NL East - Winter Rankings...

by Xeifrank on Jan 28, 2008 1:00 AM EST Comment 2 comments

NL East - Winter Rankings

Rankings were created by plugging 2008 ZIPS Projections into the baseball game simulator that I wrote. The simulator uses advanced sabermetrical algorithms to pit two teams against each other. Each NL East team faced off against each of the other NL East teams in a round robin format. A format in which each teams #1 starter played 1000 home and away games against the other teams #1 starter, the same thing for the #2 vs #2 and so on. All wins were added up and averaged. All stats/projections were adjusted to the park they were played in (3 year park adjusted averages).

Results

NY Mets .5424
ATL Braves .530
PHI Phillies .508
WAS Nationals .471
FLA Marlins .449

You can view the study in more details. It may or may not come as a surprise to see the Braves listed as #2, but ZIPS is very favorable to them compared to teams like the Phillies.

vr, Xei

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Comments

Grain Of Salt.

If only games were played on paper... the truth is that, as always, injuries will likely determine the outcome of this race. Pedro Martinez and Chipper Jones are two integral members of the top two teams that haven't seen a complete season in a while and are very unlikely to do so in 2008. It's fun to think of this in a vacuum, but the simple truth is that it is the unexpected that often outshines the script.

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by ejruiz on Jan 28, 2008 2:53 AM EST reply actions 0 recs