Talking Chop: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:





The Pitchers We Gave Up for Kotsay

I'm fairly certain this will be the penultimate thing I will write about the Kotsay trade (it may even be the ultimate). We have been discussing it ad nauseam for several days now and I'm sure it's beginning to wear on some folks, but I wanted to take a closer look at the two pitchers we gave up, and see if their hype (perhaps their hype was only in my mind) was on par with what the experts say about them.

Baseball America's take on Jamie Richmond is a bit more reserved than the projections I had read in the past from others:

He relies on commanding his 89-91 mph fastball, his curveball and his changeup, and he projects as a middle reliever because he lacks an out pitch and has trouble with lefthanders.

That's the first I've heard of Richmond being labeled a middle reliever, but apparently that's becoming the consensus. I asked Kevin Goldstein of Baseball Prospectus where he might rank Richmond and what he thought the young right-hander's future might look like. Here was his response:

Richmond wasn't in contention for my Braves Top 11 at all. If I did a fuller ranking of the system, my gut tells me he'd be in the 20s somewhere. He's more of a strike-thrower than anything else. He has three pitches, but none of them are knockouts -- he's relying more on moxie and location than anything else. In a perfect world, he's a back-end starter or middle reliever, but even that is no guarantee. I think overall it was a good trade for both teams, as the A's got decent young talent for a veteran that they have no need for.

John Sickels ranked Richmond at number 13 in his listing of the top-20 Braves prospects of 2008, with a grade of C+. Sickels seems to think a little more highly of Richmond than the others do.

Baseball America's take on Devine is quite similar in some ways to their take on Richmond in that he also has trouble with left-handed batters -- and correct they are. Devine's lefty/righty average-against split at double-A last year was .286/.169, at triple-A it was .243/.140, and continuing that trend in the majors he posted a .300/.211. When looking at the lefty/righty split for all of his major league service time his weakness against left-handers is even more pronounced with a .345/.234 split. It's really hard to be a right-handed reliever in the majors when left-handed batters can come in and hit .345 against you and get on base at a .500 clip.

That brings us to the issue of walks, which were well chronicled by Velcro this year. Joey Devine's major league career consists of 25 games, with 19.2 innings pitched, and 21 hits allowed to go with 22 walks - over a hit and walk per inning pitched. And if you thought he was better in 2007 you'd be wrong - 8.1 IP, 7 H, 8 BB continuing his career trend. The only difference between last year and the two previous years seems to have been his luck once he put runners on base.

I still think both of these young pitchers have some untapped upside, but I suppose I'm feeling better that what we gave up was by no means the top pitching talent in the system. In fact, with the ERA that Joey posted throughout his various stops last year (2.06 at AA, 1.64 at AAA, and 1.08 in the MLB) one could say that we sold high on Devine. We may have also sold high on Richmond. I kept wondering throughout last year why the Braves never promoted Richmond to hi-A, when they gave Heath and Hanson promotions. They may have wanted him to maintain good stats at low-A instead of getting bombed at hi-A so he would be a more attractive trade piece.

Much like the Teixeira trade we'll have to wait to see what becomes of the prospects we traded away. One thing is for certain, we will likely have to update this list once again.

0 recs | Comment 49 comments

Story-email Email | Print |

Comments

Display:

I hate to say it, but
I told you so.  I still do not understand how people were so against this trade; gondee, you included.  You kept on hapring about how terrible of a trade this was and once you found out Richmond was included I thought we were going to have to put you on suicide watch.  We really did not give up much at all for Kotsay's defense and tutoring for the young guys.  It's always been a good deal for the Braves.

by jjhoosby on Jan 16, 2008 2:02 PM EST   0 recs

oops
Should have read: "You kept on HARPING about"

by jjhoosby on Jan 16, 2008 2:03 PM EST   0 recs

Bull
Alongside my other arguments against the trade, I'll defend Devine here. Any middle reliever who can dominate against right handed hitters can pitch reliably in the major leagues. Not only is Devine reliable against righties, he's flat out dominant against them.

I'll also point to sample sizes for the big league numbers. Gondee points out he has 19.2 major league innings under his belt. It would be absolutely stupid to judge him based on those numbers.

And I'll also say any pitcher who can throw three pitches for strikes can pitch in a major league rotation these days. No one's saying Richmond will be a Greg Maddux, but he could be a Carlos Silva (both have not so dominant stuff, but throw strikes and don't walk batters).

by 17843 on Jan 16, 2008 2:24 PM EST   0 recs

3 years
The point I was making (or trying to make) was that Devine's numbers in terms of BB/IP and H/IP have not improved in the three years since he made his ML debut. The fact that he only gave up one run this year is a factor of pure luck and perhaps a quick hook from Cox. That said, I still like him and root for him and am sad to see him go. But I am warming up to the fact that it seems to have been a more balanced trade than I originally thought.

by gondeee on Jan 16, 2008 3:11 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

Maddux doesn't have dominant stuff???
Maddux does have a dominant fastball, maybe not in terms of MPH, but the movement and precise location that he throws it with are deadly (obviously not as much anymore, as back in his hay day with Atlanta).  I think it is ridiculous that you try and compare Richmond to Maddux - I know you will say that they both throw strikes, but if Richmond has a fastball that even remotley moved like Maddux's then he would be well on his way to the big leagues and easily projected as a #3 starter or more.  There is a huge difference in throwing strikes with 3 average pitches and throwing strikes by painting corners with a couple of wicked moving pitches.

Now as far as Devine, I agree with you that his MLB stats are too little of a sample to judge from, but what Gondee was pointing out is his entire professional career (majors and minors) his trend of giving up hits and walking batters has not wavered.  And Like I have been saying all along in my other posts, I never saw anything dominant in his stuff and thought the best that he would ever be was a set up man, but probably more likely to be just a solid middle releiver. And I think a lot of people would have agreed with me on this, but they have just been blinded by his hype of being a great college player and 1st round draft pick.  I bet if Joey Devine wasn't ever a part of the Braves organization and we didn't have all these lofty expectations of him the last couple of years.....everyone on this board would be shouting, "what is Wren doing?", if we traded a pretty good prospect for him.

by whunt13 on Jan 16, 2008 6:51 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

Ugh
I said neither Silva nor Richmond had dominant stuff, but they both threw strikes and limited walks. The comma between talking about Maddux and Silva was there for a reason.

As for Devine, here are his H/9 since college courtesy of The Baseball Cube:

2003 NCS 6.72
2004 NCS 7.75
2005 NCS 6.84
2005 AA  8.55
2005 ML 10.80 (small sample)
2006 HA  6.38
2006 AA  1.64 (small sample)
2006 ML 11.37 (small sample)
2007 AA  6.69
2007 AAA 6.14
2007 ML  7.56 (small sample)

Total Minor Leagues 6.34 in 112.1 IP
Total Major Leagues 9.61 in 19.2 IP

The Minor League numbers are fine and certainly sustainable as a reliever. The Major League numbers are bad, but come in 19.2 innings. If I cared to look I'm sure I can find a string of 19.2 bad innings by any pitcher out there.

I'm not denying he has control issues, but he has 112.1 pro innings under his belt, was rushed in 2005, injured in 2006, and was on a yo-yo through 2007. Give the guy some time to develop his command/control and I think he'll be fine.

And I've been saying Set-up guy at best all along and a median projection of a pretty good righty middle man. We've been chronically short of that very beast the past two years and dealt two of them for sub-par packages this off-season. That's my problem with the trade.

by 17843 on Jan 16, 2008 10:02 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

I apologize
I reread your previous post and didn't realize that you said, "no one is saying he will be Greg Maddux".  I apologize I didn't read your post more carefully.

I am glad though that you don't see Devine as a closer either.  Regardless of his numbers (meaning if I never saw them or not) I just never saw anything really special about his pitches when I saw him play, don't get me wrong I think he has good stuff, but just not stuff that a "lights out" closer would have.

by whunt13 on Jan 17, 2008 12:23 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Kotsay
Kotsay's defense is only valuable when he's healthy, and his checkered injury history is not a good sign in that regards. Not to mention the fact that he is on a very steady decline, his number having fallen in each of the last three years. I'd be surprised if his OPS+ was above 75 next year. He's an offensive black hole.

Devine would prove to be a valuable piece of a bullpen full of question marks.  We've got Moylan (who is bound to get figured out sooner or later, and was used a ton by Cox last year), Soriano, Gonzalez (huge question mark as to his return time), and....?? The bullpen gave the Braves major issues two years ago, and was a big part of their demise.

Devine was definitely a big piece to give up for a guy who we don't really need and won't effectively fill any gap. If you guys are looking for an all-defense, no-offense, light hitting CF, look no further than Blanco. I still think this is a terrible trade, as it was both costly and unneeded.

by drdonkeypunch on Jan 16, 2008 4:19 PM EST   0 recs

Baseball Prospectus...
In another post I reference what Baseball America's final take on the trade was:

"This deal fits the needs for both teams. A healthy Kotsay would be a big upgrade over Anderson and a nice one-year bridge to center-field prospect Jordan Schafer, and he didn't cost the Braves a top prospect. From the A's standpoint, they weren't going to win this year or re-sign Kotsay afterward, so picking up a couple of arms for him makes sense."

And now here is what Baseball Prospectus has to say (Gondee yelled at me about posting full articles, so I will merely quote this time) in regards to the A's:

"Devine needed a change of scenery, and his basic package of gifts--a sweet sinker and functional breaking stuff--is all still there. It's very believable that he could step right into camp and win a high-leverage set-up role in the A's pen. Richmond's your basic strike-throwing machine with low or average velocity on his fastball, supplementing what he lacks in Juggs action with a nice curve and change. The A's were apparently initially after Kris Medlen as the second pitcher in the deal, but the Braves wisely didn't entertain that suggestion."

And now the Braves:

"Healthy, Kotsay's an adequate center fielder, equally mediocre in covering the gaps and deterring baserunners with his arm. That's not a slight--mediocrity at a key defensive position has value. If healthy, that's one thing Kotsay brings to the table, but ideally, you'd also want this notionally healthy Kotsay to be able to contribute at the plate as well, and that's possible--again, as something of a mediocrity. In his last five years, he's produced three EqAs in the .260s--the definition of adequacy--one above that in 2004 (.288), and one well below (.214), in last year's bad back-shortened season. You know where this is going: a healthy Kotsay might put up an EqA in the .260s. That's definitely worth spending a couple of million on if you're an aspiring contender, but it probably isn't worth a couple of million and a worthwhile reliever. That's the upside; the downside is that you're left naked with a broke-back center fielder, no protection at the position, down a few million you might have used to buy an in-season fix, and still counting the days until Schafer's ready."

The one quote from the article that I think many people on here have brought up is this:

 "In that context, acquiring Kotsay came at some real cost; if the Braves really didn't want to trust in Blanco or Anderson, they could have signed somebody like Corey Patterson to a one-year deal for something in the $2-3 million range, and they'd still have Devine, and they'd still be observing their pre-booked journey to the Age of Schafer in the very near future. The difference between that option and this plan of action is whether you have some faith in Kotsay's upside and ability to contribute to a contender this season, accepting for the sake of argument for the moment that Patterson doesn't even have another 2006 in him."

Delete it if you need to Gondee, I'm not sure where to draw the line when hijacking from other websites.  Sorry!

by Smoltzs Beard on Jan 16, 2008 5:04 PM EST   0 recs

You're probably alright...
...just remember to put a link to the site you're quoting.

by gondeee on Jan 16, 2008 9:20 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

LINK
I did at the top.

by jjhoosby on Jan 17, 2008 10:09 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Will do...
...noted for the future.

by Smoltzs Beard on Jan 17, 2008 10:15 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Why Corey Patterson?
Here's the 162 game average for both players courtesy of www.baseball-reference.com/

Patterson:.258 BA/.298 OBP/.414 SLG/ 29 BB/135 SO
           OPS+ 83  
Kotsay:   .282 BA/.337 OBP/.415 SLG/ 52 BB/ 71 SO
           OPS+ 100

Let's not forget also that Patterson is represented by Scott Boras and I'm pretty sure that you're not going to get Patterson for 1 yr @ $2 million.  Boras more than likely would have asked for multiple years @ atleast $5 million annually.  Also, let's remember why two teams make trades; because they both have something of interest and are typically dealing from a point of strength/depth.  Every trade of prospects ever made has the chance of coming back and biting you, but that's the chance you take.  The Braves medical staff checked him out and cleared him for the trade.  One more thing; all these people that are trying to knock Wren already are behaving and thinking like imbeciles.  Do ya'll honestly think that Schuerholz didn't have any input on this trade?  That Wren just pushed this through with zero input from the man that built this franchise and whom Wren has just this offseason succeeded.  Come on people.

by jjhoosby on Jan 17, 2008 8:32 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Breaking Down Joey.
Strikeouts
A+: 35 K in 23.1 IP (13.52 K/9)
AA: 99 K in 66 IP (13.50 K/9)
AAA: 28 K in 23 IP (10.96 K/9)
MLB: 20 K in 19.2 IP (9.18 K/9)
Conclussion: These numbers are filthy, period.  Despite his weak pruduction otherwise at the ML-level, he's still striking out over a guy per inning, which is very solid.  This is the foundation of a dominant reliever/closer.

Walks
A+: 14 BB in 23.1 IP (5.41 BB/9)
AA: 29 BB in 66 IP (3.95 BB/9)
AAA: 8 BB in 23 IP (3.13 BB/9)
MLB: 22 BB in 19.2 IP (10.10 BB/9)
Conclussion: His demotions to High-A were for physical and mental rehab, so I take that with a grain of salt.  Obviously his ML stats has been about as terrible as possible, but his AA/AAA record (far more innings pitched) give you a better idea of his abilities.  He could stand improvement, but his control is not as bad as you might imagine.

Hits
A+: 13 H in 23.1 IP (5.02 H/9)
AA: 47 H in 66 IP (6.41 H/9)
AAA: 19 H in 23 IP (7.43 H/9)
MLB: 21 H in 19.2 IP (9.61 H/9)
Conclussion: This is my real concern.  As he moves up, he becomes more hittable, but this does not mean he'll be a bust.  Plenty of guys get by with bad hit rates and even low K rates to boot, but he'll need a good defense behind him.  As I'll continue below, he seems to be good at getting out of jams.

Earned Runs
A+: 12 ER in 23.1 IP (4.68 ERA)
AA: 15 ER in 66 IP (2.05 ERA)
AAA: 7 ER in 23 IP (2.74 ERA)
MLB: 15 ER in 19.2 IP (6.86 ERA)
Conclussion: His ERA always seems to be low for his peripherals and this actually looks like a trend after 140+ innings pitched.  

Home Runs
A+: 1 HR in 23.1 IP (0.39 HR/9)
AA: 4 HR in 66 IP (0.55 HR/9)
AAA: 1 HR in 23 IP (0.39 HR/9)
MLB: 3 HR in 19.2 IP (1.37 HR/9)
Conclussion: Here's the worst misconception.  His limited time in the majors has skewed this, but he's actually quite good at keeping the ball in the park.  This is also key for a closer-type.

CONCLUSSION: Devine is just entering his Age 24 season and has been horribly mismanaged.  He was rushed in 2005, played hurt in 2006 and was shuttled back-and-forth between the majors and minors without apparent reason.  In a micro sense, he is obviously the type that should come in at the beggining of innings, not with runners already on.  To me, he looks like a future dominant reliever that should still become a closer-type.  The Braves messed up with Joey every step of the way and we will regret giving him away for a one-year rental of the ghost of Mark Kotsay.

Come check out my blog 52 Card Pick-up and let me know what you think!

by ejruiz on Jan 16, 2008 5:10 PM EST   0 recs

Hamilton/Kotsay Comparisons
At first, it appeared that the initial take on this Kotsay trade for the majority of TC readers was that of disappointment and resent. In his latest post here, gondeee, much like the rest of us loyal Braves fans, is trying to rationalize and justify the deal from Atlanta's standpoint, by suggesting that Devine and Richmond were over-"hyped", especially by Laz-E-Boy reclining, remote channel surfing, internet blogging general manager wannabes like ourselves.(Guilty!)

However, I think we should focus on a different angle to this: the current market. And the prime example would be comparing this deal to another trade recently made in which the Reds dealt centerfielder Josh Hamilton to the Rangers for two young pitchers, righty Edinson Volquez and LHP Danny Ray Herrera.

Granted, Hamilton is younger and cheaper than Kotsay, but even without the drug issues, he is still just as injury prone, as we saw last season when he was only healthy enough to play 90 games. I would assume their offensive statistics would be comparable; I'd give an edge to Hamilton in the power category but Kotsay should hit for a higher average and get on base more often. Defensively, when healthy of course, Kotsay would definitely be the superior outfielder.

I'm not sure where Volquez and Herrera ranked in the Rangers organization, but I read where Baseball America projects Volquez to be a decent 4th, maybe #3, starter and Herrera could be a useful bullpen piece. Sounds similar to the package of Devine and Richmond which we gave up for Kotsay.

Now, I'm not suggesting we should have traded for Hamilton; on the contrary, after seeing what was available on the free agent market and the kind of money they were getting, plus without any other desirable CF on the trading block, and knowing that the Braves only need one year before Jordan Schafer is hopefully ready, Kotsay seems to be the perfect fit. And, using the Hamilton deal as a measuring stick, we gave up what appears to be fair market value to get him.

~Scott

by ATLBraves4Life on Jan 16, 2008 5:13 PM EST   0 recs

Hamilton comparison
Comparing Kotsay to Hamilton is about as ridiculous as it gets. Hamilton's raw ability is through the roof, as high as any player in a long time. He came out of high school throwing high-90's and hitting the ball 450+ feet. His arm is phenomenal, he hits for average, power (0.262 IsoP), and gets on base (.368 OBP). Not to mention, he's 5 years younger than Kotsay. I'd take Hamilton over Kotsay 100% of the time, no questions asked. Yes, he only played 90 games, but that's not due to only injuries. They had a logjam in the outfield, and he was rested a lot and had some games where he just wasn't in the lineup, especially at the beginning of the year. I'd expect his season line next year to look something like this:
130 games/ .285/.365/.575 with about 30-35 home runs. He's playing in a Texas Rangers stadium that is the most lively offensive stadium in the AL, and he's just entering his peak offensive years and has one year under his belt.

Let's look at Kotsay, now. In the past six years, he's had one year where his OBP was over .360, and  that was in 2004, 4 seasons ago. His IsoP is about half of Hamilton's, his BA is about the same as Hamilton's throughout his career (but seems to be heading in a downward direction), and his defense depends entirely upon his health (as does Hamilton's). I'd predict Kotsay to put up numbers, optimistically, something like this:
130 games (just to be equal to Hamilton)/ .270 / .325/ .385 with about 8-10 home runs.

Now, this is just the guessing of a fan, and anything could happen in terms of injuries or fluke seasons, but looking at the general trends of the numbers, I'd say it would be fairly accurate.

by drdonkeypunch on Jan 16, 2008 5:44 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

Ok...
I won't even dignify this comparison with a statistical breakdown.  This is almost tragically ridiculous...
Come check out my blog 52 Card Pick-up and let me know what you think!

by ejruiz on Jan 16, 2008 6:42 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

agreed
no need, I think everyone knows that this is about as ridiculous comparison as there is, even with out breaking it down

by whunt13 on Jan 16, 2008 7:02 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

Point Taken
Ok, apparently I am way off base. I guess I hit the stupid button which caused diarrhea of the mouth and a whole flood of incoherent dribble to be posted. I humbly retract any erroneous and/or ludicrous statements I might have made that insulted the readers of TalkingChop and undermined the integrity of this blog.

Just to clarify, it wasn't my intention to focuz on the comparison of Hamilton and Kotsay, but simply to compare the package of prospects that was necessary for each respective team to give up to make these trades.

~Scott

by ATLBraves4Life on Jan 16, 2008 9:52 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

Uh
Not to jump on you or anything, but Hamilton is six years younger, is controlled for five more seasons, has a ceiling as an all-star, and outpreformed Kotsay in all the major statistical categories last season, as well as being a good defender. That's why it took a marginal minor league and a highly thought of pitching prospect to acquire him and only a middle reliever and minor leaguer for Kotsay.

Hamilton to Texas was a ridiculously good upside play. Upside is he turns into one of those pereniall all-stars. Kotsay's upside (as BP says) is as a barely adequate (note they didn't even say average) CF with a good glove. The downside is him playing 50 games with pitiful preformance like last season.

by 17843 on Jan 16, 2008 10:08 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

market value
Just because we gave up fair market value for the guy doesn't make it a good trade for us. In terms of our organization, I just think we gave up too much for the return we are getting. I don't like how this trade might look 3-5 years down the road, or sooner.

by MurphyHOF on Jan 16, 2008 10:00 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

I don't like...
...how this trade might look next year.  The second I see Kotsay collapse cluthing his back, is the second I cursing Wren.

by Smoltzs Beard on Jan 17, 2008 10:47 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Idea
We should trade some prospects to LA for Andruw Jones and cash.

by TradeAndruw on Jan 16, 2008 8:21 PM EST   0 recs

my .02
joey devine is still very very young. And while a lot of people on here get hyped about the "prosect" status of players, its almost pointless. You put a player in your top 5 prospect list and he's golden in your eyes. Then he gets to the bigs and gets a pathetically small 19 innings in, then you want to look at that like its his legacy in the big leagues. Look at jo jo's stats in the bigs..He got 50 plus innings this year (starting and coming out of the bullpen) but didnt put up anything special..That to me shows where priorities lie with the braves (the fact that in 3 seasons they can't get joey 20 innings).
And what about everyone's initial reactions to this trade? Calling for wrens head.. Then you read a guy on baseball prospectus or whatever that crap is and its like, "oh, well, I guess its not so bad if you put it that way". Are you serious? Are you informed about a player and then get pissed cause he's traded? Or do you just want something to complain about?? To you who had such strong opinions at first, why the hell do they change because of this goober's report?? I'm sorry, but anyone who had richmond in the top 15 prospects in the organization doesn't have a clue. Everything about him is average (except his stats, which are pretty good)..But just the fact that goldstein ranks a player that high, then turns around and puts him in the "releiver" category shouts to me that he needs to just stop writing. Its great for everyone to pick up the baseball america or log in and check the writeups on the young talent, but c'mon..how many heyward articles to we need to know the kid's good? Or that schafer is good? Or that rohrbough has nasty stuff?? I've been around the game long enough to know that baseball america puts out so much hype on guys that when people go see the players that they read about they agree even if they really don't agree. It bucks the crap out of me how fringe prospects get no credit, while the guy 3 spots up gets all this hype. This to me is the ultimate proof that if you read something that one of these writers says, its always going to influence even the strongest opinion, and thats a shame because it takes away your own ability to judge talent and make your own predictions..I can't believe we traded devine, It was STUPID. So many people base their rankings of players based on minor league stats (obvious case here is richmond). Joey gets 19 innings in the big leagues and you doubters say "told you so" C'mon. 19 Innings!! Do you think Brandon Jones should get sent down, or sammons because they're not living up to expectations after their limited service in the big leagues? don't even answer that because i'm terrified of reading some of this crap

by bravos408 on Jan 17, 2008 12:15 AM EST   0 recs

where was your
where was your "not top pitching talent" review of joey devine before this trade? If you say up your tush your probably right. Who wasn't high on devine at some point (and i mean high like swinging from his huevos high)? I did not see this one coming

by bravos408 on Jan 17, 2008 12:21 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Just for the record...
.....none of this has changed my mind.  Projections and comparisons don't mean much to me - I personally still think it was a mistake to give up 2 pitchers (prospects or not) for a one year rental.  I think Devine should be givin a legit shot to be in someone's bullpen all year (if not ours), and I think Richmond is a better pitcher than this season's numbers indicate, so I think he'll be pretty good some day.

I don't like it that we gave up two good (in my opinion) pitchers for Kotsay, true, but I also don't like it that we got Josh Anderson for no apparant reason - he's a young guy, yes, but he has played in 21 major league games during which he hit .358.  We gave Francoeur the full time job the season after he played 70 games.  Not quite the same thing, I know, but what else does Anderson have to prove?  Plus, we have the ever ignored Gregor Blanco waiting, so we had options.  

So no, I still don't like it!  Unfortunately, we'll have to wait some time for anybody to be able to say 'I told you so' - and of course I think that one will be me!
But really, who knows.....

by secondbass on Jan 17, 2008 8:12 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

i agree but
We gave up two pitchers (one who is a big leaguer) and an A ball guy for a certified big league outfielder (an outfielder who's on the cheaper side). Do you think that the braves don't know everything there is to know and more about Kotsay? (and this isn's directed at you secondbass) Do you think they just picked a name out of a hat? I know you'd like to think it, but are the braves going to go out and make deals to please the public? Joey Deving signed in 05..that was two years ago..he's been moved around more in two years than some players will see in their whole careers. How does he go from being on the top 10 list, to not being a top prospect anymore after his best season yet? You guys make no sense..I dont see how you buy into all this BA bs. I'm not upset over the trade, because the braves are trying to put a decent guy out there incase anderson (sorry secondbass) doesnt pan out. Because his experience in the big leagues is extremely limited. I don't expect to see him his .358 or anything close to that for any extended period of time (but then again i know very little about the man. richmonds stats this year are pretty good, I just don't see those stats translating over into the big leagues

by bravos408 on Jan 17, 2008 9:28 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

You're so much smarter than me...
...but in the real world, I think I'll take the opinions of BA and BP over what you have to say.  

by Smoltzs Beard on Jan 17, 2008 11:00 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

ok
and why is that? If i was a writer for baseball america would I automatically have the credibility for you to take anything I have to say seriously?

by bravos408 on Jan 17, 2008 11:23 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Can't we all just disagree??
I still think I'm right!
Only time will tell....

by secondbass on Jan 17, 2008 11:31 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Yes
Secondbass!!!! I love your style. I always enjoy reading your comments.

by bravos408 on Jan 17, 2008 11:59 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Is there a reason...
...you have to be right about everything, and feel the need to get the last word in?  Are you my ex-girlfriend?

The reason I take their word for it, is because it's their job.  They know alot more about these prospects than I do.  Aside from my own opinions of a certain player, who should be the next person I go to for info?  Some random guy on some blog?  Lemme see your references.  Do you have a letter of recommedation?

by Smoltzs Beard on Jan 17, 2008 1:52 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

None
No I don't have to get the last word in, but if you're going to give attitdue I might as well give it back. And no I'm not your ex girfriend, but this topic quickly turned into a debate, so I argue, its that simple. Maybe I resemble someone who pisses you off, and for that I'm really sorry.

I understand your frustration at me, and to you I am some random guy behind a screen name on a blog. Point taken, I'm not assuming you'll just drop everything and take my words as carrying any weight (unless you agreed with what I say, then we'd have a good thing going in terms of you compairing me to your ex.)

I don't feel it necessary to tell you what my status or involvement in baseball is, as this is just a blog site and I have nothing to prove here except that I have an informed opinion which I type out, and click post. And I don't really feel it necessary to tell you what my references are, or where I learn my information from, or show you any credentials. Just take me as the dumbass that you may think I am, and type that out, and I'll respond to have anything you have to say to me

by bravos408 on Jan 17, 2008 5:57 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

Well...
...the references and recommendation thing was obviously a joke.  A poor one, perhaps, but a joke nonetheless.  I'm not sure why we ended up arguing anyways, seeing as how I wasn't one of the people calling for "Wren's head" as you put it.  I think it's because you called me out about my BA comment.  When in reality, I am simply upset because with our most current trade it seems to me that we pissed away Villareal for a glorified pinch runner.  The actual trade of Kotsay/Devine+ is still up in the air (although I still feel like we could have gotten more for him)...but as of January 17th I'm not thrilled about it.

That's all.

by Smoltzs Beard on Jan 17, 2008 9:11 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

i apologize
I didnt mean to offend you, and had i known i was calling out a guy who has Smoltz beard as his name i wouldn't have dared to do so..When there is an overflow of information (becauce i read everyone's stuff) I become overly anxious i guess..And I take it out on people..This is a formal apology to you and to whom else i offend.
And i'm not upset about you posting BA info, because it'll update people who don't have access to their stuff, I get frustrated for other reasons involving them.  And the credential/recommendation thing was a fine joke, I just didn't know how to take it being that it made me question if i tell you or not and decidedly i realized i really can't.. ; ) (winky winky)

by bravos408 on Jan 17, 2008 9:24 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

Hmm...
...is this Frank Wren?

by Smoltzs Beard on Jan 18, 2008 9:39 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

It's fairly obvious....
....that the Braves brass thinks more highly of Blaine Boyer, Phil Stockman, Manny Acosta, and Zach Schreiber than they thought of Joey Devine and Jose Ascanio.   The organization had  concerns about Devine's and Ascanio's command and control, although both young relief pitchers have pretty good stuff.

It's also obvious that the organization is looking at Jair Jurrjens, Jo Jo Reyes, Cole Rohrbough, Tommy Hansen, and Jeff Locke, and they just don't see a place on Atlanta's 40 man roster in future seasons for Jamie Richmond.  Richmond was virtually given away as an add-in in the Kotsay deal because he had no future in Atlanta due to numbers.  

Thus, Richmond, Devine, and Ascanio have been used as trade bait in the offseason because they weren't in Atlanta's picture.  

When you add Kyle Davies, Matt Harrison, Neftali Feliz, and Beau Jones to this list, the Braves have been more willing than most other major league franchises to deal young pitching to address needs by acquiring veterans.  Going farther back in time, the same philosophy was employed with Adam Wainwright, Jason Marquis, Jose Capellan, and so forth.  In this market, young pitching tends to command a greater premium than at most other times in recent history.  It almost looks like the Braves are looking at this in a countercyclical way.  The organizational drafting philosophy continues to emphasize acquisition and development of young pitchers, then exploitation of their numbers in the farm system to use as trade bait for veterans.  

I may be wrong, but I don't think most Braves fans necessarily object to the tactic in an overall sense.  It seems to me that their concerns lie more along the lines of acquiring  one year rentals.  Often, these acquisitions seem to have recent injury histories (e.g., Dotel, Kotsay).  Braves fans cringed when they saw Drew leave, and they continue to cringe when they watch Wainwright pitch well against Atlanta.  If Davies develops into a decent starter for KC, and if Devine becomes a solid reliever in Oakland, a lot of Braves fans will be bitter, and understandably so.  

The problem is that these young pitchers are cheap for many years, and some of them are going to be good major leaguers for Atlanta's trading partners long after the veterans acquired in these trades have departed Atlanta.  That's the downside to this approach.  

I think the book is still out on this trading philosophy in general (and certainly on the Kotsay trade), but I understand the apprehension being expressed now by many Braves fans.  They keep hearing how the franchise is cash-strapped, then they see cheap young pitching traded for injured veterans.  From Frank Wren's point of view, though, the Braves are receiving $5 million of Kotsay's salary from Oakland, and Wren certainly isn't out of pitchers.  So I think this one will be very interesting to watch.  If Kotsay pans out in Atlanta in 2008 (and especially if Jordan Shafer pans out in 2009), then this could be a very good trade for Wren.  But OTOH if Kotsay spends considerable time on the DL in 2008, and if Devine turns out to be a solid late inning major league reliever for the foreseeable future, then a lot of fans will moan about this trade for years.  As I said when the trade was made, it is a big gamble by Wren.  The Braves brass is determined to win back the NL East Division pennant in 2008, while Mark Teixeira and John Smoltz are still wearing Braves uniforms.

Braves fan since 1958.

by Messenger on Jan 17, 2008 6:49 AM EST   0 recs

woah there big guy
First off, the braves were not hesitant to trade ascanio away because of off the field activity. He has some of the most upside coming out of the minor leagues. Phil stockman is what 28 years old and still hasn't been given an everyday job. I wish they never had called joey up until last september, that way all of you would be salivating and waiting to see him in 08. He'd be your number one prospect and all that jazz. And he'd go up and post a 2 something and everyone would be happy. And on schreiber, stockman, and blaine boyer, I highly doubt that the braves think higher of them. You can't just choose who another team is gonna get for a trade. Trust me, the "talkin oakland A's blog site is probably loving this one, and the A's obviously targeted Devine. And how do you say these things, then turn around and say "When you add Kyle Davies, Matt Harrison, Neftali Feliz, and Beau Jones to this list, the Braves have been more willing than most other major league franchises to deal young pitching to address needs by acquiring veterans". Matt Harrison was a top prospect with us, so was andrus, so was feliz, so was beau jones....So I guess the braves brass thought higher of everyone else and gave them away? And where does locke or rohbough come into this? they are a long ways away from the show. Richmond's protection year is coming up sooner. If they really wanted to they couldve protected richmond for what two years before locke or rohrbough's year?  
Other than that I agree with a lot of what you said   ; )

by bravos408 on Jan 17, 2008 9:53 AM EST   0 recs

For the sake of discussion....
Then if I understand you correctly, Bravos408, you don't view the trades of Devine, Ascanio, Richmond, Davies, Harrison, Feliz, Jones, Wainwright, Marquis, and Capellan as an indicator that the Braves are more willing than most other major league organizations to deal young pitchers in return for veterans.  Hummmm...

Don't take this the wrong way.  I read your posts on this website, and it is obvious that you know what you are talking about.  The comment about salivating over Devine is a bit vitriolic.  Whether the Braves view Ascanio and Devine as more valuable assets than Boyer, Acosta, Stockman, and Schreiber can be debated, but (let's face it) Boyer is the only one of the six with a significant major league track record.  When Boyer was healthy in 2005, he pitched well for the Braves.  Toward the end of the 2007 season, he was healthy again for the first time since 2005.  Boyer is out of options now, and I think it has become obvious that he has an inside track for a job in Atlanta in 2008.  

Like Boyer, Stockman's career has been held back by injuries, but his stuff is electric and his control is better than Ascanio's or Devine's.  

The Braves got a good look at Acosta in late 2007, and I hear they liked him better than Devine or Ascanio.  

It seems pretty clear now that Boyer and Acosta will be in Atlanta's bullpen this coming April.  If Stockman is healthy, he could be there too.  I think the 2008 bullpen picture is a lot clearer than it was a month ago.

BTW, when Frank Wren traded Ascanio to the Cubs, he said publicly that Ascanio had not figured in Atlanta's 2008 plans.  So that was not just my opinion.

Braves fan since 1958.

by Messenger on Jan 18, 2008 11:04 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

no subject
I do believe that the braves are more willing to trade away young talent than the average club..they do fall well into that category. I agree with all of your descriptions of the players you mentioned (maybe not your comparisons but yes its all opinion). The thing i commented on was that you said the braves obviously valued more, the others who weren't traded, and i'm disagreeing with you on that. I think there was a reason the braves traded ascanio away so quickly that doesn't have that much to do with baseball, so the way i should have put it would be this "i think the braves were less hesitant to trade ascanio away beacause of off the field activity". I don't see the A's targeting stockman, or boyer or schreiber over devine (schreiber who doesn't have any big league time, and to please 17843 is older than devine). I didn't make the trade so i don't know exactly who was involved and who really pushed for this, but from what I know I think the braves really like joey, and got what they could when they could..(although my opinion is that joey is ready to break out, and luckily he'll have a slightly different stage than the bitter nlcs crowd to cheer him on). But back to the original issue. From what I recall, the reason i reacted the way i did was because i had the impression that you thought that just because we traded away, that we thought less of the guys we traded than the ones we kept..I remember the day we traded away wainwright, I think dayton cried..

by bravos408 on Jan 19, 2008 12:19 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

afterthought
Also look at this trade from the A's perspective.. You could say that the braves value more the guys they didn't trade, but you could also say the A's value more the guy they got than the guys they didn't get...   just food fo thought

by bravos408 on Jan 19, 2008 12:21 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Just an aside here
But the way people basically will refuse to criticize any move the Braves make by saying "The Organization obviously knows better" is ridiculous. Sorry, but no major league team is infallible, certainly not the Braves. As good as Schuerholz was, he made some real stupid trades that came back to bite us. And as much as I liked the Renteria trade, Wren has now made two straight nonsensical and outright contradictory trades in a row.

The Braves player development and scouting team is probably a top three group in baseball, but they're not perfect.

by 17843 on Jan 17, 2008 12:43 PM EST   0 recs

Ok
I'm stuck.  What's the other nonsensical and outright contradictory trade?

by jjhoosby on Jan 17, 2008 1:17 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

I believe he's talking about...
...the trade for Josh Anderson, which gave up a valuable bullpen piece for a possible CF.  Which is just like the current trade we are arguing about...giving up a possible valuable bullpen piece for a possible CF.

by Smoltzs Beard on Jan 17, 2008 1:49 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

Ok
I can see the point there; it seems like the Braves are trying to stockpile their outfield.  Josh Anderson, Joe Borchard, Gregor Blanco, Brandon Jones, Jordan Schafer, Gorkeys Hernandez, and Jason Heyward are all battling for two spots in the OF with one spot already being a platoon with Diaz.  I don't know, maybe Wren is stockpiling the minor league talent that is available now so that he can deal from a position of strength later.  I don't know.  Things that make you go hhhmmmmmm.

by jjhoosby on Jan 17, 2008 2:07 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

you're right
No one is perfect, but just like other successful professionals, the braves make it by how they've structured themselves. I hope the braves just pull it through all this and I hope it gives frank wren a chance to shine and be noted for making some good moves. I'd hate to have his first year as GM be the one where we gave away a top closer type guy for a damaged outfielder that gave nothing to the club

by bravos408 on Jan 17, 2008 6:00 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

none
I still think that in the recent past, the braves have gotten the better end of the deal in the vast majority of cases..I could be way off, but this is what i recall

by bravos408 on Jan 17, 2008 6:04 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

Thats cool
that you mentioned the braves as having one of the top 3 development programs. I think its something that has gone under the radar for about 4 or 5 years now. Here comes another baseball america knock..Baseball america is a huge fan of moving onto another player or team when it comes to ranking. And also, I've come to know that baseball america is not too fond of the organization. There are some things that really stick out that make me say that which i'd be glad to list, but it bothers me. Back to my original comment, the braves are never ranked high as an organization anymore..they won how many titles in a row? And did it with organizational guys, you'd think they could get some top 5 recognition or something. BA hates repeating itself, they love the new comers even if another "thing" deserves more credit..I dunno   another .02 from me

by bravos408 on Jan 17, 2008 6:09 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

Not Heyward...
...I don't think Heyward's in this battle....yet.

by secondbass on Jan 17, 2008 2:25 PM EST   0 recs

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Welcome to the SB Nation blog about Atlanta Braves.

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recommended FanPosts

Dsc01731_small
TC Meetup Day

Recent FanPosts

Small
BP Will Carroll
Small
Possible destinations for Tex
Smoltz08spr_t_small
The Haven at Turner Field
Argue_small
O'Brien on the Tex Trade.
Vulcan2_small
Rivalries.
Atlanta_braves_4_small
2009 FA Possibilities
Small
Ohman
Vulcan2_small
Two Tickets to Paradise: A Day at The Ted.
Dsc01731_small
Midsummer Lulls

Post_icon New FanPost All FanPosts Carrot-mini


Managers

Gondeee_small gondeee

Authors

Ichigo_-_power_small yondaime4

ad

Site Meter