

Center field is a place where a team can put a lesser hitter as long as that player is a superior defender. Both Blanco and Anderson barely fit that bill, and some would probably argue about their defensive ability, but they have good range, solid and accurate arms, and play the field with good natural instincts.

The issue with keeping a lesser hitter at that position, is that for ten years center field was manned by the power-hitting Andruw Jones. Since his departure, the Braves have not been able to replace his power production. If they go with either Anderson or Blanco, then they’ll need other positions to step up in the power department.

The future Braves center fielder…
… Some may not be as excited about Jordan Schafer as they were after he led the minor leagues in hits last year, then tore up the Arizona Fall League, but even after a suspension for HGH, the talent which led the Braves to draft him in the third round in 2005 is still there. With the kind of disappointing season some people think he’s had, first off the field, then with his performance on the field, Schafer’s competitiveness should not let him repeat below expectations again.

Much like Cody Johnson, Jordan Schafer finished the season as strong as anyone in the Braves system. While he struggled to hit his weight before the All-Star break, after the break he hit over .300 with an OPS over .900. Schafer hit .323 in August with a 1.049 OPS -- indicating that his troubles were most likely behind him.

He does have some holes in his game, and like many left-handed hitters, one of his Achilles heels seems to be facing left-handed pitching. In 2008 he was a .311 hitter against right-handed pitching, but against lefties he hit just .196. That's the sort of thing that can really be exposed at the major league level, especially late in ball games.

Schafer will strut his stuff in the Mexican Winter League for the next few months, then he should be primed to try and win the battle with Blanco and Anderson for the starting center field job next spring. The Braves need to give this job to Schafer and see if he can handle it. Many believe that he can be an impact player and that he will only get better in the outfield and at the plate.

Schafer42900001_medium

More for future consideration…
2. Gorkys Hernandez – It may seem like he had a down year, but Gorkys’ numbers were almost exactly the same as they were last year. While his average was down 30 points (.293 to .264), his OBP (.344 to .348) and SLG (.391 to .387) were unchanged from a year ago. The only significant drop in any of his numbers were his stolen bases, which went from 54 to 20. Gork will get a crack at double-A next year as a 21-year old – expect great things in the years to come.

Gorkysmb0814_medium

3. Calvin Culver – A young 26th-round 2008 draftee showed some good speed and situational hitting in the GCL after being drafted. He’s a big-bodied JuCo guy out of California – two places we’ve had some good luck recently.

4. L.V. Ware – A community college draftee from 2006 with good speed. He’s a short wiry guy who showed good gap power at Danville.

Others:  C.J. Lee (sort of an under the radar guy who hasn’t proven that he's a speed guy or a power guy)

Photo of Jordan Schafer and Gorkys Hernandez courtesy of Chip Jett.

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Questions

Several Questions:

1. I think the analysis of Schafer focused a little too much on his suspension. What type of player is he both defensively and offensively? Where does his talent project at the major league level? Does he have power? Can he throw? Answers to these types of questions would be appreciated.

2. With regard to Gorkys, why such a large drop in stolen bases. If I am not mistaken, speed is the most attractive part of his package. Should it be a concern, or was he battling injuries last year.

I think that if the Braves make a trade, one of these gentleman (Jordan or Gorkys) is a strong candidate to be moved. It is too bad that Lilli had a down year, if he had done better, his trade value would be high as well.

by dmack on Oct 10, 2008 10:25 AM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I’ll give a try to answering those:

1. Schafer has the potential to be an elite five tool player and he reminds me of how Carlos Beltran looked when I saw him play at the same levels of the minors. He is one of the better defensive centerfielders around, he is fast and athletic, makes good, quick decisions, and his arm is very, very strong and acurrate. As a hitter, you could see him hitting anywhere from leadoff to third, profiling like Marquis Grissom from the top and a young Chipper at the three hole. Some people may look at things about him and say he’s going to be an average to above average player, but, to me, aside from Matt Wieters and Jay Bruce, Jordan has been the most impressive minor leaguer I’ve seen the last two years. He’s so natural in his actions, the ball jumps off his bat, and he works as hard as anyone. You could easily see him develop into a .300+ hitter, with 30+ homers, 100 RBIs, 20+ steals and gold glove defense. I’m a huge fan of Jordan and I really think he’s going to be a great major league player.

2. Gorkys hurt his leg, I believe his hamstring, and that’s why he missed a couple of months this season. I believe that, coupled with the missed time, would account for the huge drop in stolen bases. By September for the championship series, he looked just as fast as he had in spring training, so I think he’s going to be fine.

by cbwilk on Oct 10, 2008 11:22 AM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Schafer

I think Carlos Beltran is a good comparison if Schafer hits his top projection. Now obviously this is a long shot to happen, but a healthy Mark Kotsay might be a decent comparison if he doesn’t live up to the billing…which is still quite good in my opinion.

by soup du jour on Oct 10, 2008 12:15 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I think that’s a really good high low comparison. An elite star if he reaches his full potential, a very solid major leaguer in the mid range. Nice.

by cbwilk on Oct 10, 2008 3:19 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

how about a comparison of Rowand of Center for the Giants? Except Schafer would bat Lefty instead of righty. Seems like on defense and hitting they would be similar.

braves#1

by rockybull on Oct 10, 2008 12:30 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

maybe as an extremely low end comparison, like if his immune system pulls a baldelli

Following the Braves...one long hard drink at a time.

by bigjoe on Oct 11, 2008 9:03 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

That’s pretty interesting. I think what keeps me from going with that is that Jordan is much more naturally talented than Rowand. I’ve always really liked Rowand and I got to see him play at the same level in the minors as Jordan and I never would have said he had the same type of stud player potential. I thought, good player, very solid, knows the game, works hard, and that’s pretty much what he is. But yeah, the comparison of two guys who are hard nosed, tough players that are great on defense is definitely there, but hopefully Jordan turns out to be a more consistent player.

by cbwilk on Oct 12, 2008 12:01 AM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I really like LV Ware. He reminded me a lot of Damon Hollins, kind of stocky, really muscular, very athletic. I’m interested to see what he can do at Rome next year, cause he seems like he could develop into a very solid player.

by cbwilk on Oct 10, 2008 4:56 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Schafer was incredibly impressive defensively when I saw him at Spring Training; the arm and range were both plus, plus.

Offensively, I don’t think he’ll ever be a stud – the numbers against lefties just haven’t ever been good and that’ll hold him back a lot. A 750 OPS combined with his defense would be a very good center fielder though.

by 17843 on Oct 12, 2008 10:11 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

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